Lugo vs Málaga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2 Lugo - Málaga
Result
0:2
23/04/2023 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 37
  • Referee: Moreno A. (Esp)

Chances of winning


Lugo
27%
Draw
30.4%
Málaga
42.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.5% 32.4% 33%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37.5% 35.2% 30.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Lugo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lugo's form might have worsened.
  • Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Málaga's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lugo than the current prediction. (+10.5%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lugo, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-12.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Málaga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Lugo - Málaga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.49
    (2.63)
    3.1
    (2.8)
    2.2
    (2.75)
    6.4%
    (10.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
  • What is the prediction for Lugo - Málaga?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Málaga will win (votes: 9 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Málaga: 35.2%84.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 22 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).
    • Lugo has the most likely position - 22 (68.72%), project points - 33, currently - 27, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
    • Málaga has the most likely position - 19 (53.76%), project points - 45, currently - 36, a good chance of relegated (77%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
    • This event has small quality 25, small importance 27, small match rating 26. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Lugo won 1.
    • Lugo is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Málaga is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Málaga could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Málaga will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Lugo won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 8-12.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Lugo won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 2-3.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Lugo - Málaga were as follows:
    16.10.2022 Málaga - Lugo 3:2
    Latest results of Lugo
    15.04.2023 Real Oviedo - Lugo 2:1
    07.04.2023 Lugo - Tenerife 0:0
    02.04.2023 Lugo - Ponferradina 0:0
    24.03.2023 Cartagena - Lugo 2:0
    19.03.2023 Lugo - Racing Santander 1:1
    Latest results of Málaga
    16.04.2023 Málaga - Cartagena 1:0
    07.04.2023 Villarreal B - Málaga 1:2
    02.04.2023 FC Andorra - Málaga 1:0
    27.03.2023 Málaga - Leganés 2:0
    17.03.2023 Málaga - Levante 0:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Gijon00000:000
    2Cordoba00000:000
    3Las Palmas00000:000
    4Castellon00000:000
    5Albacete00000:000
    6Eibar00000:000
    7Malaga00000:000
    8Cadiz CF00000:000
    9Burgos CF00000:000
    10Huesca00000:000
    11Racing Santander00000:000
    12Almeria00000:000
    13Dep. La Coruna00000:000
    14Valladolid00000:000
    15Zaragoza00000:000
    16Real Sociedad B00000:000
    17Cultural Leonesa00000:000
    18Leganes00000:000
    19Ceuta00000:000
    20Granada CF00000:000
    21Mirandes00000:000
    22Andorra00000:000

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation