Portsmouth vs Middlesbrough – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

04/10/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Fratton Park (Portsmouth).

Championship - Round 9
Referee: Backhouse A. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
0.48	0.78
Ball Possession
38%	62%
Total shots
8	12
Shots on target
1	1
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
2	8
Passes
79% (270/343)	84% (465/555)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
0.48	0.78
xG on target (xGOT)
0.08	0.29
Total shots
8	12
Shots on target
1	1
Shots off target
2	5
Blocked Shots
5	6
Shots inside the Box
4	7
Shots outside the Box
4	5
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
0	0
Corner Kicks
2	8
Touches in opposition box
16	20
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
6	13
Passes
79% (270/343)	84% (465/555)
Long passes
39% (26/66)	29% (16/56)
Passes in final third
55% (47/86)	72% (118/164)
Crosses
50% (7/14)	31% (8/26)
Expected assists (xA)
0.32	0.74
Throw-ins
10	21
Fouls
13	6
Tackles
64% (9/14)	71% (12/17)
Duels won
35	46
Clearances
40	17
Interceptions
11	7
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	0
xGOT faced
0.29	0.08
Goals prevented
0.29	-0.92

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
23', 1 - 0, Yang Min-Hyuk ⚽, Williams J. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Swift J. ↓, Kosznovszky M. ↑,
59', Hansen S. ↓, Strelec D. ↑,
64', Chaplin C. ↓, Segecic A. ↑,
64', Williams J. ↓, Devlin T. ↑,
68', Brittain C. 🟨,
69', Ayling L. ↓, Browne A. ↑,
70', Sene M. K. ↓, Nypan S. ↑,
74', Pack M. 🟨,
78', Yang Min-Hyuk ↓, Blair H. ↑,
83', Bursik J. 🟨,
84', Targett M. ↓, Burgzorg D. ↑,
84', Hackney H. ↓, Whittaker M. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Portsmouth
31.7%

Draw
28.1%

Middlesbrough
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32.3%

26.5%

41.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.5%

25.8%

42.3%

Portsmouth - Middlesbrough Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.01 ↑ (2.92)	3.37 ↓ (3.55)	2.36 ↑ (2.29)	5.4% (6.2%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Portsmouth - Middlesbrough?

Users Predictions: 18 users predict this event. Portsmouth will win (votes: 5 - 27.8%). Middlesbrough will win (votes: 11 - 61.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 11.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Middlesbrough: 38.6% – 83.6%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

DNB - Portsmouth (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Middlesbrough (1.42) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Middlesbrough will win (3 of 3 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Portsmouth (votes: 1 - 20%). Middlesbrough (votes: 4 - 80%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 17 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League).
Portsmouth has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Middlesbrough is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Middlesbrough may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
There will not play in Portsmouth: Lang C. (Hamstring Injury) Schmid N. (Wrist Injury) Shaughnessy C. (Hamstring Injury) Waddingham T. (Thigh Injury)
There will not play in Middlesbrough: Dieng S. (Injury) Lenihan D. (Achilles Tendon Injury) McGree R. (Muscle Injury)
There are questionable in Portsmouth: Murphy J. (Ankle Injury) Umeh F. (Injury)
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Portsmouth won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).
Including home matches between the teams, Portsmouth won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

How many head-to-head matches has Portsmouth won against Middlesbrough?

Portsmouth has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Middlesbrough won against Portsmouth?

Middlesbrough has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Portsmouth - Middlesbrough were as follows:

18.01.2025 Portsmouth - Middlesbrough 2:1

24.08.2024 Middlesbrough - Portsmouth 2:2

Latest results of Portsmouth

01.10.2025 Portsmouth - Watford 2:2 ✺

27.09.2025 Ipswich Town - Portsmouth 2:1 ✺

20.09.2025 Portsmouth - Sheffield Wednesday 0:2 ✺

14.09.2025 Southampton - Portsmouth 0:0 ✺

30.08.2025 Portsmouth - Preston North End 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Middlesbrough

30.09.2025 Middlesbrough - Stoke City 0:0 ✺

27.09.2025 Southampton - Middlesbrough 1:1 ✺

19.09.2025 Middlesbrough - West Bromwich Albion 2:1 ✺

13.09.2025 Preston North End - Middlesbrough 2:2 ✺

30.08.2025 Middlesbrough - Sheffield United 1:0 ✺

English League Championship Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Coventry	28	17	7	4	61:31	30	58
2	Middlesbrough	28	15	7	6	42:29	13	52
3	Ipswich	27	14	8	5	47:24	23	50
4	Hull	27	14	5	8	45:39	6	47
5	Millwall	28	13	7	8	32:35	-3	46
6	Preston	28	11	10	7	36:29	7	43
7	Watford	27	11	9	7	38:32	6	42
8	Stoke	28	12	5	11	33:25	8	41
9	Wrexham	28	10	11	7	40:35	5	41
10	Derby	28	11	8	9	38:36	2	41
11	Bristol City	28	11	7	10	38:31	7	40
12	QPR	28	11	7	10	38:39	-1	40
13	Birmingham	28	10	8	10	38:37	1	38
14	Leicester	28	10	8	10	39:41	-2	38
15	Southampton	28	9	9	10	40:40	0	36
16	Swansea	28	10	6	12	31:35	-4	36
17	Sheffield Utd	27	10	2	15	36:40	-4	32
18	Charlton	27	8	8	11	27:34	-7	32
19	West Brom	28	9	4	15	31:43	-12	31
20	Norwich	28	8	6	14	35:40	-5	30
21	Portsmouth	26	7	8	11	23:36	-13	29
22	Blackburn	27	7	7	13	25:36	-11	28
23	Oxford Utd	27	5	9	13	25:35	-10	24
24	Sheffield Wed	27	1	8	18	18:54	-36	-7

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      Promotion ~ Championship (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ League One