Result
2:1
07/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Clausura - Round 14
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.20 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 55% | 45% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (316/395) | 78% (258/332) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.20 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.82 | 0.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 8 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (316/395) | 78% (258/332) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (21/42) | 60% (40/67) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (116/166) | 48% (27/56) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 26% (7/27) | 11% (1/9) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.68 | 0.46 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 16 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 77% (10/13) | 59% (10/17) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 9 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.82 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.10 | -1.18 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 45+2', Castro L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 48', 0 - 1, Lucumi J. ⚽, Barrios C. (A),
- 51', Hurtado J. 🟨,
- 60', Hurtado J. ↓, Victoria Palacios D. S. ↑,
- 60', Diaz Samuel M. ↓, Palacios H. ↑,
- 66', Bertel O. ↓, Candelo Y. ↑,
- 66', Borrero D. ↓, Roa A. ↑,
- 66', Lucumi J. ↓, Palacios T. ↑,
- 74', Castro Espinosa B. D. ↓, Bruno Savio ↑,
- 74', Arevalo Chaparro J. N. ↓, Mosquera E. ↑,
- 75', 1 - 1, Victoria Palacios D. S. ⚽, Banguero D. (A),
- 76', Ramos L. ↓, Ramos A. ↑,
- 81', Barrios C. ↓, Murillo J. ↑,
- 81', Palacios T. 🟨,
- 90', 2 - 1, Castro L. (Pen),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4zm6m8ee
Chances of winning
Millonarios
42% | Draw
30.8% | América de Cali
27.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)América de Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (-0.5%)
Millonarios - América de Cali Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.21 ↑
(2.16) |
3.02 ↓
(3.25) |
3.39 ↓
(3.59) |
8%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Millonarios - América de Cali?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Millonarios will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). América de Cali will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millonarios: 28.1% – 78.5%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Millonarios (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - América de Cali (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Millonarios (votes: 1 - 50%). América de Cali (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 16 and 14)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 1.
- Millonarios has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- América de Cali is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Millonarios may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Millonarios might have a minor edge in this game.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Millonarios won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against América de Cali?
Millonarios has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has América de Cali won against Millonarios?
América de Cali has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millonarios - América de Cali were as follows:
16.04.2025
América de Cali
-
Millonarios
0:0
19.01.2025
Millonarios
-
América de Cali
1:1
11.10.2024
América de Cali
-
Millonarios
2:1
07.02.2024
Millonarios
-
América de Cali
1:0
03.12.2023
América de Cali
-
Millonarios
1:0
Latest results of Millonarios
Latest results of América de Cali
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional ✔ | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 30:11 | 19 | 34 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 28 |
| 3 | Deportes Tolima | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 24:13 | 11 | 27 |
| 4 | Once Caldas | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 26:19 | 7 | 25 |
| 5 | Junior | 15 | 8 | 1 | 6 | 21:20 | 1 | 25 |
| 6 | America De Cali | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 19:12 | 7 | 24 |
| 7 | Dep. Cali | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 17:13 | 4 | 22 |
| 8 | Aguilas | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 22 |
| 9 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 15 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 18:20 | -2 | 22 |
| 10 | Millonarios | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 25:17 | 8 | 21 |
| 11 | Llaneros | 15 | 4 | 8 | 3 | 16:14 | 2 | 20 |
| 12 | Bucaramanga | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 19 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 18:19 | -1 | 19 |
| 14 | Ind. Medellin | 14 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 19:19 | 0 | 17 |
| 15 | Fortaleza | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5 | 17:23 | -6 | 16 |
| 16 | Cucuta | 16 | 3 | 6 | 7 | 21:27 | -6 | 15 |
| 17 | Alianza | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 15 |
| 18 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 14:28 | -14 | 14 |
| 19 | Chico | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 11:21 | -10 | 11 |
| 20 | Pereira | 15 | 0 | 6 | 9 | 14:29 | -15 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Atl. Nacional is Qualified for Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs )
