Result
0:1
11/04/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 42
- Referee: Kirk T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Denmark | Viaplay |
 Norway | TV2 Play, Viaplay |
 Sweden | Viaplay |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.51 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 72% | 28% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (490/572) | 67% (152/227) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.29 | 0.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 20 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 7 | 0 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 15 | 2 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 4 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 86% (490/572) | 67% (152/227) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (25/57) | 36% (16/44) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (146/191) | 60% (46/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (8/32) | 27% (3/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.28 | 0.35 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 22 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 6 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 79% (11/14) | 64% (9/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 15 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 0 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.91 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.09 | 0.82 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 26', Williams J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Targett M. ↓, Ayling L. ↑,
- 46', Sarmiento J. ↓, Hansen S. ↑,
- 63', Strelec D. ↓, Sene M. K. ↑,
- 65', Caballero G. ↓, Segecic A. ↑,
- 72', Anderson K. 🟨,
- 75', Anderson K. ↓, Alli M. ↑,
- 76', Williams J. ↓, Bowat I. ↑,
- 84', McGree R. ↓, Gilbert A. ↑,
- 85', Dia M. ↓, Shaughnessy C. ↑,
- 89', Bishop C. 🟨,
- 90+2', Conway T. ↓, Ibeh C. ↑,
- 90+3', Fry D. 🟨,
- 90+7', 0 - 1, Chaplin C. ⚽, Segecic A. (A),
- 90+9', Pack M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Middlesbrough
64.8% | Draw
21.5% | Portsmouth
13.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Middlesbrough has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Middlesbrough's performance.Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (-20.5%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Middlesbrough that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (+10.3%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Portsmouth could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Middlesbrough - Portsmouth Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.47 ↓
(1.6) |
4.4 ↑
(4) |
6.89 ↑
(5.12) |
5.3%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Middlesbrough - Portsmouth?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Middlesbrough will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). Portsmouth will win (votes: 1 - 7.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 15.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 54% – 99.8%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Middlesbrough (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 21).
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- In this match, Middlesbrough is the undeniable favorite.
- There will not play in Middlesbrough: Castledine L.
(Inactive)
Hackney H.
(Calf Injury)
Jones A.
(Ankle Injury)
Lenihan D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
Silvera S.
(Foot Injury)
Whittaker M.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Portsmouth: Adams E.
(Inactive)
Alese A.
(Muscle Injury)
Bianchini F.
(Knee Injury)
Knight J.
(Back Injury)
Kosznovszky M.
(Knee Injury)
Murphy J.
(Foot Injury)
Ogilvie C.
(Red Card)
Umeh F.
(Hamstring Injury)
Waddingham T.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in Middlesbrough: Bangura A.
(Injury)
Targett M.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Portsmouth: Swanson Z.
(Inactive)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Middlesbrough won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 6:6. (average 1.5:1.5).
- Including home match between the teams, Middlesbrough won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:2.
How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Portsmouth?
Middlesbrough has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Portsmouth won against Middlesbrough?
Portsmouth has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Middlesbrough - Portsmouth were as follows:
04.10.2025
Portsmouth
-
Middlesbrough
1:0
18.01.2025
Portsmouth
-
Middlesbrough
2:1
24.08.2024
Middlesbrough
-
Portsmouth
2:2
Latest results of Middlesbrough
Latest results of Portsmouth
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 42 | 25 | 10 | 7 | 84:42 | 42 | 85 |
| 2 | Ipswich | 40 | 21 | 12 | 7 | 71:40 | 31 | 75 |
| 3 | Millwall | 42 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 56:47 | 9 | 73 |
| 4 | Middlesbrough | 42 | 20 | 12 | 10 | 62:42 | 20 | 72 |
| 5 | Southampton | 41 | 19 | 12 | 10 | 70:50 | 20 | 69 |
| 6 | Hull | 42 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 64:60 | 4 | 68 |
| 7 | Wrexham | 42 | 17 | 13 | 12 | 63:60 | 3 | 64 |
| 8 | Derby | 42 | 18 | 9 | 15 | 61:53 | 8 | 63 |
| 9 | Norwich | 42 | 17 | 7 | 18 | 55:50 | 5 | 58 |
| 10 | Bristol City | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 52:51 | 1 | 58 |
| 11 | QPR | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 58:63 | -5 | 58 |
| 12 | Watford | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 52:51 | 1 | 57 |
| 13 | Preston | 42 | 14 | 15 | 13 | 50:53 | -3 | 57 |
| 14 | Swansea | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 50:54 | -4 | 57 |
| 15 | Birmingham | 42 | 15 | 11 | 16 | 51:52 | -1 | 56 |
| 16 | Stoke | 42 | 15 | 10 | 17 | 49:46 | 3 | 55 |
| 17 | Sheffield Utd | 42 | 16 | 6 | 20 | 59:59 | 0 | 54 |
| 18 | Charlton | 42 | 12 | 13 | 17 | 39:51 | -12 | 49 |
| 19 | Blackburn | 42 | 12 | 12 | 18 | 38:50 | -12 | 48 |
| 20 | West Brom | 42 | 11 | 13 | 18 | 42:56 | -14 | 46 |
| 21 | Portsmouth | 41 | 11 | 12 | 18 | 41:57 | -16 | 45 |
| 22 | Oxford Utd | 42 | 10 | 14 | 18 | 41:54 | -13 | 44 |
| 23 | Leicester | 42 | 11 | 14 | 17 | 54:64 | -10 | 41 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed ✔ | 42 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 25:82 | -57 | -4 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
Clinched Spots for Teams
Sheffield Wed is Relegated to League One
