Mafra vs Penafiel – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:2
14/04/2025 at 15:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal 2 - Round 29
  • Referee: Lima F. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalSport TV1

Match Stats

Ball Possession
51%49%
Total shots
115
Shots on target
104
Corner Kicks
55
Yellow Cards
54
Red Cards
01
Total shots
115
Shots on target
104
Shots off target
11
Corner Kicks
55
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
1123
Fouls
1811
Goalkeeper Saves
26

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 2)
  • 9', 0 - 1, Ze Leite ,
  • 25', 0 - 2, Robinho (Pen),
  • 28', Rochez B. 🟨,
  • 29', Nibe A. 🟨,
  • 31', Rossi R. 🟨,
  • 32', Alves P. 🟨,
  • 43', 1 - 2, Etim F. , Goncalves V. (A),
  • 45+1', 2 - 2, Etim F. , Lucas Gabriel (A),
  • 45+3', Olamilekan Fatai S. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 56', Beni D. 🟨,
  • 56', Ze Leite 🟨,
  • 56', Robinho 🟨,
  • 61', 3 - 2, Nibe A. , Rochez B. (A),
  • 65', Olamilekan Fatai S. , Vieira P. ,
  • 68', 4 - 2, Rochez B. , Lucas Gabriel (A),
  • 70', Lucas Gabriel , Matos R. ,
  • 77', Ewerton , Rodrigues T. ,
  • 77', Pereira B. , Gustavo Fernandes ,
  • 80', Robinho 🟨,
  • 83', Rochez B. , Kolawole J. ,
  • 83', Nibe A. , Fale M. ,
  • 88', Reko , Pinheiro Edu ,
  • 88', Ze Leite , Silva J. ,
  • 89', Capitao D. , Rodrigo Freitas ,
  • 90', Etim F. , Iheanacho S. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Mafra
38%
Draw
30.4%
Penafiel
31.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
38.6% 30.2% 31.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.4% 27.7% 34%

Mafra - Penafiel Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
2.43
(2.41)
3.05
(3.08)
2.93
(2.98)
8.1%
(7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Mafra - Penafiel?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Mafra will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Penafiel will win (votes: 1 - 11.1%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Mafra: 50.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A team from the mid-table and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga 3 and 8).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Mafra won 1.
    • Two teams are in a poor body shape now.
    • Mafra could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.
    • Last 15 head-to-head matches Mafra won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 7 matches and goals 14:16 (average 0.9:1.1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Mafra won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7:2 (average 1:0.3).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mafra - Penafiel were as follows:
    01.12.2024 Penafiel - Mafra 1:1
    09.03.2024 Mafra - Penafiel 0:1
    27.10.2023 Penafiel - Mafra 1:0
    05.02.2023 Penafiel - Mafra 1:0
    Latest results of Mafra
    31.03.2025 Mafra - Felgueiras 1:0
    09.03.2025 Mafra - Porto B 0:0
    01.03.2025 Alverca - Mafra 2:0
    22.02.2025 Mafra - Vizela 1:4
    Latest results of Penafiel
    05.04.2025 Felgueiras - Penafiel 1:0
    29.03.2025 Penafiel - Marítimo 0:1
    08.03.2025 Penafiel - Alverca 3:2
    02.03.2025 Leiria - Penafiel 1:0
    Portuguese Liga 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Maritimo1492319:91029
    2Sporting CP B1392224:71729
    3Chaves1465316:9723
    4Academico Viseu1364325:16922
    5Vizela1255218:12620
    6Torreense1362517:15220
    7Leiria1355316:14220
    8Lusitania FC1345417:21-417
    9Penafiel1444614:15-116
    10SC Farense1244413:16-316
    11Oliveirense1336412:14-215
    12Benfica B1335520:21-114
    13FC Porto B1342713:20-714
    14Feirense1335513:14-114
    15Leixoes1441915:29-1413
    16Felgueiras1334613:20-713
    17Pacos Ferreira1326514:18-412
    18Portimonense1333715:24-912

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