Result
3:1
01/02/2025 at 11:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie B - Round 24
- Referee: Rutella D. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.55 | 1.56 |
Ball Possession |
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28% | 72% |
Goal Attempts |
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8 | 26 |
Shots on Goal |
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6 | 8 |
Shots off Goal |
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2 | 10 |
Blocked Shots |
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0 | 8 |
Big Chances |
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3 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
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1 | 5 |
Shots inside the Box |
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5 | 14 |
Shots outside the Box |
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3 | 12 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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1 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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7 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
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9 | 10 |
Offsides |
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1 | 1 |
Fouls |
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10 | 9 |
Yellow Cards |
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0 | 4 |
Throw-ins |
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10 | 18 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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19 | 27 |
Passes |
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73% (171/235) | 88% (522/590) |
Passes in the final third |
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65% (59/91) | 80% (130/162) |
Crosses |
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29% (2/7) | 8% (2/24) |
Tackles |
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58% (7/12) | 89% (8/9) |
Clearances Total |
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40 | 10 |
Interceptions |
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13 | 7 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 5', Fiori A. 🟨,
- 18', 1 - 0, Caso G. ⚽, Palumbo A. (A),
- 30', 1 - 1, Mancuso L. ⚽, Galuppini F. (A),
- 38', 2 - 1, Palumbo A. ⚽, Defrel G. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 61', Fiori A. ↓, Ruocco F. ↑,
- 61', Radaelli N. 🟨,
- 64', Defrel G. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
- 64', Idrissi R. ↓, Cauz C. ↑,
- 70', Radaelli N. ↓, Maggioni T. ↑,
- 72', Giordano S. 🟨,
- 73', Mancuso L. 🟨,
- 76', Caso G. ↓, Duca E. ↑,
- 80', Mensah D. ↓, Debenedetti A. ↑,
- 80', Galuppini F. ↓, Bragantini D. ↑,
- 80', Burrai S. ↓, Wieser D. ↑,
- 88', Cotali M. ↓, Beyuku G. ↑,
- 88', Di Pardo A. ↓, Zaro G. ↑,
- 90', 3 - 1, Beyuku G. ⚽, Duca E. (A),
Chances of winning
Modena 51.1% | Draw 27.9% | Mantova 21% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2%)Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Modena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Modena - Mantova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.86 ↑ (1.77) |
3.38 ↓ (3.52) |
4.53 ↓ (4.68) |
5.6% (6.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Modena - Mantova?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). Mantova will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 11 - 68.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 46.1% – 91.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Teams from a mid-table will play this time (ranked 12 and 11).
- The game of competitors is shaky now.
- In this match Modena is a favorite.
- There will not play in Mantova: Panizzi E.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Modena: Pergreffi A.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Modena won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3:2 (average 0.6:0.4).
- Including matches at home between the teams Modena won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3:1 (average 1.5:0.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Mantova?
Modena has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Modena?
Mantova has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Modena - Mantova were as follows:
30.11.2024
Mantova
-
Modena
0:0
Latest results of Mantova
Draw
Play OutFinal1 | Salernitana (16) | Sampdoria (17) | 0 : 3, 0 : 2 |