Result
 
                    1:0
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        20/02/2025 at  07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  KENYA: Premier League - Round 22
                    
                    
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
								 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 90', 1 - 0, Kinyanjui P. ⚽, 
  
                 
				 				 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Mathare United 13.5%
 | Draw 23.5%
 | Police FC 62.9%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Mathare United - Police FC Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 6.75 ↑ (4.66)
 | 3.87 ↑ (3.27)
 | 1.45 ↓ (1.73)
 | 9.7% (9.9%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Mathare United - Police FC?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                    
                    Users Predictions: 
                    
                    
                    
                    Police FC will win 
                    (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
Confidence interval (95%): 64.58% – 100%.                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                              - Mathare United is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0). 
- Police is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3). 
- In this match Police is a favorite.
 
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Mathare United won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 1:10 (average 0.2:2). 
- Including matches at home between the teams Mathare United won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:7 (average 0.5:3.5).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Mathare United won against Police FC?
                    
                    
                        
                            Mathare United has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Police FC won against Mathare United?
                    
                    
                        
                             Police FC has won 3 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Mathare United - Police FC were as follows:
                                                        
                                23.10.2024 
                                Police FC 
                                - 
                                Mathare United 
                                2:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                14.05.2023 
                                Police FC 
                                - 
                                Mathare United 
                                1:0
                            
        
                                                        
                                01.02.2023 
                                Mathare United 
                                - 
                                Police FC 
                                0:5
                            
        
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Mathare United                    
                    
                    
                 
                                
                                
                    
                        Latest results of Police FC                    
                    
                 
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 6 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 9:5 | 4 | 13 | 
| 2 | Gor Mahia | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 8:1 | 7 | 12 | 
| 3 | Posta Rangers | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 10:10 | 0 | 11 | 
| 4 | Bidco United | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 10 | 
| 5 | Leopards | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7:5 | 2 | 9 | 
| 6 | Tusker | 6 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 8 | 
| 7 | Shabana | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 8:8 | 0 | 7 | 
| 8 | Mathare Utd | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 7 | 
| 9 | Nairobi United | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 | 
| 10 | KCB | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 | 
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4:4 | 0 | 6 | 
| 12 | Bandari | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 5 | 
| 13 | Sofapaka | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:7 | -2 | 5 | 
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 5 | 
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 6 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4:7 | -3 | 5 | 
| 16 | Police FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 4 | 
| 17 | Muranga | 6 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6:9 | -3 | 4 | 
| 18 | APS Bomet | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 3 | 
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