Mafra vs Penafiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Portuguese Liga 2 Mafra - Penafiel
Result
4:2
14/04/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 29
  • Referee: Lima F. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
115
Shots on target
104
Corner Kicks
55
Yellow Cards
54
Red Cards
01
Total shots
115
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
11
Corner Kicks
55
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1123
Fouls
1811
Goalkeeper Saves
26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Ze Leite ,
  • 25', 0 - 2, Robinho (Pen),
  • 28', Rochez B. 🟨,
  • 29', Nibe A. 🟨,
  • 31', Rossi R. 🟨,
  • 32', Alves P. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 2, Etim F. , Goncalves V. (A),
  • 45+1', 2 - 2, Etim F. , Lucas Gabriel (A),
  • 45+3', Olamilekan Fatai S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 56', Beni D. 🟨,
  • 56', Ze Leite 🟨,
  • 56', Robinho 🟨,
  • 61', 3 - 2, Nibe A. , Rochez B. (A),
  • 65', Olamilekan Fatai S. , Vieira P. ,
  • 68', 4 - 2, Rochez B. , Lucas Gabriel (A),
  • 70', Lucas Gabriel , Matos R. ,
  • 77', Ewerton , Rodrigues T. ,
  • 77', Pereira B. , Gustavo Fernandes ,
  • 80', Robinho 🟨,
  • 83', Rochez B. , Kolawole J. ,
  • 83', Nibe A. , Fale M. ,
  • 88', Reko , Pinheiro Edu ,
  • 88', Ze Leite , Silva J. ,
  • 89', Capitao D. , Rodrigo Freitas ,
  • 90', Etim F. , Iheanacho S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mafra
38%
Draw
30.4%
Penafiel
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 30.2% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4% 27.7% 34%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Penafiel has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (-2.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Penafiel than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • Mafra - Penafiel Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.43
    (2.41)
    3.05
    (3.08)
    2.93
    (2.98)
    8.1%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Mafra - Penafiel?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Mafra will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Penafiel will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mafra: 50.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 8).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Mafra won 1.
    • Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
    • Mafra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Mafra won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14:16 (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Mafra won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:2 (average 1:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mafra - Penafiel were as follows:
    01.12.2024 Penafiel - Mafra 1:1
    09.03.2024 Mafra - Penafiel 0:1
    27.10.2023 Penafiel - Mafra 1:0
    05.02.2023 Penafiel - Mafra 1:0
    Latest results of Mafra
    31.03.2025 Mafra - Felgueiras 1:0
    09.03.2025 Mafra - Porto B 0:0
    01.03.2025 Alverca - Mafra 2:0
    22.02.2025 Mafra - Vizela 1:4
    Latest results of Penafiel
    05.04.2025 Felgueiras - Penafiel 1:0
    29.03.2025 Penafiel - Marítimo 0:1
    08.03.2025 Penafiel - Alverca 3:2
    02.03.2025 Leiria - Penafiel 1:0
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Leixoes00000:000
    2Feirense00000:000
    3Penafiel00000:000
    4Portimonense00000:000
    5Vizela00000:000
    6Chaves00000:000
    7Oliveirense00000:000
    8Torreense00000:000
    9Maritimo00000:000
    10Pacos Ferreira00000:000
    11Leiria00000:000
    12Academico Viseu00000:000
    13Lusitania FC00000:000
    14SC Farense00000:000
    15Felgueiras00000:000
    16FC Porto B00000:000
    17Sporting CP B00000:000
    18Benfica B00000:000

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