Result
1:1
18/03/2026 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 8', 1 - 0, Allahverdiyev I. ⚽,
- 34', 1 - 1, Kalunga K. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Chances of winning
Baku Sporting
30.8% | Draw
31.9% | Mingachevir
37.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Baku Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Baku Sporting's form might have worsened.Mingachevir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baku Sporting than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mingachevir than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Baku Sporting - Mingachevir Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.96 ↑
(2.48) |
2.86 ↓
(3.05) |
2.45 ↓
(2.62) |
9.6%
(11.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- Sporting is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Mingachevir has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Sporting won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:8. (average 0.8:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Sporting won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Baku Sporting won against Mingachevir?
Baku Sporting has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Mingachevir won against Baku Sporting?
Mingachevir has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Baku Sporting - Mingachevir were as follows:
05.03.2026
Baku Sporting
-
Mingachevir
0:1
26.11.2025
Mingachevir
-
Baku Sporting
1:2
24.04.2025
Mingachevir
-
Baku Sporting
4:0
20.02.2025
Baku Sporting
-
Mingachevir
0:1
08.11.2024
Mingachevir
-
Baku Sporting
1:2
Latest results of Baku Sporting
Latest results of Mingachevir
Azerbaijan First Division Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Safa Baku | 19 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 43:13 | 30 | 45 |
| 2 | Baku Sporting | 19 | 10 | 7 | 2 | 29:16 | 13 | 37 |
| 3 | Sabail | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 26:15 | 11 | 34 |
| 4 | Mingachevir | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 30:17 | 13 | 33 |
| 5 | Sahdag Qusar | 19 | 7 | 4 | 8 | 27:26 | 1 | 25 |
| 6 | MOIK Baku | 19 | 6 | 5 | 8 | 22:27 | -5 | 23 |
| 7 | Zaqatala | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 20:24 | -4 | 22 |
| 8 | Cebrayil | 19 | 5 | 2 | 12 | 30:38 | -8 | 17 |
| 9 | Difai Agsu | 19 | 3 | 4 | 12 | 25:45 | -20 | 13 |
| 10 | Shimal | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 18:49 | -31 | 12 |
Promotion ~ Premier League
I Liqa (Relegation)
Relegation
