Result
2:0
09/03/2026 at 19:20 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Primera A - Apertura - Round 10
- Referee: Delgado L. (Col)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Colombia | Win+ Futbol, Win play |
 Mexico | Fanatiz |
 South-america | RCN Nuestra Tele Internacional |
 Usa | Fanatiz, Fubo Latino 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.24 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 52% | 48% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (292/357) | 77% (258/334) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.74 | 0.24 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.31 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 4 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 0 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 1 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 5 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (292/357) | 77% (258/334) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (24/48) | 45% (32/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (65/104) | 55% (45/82) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (6/18) | 10% (1/10) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.78 | 0.30 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 23 | 18 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (6/8) | 73% (8/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 31 | 31 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 30 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.31 | 0.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.31 | -1.33 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Calcaterra D. 🟨,
- 32', Londono K. 🟨,
- 40', Hernandez L. 🟨,
- 41', Valencia S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Cordoba B. ↓, Duarte Barajas E. M. ↑,
- 46', Arizalas E. ↓, Orozco S. ↑,
- 49', Mejia V. 🟨,
- 56', 1 - 0, Contreras R. ⚽, Urena R. (A),
- 57', Contreras R. 🟨,
- 63', Londono K. ↓, Peralta J. ↑,
- 64', Montano B. ↓, Albornoz O. ↑,
- 69', Berdugo L. ↓, Cano A. ↑,
- 72', Valencia S. ↓, Banguero D. ↑,
- 72', Urena R. ↓, Vega S. ↑,
- 74', Orozco S. 🟨,
- 77', Contreras R. ↓, Castro Espinosa B. D. ↑,
- 82', Castro L. ↓, Angulo J. ↑,
- 83', Silva D. ↓, Quintero D. ↑,
- 85', 2 - 0, Castro Espinosa B. D. ⚽, Quintero D. (A),
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/4pvtrepd
Chances of winning
Millonarios
72.1% | Draw
18.1% | Cúcuta Deportivo
9.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Millonarios has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.4%)Cúcuta Deportivo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Millonarios than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cúcuta Deportivo than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Millonarios - Cúcuta Deportivo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.31 ↓
(1.36) |
5.07 ↑
(4.46) |
9.49 ↑
(9) |
6.8%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Millonarios - Cúcuta Deportivo?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Millonarios will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Millonarios: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Millonarios (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.5 - Cúcuta (1.70) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Millonarios (votes: 1 - 50%). Cúcuta (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 12 and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 2.
- Millonarios is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Cúcuta is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Cúcuta may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Millonarios is the obvious favorite.
- We predict that Millonarios will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Millonarios won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:9. (average 1.3:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Millonarios won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:1. (average 1.6:0.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Millonarios won against Cúcuta Deportivo?
Millonarios has won 1 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Cúcuta Deportivo won against Millonarios?
Cúcuta Deportivo has won 0 of their last 2 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Millonarios - Cúcuta Deportivo were as follows:
05.11.2023
Cúcuta Deportivo
-
Millonarios
1:1
02.11.2023
Millonarios
-
Cúcuta Deportivo
1:0
Latest results of Millonarios
Latest results of Cúcuta Deportivo
Colombian Primera A Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Atl. Nacional | 12 | 9 | 0 | 3 | 26:9 | 17 | 27 |
| 2 | Dep. Pasto | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 18:14 | 4 | 24 |
| 3 | Once Caldas | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 24:17 | 7 | 23 |
| 4 | Inter Bogotu00e1 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 2 | 17:18 | -1 | 21 |
| 5 | Millonarios | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 23:14 | 9 | 20 |
| 6 | America De Cali | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 16:8 | 8 | 20 |
| 7 | Deportes Tolima | 12 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 15:9 | 6 | 20 |
| 8 | Bucaramanga | 11 | 4 | 7 | 0 | 16:6 | 10 | 19 |
| 9 | Junior | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 17:18 | -1 | 19 |
| 10 | Dep. Cali | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 14:12 | 2 | 16 |
| 11 | Aguilas | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 16 |
| 12 | Llaneros | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:13 | 1 | 15 |
| 13 | Santa Fe | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 14:15 | -1 | 15 |
| 14 | Fortaleza | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 13:18 | -5 | 14 |
| 15 | Ind. Medellin | 12 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 16:17 | -1 | 13 |
| 16 | Jaguares de Cordoba | 13 | 3 | 2 | 8 | 11:23 | -12 | 11 |
| 17 | Alianza | 12 | 2 | 5 | 5 | 7:19 | -12 | 11 |
| 18 | Chico | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10:20 | -10 | 8 |
| 19 | Cucuta | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 16:25 | -9 | 7 |
| 20 | Pereira | 11 | 0 | 5 | 6 | 10:22 | -12 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Primera A (Apertura ~ Play Offs: )
