Modena vs Mantova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Stadio Alberto Braglia (Modena).

Serie B - Round 32
Referee: Caputi M. (Ita)
Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
World	Onefootball

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
0.50	0.70
Ball possession
37%	63%
Total shots
9	8
Shots on target
4	2
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
1	4
Passes
71% (233/328)	85% (472/556)
Yellow cards
1	4
Expected goals (xG)
0.50	0.70
xG on target (xGOT)
0.58	0.47
Total shots
9	8
Shots on target
4	2
Shots off target
3	3
Blocked shots
2	3
Shots inside the box
8	5
Shots outside the box
1	3
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
1	1
Corner kicks
1	4
Touches in opposition box
15	23
Accurate through passes
1	1
Offsides
3	1
Free kicks
20	14
Passes
71% (233/328)	85% (472/556)
Long passes
40% (30/75)	40% (23/57)
Passes in final third
46% (36/78)	73% (115/158)
Crosses
30% (3/10)	17% (4/23)
Expected assists (xA)
0.51	1.34
Throw ins
11	21
Fouls
14	20
Tackles
58% (7/12)	60% (3/5)
Duels won
56	40
Clearances
24	18
Interceptions
8	6
Errors leading to shot
0	1
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
2	2
xGOT faced
0.47	0.58
Goals prevented
-0.53	-1.42

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
14', 1 - 0, Sersanti A. ⚽, Gliozzi E. (A),
31', Zampano F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Sersanti A. ↓, Wiafe S. ↑,
46', Marras T. ↓, Caprini M. ↑,
46', Buso N. ↓, Bragantini D. ↑,
59', 2 - 0, Tonoli D. ⚽,
62', Radaelli N. 🟨,
65', Radaelli N. ↓, Maggioni T. ↑,
70', Gliozzi E. ↓, Ambrosino G. ↑,
71', Zampano F. ↓, Beyuku G. ↑,
76', Dembele A. ↓, Mensah D. ↑,
76', Mancuso L. ↓, Falletti C. ↑,
79', Kouda R. 🟨,
81', 2 - 1, Mensah D. ⚽, Kouda R. (A),
87', Zanimacchia L. ↓, Cotali M. ↑,
89', Castellini A. 🟨,
90', De Luca M. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
90+5', Mensah D. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Modena
58.3%

Draw
24%

Mantova
17.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.4%

23%

16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

24%

15.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

Modena - Mantova Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.62 ↑ (1.54)	3.92 ↓ (4.03)	5.15 ↓ (5.62)	6.9% (7.8%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Modena - Mantova?

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 9 - 75%). Mantova will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Modena: 50.5% – 99.5%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.75 - Modena (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Modena (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.

Preview Facts

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modena won 2.
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Mantova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Modena is a strong favorite.
There will not play in Modena: Defrel G. (Inactive) Pyyhtia N. (Inactive)
There will not play in Mantova: Bianay Balcot C. (Injury) Bonfanti N. (Inactive) Ruocco F. (Inactive)
There are questionable in Mantova: Ligue J. (Inactive)
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Modena won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.3:0.6).
Including home matches between the teams, Modena won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).

How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Mantova?

Modena has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Mantova won against Modena?

Mantova has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Modena - Mantova were as follows:

20.09.2025 Mantova - Modena 1:3

01.02.2025 Modena - Mantova 3:1

30.11.2024 Mantova - Modena 0:0

Latest results of Modena

13.03.2026 Modena - Spezia 3:0 ✺

07.03.2026 Modena - Cesena 0:0 ✺

03.03.2026 Virtus Entella - Modena 2:1 ✺

28.02.2026 Modena - Padova 1:2 ✺

22.02.2026 Juve Stabia - Modena 1:2 ✺

Latest results of Mantova

17.03.2026 Mantova - Cesena 3:0 ✺

14.03.2026 Empoli - Mantova 2:2 ✺

08.03.2026 Mantova - Juve Stabia 2:0 ✺

04.03.2026 Palermo - Mantova 2:1 ✺

01.03.2026 Mantova - Carrarese 1:1 ✺

Italian Serie B Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Venezia	33	21	8	4	67:28	39	71
2	Frosinone	34	19	12	3	65:33	32	69
3	Monza	33	19	9	5	51:27	24	66
4	Palermo	34	18	11	5	55:28	27	65
5	Catanzaro	32	14	11	7	50:39	11	53
6	Modena	32	14	8	10	43:28	15	50
7	Juve Stabia	33	10	15	8	39:41	-2	45
8	Cesena	33	12	8	13	42:48	-6	44
9	Carrarese	33	10	12	11	44:43	1	42
10	Sudtirol	33	8	15	10	35:36	-1	39
11	Avellino	33	10	9	14	37:53	-16	39
12	Mantova	33	10	7	16	37:48	-11	37
13	Sampdoria	33	9	10	14	32:43	-11	37
14	Empoli	33	8	12	13	43:48	-5	36
15	Padova	33	8	10	15	32:45	-13	34
16	Entella	33	8	10	15	31:46	-15	34
17	Bari	33	8	10	15	33:51	-18	34
18	Pescara	33	7	11	15	46:59	-13	32
19	Spezia	33	7	9	17	32:49	-17	30
20	Reggiana	33	7	9	17	31:52	-21	30

      Promotion ~ Serie A
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
      Serie B (Play Out: )
      Relegation