Mafra vs Penafiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
14/04/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 29
  • Referee: Lima F. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
115
Shots on target
104
Corner Kicks
55
Yellow Cards
54
Red Cards
01
Total shots
115
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
11
Corner Kicks
55
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1123
Fouls
1811
Goalkeeper Saves
26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Ze Leite ,
  • 25', 0 - 2, Robinho (Pen),
  • 28', Rochez B. 🟨,
  • 29', Nibe A. 🟨,
  • 31', Rossi R. 🟨,
  • 32', Alves P. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 2, Etim F. , Goncalves V. (A),
  • 45+1', 2 - 2, Etim F. , Lucas Gabriel (A),
  • 45+3', Olamilekan Fatai S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 56', Beni D. 🟨,
  • 56', Ze Leite 🟨,
  • 56', Robinho 🟨,
  • 61', 3 - 2, Nibe A. , Rochez B. (A),
  • 65', Olamilekan Fatai S. , Vieira P. ,
  • 68', 4 - 2, Rochez B. , Lucas Gabriel (A),
  • 70', Lucas Gabriel , Matos R. ,
  • 77', Ewerton , Rodrigues T. ,
  • 77', Pereira B. , Gustavo Fernandes ,
  • 80', Robinho 🟨,
  • 83', Rochez B. , Kolawole J. ,
  • 83', Nibe A. , Fale M. ,
  • 88', Reko , Pinheiro Edu ,
  • 88', Ze Leite , Silva J. ,
  • 89', Capitao D. , Rodrigo Freitas ,
  • 90', Etim F. , Iheanacho S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mafra
38%
Draw
30.4%
Penafiel
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 30.2% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4% 27.7% 34%

Mafra - Penafiel Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.43
(2.41)
3.05
(3.08)
2.93
(2.98)
8.1%
(7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mafra - Penafiel?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Mafra will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Penafiel will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mafra: 50.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 8).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Mafra won 1.
    • Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
    • Mafra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Mafra won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14:16 (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Mafra won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:2 (average 1:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mafra - Penafiel were as follows:
    01.12.2024 Penafiel - Mafra 1:1
    09.03.2024 Mafra - Penafiel 0:1
    27.10.2023 Penafiel - Mafra 1:0
    05.02.2023 Penafiel - Mafra 1:0
    Latest results of Mafra
    31.03.2025 Mafra - Felgueiras 1:0
    09.03.2025 Mafra - Porto B 0:0
    01.03.2025 Alverca - Mafra 2:0
    22.02.2025 Mafra - Vizela 1:4
    Latest results of Penafiel
    05.04.2025 Felgueiras - Penafiel 1:0
    29.03.2025 Penafiel - Marítimo 0:1
    08.03.2025 Penafiel - Alverca 3:2
    02.03.2025 Leiria - Penafiel 1:0
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo16103324:111333
    2Sporting CP B1592424:91529
    3Academico Viseu1675429:181126
    4Chaves1675419:12726
    5Vizela1566319:14524
    6Leiria1565419:17223
    7Lusitania FC1665523:23023
    8Benfica B1656524:23121
    9Torreense1662819:20-120
    10SC Farense1655615:20-520
    11Penafiel1654715:16-119
    12Felgueiras1554618:22-419
    13Oliveirense1546515:17-218
    14Feirense1545616:17-117
    15FC Porto B1552814:22-817
    16Pacos Ferreira1637616:23-716
    17Leixoes16511018:34-1616
    18Portimonense1543817:26-915

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