Mingachevir vs Baku Sporting – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Azerbaijan First Division Mingachevir - Baku Sporting
Result
4:0
24/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • I Liqa - Round 23

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 0)
  • 5', 1 - 0, Farmanov T. ,
  • 25', 2 - 0, Aliyev N. ,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', 3 - 0, Aliyev N. ,
  • 66', 4 - 0, Abba U. ,

Chances of winning


Mingachevir
53.2%
Draw
24.8%
Baku Sporting
22%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
28.7% 28.4% 42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.9% 27.6% 44.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Mingachevir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+24.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Mingachevir's performance.
  • Baku Sporting has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-20.9%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Baku Sporting might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mingachevir than the current prediction. (-25.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Mingachevir that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Baku Sporting than the current prediction. (+22.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Baku Sporting could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Mingachevir - Baku Sporting Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.71
    (3.17)
    3.66
    (3.2)
    4.12
    (2.12)
    10.3%
    (10%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Mingachevir - Baku Sporting?
  • Users Predictions: Mingachevir will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Mingachevir will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Recent matches Mingachevir is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Sporting is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Sporting will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 2 head-to-head matches Mingachevir won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:2 (average 1:1).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Mingachevir won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Mingachevir - Baku Sporting were as follows:
    20.02.2025 Baku Sporting - Mingachevir 0:1
    08.11.2024 Mingachevir - Baku Sporting 1:2
    Latest results of Mingachevir
    17.04.2025 Cəbrayıl - Mingachevir 2:0
    03.04.2025 Mingachevir - Zagatala 2:2
    28.03.2025 Gabala - Mingachevir 2:0
    14.03.2025 Mingachevir - MOIK Baku 1:0
    Latest results of Baku Sporting
    10.04.2025 Zagatala - Baku Sporting 6:1
    04.04.2025 Baku Sporting - Gabala 0:5
    27.03.2025 Karvan - Baku Sporting 1:1
    12.03.2025 Baku Sporting - İmişli 2:2
    Draw
    Relegation

    Final
    1Difai AgsuHypers Guba3 : 1