Trofense vs Mafra – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
27/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalCanal 11

Match Stats

Ball possession
45%55%
Total shots
310
Shots on target
14
Corner kicks
36
Yellow cards
21
Total shots
310
Shots on target
14
Shots off target
26
Corner kicks
36

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 7', 1 - 0, Lobo G. , Oliveira J. (A),
  • 45+6', Sambu B. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Goncalves V. , Matos R. ,
  • 46', Raposo C. , Goba Zakpa ,
  • 46', Fati E. , Andrey ,
  • 59', Cunha G. 🟨,
  • 60', Assis Cardoso R. H. , Reko Silva ,
  • 60', Joel , Duarte E. ,
  • 77', 1 - 1, Matos R. , Xico (A),
  • 80', Diarra M. , Paciencia V. ,
  • 80', Lobo G. , Ivandro ,
  • 90', Ruca , Welisson ,
  • 90+1', Ribeiro Gomes D. M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Trofense
36%
Draw
31%
Mafra
32.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.5% 31.4% 33.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.3% 33% 31.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)
  • Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
  • Trofense - Mafra Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (2.54)
    2.97
    (2.87)
    2.8
    (2.72)
    8.6%
    (10.9%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    What is the prediction for Trofense - Mafra?
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Trofense (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 and 7).
    • Trofense has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • In recent matches, Mafra has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Trofense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Trofense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Trofense - Mafra were as follows:
    28.05.2023 Trofense - Mafra 1:2
    21.01.2023 Mafra - Trofense 1:0
    Latest results of Trofense
    21.02.2026 Varzim - Trofense 2:0
    07.02.2026 Belenenses - Trofense 0:0
    25.01.2026 Amarante - Trofense 1:1
    18.01.2026 Trofense - Marco 09 0:1
    Latest results of Mafra
    21.02.2026 Amarante - Mafra 1:0
    15.02.2026 Mafra - Varzim 1:0
    24.01.2026 Atlético CP - Mafra 1:2
    10.01.2026 1 Dezembro - Mafra 1:1
    Portuguese Liga 3 Table
    Promotion Group
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Varzim32014:226
    2Os Belenenses31205:415
    3Vitoria Guimaraes B31113:304
    4Mafra31112:204
    5Academica21013:303
    6Amarante21012:203
    7Santarem21012:203
    8Trofense40222:5-32

          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
          Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )