Modena vs Mantova – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

21/03/2026 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Chances of winning


Modena
55.5%
Draw
25.2%
Mantova
19.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
60.4% 23% 16.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1% 24% 15.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)
  • Mantova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+7.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Modena, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mantova than the current prediction. (-3.6%)
  • Modena - Mantova Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.68
    (1.54)
    3.72
    (4.03)
    4.78
    (5.62)
    7.2%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 13).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Modena won 2.
    • Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
    • Mantova may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • In this match, Modena is the team to beat.
    • In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Modena won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:4. (average 1.3:0.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Modena won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Modena - Mantova were as follows:
    20.09.2025 Mantova - Modena 1:3
    01.02.2025 Modena - Mantova 3:1
    30.11.2024 Mantova - Modena 0:0
    Latest results of Modena
    17.03.2026 Catanzaro - Modena Postponed
    13.03.2026 Modena - Spezia 3:0
    07.03.2026 Modena - Cesena 0:0
    03.03.2026 Virtus Entella - Modena 2:1
    28.02.2026 Modena - Padova 1:2
    Latest results of Mantova
    17.03.2026 Mantova - Cesena 3:0
    14.03.2026 Empoli - Mantova 2:2
    08.03.2026 Mantova - Juve Stabia 2:0
    04.03.2026 Palermo - Mantova 2:1
    01.03.2026 Mantova - Carrarese 1:1
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Venezia31207463:263767
    2Monza31197549:252464
    3Frosinone311711359:312862
    4Palermo311610551:272458
    5Catanzaro301410648:351352
    6Modena30138940:241647
    7Juve Stabia31915735:37-242
    8Cesena311171338:46-840
    9Avellino311091236:49-1339
    10Sudtirol31814933:32138
    11Carrarese318121138:42-436
    12Padova318101332:42-1034
    13Mantova31971535:46-1134
    14Empoli317121239:45-633
    15Sampdoria317101429:42-1331
    16Bari317101430:47-1731
    17Entella317101428:45-1731
    18Spezia31791530:43-1330
    19Reggiana31791530:46-1630
    20Pescara316111441:54-1329

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation