Wellington Phoenix vs Melbourne Victory – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Australian A-League Women Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory
Result
1:1
07/02/2025 at 22:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • AUSTRALIA: A-League Women - Round 15
  • Referee: Jones K. (Aus)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
australiaAustralia10 Play, Paramount+
hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDiscovery+ UK, TNT Sports 1
usaUsaESPN 3, ESPN App

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.730.78
Ball Possession
53%47%
Goal Attempts
179
Shots on Goal
85
Shots off Goal
53
Blocked Shots
41
Big Chances
03
Corner Kicks
26
Shots inside the Box
77
Shots outside the Box
102
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
10
Goalkeeper Saves
47
Free Kicks
1110
Offsides
04
Fouls
1011
Yellow Cards
10
Throw-ins
3219
Touches in the Opposition Box
2218
Passes
76% (301/398)72% (251/350)
Passes in the final third
65% (101/156)40% (33/82)
Crosses
29% (4/14)33% (4/12)
Tackles
76% (16/21)79% (19/24)
Clearances Total
2232
Interceptions
109

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 2', 1 - 0, McCutcheon M. , Longo A. (A),
  • 24', Fergusson O. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 60', D'Appolonia S. , Flannery N. ,
  • 60', Jancevski A. , Furphy H. ,
  • 61', 1 - 1, Flannery N. ,
  • 74', Whinham A. , Main E. ,
  • 74', Fergusson O. , Jerez E. ,
  • 87', Jaber T. , Abbott A. ,

Chances of winning


Wellington Phoenix
35.8%
Draw
26.1%
Melbourne Victory
38%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29.3% 26.3% 44.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.4% 25.5% 45.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Wellington Phoenix has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Wellington Phoenix's performance.
  • Melbourne Victory has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Melbourne Victory might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Wellington Phoenix than the current prediction. (-7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Wellington Phoenix that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Melbourne Victory than the current prediction. (+7.8%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Melbourne Victory could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.56
    (3.14)
    3.51
    (3.49)
    2.41
    (2.07)
    9%
    (8.9%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory were as follows:
    13.12.2024 Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix 1:1
    02.03.2024 Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix 5:3
    09.12.2023 Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory 2:2
    31.03.2023 Wellington Phoenix - Melbourne Victory 2:2
    04.12.2022 Melbourne Victory - Wellington Phoenix 1:0
    Latest results of Melbourne Victory
    Draw
    Play Offs

    Quarter-finals
    1Melbourne Victory W (2)Bye
    2Adelaide W (3)Western United W (6)1 : 0
    3Melbourne City W (1)Bye
    4Central Coast Mariners W (4)Canberra W (5)2 : 1

    Semi-finals
    1Melbourne Victory W (2)Adelaide W (3)3 : 1, 3 : 1
    2Melbourne City W (1)Central Coast Mariners W (4)0 : 1, 2 : 2

    Final
    1Melbourne Victory W (2)Central Coast Mariners W (4)1 : 2