Result
4:1
21/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 39
- Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.84 | 0.92 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (203/307) | 73% (324/443) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.84 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.37 | 1.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (203/307) | 73% (324/443) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (24/81) | 22% (17/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (74/132) | 59% (64/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.52 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.35 | 3.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.35 | -0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Evans W. ⚽,
- 11', Perkins J. 🟨,
- 24', Willis J. 🟨,
- 34', Taylor T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Guthrie J. ↓, Guinness-Walker N. ↑,
- 46', Evans J. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
- 46', Willis J. ↓, Dyche M. ↑,
- 46', Hewitt E. ↓, Knoyle K. ↑,
- 46', Blake-Tracy F. ↓, Sweeney R. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 0, Evans W. ⚽, Akins L. (A),
- 58', Oshilaja A. 🟨,
- 62', 3 - 0, Akins L. ⚽,
- 71', Taylor T. ↓, Campbell D. ↑,
- 71', Moore E. ↓, Hoskins S. ↑,
- 73', 3 - 1, McGeehan C. ⚽, McAdam K. (A),
- 77', Vale J. ↓, Swyer K. ↑,
- 78', Oates R. ↓, Irow O. ↑,
- 86', Hendry R. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
- 86', Russell J. ↓, Moriah-Welsh N. ↑,
- 90+3', 4 - 1, Akins L. ⚽,
- 90+4', Abbott G. ↓, Gardner J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mansfield Town
59.6% | Draw
23.8% | Northampton Town
16.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mansfield Town's performance.Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Northampton Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mansfield Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Mansfield Town - Northampton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↓
(1.79) |
3.94 ↑
(3.58) |
5.6 ↑
(4.28) |
6.8%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mansfield Town - Northampton Town?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Mansfield (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- AH -1 - Mansfield (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Mansfield (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 15 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 1.
- Mansfield has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Northampton has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Northampton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Mansfield is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Mansfield: Bolton L.
(Calf Injury)
Cargill B.
(Hamstring Injury)
Maris G.
(Inactive)
Roberts T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Northampton: List E.
(Inactive)
Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
Wormleighton J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Mansfield: Reed L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:17. (average 1.2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mansfield won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 1.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Mansfield Town won against Northampton Town?
Mansfield Town has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Mansfield Town?
Northampton Town has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mansfield Town - Northampton Town were as follows:
08.11.2025
Northampton Town
-
Mansfield Town
2:1
07.02.2025
Mansfield Town
-
Northampton Town
0:1
28.09.2024
Northampton Town
-
Mansfield Town
0:2
14.03.2023
Northampton Town
-
Mansfield Town
1:0
26.12.2022
Mansfield Town
-
Northampton Town
1:1
Latest results of Mansfield Town
Latest results of Northampton Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln ✔ | 42 | 28 | 9 | 5 | 79:36 | 43 | 93 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 41 | 24 | 9 | 8 | 76:42 | 34 | 81 |
| 3 | Bradford City | 42 | 21 | 8 | 13 | 52:46 | 6 | 71 |
| 4 | Bolton | 42 | 18 | 16 | 8 | 59:44 | 15 | 70 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 40 | 19 | 10 | 11 | 59:50 | 9 | 67 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 41 | 19 | 10 | 12 | 43:38 | 5 | 67 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 42 | 19 | 6 | 17 | 66:58 | 8 | 63 |
| 8 | Huddersfield | 42 | 17 | 11 | 14 | 65:56 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Reading | 43 | 16 | 14 | 13 | 62:55 | 7 | 62 |
| 10 | Luton | 41 | 17 | 10 | 14 | 57:50 | 7 | 61 |
| 11 | Wycombe | 43 | 16 | 12 | 15 | 63:51 | 12 | 60 |
| 12 | Barnsley | 40 | 14 | 12 | 14 | 63:65 | -2 | 54 |
| 13 | Mansfield | 40 | 13 | 14 | 13 | 50:43 | 7 | 53 |
| 14 | Doncaster | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 43:64 | -21 | 53 |
| 15 | Wigan | 42 | 13 | 13 | 16 | 46:56 | -10 | 52 |
| 16 | Peterborough | 41 | 15 | 6 | 20 | 60:58 | 2 | 51 |
| 17 | Burton | 43 | 13 | 12 | 18 | 46:56 | -10 | 51 |
| 18 | Blackpool | 43 | 14 | 9 | 20 | 51:65 | -14 | 51 |
| 19 | Leyton Orient | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 57:66 | -9 | 50 |
| 20 | AFC Wimbledon | 42 | 14 | 8 | 20 | 49:63 | -14 | 50 |
| 21 | Exeter | 43 | 12 | 11 | 20 | 47:55 | -8 | 47 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 41 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 36:62 | -26 | 37 |
| 23 | Northampton | 41 | 9 | 8 | 24 | 34:60 | -26 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 39 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 30:54 | -24 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
Clinched Spots for Teams
Lincoln is Qualified for Championship
