Result
14/04/2026 at 08:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 26
Chances of winning
Mathare United
25.3% | Draw
32.2% | Police FC
42.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Mathare United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)Police FC has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mathare United than the current prediction. (-0.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Police FC than the current prediction. (+2%)
Mathare United - Police FC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.57 ↓
(3.64) |
2.81 ↓
(2.89) |
2.13 ↑
(2.12) |
10.5%
(9.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Mathare United won 1.
- Mathare United has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Police is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Police might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Mathare United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 2:11. (average 0.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Mathare United won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.7:2.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Mathare United won against Police FC?
Mathare United has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Police FC won against Mathare United?
Police FC has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mathare United - Police FC were as follows:
22.11.2025
Police FC
-
Mathare United
1:0
20.02.2025
Mathare United
-
Police FC
1:0
23.10.2024
Police FC
-
Mathare United
2:0
14.05.2023
Police FC
-
Mathare United
1:0
01.02.2023
Mathare United
-
Police FC
0:5
Latest results of Mathare United
Latest results of Police FC
Kenyan Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Gor Mahia | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 44:18 | 26 | 57 |
| 2 | Leopards | 27 | 16 | 7 | 4 | 36:18 | 18 | 55 |
| 3 | Kakamega Homeboyz | 27 | 12 | 10 | 5 | 42:28 | 14 | 46 |
| 4 | Police FC | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 23:17 | 6 | 43 |
| 5 | Shabana | 27 | 12 | 7 | 8 | 31:30 | 1 | 43 |
| 6 | KCB | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 27:27 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Nairobi United | 27 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 34:27 | 7 | 39 |
| 8 | Muranga | 27 | 10 | 8 | 9 | 33:30 | 3 | 38 |
| 9 | Bandari | 27 | 8 | 14 | 5 | 21:18 | 3 | 38 |
| 10 | Tusker | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 23:26 | -3 | 37 |
| 11 | Mara Sugar | 27 | 7 | 13 | 7 | 25:25 | 0 | 34 |
| 12 | Posta Rangers | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 23:32 | -9 | 31 |
| 13 | Mathare Utd | 26 | 8 | 6 | 12 | 22:27 | -5 | 30 |
| 14 | Kariobangi Sharks | 27 | 5 | 11 | 11 | 18:29 | -11 | 26 |
| 15 | Ulinzi Stars | 27 | 6 | 7 | 14 | 24:31 | -7 | 25 |
| 16 | APS Bomet | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 25:33 | -8 | 25 |
| 17 | Bidco United | 27 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 16:30 | -14 | 22 |
| 18 | Sofapaka | 27 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 15:36 | -21 | 16 |
Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: )
Relegation ~ Super League
