Ponferradina vs Málaga – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Spanish LaLiga2 Ponferradina - Málaga
Result
2:0
07/05/2023 at 10:15 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SPAIN: LALIGA2 - ROUND 39
  • Referee: Reig S. A. (Esp)

Chances of winning


Ponferradina
27%
Draw
30.3%
Málaga
42.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
42.1% 31.4% 26.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.8% 31.2% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Ponferradina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ponferradina's form might have worsened.
  • Málaga has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+16.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Málaga's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ponferradina than the current prediction. (+14.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ponferradina, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Málaga than the current prediction. (-16%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Málaga, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Ponferradina - Málaga Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.46
    (2.19)
    3.1
    (2.93)
    2.2
    (3.47)
    6.5%
    (8.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Ponferradina - Málaga?
  • Users Predictions: 19 users predict this event. Ponferradina will win (votes: 3 - 15.8%). Málaga will win (votes: 11 - 57.9%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 26.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Málaga: 35.7%80.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 20 in the zone Relegation and 19 in the zone Relegation).
    • Ponferradina has the most likely position - 20 (90.67%), project points - 40, currently - 36, a very good chance of relegated (>99%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
    • Málaga has the most likely position - 19 (75.94%), project points - 46, currently - 40, a good chance of relegated (84%), not chance of prom. playoffs.
    • This event has small quality 28, small importance 28, small match rating 28. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 2.
    • Ponferradina is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Málaga is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Ponferradina could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • Málaga will have a mini benefit in this match.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Ponferradina won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 8-3.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Ponferradina won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Ponferradina - Málaga were as follows:
    26.11.2022 Málaga - Ponferradina 1:0
    Latest results of Ponferradina
    22.04.2023 Ponferradina - FC Andorra 1:4
    15.04.2023 Burgos - Ponferradina 2:2
    09.04.2023 Ponferradina - Leganés 0:1
    02.04.2023 Lugo - Ponferradina 0:0
    26.03.2023 Ponferradina - Mirandés 0:0
    Latest results of Málaga
    01.05.2023 Málaga - Huesca 0:0
    23.04.2023 Lugo - Málaga 0:2
    16.04.2023 Málaga - Cartagena 1:0
    07.04.2023 Villarreal B - Málaga 1:2
    02.04.2023 FC Andorra - Málaga 1:0
    Spanish LaLiga2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Valladolid22004:046
    2Racing Santander22006:336
    3Gijon22003:126
    4Burgos CF21105:144
    5Eibar21104:134
    6Las Palmas21104:224
    7Andorra21104:224
    8Dep. La Coruna21103:124
    9Almeria21105:414
    10Malaga21102:114
    11Cadiz CF21102:114
    12Huesca21102:114
    13Real Sociedad B21011:103
    14Leganes20202:202
    15Albacete20116:7-11
    16Mirandes20020:2-20
    17Cordoba20022:5-30
    18Castellon20021:4-30
    19Zaragoza20021:4-30
    20Ceuta20020:4-40
    21Cultural Leonesa20021:6-50
    22Granada CF20021:6-50

          Promotion ~ LaLiga
          Promotion ~ LaLiga2 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation