Result
3:2
23/08/2025 at 19:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Referee: Rodriguez C. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Chile | Disney+ |
 Colombia | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 Uruguay | Disney+ |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+, FanDuel Sports Network Sun |
 Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.74 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 43% | 57% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (189/268) | 78% (290/371) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.32 | 1.74 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.77 | 1.28 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 11 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 12 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (189/268) | 78% (290/371) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (26/61) | 44% (24/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 59% (59/100) | 61% (67/110) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 14% (4/28) | 45% (10/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.50 | 0.75 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 15 | 17 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 68% (13/19) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 55 | 59 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 27 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.28 | 1.77 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.72 | -1.23 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', Blanco S. ↓, Gavilanes A. ↑,
- 21', 0 - 1, Bonfiglio F. ⚽, Vazquez C. (A),
- 28', Murphy J. 🟨,
- 35', Ofeimu B. 🟨,
- 39', Romero M. 🟨,
- 45+1', 1 - 1, Blake J. (Pen),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Murphy J. ↓, Lindley C. ↑,
- 51', 2 - 1, Hogan P. ⚽, Lindley C. (A),
- 64', Cardona N. ↓, Veron D. ↑,
- 69', 3 - 1, Blake J. ⚽, Foster M. (A),
- 71', Melano L. ↓, Hoyos K. ↑,
- 71', Ricketts J. ↓, Mitrano A. ↑,
- 72', Bonfiglio F. 🟨,
- 77', Knutson D. 🟨,
- 79', Foster M. ↓, Collier E. ↑,
- 87', Kizza E. ↓, Soumaoro B. ↑,
- 90+1', 3 - 2, Hoyos K. ⚽,
- 90+6', Campisi N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Indy Eleven
51.7% | Draw
25% | Miami
23.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Indy Eleven has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Indy Eleven's form might have worsened.Miami has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Indy Eleven than the current prediction. (+7.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Indy Eleven, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Miami than the current prediction. (-4.2%)
Indy Eleven - Miami Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.79 ↑
(1.62) |
3.7 ↓
(4.05) |
3.96 ↓
(4.72) |
8.2%
(7.6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 9 and 10)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Indy won 5.
- Both teams are currently in poor form.
- Miami may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Indy is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 15 head-to-head matches, Indy won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 20:18. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Indy won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 8:7. (average 1.1:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Indy Eleven won against Miami?
Indy Eleven has won 6 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Miami won against Indy Eleven?
Miami has won 0 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Indy Eleven - Miami were as follows:
16.04.2025
Indy Eleven
-
Miami
1:0
15.03.2025
Miami
-
Indy Eleven
1:3
28.09.2024
Indy Eleven
-
Miami
4:0
12.05.2024
Miami
-
Indy Eleven
1:3
02.09.2023
Indy Eleven
-
Miami
1:0
Latest results of Indy Eleven
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Louisville City ✔ | 30 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 56:19 | 37 | 73 |
| 2 | Charleston ✔ | 30 | 19 | 5 | 6 | 62:32 | 30 | 62 |
| 3 | North Carolina ✔ | 30 | 13 | 6 | 11 | 40:39 | 1 | 45 |
| 4 | Hartford Athletic ✔ | 30 | 13 | 5 | 12 | 48:36 | 12 | 44 |
| 5 | Pittsburgh ✔ | 30 | 12 | 8 | 10 | 32:28 | 4 | 44 |
| 6 | Loudoun ✔ | 30 | 12 | 6 | 12 | 45:48 | -3 | 42 |
| 7 | Rhode Island | 30 | 10 | 8 | 12 | 29:29 | 0 | 38 |
| 8 | Detroit | 30 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 33:35 | -2 | 37 |
| 9 | Indy Eleven | 30 | 10 | 5 | 15 | 44:52 | -8 | 35 |
| 10 | Tampa Bay | 30 | 9 | 7 | 14 | 43:50 | -7 | 34 |
| 11 | Miami FC | 30 | 8 | 6 | 16 | 29:44 | -15 | 30 |
| 12 | Birmingham | 30 | 5 | 12 | 13 | 36:50 | -14 | 27 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Tulsa ✔ | 30 | 16 | 9 | 5 | 50:30 | 20 | 57 |
| 2 | New Mexico ✔ | 30 | 14 | 6 | 10 | 45:41 | 4 | 48 |
| 3 | Sacramento Republic ✔ | 30 | 13 | 9 | 8 | 44:27 | 17 | 48 |
| 4 | El Paso | 30 | 10 | 11 | 9 | 47:45 | 2 | 41 |
| 5 | San Antonio | 30 | 11 | 7 | 12 | 39:38 | 1 | 40 |
| 6 | Phoenix Rising | 30 | 9 | 13 | 8 | 48:48 | 0 | 40 |
| 7 | Orange County SC | 30 | 10 | 9 | 11 | 44:45 | -1 | 39 |
| 8 | Colorado Springs | 30 | 10 | 7 | 13 | 35:47 | -12 | 37 |
| 9 | Lexington | 30 | 9 | 9 | 12 | 31:42 | -11 | 36 |
| 10 | Oakland Roots | 30 | 8 | 8 | 14 | 42:52 | -10 | 32 |
| 11 | Monterey Bay | 30 | 7 | 8 | 15 | 27:45 | -18 | 29 |
| 12 | Las Vegas Lights | 30 | 6 | 9 | 15 | 23:50 | -27 | 27 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Hartford Athletic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Pittsburgh is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Loudoun is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
