Result
2:0
07/05/2023 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 39
- Referee: Reig S. A. (Esp)
Chances of winning
Ponferradina
27% | Draw
30.3% | Málaga
42.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ponferradina's form might have worsened.Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Málaga's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+14.8%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ponferradina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-16%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Málaga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ponferradina - Málaga Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.46 ↑
(2.19) |
3.1 ↑
(2.93) |
2.2 ↓
(3.47) |
6.5%
(8.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Ponferradina - Málaga?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Málaga will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Málaga: 35.7% – 80.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).
- Ponferradina has the most likely position - 20 (90.67%), project points - 40, currently - 36, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
- Málaga has the most likely position - 19 (75.94%), project points - 46, currently - 40, a good chance of relegated (84%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
- This event has small quality 28, small importance 28, small match rating 28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 2.
- Ponferradina is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Málaga is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Ponferradina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- Málaga will have a mini benefit in this match.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-3.
- Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.
How many head-to-head matches has Ponferradina won against Málaga?
Ponferradina has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Málaga won against Ponferradina?
Málaga has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Málaga were as follows:
26.11.2022
Málaga
-
Ponferradina
1:0
Latest results of Ponferradina
Spanish LaLiga2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Dep. La Coruna | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 17:6 | 11 | 16 |
| 2 | Racing Santander | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 21:14 | 7 | 16 |
| 3 | Cadiz CF | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 15 |
| 4 | Andorra | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 13:10 | 3 | 14 |
| 5 | Las Palmas | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 8:5 | 3 | 14 |
| 6 | Huesca | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 13 |
| 7 | Burgos CF | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 13:9 | 4 | 12 |
| 8 | Valladolid | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 9:6 | 3 | 12 |
| 9 | Almeria | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 10 | Eibar | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:7 | 3 | 11 |
| 11 | Castellon | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13:12 | 1 | 11 |
| 12 | Ceuta | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8:12 | -4 | 11 |
| 13 | Leganes | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 10 |
| 14 | Albacete | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 14:16 | -2 | 9 |
| 15 | Gijon | 8 | 3 | 0 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 9 |
| 16 | Cordoba | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 9 |
| 17 | Mirandes | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 8 |
| 18 | Granada CF | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 8 |
| 19 | Malaga | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 20 | Cultural Leonesa | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 8 |
| 21 | Zaragoza | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 4:8 | -4 | 6 |
| 22 | Real Sociedad B | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:16 | -5 | 6 |
Promotion ~ LaLiga
Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation
