Result
0:1
10/04/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 32
- Referee: Cosso F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Sky Sport |
Chances of winning
Perugia
41.1% | Draw
29.9% | Modena
29% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-3.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+3%)
Perugia - Modena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.3 ↑
(2.25) |
3.16 ↑
(3) |
3.27 ↑
(2.9) |
5.6%
(12.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Perugia - Modena?
Users Predictions:
15 users predict this event. Perugia will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.1% – 78.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 11).
- Perugia has the most likely position - 16 (16.48%), project points - 44, currently - 34, a chance of relegated (23%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
- Modena has the most likely position - 12 (13.95%), project points - 48, currently - 39, a very small chance of relegated (5%), a small chance of prom. playoffs (10%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
- This event has quality 32, small importance 29, small match rating 30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Perugia won 3.
- Recent matches Perugia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Modena is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Perugia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Perugia will have a poor advantage in this game.
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Perugia won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.
- Including matches at home between the teams Perugia won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.
How many head-to-head matches has Perugia won against Modena?
Perugia has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Perugia?
Modena has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Perugia - Modena were as follows:
12.11.2022
Modena
-
Perugia
1:1
Latest results of Perugia
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 32 | 20 | 8 | 4 | 64:27 | 37 | 68 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 32 | 18 | 11 | 3 | 62:32 | 30 | 65 |
| 3 | Monza | 32 | 19 | 8 | 5 | 50:26 | 24 | 65 |
| 4 | Palermo | 32 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 52:27 | 25 | 61 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 31 | 14 | 10 | 7 | 49:38 | 11 | 52 |
| 6 | Modena | 31 | 14 | 8 | 9 | 42:25 | 17 | 50 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 32 | 10 | 15 | 7 | 38:38 | 0 | 45 |
| 8 | Cesena | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 41:47 | -6 | 43 |
| 9 | Carrarese | 32 | 9 | 12 | 11 | 41:42 | -1 | 39 |
| 10 | Avellino | 32 | 10 | 9 | 13 | 37:51 | -14 | 39 |
| 11 | Sudtirol | 32 | 8 | 14 | 10 | 34:35 | -1 | 38 |
| 12 | Empoli | 32 | 8 | 12 | 12 | 43:47 | -4 | 36 |
| 13 | Padova | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 32:43 | -11 | 34 |
| 14 | Mantova | 32 | 9 | 7 | 16 | 36:48 | -12 | 34 |
| 15 | Sampdoria | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 31:43 | -12 | 34 |
| 16 | Entella | 32 | 8 | 10 | 14 | 31:45 | -14 | 34 |
| 17 | Bari | 32 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 30:50 | -20 | 31 |
| 18 | Spezia | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 31:46 | -15 | 30 |
| 19 | Reggiana | 32 | 7 | 9 | 16 | 30:49 | -19 | 30 |
| 20 | Pescara | 32 | 6 | 11 | 15 | 43:58 | -15 | 29 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
