Mathare United vs Police FC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Kenyan Premier League Mathare United - Police FC
Result
1:0
20/02/2025 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • KENYA: Premier League - Round 22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 90', 1 - 0, Kinyanjui P. ,

Chances of winning


Mathare United
13.5%
Draw
23.5%
Police FC
62.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
19.5% 27.8% 52.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.4% 27.6% 53.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mathare United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Mathare United's form might have worsened.
  • Police FC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Police FC's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Mathare United, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Police FC than the current prediction. (-9.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Police FC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • Mathare United - Police FC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.75
    (4.66)
    3.87
    (3.27)
    1.45
    (1.73)
    9.7%
    (9.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Mathare United - Police FC?
  • Users Predictions: Police FC will win (7 of 8 users predict this - 87.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 64.58%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Mathare United is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Police is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • In this match Police is a favorite.
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Mathare United won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 1:10 (average 0.2:2).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Mathare United won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1:7 (average 0.5:3.5).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mathare United - Police FC were as follows:
    23.10.2024 Police FC - Mathare United 2:0
    14.05.2023 Police FC - Mathare United 1:0
    01.02.2023 Mathare United - Police FC 0:5
    Latest results of Mathare United
    Latest results of Police FC
    15.02.2025 Police FC - Bidco United 2:0
    08.02.2025 Tusker - Police FC 0:0
    02.02.2025 Police FC - Sofapaka 1:1
    27.01.2025 Mara Sugar - Police FC 0:1
    22.01.2025 Police FC - Bandari 3:0
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1Posta RangersNaivas FC0 : 1, 2 : 0