Result
4:1
21/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League One - Round 39
- Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.84 | 0.92 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 42% | 58% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (203/307) | 73% (324/443) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.84 | 0.92 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.37 | 1.35 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 9 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 66% (203/307) | 73% (324/443) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (24/81) | 22% (17/76) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 56% (74/132) | 59% (64/109) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (6/24) | 13% (2/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.52 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 28 | 28 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 65% (11/17) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 62 | 58 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 20 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.35 | 3.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.35 | -0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 5', 1 - 0, Evans W. ⚽,
- 11', Perkins J. 🟨,
- 24', Willis J. 🟨,
- 34', Taylor T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', Guthrie J. ↓, Guinness-Walker N. ↑,
- 46', Evans J. ↓, Edwards K. ↑,
- 46', Willis J. ↓, Dyche M. ↑,
- 46', Hewitt E. ↓, Knoyle K. ↑,
- 46', Blake-Tracy F. ↓, Sweeney R. ↑,
- 48', 2 - 0, Evans W. ⚽, Akins L. (A),
- 58', Oshilaja A. 🟨,
- 62', 3 - 0, Akins L. ⚽,
- 71', Taylor T. ↓, Campbell D. ↑,
- 71', Moore E. ↓, Hoskins S. ↑,
- 73', 3 - 1, McGeehan C. ⚽, McAdam K. (A),
- 77', Vale J. ↓, Swyer K. ↑,
- 78', Oates R. ↓, Irow O. ↑,
- 86', Hendry R. ↓, Lewis A. ↑,
- 86', Russell J. ↓, Moriah-Welsh N. ↑,
- 90+3', 4 - 1, Akins L. ⚽,
- 90+4', Abbott G. ↓, Gardner J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Mansfield Town
59.6% | Draw
23.8% | Northampton Town
16.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mansfield Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mansfield Town's performance.Northampton Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Northampton Town might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mansfield Town than the current prediction. (-6.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mansfield Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (+4.7%)
Mansfield Town - Northampton Town Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.58 ↓
(1.79) |
3.94 ↑
(3.58) |
5.6 ↑
(4.28) |
6.8%
(7.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Mansfield Town - Northampton Town?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Mansfield will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Mansfield (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -1 - Mansfield (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Mansfield (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 15 and 23 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 1.
- Mansfield has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Northampton has suffered multiple defeats recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- Northampton may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Mansfield is considered a favorite.
- There will not play in Mansfield: Bolton L.
(Calf Injury)
Cargill B.
(Hamstring Injury)
Maris G.
(Inactive)
Roberts T.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Northampton: List E.
(Inactive)
Shaw L.
(Knee Injury)
Wormleighton J.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Mansfield: Reed L.
(Inactive)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Mansfield won 7 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 23:17. (average 1.2:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mansfield won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:7. (average 1.7:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Mansfield Town won against Northampton Town?
Mansfield Town has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Mansfield Town?
Northampton Town has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mansfield Town - Northampton Town were as follows:
08.11.2025
Northampton Town
-
Mansfield Town
2:1
07.02.2025
Mansfield Town
-
Northampton Town
0:1
28.09.2024
Northampton Town
-
Mansfield Town
0:2
14.03.2023
Northampton Town
-
Mansfield Town
1:0
26.12.2022
Mansfield Town
-
Northampton Town
1:1
Latest results of Mansfield Town
Latest results of Northampton Town
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 16 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 17 | Doncaster | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 41:59 | -18 | 47 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 36 | 7 | 10 | 19 | 29:49 | -20 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two
