Result
1:1
20/02/2026 at 03:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League Women - Round 18
- Referee: Ryan M. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Australia | Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Hong-kong | HOY TV |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 6 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 5, TNT Sports 8, TNT Sports Extra |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.48 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (287/403) | 65% (190/291) |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.18 | 1.48 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.09 | 1.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 21 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (287/403) | 65% (190/291) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (28/79) | 36% (20/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 53% (46/86) | 56% (75/133) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 20% (5/25) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.04 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 41 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 80% (8/10) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 53 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.09 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.01 | 0.09 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 52', 1 - 0, Pollicina R. (Penalty Awarded),
- 59', Pijnenburg E. ↓, Anthony M. ↑,
- 81', Sakalis S. ↓, Jancevski A. ↑,
- 82', Leon L. ↓, Benson Z. ↑,
- 82', Pickett L. ↓, Curtis R. ↑,
- 87', 1 - 1, Woods M. ⚽, Vlok P. (A),
- 89', Vlok P. ↓, Brazendale D. ↑,
- 90+1', Furphy H. ↓, O'Grady E. ↑,
Chances of winning
Melbourne Victory
37.2% | Draw
26.2% | Wellington Phoenix
36.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Melbourne Victory has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)Wellington Phoenix has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (-1.4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.46 ↓
(2.55) |
3.49 ↓
(3.52) |
2.5 ↑
(2.33) |
9.4%
(10.5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH 0 - Melbourne Victory (1.85) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DNB - Melbourne Victory (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Melbourne Victory (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Melbourne Victory (votes: 3 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 7 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 1.
- Melbourne Victory has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Wellington is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Melbourne Victory won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 14:10. (average 1.8:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Melbourne Victory won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:4. (average 2.3:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Melbourne Victory won against Wellington Phoenix?
Melbourne Victory has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Wellington Phoenix won against Melbourne Victory?
Wellington Phoenix has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix were as follows:
22.11.2025
Wellington Phoenix
-
Melbourne Victory
1:0
07.02.2025
Wellington Phoenix
-
Melbourne Victory
1:1
13.12.2024
Melbourne Victory
-
Wellington Phoenix
1:1
02.03.2024
Melbourne Victory
-
Wellington Phoenix
5:3
09.12.2023
Wellington Phoenix
-
Melbourne Victory
2:2
Latest results of Melbourne Victory
Latest results of Wellington Phoenix
Australian A-League Women Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Melbourne City W | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 29:17 | 12 | 30 |
| 2 | Canberra W | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 25:17 | 8 | 27 |
| 3 | Adelaide W | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19:17 | 2 | 26 |
| 4 | Wellington Phoenix W | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 29:13 | 16 | 25 |
| 5 | Perth W | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 17:22 | -5 | 23 |
| 6 | Melbourne Victory W | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 24:22 | 2 | 22 |
| 7 | Central Coast Mariners W | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 25:25 | 0 | 22 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar W | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 26:31 | -5 | 22 |
| 9 | Newcastle W | 16 | 5 | 2 | 9 | 21:28 | -7 | 17 |
| 10 | WS Wanderers W | 17 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 16:31 | -15 | 16 |
| 11 | Sydney W | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 14:22 | -8 | 15 |
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League Women (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
