Result
1:0
04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Championship - Round 9
- Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | Paramount+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.78 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 38% | 62% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (270/343) | 84% (465/555) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.48 | 0.78 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.08 | 0.29 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 20 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (270/343) | 84% (465/555) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (26/66) | 29% (16/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 55% (47/86) | 72% (118/164) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 50% (7/14) | 31% (8/26) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 0.74 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 71% (12/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 35 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 40 | 17 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.29 | 0.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.29 | -0.92 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 23', 1 - 0, Yang Min-Hyuk ⚽, Williams J. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 58', Swift J. ↓, Kosznovszky M. ↑,
- 59', Hansen S. ↓, Strelec D. ↑,
- 64', Chaplin C. ↓, Segecic A. ↑,
- 64', Williams J. ↓, Devlin T. ↑,
- 68', Brittain C. 🟨,
- 69', Ayling L. ↓, Browne A. ↑,
- 70', Sene M. K. ↓, Nypan S. ↑,
- 74', Pack M. 🟨,
- 78', Yang Min-Hyuk ↓, Blair H. ↑,
- 83', Bursik J. 🟨,
- 84', Targett M. ↓, Burgzorg D. ↑,
- 84', Hackney H. ↓, Whittaker M. ↑,
Chances of winning
Portsmouth
31.7% | Draw
28.1% | Middlesbrough
40.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Portsmouth has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Middlesbrough has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Portsmouth than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Middlesbrough than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Portsmouth - Middlesbrough Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.01 ↑
(2.92) |
3.37 ↓
(3.55) |
2.36 ↑
(2.29) |
5.4%
(6.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Portsmouth - Middlesbrough?
Users Predictions:
18 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 38.6% – 83.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Middlesbrough will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
- Portsmouth has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Middlesbrough is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Middlesbrough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Portsmouth: Lang C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Schmid N.
(Wrist Injury)
Shaughnessy C.
(Hamstring Injury)
Waddingham T.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in Middlesbrough: Dieng S.
(Injury)
Lenihan D.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
McGree R.
(Muscle Injury)
- There are questionable in Portsmouth: Murphy J.
(Ankle Injury)
Umeh F.
(Injury)
- In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Portsmouth won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Portsmouth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Portsmouth won against Middlesbrough?
Portsmouth has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Portsmouth?
Middlesbrough has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Portsmouth - Middlesbrough were as follows:
18.01.2025
Portsmouth
-
Middlesbrough
2:1
24.08.2024
Middlesbrough
-
Portsmouth
2:2
Latest results of Portsmouth
Latest results of Middlesbrough
English League Championship Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Coventry | 11 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 31:8 | 23 | 25 |
| 2 | Middlesbrough | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 15:7 | 8 | 24 |
| 3 | Millwall | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 13:13 | 0 | 20 |
| 4 | Bristol City | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 19:11 | 8 | 19 |
| 5 | Charlton | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 13:9 | 4 | 18 |
| 6 | Stoke | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 12:8 | 4 | 18 |
| 7 | Hull | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 19:19 | 0 | 18 |
| 8 | QPR | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 15:16 | -1 | 18 |
| 9 | Leicester | 11 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 15:11 | 4 | 17 |
| 10 | West Brom | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 12:13 | -1 | 17 |
| 11 | Preston | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 12:10 | 2 | 16 |
| 12 | Watford | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 13:13 | 0 | 15 |
| 13 | Birmingham | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 15 |
| 14 | Ipswich | 10 | 3 | 4 | 3 | 16:13 | 3 | 13 |
| 15 | Wrexham | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 15:16 | -1 | 13 |
| 16 | Swansea | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:11 | -1 | 13 |
| 17 | Portsmouth | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:12 | -2 | 13 |
| 18 | Southampton | 11 | 2 | 6 | 3 | 12:15 | -3 | 12 |
| 19 | Derby | 11 | 2 | 5 | 4 | 12:16 | -4 | 11 |
| 20 | Oxford Utd | 11 | 2 | 3 | 6 | 11:14 | -3 | 9 |
| 21 | Sheffield Utd | 11 | 3 | 0 | 8 | 7:17 | -10 | 9 |
| 22 | Norwich | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 11:16 | -5 | 8 |
| 23 | Blackburn | 10 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 8:16 | -8 | 7 |
| 24 | Sheffield Wed | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9:23 | -14 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ League One
