Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Fratton Park (Portsmouth).

Championship - Round 9
Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.48	0.78
Ball Possession
38%	62%
Total shots
8	12
Shots on target
1	1
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
2	8
Passes
79% (270/343)	84% (465/555)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.48	0.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.08	0.29
Total shots
8	12
Shots on target
1	1
Shots off target
2	5
Blocked Shots
5	6
Shots inside the Box
4	7
Shots outside the Box
4	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
2	8
Touches in opposition box
16	20
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
6	13
Passes
79% (270/343)	84% (465/555)
Long passes
39% (26/66)	29% (16/56)
Passes in final third
55% (47/86)	72% (118/164)
Crosses
50% (7/14)	31% (8/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.32	0.74
Throw-ins
10	21
Fouls
13	6
Tackles
64% (9/14)	71% (12/17)
Duels won
35	46
Clearances
40	17
Interceptions
11	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	0
xGOT faced
0.29	0.08
Goals prevented
0.29	-0.92

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Yang Min-Hyuk ⚽, Williams J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Swift J. ↓, Kosznovszky M. ↑,
59', Hansen S. ↓, Strelec D. ↑,
64', Chaplin C. ↓, Segecic A. ↑,
64', Williams J. ↓, Devlin T. ↑,
68', Brittain C. 🟨,
69', Ayling L. ↓, Browne A. ↑,
70', Sene M. K. ↓, Nypan S. ↑,
74', Pack M. 🟨,
78', Yang Min-Hyuk ↓, Blair H. ↑,
83', Bursik J. 🟨,
84', Targett M. ↓, Burgzorg D. ↑,
84', Hackney H. ↓, Whittaker M. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Portsmouth
31.7%

Draw
28.1%

Middlesbrough
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

26.5%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

25.8%

42.3%

Portsmouth - Middlesbrough Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.92)	3.37 ↓ (3.55)	2.36 ↑ (2.29)	5.4% (6.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Portsmouth - Middlesbrough?

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DNB - Portsmouth (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Middlesbrough (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Middlesbrough will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Portsmouth (votes: 1 - 20%). Middlesbrough (votes: 4 - 80%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
Portsmouth has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Middlesbrough is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Middlesbrough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Portsmouth: Lang C. (Hamstring Injury) Schmid N. (Wrist Injury) Shaughnessy C. (Hamstring Injury) Waddingham T. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Middlesbrough: Dieng S. (Injury) Lenihan D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) McGree R. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Portsmouth: Murphy J. (Ankle Injury) Umeh F. (Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Portsmouth won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Portsmouth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Portsmouth won against Middlesbrough?

Portsmouth has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Portsmouth?

Middlesbrough has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Portsmouth - Middlesbrough were as follows:

18.01.2025 Portsmouth - Middlesbrough 2:1

24.08.2024 Middlesbrough - Portsmouth 2:2

Latest results of Portsmouth

01.10.2025 Portsmouth - Watford 2:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Ipswich Town - Portsmouth 2:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Portsmouth - Sheffield Wednesday 0:2 ✺

14.09.2025 Southampton - Portsmouth 0:0 ✺

30.08.2025 Portsmouth - Preston North End 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Middlesbrough

30.09.2025 Middlesbrough - Stoke City 0:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Southampton - Middlesbrough 1:1 ✺

19.09.2025 Middlesbrough - West Bromwich Albion 2:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Preston North End - Middlesbrough 2:2 ✺

30.08.2025 Middlesbrough - Sheffield United 1:0 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Middlesbrough	31	18	7	6	49:30	19	61
2	Coventry	31	17	8	6	63:35	28	59
3	Ipswich	30	15	9	6	51:29	22	54
4	Hull	31	16	6	9	50:43	7	54
5	Millwall	31	15	8	8	39:36	3	53
6	Wrexham	31	12	11	8	44:39	5	47
7	Preston	31	12	11	8	38:34	4	47
8	Bristol City	31	13	7	11	43:38	5	46
9	Southampton	32	12	10	10	48:44	4	46
10	Birmingham	32	12	10	10	43:39	4	46
11	Derby	31	12	9	10	45:39	6	45
12	Watford	31	11	11	9	39:36	3	44
13	QPR	31	12	8	11	42:43	-1	44
14	Stoke	31	12	7	12	34:28	6	43
15	Swansea	31	12	6	13	38:37	1	42
16	Norwich	32	11	6	15	42:42	0	39
17	Sheffield Utd	31	12	3	16	44:45	-1	39
18	Charlton	30	9	9	12	29:38	-9	36
19	West Brom	32	9	7	16	32:47	-15	34
20	Portsmouth	29	8	9	12	27:38	-11	33
21	Leicester	32	10	8	14	44:51	-7	32
22	Blackburn	31	8	8	15	27:40	-13	32
23	Oxford Utd	32	6	10	16	28:44	-16	28
24	Sheffield Wed	31	1	8	22	18:62	-44	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One