Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Championship - Round 9
  • Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
usaUsaParamount+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.480.78
Ball Possession
38%62%
Total shots
812
Shots on target
11
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
28
Passes
79% (270/343)84% (465/555)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
0.480.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.080.29
Total shots
812
Shots on target
11
Shots off target
25
Blocked Shots
56
Shots inside the Box
47
Shots outside the Box
45
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
28
Touches in opposition box
1620
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
613
Passes
79% (270/343)84% (465/555)
Long passes
39% (26/66)29% (16/56)
Passes in final third
55% (47/86)72% (118/164)
Crosses
50% (7/14)31% (8/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.320.74
Throw-ins
1021
Fouls
136
Tackles
64% (9/14)71% (12/17)
Duels won
3546
Clearances
4017
Interceptions
117
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
10
xGOT faced
0.290.08
Goals prevented
0.29-0.92

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 23', 1 - 0, Yang Min-Hyuk , Williams J. (A),
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 58', Swift J. , Kosznovszky M. ,
  • 59', Hansen S. , Strelec D. ,
  • 64', Chaplin C. , Segecic A. ,
  • 64', Williams J. , Devlin T. ,
  • 68', Brittain C. 🟨,
  • 69', Ayling L. , Browne A. ,
  • 70', Sene M. K. , Nypan S. ,
  • 74', Pack M. 🟨,
  • 78', Yang Min-Hyuk , Blair H. ,
  • 83', Bursik J. 🟨,
  • 84', Targett M. , Burgzorg D. ,
  • 84', Hackney H. , Whittaker M. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Portsmouth
31.7%
Draw
28.1%
Middlesbrough
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
32.3% 26.5% 41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5% 25.8% 42.3%

Portsmouth - Middlesbrough Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.01
(2.92)
3.37
(3.55)
2.36
(2.29)
5.4%
(6.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Portsmouth - Middlesbrough?
  • Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 38.6%83.6%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Middlesbrough will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
    • Portsmouth has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Middlesbrough is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Middlesbrough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
    • There will not play in Portsmouth: Lang C. (Hamstring Injury) Schmid N. (Wrist Injury) Shaughnessy C. (Hamstring Injury) Waddingham T. (Thigh Injury)
    • There will not play in Middlesbrough: Dieng S. (Injury) Lenihan D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) McGree R. (Muscle Injury)
    • There are questionable in Portsmouth: Murphy J. (Ankle Injury) Umeh F. (Injury)
    • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Portsmouth won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Portsmouth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Portsmouth - Middlesbrough were as follows:
    18.01.2025 Portsmouth - Middlesbrough 2:1
    24.08.2024 Middlesbrough - Portsmouth 2:2
    Latest results of Portsmouth
    Latest results of Middlesbrough
    English League Championship Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Coventry19134250:212943
    2Middlesbrough19106328:20836
    3Millwall19104523:25-234
    4Ipswich1987433:191431
    5Preston1987426:20631
    6Stoke1993726:18830
    7Bristol City1985626:21529
    8Birmingham1984728:23528
    9Hull1984731:34-328
    10QPR1984725:29-428
    11Southampton1976631:26527
    12Wrexham1969424:21327
    13Watford1976627:25227
    14Leicester1976625:24127
    15Derby1975726:28-226
    16West Brom1974821:25-425
    17Charlton1865718:23-523
    18Sheffield Utd19711124:28-422
    19Blackburn1863918:23-521
    20Swansea1955920:27-720
    21Oxford Utd1946920:27-718
    22Portsmouth1845915:25-1017
    23Norwich19341221:32-1113
    24Sheffield Wed18151214:36-22-10

          Promotion ~ Premier League
          Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ League One