Result
04/03/2026 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Tercera RFEF - Group 11 - Round 20
Chances of winning
Collerense
29.7% | Draw
28.7% | Mercadal
41.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Collerense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)Mercadal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Collerense than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Mercadal than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Collerense - Mercadal Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.07 ↓
(3.35) |
3.17 ↓
(3.25) |
2.19 ↑
(2.04) |
10%
(9.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Collerense won 2.
- Collerense is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Mercadal's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Mercadal might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Collerense won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:12. (average 1.3:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Collerense won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:3. (average 1.3:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Collerense won against Mercadal?
Collerense has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mercadal won against Collerense?
Mercadal has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Collerense - Mercadal were as follows:
21.09.2025
Mercadal
-
Collerense
2:0
12.04.2025
Collerense
-
Mercadal
3:1
30.11.2024
Mercadal
-
Collerense
2:2
17.02.2024
Mercadal
-
Collerense
3:3
30.09.2023
Collerense
-
Mercadal
1:0
Latest results of Collerense
Latest results of Mercadal
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 11 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Mallorca B | 24 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 67:14 | 53 | 60 |
| 2 | Manacor | 24 | 19 | 3 | 2 | 52:24 | 28 | 60 |
| 3 | Pena Deportiva | 23 | 15 | 5 | 3 | 46:18 | 28 | 50 |
| 4 | Llosetense | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 40:29 | 11 | 42 |
| 5 | Constancia | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 31:21 | 10 | 37 |
| 6 | Mercadal | 21 | 10 | 3 | 8 | 21:19 | 2 | 33 |
| 7 | Inter Ibiza | 23 | 10 | 3 | 10 | 28:30 | -2 | 33 |
| 8 | Cardassar | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 26:38 | -12 | 33 |
| 9 | Binissalem | 24 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 16:23 | -7 | 29 |
| 10 | Santanyi | 24 | 8 | 5 | 11 | 31:44 | -13 | 29 |
| 11 | Alcudia | 24 | 9 | 2 | 13 | 24:41 | -17 | 29 |
| 12 | Formentera | 23 | 6 | 10 | 7 | 20:20 | 0 | 28 |
| 13 | Platges de Calvia | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 28:29 | -1 | 28 |
| 14 | Son Cladera | 23 | 7 | 4 | 12 | 25:34 | -9 | 25 |
| 15 | Portmany | 23 | 7 | 3 | 13 | 18:31 | -13 | 24 |
| 16 | Felanitx | 24 | 4 | 8 | 12 | 19:33 | -14 | 20 |
| 17 | Rotlet Molinar | 23 | 3 | 5 | 15 | 21:43 | -22 | 14 |
| 18 | Collerense | 23 | 1 | 8 | 14 | 25:47 | -22 | 11 |
Promotion
Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 11 (Play Offs: )
Relegation
