Result
0:4
18/01/2026 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal 2 - Round 18
- Referee: Rosa D. (Por)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 10 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 20 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 19 | 16 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 3', 0 - 1, Butzke A. ⚽,
- 11', 0 - 2, Carlos Daniel ⚽, Butzke A. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 48', 0 - 3, Bouzaidi S. ⚽, Tejon M. (A),
- 59', 0 - 4, Tejon M. ⚽,
- 60', Tiago Dias ↓, Danny ↑,
- 60', Teixeira M. ↓, Platiny ↑,
- 61', Danny 🟨,
- 63', Cerveira T. ↓, Silva J. ↑,
- 71', Madsen N. 🟨,
- 73', Correia R. ↓, Da Rocha Borges R. ↑,
- 73', Raphael Guzzo ↓, Danilovic V. ↑,
- 74', Freitas A. 🟨,
- 77', Freitas A. ↓, Xavi Grande ↑,
- 78', Joao Vasco ↓, Fabinho ↑,
- 78', Silverio ↓, Martins R. ↑,
- 82', Pereira M. 🟨,
- 84', Carlos Daniel ↓, Tavares M. ↑,
- 84', Butzke A. ↓, Borukov P. ↑,
Chances of winning
Lusitânia
21.5% | Draw
28.2% | Marítimo
50.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Lusitânia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Lusitânia's form might have worsened.Marítimo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Marítimo's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Lusitânia than the current prediction. (+5.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Lusitânia, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Marítimo than the current prediction. (-6.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Marítimo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Lusitânia - Marítimo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.3 ↑
(3.31) |
3.27 ↑
(3.1) |
1.84 ↓
(2.17) |
8.2%
(8.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Lusitânia - Marítimo?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Lusitânia will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Marítimo will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Marítimo (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Portugal).
- Lusitânia is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Marítimo is on a winning streak and currently in very good shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Lusitânia may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Marítimo is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Lusitânia won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
- Including home match between the teams, Lusitânia won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Lusitânia won against Marítimo?
Lusitânia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Marítimo won against Lusitânia?
Marítimo has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Lusitânia - Marítimo were as follows:
10.08.2025
Marítimo
-
Lusitânia
0:1
Latest results of Lusitânia
Latest results of Marítimo
Portuguese Liga 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Maritimo | 23 | 14 | 5 | 4 | 37:16 | 21 | 47 |
| 2 | Academico Viseu | 23 | 12 | 5 | 6 | 41:25 | 16 | 41 |
| 3 | Sporting CP B | 23 | 12 | 2 | 9 | 37:22 | 15 | 38 |
| 4 | Torreense | 23 | 11 | 3 | 9 | 28:24 | 4 | 36 |
| 5 | Lusitania FC | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 32:35 | -3 | 34 |
| 6 | FC Porto B | 23 | 10 | 4 | 9 | 28:31 | -3 | 34 |
| 7 | Leiria | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 33:31 | 2 | 32 |
| 8 | Vizela | 23 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 27:26 | 1 | 32 |
| 9 | Feirense | 23 | 8 | 7 | 8 | 28:27 | 1 | 31 |
| 10 | Benfica B | 23 | 7 | 9 | 7 | 32:30 | 2 | 30 |
| 11 | Chaves | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 25:21 | 4 | 30 |
| 12 | Leixoes | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 26:40 | -14 | 28 |
| 13 | Felgueiras | 23 | 7 | 7 | 9 | 24:30 | -6 | 28 |
| 14 | Penafiel | 23 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 20:22 | -2 | 27 |
| 15 | Oliveirense | 23 | 6 | 7 | 10 | 26:33 | -7 | 25 |
| 16 | Portimonense | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 25:34 | -9 | 24 |
| 17 | SC Farense | 23 | 6 | 6 | 11 | 20:30 | -10 | 24 |
| 18 | Pacos Ferreira | 22 | 5 | 8 | 9 | 20:32 | -12 | 23 |
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal
Promotion ~ Liga Portugal (Promotion: )
Liga Portugal 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga 3
