Manchester United vs Brighton & Hove Albion – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English Premier League Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion
Result
4:2
25/10/2025 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Premier League - Round 9
  • Referee: Taylor A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.131.08
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
95
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
16
Passes
81% (351/432)86% (486/568)
Yellow Cards
22
Expected Goals (xG)
1.131.08
xG on target (xGOT)
2.811.52
Total shots
1317
Shots on target
95
Shots off target
38
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
79
Shots outside the Box
68
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
41
Corner Kicks
16
Touches in opposition box
2119
Accurate through passes
30
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
134
Passes
81% (351/432)86% (486/568)
Long passes
47% (26/55)47% (21/45)
Passes in final third
76% (107/141)71% (73/103)
Crosses
11% (1/9)29% (5/17)
Expected assists (xA)
0.980.73
Throw-ins
1614
Fouls
413
Tackles
67% (14/21)67% (12/18)
Duels won
6157
Clearances
1518
Interceptions
1312
Errors leading to shot
12
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
35
xGOT faced
1.522.81
Goals prevented
-0.48-1.19

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 24', 1 - 0, Cunha M. , Casemiro (A),
  • 34', 2 - 0, Casemiro , Shaw L. (A),
  • 41', Baleba C. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 2)
  • 59', Baleba C. , Milner J. ,
  • 59', De Cuyper M. , Watson T. ,
  • 60', Ayari Y. , Gomez D. ,
  • 61', 3 - 0, Mbeumo B. , Sesko B. (A),
  • 65', Shaw L. , Heaven A. ,
  • 70', Diallo A. , Dorgu P. ,
  • 70', Casemiro , Mainoo K. ,
  • 72', Dorgu P. 🟨,
  • 74', 3 - 1, Welbeck D. ,
  • 79', Rutter G. , Kostoulas C. ,
  • 81', Sesko B. 🟨,
  • 81', Cunha M. , Ugarte M. ,
  • 82', Sesko B. , Zirkzee J. ,
  • 87', Wieffer M. , Tzimas S. ,
  • 90+2', 3 - 2, Kostoulas C. , Milner J. (A),
  • 90+4', Kadioglu F. 🟨,
  • 90+6', 4 - 2, Mbeumo B. , Heaven A. (A),

Chances of winning


Manchester United
47.5%
Draw
24.9%
Brighton & Hove Albion
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
47.1% 24.6% 28.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.8% 24.2% 27.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Manchester United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.4%)
  • Brighton & Hove Albion has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Manchester United than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Brighton & Hove Albion than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.04
    (2.03)
    3.85
    (3.88)
    3.48
    (3.38)
    3.8%
    (4.6%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion?
  • Users Predictions: 72 users predict this event. Man Utd will win (votes: 53 - 73.6%). Brighton & Hove will win (votes: 14 - 19.4%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 6.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Man Utd: 63.4%83.8%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Man Utd (votes: 10 - 66.7%). Brighton & Hove (votes: 2 - 13.3%). Tie (votes: 3 - 20%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.25 - Man Utd (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 9 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 1.
    • Recent performances by Man Utd have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Brighton & Hove is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Man Utd will hold a modest advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Man Utd: Martinez Li. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Brighton & Hove: Hinshelwood J. (Ankle Injury) March S. (Knee Injury) Webster A. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Man Utd: Maguire H. (Knock) Mount M. (Knock)
    • There are questionable in Brighton & Hove: Gruda B. (Knee Injury) Mitoma K. (Ankle Injury) Veltman J. (Calf Injury)
    • In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Man Utd won 10 matches, drew 1 match, lost 8 matches, and goals 29:24. (average 1.5:1.3).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Man Utd won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:11. (average 1.7:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion were as follows:
    19.01.2025 Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:3
    24.08.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester United 2:1
    19.05.2024 Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester United 0:2
    16.09.2023 Manchester United - Brighton & Hove Albion 1:3
    04.05.2023 Brighton & Hove Albion - Manchester United 1:0
    Latest results of Manchester United
    English Premier League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Arsenal971116:31322
    2Bournemouth953116:11518
    3Tottenham952217:71017
    4Sunderland952211:7417
    5Manchester City951317:71016
    6Manchester Utd951315:14116
    7Liverpool950416:14215
    8Aston Villa94329:8115
    9Chelsea942317:11614
    10Crystal Palace934212:9313
    11Brentford941414:14013
    12Newcastle93339:8112
    13Brighton933314:15-112
    14Everton93249:12-311
    15Leeds93249:14-511
    16Burnley931512:17-510
    17Fulham92259:14-58
    18Nottingham91265:17-125
    19West Ham91177:20-134
    20Wolves90277:19-122

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          Relegation ~ Championship