Millonarios vs América de Cali – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

07/10/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Estadio El Campín (Bogotá).

Primera A - Clausura - Round 14
Where to Watch on TV:


Colombia	Win+ Futbol, Win play
Mexico	Fanatiz
South-america	RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional
Usa	Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.50	0.20
Ball Possession
55%	45%
Total shots
18	4
Shots on target
2	2
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	3
Passes
80% (316/395)	78% (258/332)
Yellow Cards
2	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50	0.20
xG on target (xGOT)
0.82	0.90
Total shots
18	4
Shots on target
2	2
Shots off target
9	0
Blocked Shots
7	2
Shots inside the Box
6	3
Shots outside the Box
12	1
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
1	0
Corner Kicks
6	3
Touches in opposition box
24	8
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	1
Free Kicks
11	8
Passes
80% (316/395)	78% (258/332)
Long passes
50% (21/42)	60% (40/67)
Passes in final third
70% (116/166)	48% (27/56)
Crosses
26% (7/27)	11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
0.68	0.46
Throw-ins
16	19
Fouls
8	11
Tackles
77% (10/13)	59% (10/17)
Duels won
36	36
Clearances
9	22
Interceptions
7	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	0
xGOT faced
0.90	0.82
Goals prevented
-0.10	-1.18

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+2', Castro L. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Lucumi J. ⚽, Barrios C. (A),
51', Hurtado J. 🟨,
60', Hurtado J. ↓, Victoria Palacios D. S. ↑,
60', Diaz Samuel M. ↓, Palacios H. ↑,
66', Bertel O. ↓, Candelo Y. ↑,
66', Borrero D. ↓, Roa A. ↑,
66', Lucumi J. ↓, Palacios T. ↑,
74', Castro Espinosa B. D. ↓, Bruno Savio ↑,
74', Arevalo Chaparro J. N. ↓, Mosquera E. ↑,
75', 1 - 1, Victoria Palacios D. S. ⚽, Banguero D. (A),
76', Ramos L. ↓, Ramos A. ↑,
81', Barrios C. ↓, Murillo J. ↑,
81', Palacios T. 🟨,
90', 2 - 1, Castro L. (Pen),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/4zm6m8ee

Chances of winning

Millonarios
42%

Draw
30.8%

América de Cali
27.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

29.3%

26.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.9%

29.2%

26.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Millonarios has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

América de Cali has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for América de Cali than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Millonarios - América de Cali Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.21 ↑ (2.16)	3.02 ↓ (3.25)	3.39 ↓ (3.59)	8% (5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Millonarios - América de Cali?

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Millonarios will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). América de Cali will win (votes: 1 - 6.7%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 40%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millonarios: 28.1% – 78.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Millonarios (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

A great opportunity to watch a clash of neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 16 and 14)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 1.
Millonarios has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
América de Cali is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Millonarios may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Millonarios might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 8 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:23. (average 1.3:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Millonarios won 5 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 15:11. (average 1.5:1.1).

How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against América de Cali?

Millonarios has won 4 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has América de Cali won against Millonarios?

América de Cali has won 3 of their last 10 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Millonarios - América de Cali were as follows:

16.04.2025 América de Cali - Millonarios 0:0

19.01.2025 Millonarios - América de Cali 1:1

11.10.2024 América de Cali - Millonarios 2:1

07.02.2024 Millonarios - América de Cali 1:0

03.12.2023 América de Cali - Millonarios 1:0

Latest results of Millonarios

27.09.2025 Atlético Nacional - Millonarios 2:0 ✺

21.09.2025 Millonarios - Fortaleza CEIF 3:2 ✺

16.09.2025 Millonarios - Envigado 0:0 ✺

13.09.2025 Alianza Valledupar - Millonarios 3:0 ✺

10.09.2025 Millonarios - Deportivo Pasto 1:0 ✺

Latest results of América de Cali

02.10.2025 Junior Barranquilla - América de Cali 1:2 ✺

28.09.2025 América de Cali - Envigado 1:1 ✺

24.09.2025 Deportivo Pasto - América de Cali 0:2 ✺

19.09.2025 América de Cali - Once Caldas 2:1 ✺

16.09.2025 América de Cali - Atlético Bucaramanga 0:0 ✺

Colombian Primera A Table

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Junior	16	9	4	3	30:19	11	31
2	Bucaramanga	15	9	3	3	26:12	14	30
3	Ind. Medellin	15	9	3	3	33:21	12	30
4	Atl. Nacional	16	7	7	2	27:19	8	28
5	Fortaleza	16	7	7	2	21:16	5	28
6	Llaneros	16	7	4	5	16:14	2	25
7	Deportes Tolima	15	7	2	6	18:14	4	23
8	Santa Fe	15	5	6	4	16:14	2	21
9	Aguilas	16	5	6	5	21:22	-1	21
10	America De Cali	16	5	5	6	16:15	1	20
11	Alianza	16	5	5	6	19:21	-2	20
12	Dep. Cali	16	5	5	6	20:23	-3	20
13	Once Caldas	16	5	4	7	18:23	-5	19
14	Pereira	16	4	6	6	17:19	-2	18
15	U. Magdalena	16	5	3	8	20:26	-6	18
16	Millonarios	15	5	2	8	18:23	-5	17
17	Envigado	16	3	7	6	14:18	-4	16
18	Dep. Pasto	16	2	7	7	19:25	-6	13
19	Chico	16	2	7	7	11:23	-12	13
20	La Equidad	15	2	5	8	9:22	-13	11

Promotion ~ Primera A (Clausura ~ Quadrangular: )