Result
2:1 penalties
15/08/2025 at 20:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS Next Pro
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Next Pro |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.21 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (169/211) | 83% (227/272) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.21 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.37 | 1.50 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 4 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 13 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 24 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (169/211) | 83% (227/272) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 58% (22/38) | 55% (21/38) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (35/57) | 53% (27/51) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 28% (5/18) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.86 | 0.41 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 83% (10/12) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 25 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.37 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.50 | -0.63 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 7', Dodzi C. 🟨,
- 10', Keller K. 🟨,
- 18', Dodzi C. ↓, Hassan O. ↑,
- 21', Calov C. 🟨,
- 36', Hille L. ↓, Nour M. ↑,
- 45+3', 1 - 0, Dorsey L. ⚽, Calov C. (A),
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Baker C. ↓, Alvarez D. ↑,
- 52', 1 - 1, Hassan O. ⚽, Gomez S. (A),
- 62', Randell A. ↓, Romanshyn K. ↑,
- 67', Lopez A. ↓, Burney L. ↑,
- 76', Carli E. ↓, Robles D. ↑,
- 76', Khoury J. ↓, Gaffney C. ↑,
- 80', Dorsey L. 🟨,
- 82', Sosnouski J. 🟨,
- 84', Sosnouski J. ↓, Saidi I. ↑,
- 84', Dorsey L. ↓, Dennis T. ↑,
- Penalties (3 - 2)
- 1, Kamara M. (Pen),
- 1, Kingston P. (Pen),
- 2, Niang B. (Pen),
- 2, Tsukanome Y. (Pen),
- 3, Chandler K. (Pen),
- 3, Hassan O. (Pen),
- 4, Calov C. (Pen),
- 4, Alvarez D. (Pen),
- 5, Dennis T. (Pen),
- 5, Yamada K. (Pen),
Chances of winning
Minnesota United 2
51% | Draw
21.9% | Tacoma Defiance
27% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
The chances for Minnesota United 2 have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.Tacoma Defiance has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United 2 than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Minnesota United 2 that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tacoma Defiance than the current prediction. (+3.9%)
Minnesota United 2 - Tacoma Defiance Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.81 ↑
(1.8) |
4.22 ↑
(4.03) |
3.42 ↓
(3.5) |
8.1%
(8.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
Preview Facts
- Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Minnesota 2 won 1.
- Minnesota 2 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Tacoma has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Recently, Tacoma has had a series of home games.
- Minnesota 2 could have a small edge in this match.
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Minnesota 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:21. (average 2.1:3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Minnesota 2 won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:6. (average 2.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Minnesota United 2 won against Tacoma Defiance?
Minnesota United 2 has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Tacoma Defiance won against Minnesota United 2?
Tacoma Defiance has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Minnesota United 2 - Tacoma Defiance were as follows:
31.05.2025
Tacoma Defiance
-
Minnesota United 2
2:1
04.08.2024
Tacoma Defiance
-
Minnesota United 2
5:1
19.05.2024
Minnesota United 2
-
Tacoma Defiance
3:1
25.08.2023
Minnesota United 2
-
Tacoma Defiance
2:4
14.05.2023
Tacoma Defiance
-
Minnesota United 2
5:4
Latest results of Minnesota United 2
Latest results of Tacoma Defiance
Draw
Play Offs1/8-finals| 1 | St. Louis City 2 (1) | Ventura County (8) | 3 : 0 |
| 2 | Real Monarchs (4) | Minnesota 2 (5) | 1 : 2 |
| 3 | Philadelphia Union II (2) | Cincinnati 2 (7) | 2 : 1 |
| 4 | Chattanooga (4) | Huntsville (5) | 0 : 2 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls II (1) | Carolina Core (8) | 5 : 1 |
| 6 | New England Revolution II (3) | Chicago Fire II (6) | 0 : 1 |
| 7 | Town FC (2) | North Texas (6) | 3 : 0 |
| 8 | Colorado Rapids 2 (3) | Vancouver Whitecaps 2 (7) | 3 : 2 |
Quarter-finals| 1 | St. Louis City 2 (1) | Minnesota 2 (5) | |
| 2 | Philadelphia Union II (2) | Huntsville (5) | 1 : 0 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls II (1) | Chicago Fire II (6) | |
| 4 | Town FC (2) | Colorado Rapids 2 (3) | |
