Indy Eleven vs Miami – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship Indy Eleven - Miami
Result
3:2
23/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Referee: Rodriguez C. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN App, ESPN+, FanDuel Sports Network Sun
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.321.74
Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
1119
Shots on target
63
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
66
Passes
71% (189/268)78% (290/371)
Yellow Cards
24
Expected Goals (xG)
1.321.74
xG on target (xGOT)
1.771.28
Total shots
1119
Shots on target
63
Shots off target
412
Blocked Shots
14
Shots inside the Box
711
Shots outside the Box
48
Hit the Woodwork
12
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
12
Corner Kicks
66
Touches in opposition box
1724
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
33
Free Kicks
1516
Passes
71% (189/268)78% (290/371)
Long passes
43% (26/61)44% (24/55)
Passes in final third
59% (59/100)61% (67/110)
Crosses
14% (4/28)45% (10/22)
Expected assists (xA)
0.500.75
Throw-ins
1517
Fouls
1715
Tackles
68% (13/19)58% (7/12)
Duels won
5559
Clearances
2728
Interceptions
44
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
13
xGOT faced
1.281.77
Goals prevented
-0.72-1.23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 1)
  • 12', Blanco S. , Gavilanes A. ,
  • 21', 0 - 1, Bonfiglio F. , Vazquez C. (A),
  • 28', Murphy J. 🟨,
  • 35', Ofeimu B. 🟨,
  • 39', Romero M. 🟨,
  • 45+1', 1 - 1, Blake J. (Pen),
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 46', Murphy J. , Lindley C. ,
  • 51', 2 - 1, Hogan P. , Lindley C. (A),
  • 64', Cardona N. , Veron D. ,
  • 69', 3 - 1, Blake J. , Foster M. (A),
  • 71', Melano L. , Hoyos K. ,
  • 71', Ricketts J. , Mitrano A. ,
  • 72', Bonfiglio F. 🟨,
  • 77', Knutson D. 🟨,
  • 79', Foster M. , Collier E. ,
  • 87', Kizza E. , Soumaoro B. ,
  • 90+1', 3 - 2, Hoyos K. ,
  • 90+6', Campisi N. 🟨,

Highlights

Official Live

Chances of winning


Indy Eleven
51.7%
Draw
25%
Miami
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
57.4% 22.9% 19.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.1% 22.2% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Indy Eleven's form might have worsened.
  • Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+7.4%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Indy Eleven, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
  • Indy Eleven - Miami Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.79
    (1.62)
    3.7
    (4.05)
    3.96
    (4.72)
    8.2%
    (7.6%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
  • Preview Facts
    • A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 9 and 10)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indy won 5.
    • Both teams are currently in poor form.
    • Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Indy is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Indy won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.3:1.2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Indy won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Indy Eleven - Miami were as follows:
    16.04.2025 Indy Eleven - Miami 1:0
    15.03.2025 Miami - Indy Eleven 1:3
    28.09.2024 Indy Eleven - Miami 4:0
    12.05.2024 Miami - Indy Eleven 1:3
    02.09.2023 Indy Eleven - Miami 1:0
    Latest results of Indy Eleven
    Latest results of Miami
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City21146142:172548
    2Charleston20142441:212044
    3North Carolina20103731:27433
    4Loudoun2094731:29231
    5Pittsburgh2177720:19128
    6Detroit2177724:24028
    7Hartford Athletic2075829:23626
    8Indy Eleven2065932:37-523
    9Rhode Island21561015:23-821
    10Miami FC21551121:34-1320
    11Birmingham2148924:33-920
    12Tampa Bay20531222:31-918


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa21126337:231442
    2Sacramento Republic2087529:171231
    3El Paso2087533:27631
    4San Antonio2085725:26-129
    5Phoenix Rising2177735:37-228
    6Lexington2177723:27-428
    7Orange County SC1983828:25327
    8New Mexico1983826:28-227
    9Colorado Springs2066825:29-424
    10Monterey Bay22661023:29-624
    11Oakland Roots20631124:32-821
    12Las Vegas Lights21551117:39-2220

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