Mingachevir vs Baku Sporting – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:2
26/11/2025 at 05:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • I Liqa - Round 9

Match Stats

Red Cards
10

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Muradov K. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 75', Jafarli R. 🟥,
  • 78', 1 - 1, Allahverdiyev I. ,
  • 84', 1 - 2, Mammadli K. ,

Chances of winning


Mingachevir
57.2%
Draw
24.2%
Baku Sporting
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.6% 27.6% 23.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.3% 27.8% 23.9%

Mingachevir - Baku Sporting Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.66
(1.87)
3.91
(3.3)
5.1
(3.82)
5.5%
(10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
  • The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League and 4)
  • Both teams have been playing unpredictably.
  • Mingachevir is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
  • In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Mingachevir won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:2. (average 2:0.7).
  • Including home matches between the teams, Mingachevir won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 5:2. (average 2.5:1).
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Mingachevir - Baku Sporting were as follows:
24.04.2025 Mingachevir - Baku Sporting 4:0
20.02.2025 Baku Sporting - Mingachevir 0:1
08.11.2024 Mingachevir - Baku Sporting 1:2
Latest results of Mingachevir
20.11.2025 MOIK Baku - Mingachevir 0:3
05.11.2025 Mingachevir - Şəfa 2:3
29.10.2025 Gabala - Mingachevir 5:1
23.10.2025 Zagatala - Mingachevir 2:3
16.10.2025 Mingachevir - Shimal 3:1
Latest results of Baku Sporting
21.11.2025 Baku Sporting - Səbail 0:0
05.11.2025 Baku Sporting - Cəbrayıl 2:0
28.10.2025 Göygöl - Baku Sporting 0:2
22.10.2025 MOIK Baku - Baku Sporting 0:0
17.10.2025 Baku Sporting - Şəfa 1:2
Azerbaijan First Division Table
2025/26
PlWDLDiffPts
1Safa Baku1073024:81624
2Sabail1063113:5821
3Mingachevir1061319:11819
4Baku Sporting1054117:10719
5Zaqatala1052313:11217
6Cebrayil1040618:16212
7MOIK Baku1032511:14-311
8Sahdag Qusar1031612:17-510
9Difai Agsu1012711:21-105
10Shimal100286:31-252

      Promotion ~ Premier League
      I Liqa (Relegation)
      Relegation