Result
0:2
23/04/2023 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 37
- Referee: Moreno A. (Esp)
Chances of winning
Lugo
27% | Draw
30.4% | Málaga
42.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lugo's form might have worsened.Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Málaga's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+10.5%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lugo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-12.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Málaga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lugo - Málaga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.49 ↑
(2.63) |
3.1 ↑
(2.8) |
2.2 ↓
(2.75) |
6.4%
(10.1%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Lugo - Málaga?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 9 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Málaga: 35.2% – 84.8%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- Lugo has the most likely position - 22 (68.72%), project points - 33, currently - 27, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
- Málaga has the most likely position - 19 (53.76%), project points - 45, currently - 36, a good chance of relegated (77%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
- This event has small quality 25, small importance 27, small match rating 26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Lugo won 1.
- Lugo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Málaga is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Málaga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Málaga will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Lugo won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-12.
- Including matches at home between the teams Lugo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.
How many head-to-head matches has Lugo won against Málaga?
Lugo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Málaga won against Lugo?
Málaga has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - Málaga were as follows:
16.10.2022
Málaga
-
Lugo
3:2
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Valladolid | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 2 | Racing Santander | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:3 | 3 | 6 |
| 3 | Gijon | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 4 | Burgos CF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:1 | 4 | 4 |
| 5 | Eibar | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | Las Palmas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 7 | Andorra | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:2 | 2 | 4 |
| 8 | Dep. La Coruna | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 4 |
| 9 | Almeria | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5:4 | 1 | 4 |
| 10 | Malaga | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 11 | Cadiz CF | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 | Huesca | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 4 |
| 13 | Real Sociedad B | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 14 | Leganes | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2:2 | 0 | 2 |
| 15 | Albacete | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 6:7 | -1 | 1 |
| 16 | Mirandes | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 17 | Cordoba | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:5 | -3 | 0 |
| 18 | Castellon | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 19 | Zaragoza | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:4 | -3 | 0 |
| 20 | Ceuta | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 21 | Cultural Leonesa | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
| 22 | Granada CF | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:6 | -5 | 0 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
