Bastia vs Martigues – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
07/03/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: Ligue 2 - Round 26
  • Referee: Letexier F. (Fra)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
franceFrancebeIN Connect, beIN Sports MAX 8, Free

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.920.60
Ball Possession
55%45%
Goal Attempts
186
Shots on Goal
83
Shots off Goal
62
Blocked Shots
41
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
71
Shots inside the Box
135
Shots outside the Box
51
Hit the Woodwork
00
Goalkeeper Saves
37
Free Kicks
1015
Offsides
52
Fouls
1510
Yellow Cards
32
Throw-ins
2817
Touches in the Opposition Box
248
Passes
79% (317/402)71% (233/330)
Passes in the final third
68% (88/130)57% (52/92)
Crosses
32% (7/22)18% (2/11)
Tackles
63% (10/16)74% (17/23)
Clearances Total
2127
Interceptions
1613

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 45+3', 1 - 0, Ducrocq T. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Guevara J. , Guidi D. ,
  • 61', Robin M. , Siby M. ,
  • 62', Montiel R. , Moussiti-Oko B. ,
  • 63', Anzimati-Aboudou A. 🟨,
  • 64', Akueson G. 🟨,
  • 66', Ble M. , Cisse L. ,
  • 74', Inao Oulai C. 🟨,
  • 75', Belloumou S. , Zouaoui I. ,
  • 75', Ipiele A. , Shamal S. ,
  • 76', Inao Oulai C. , Vincent C. ,
  • 76', Sebas J. , Aiki A. ,
  • 82', Janneh J. 🟨,
  • 84', Kembolo F. 🟨,
  • 85', Saintini N. , Djaha A. ,
  • 87', Boutrah A. , Ariss Z. ,

Chances of winning


Bastia
67.8%
Draw
21.4%
Martigues
10.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
64.3% 23.4% 12.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

66.5% 22.6% 11.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Bastia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.5%)
  • Martigues has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Bastia than the current prediction. (-1.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Martigues than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Bastia - Martigues Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.44)
    4.43
    (3.96)
    8.78
    (7.53)
    5.8%
    (8.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Bastia - Martigues?
  • Users Predictions: 9 users predict this event. Bastia will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). Martigues will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Bastia: 50.6%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 9 and 17 in the zone Relegation ~ National).
    • The game of competitors is shaky now.
    • In this match Bastia is the unquestionable favorite.
    • There will not play in Bastia: Maggiotti J. (Injury) Mazikou S. (Injury) Tomi F. (Injury) Vincent C. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Martigues: Diawara A. (Injury) Orinel O. (Injury) Saintini N. (Injury) Solvet S. (Yellow Cards)
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Bastia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:0
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Bastia - Martigues were as follows:
    30.08.2024 Martigues - Bastia 0:1
    Latest results of Bastia
    28.02.2025 Troyes - Bastia 2:0
    21.02.2025 Bastia - Red Star 1:0
    14.02.2025 Clermont - Bastia 1:1
    07.02.2025 Rodez - Bastia 0:2
    31.01.2025 Bastia - Metz 1:1
    Latest results of Martigues
    28.02.2025 Laval - Martigues 0:1
    21.02.2025 Martigues - Annecy 2:0
    14.02.2025 Red Star - Martigues 1:0
    07.02.2025 Martigues - Troyes 1:2
    31.01.2025 Dunkerque - Martigues 0:1
    French Ligue 2 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Troyes29177551:302158
    2St Etienne29166751:302154
    3Le Mans291411445:291653
    4Reims301212643:281548
    5Red Star29139732:27548
    6Rodez291112636:34245
    7Montpellier301281035:27844
    8Annecy301271136:34243
    9Pau FC301191041:48-742
    10Dunkerque291010944:35940
    11Guingamp3010101039:42-340
    12Boulogne29981230:38-835
    13Grenoble306141029:36-732
    14Clermont30791434:41-730
    15Nancy30791427:43-1630
    16Laval304131326:43-1725
    17Amiens30661834:52-1824
    18Bastia293121416:32-1621

          Promotion ~ Ligue 1
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
          Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Ligue 2 (Relegation)
          Relegation ~ National