Result
1:1
27/02/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga 3 - Promotion Group - Round 4
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Portugal | Canal 11 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', 1 - 0, Lobo G. ⚽, Oliveira J. (A),
- 45+6', Sambu B. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Goncalves V. ↓, Matos R. ↑,
- 46', Raposo C. ↓, Goba Zakpa ↑,
- 46', Fati E. ↓, Andrey ↑,
- 59', Cunha G. 🟨,
- 60', Assis Cardoso R. H. ↓, Reko Silva ↑,
- 60', Joel ↓, Duarte E. ↑,
- 77', 1 - 1, Matos R. ⚽, Xico (A),
- 80', Diarra M. ↓, Paciencia V. ↑,
- 80', Lobo G. ↓, Ivandro ↑,
- 90', Ruca ↓, Welisson ↑,
- 90+1', Ribeiro Gomes D. M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Trofense 36% | Draw 31% | Mafra 32.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trofense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)Mafra has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trofense than the current prediction. (+1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mafra than the current prediction. (-1.4%)
Trofense - Mafra Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.56 ↑ (2.54) |
2.97 ↑ (2.87) |
2.8 ↑ (2.72) |
8.6% (10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Trofense - Mafra?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Trofense (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:0.
Preview Facts
- This time, only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 8 and 7).
- Trofense has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- In recent matches, Mafra has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Trofense won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:6. (average 0.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Trofense won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 1:2.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Trofense won against Mafra?
Trofense has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mafra won against Trofense?
Mafra has won 2 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Trofense - Mafra were as follows:
28.05.2023
Trofense
-
Mafra
1:2
21.01.2023
Mafra
-
Trofense
1:0
Latest results of Trofense
Portuguese Liga 3 Table
Promotion Group | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Varzim | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Os Belenenses | 3 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Vitoria Guimaraes B | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 4 |
| 4 | Mafra | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 4 |
| 5 | Academica | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:3 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Amarante | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Santarem | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 8 | Trofense | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 2 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal 2 (Promotion: )