Perugia vs Modena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Italian Serie B Perugia - Modena
Result
0:1
10/04/2023 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ITALY: SERIE B - ROUND 32
  • Referee: Cosso F. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalySky Sport

Highlights

Chances of winning


Perugia
41.1%
Draw
29.9%
Modena
29%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
39.6% 29.7% 30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38% 28.5% 32%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Perugia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Perugia than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+3%)
  • Perugia - Modena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.3
    (2.25)
    3.16
    (3)
    3.27
    (2.9)
    5.6%
    (12.3%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
  • What is the prediction for Perugia - Modena?
  • Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Perugia will win (votes: 7 - 46.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 53.3%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 28.1%78.5%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Super game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 17 in the zone Serie B (Play Out: ) and 11).
    • Perugia has the most likely position - 16 (16.48%), project points - 44, currently - 34, a chance of relegated (23%), a very small chance of prom. playoffs (<1%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
    • Modena has the most likely position - 12 (13.95%), project points - 48, currently - 39, a very small chance of relegated (5%), a small chance of prom. playoffs (10%), a very small chance of promoted (<1%), not chance of win league.
    • This event has quality 32, small importance 29, small match rating 30. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Perugia won 3.
    • Recent matches Perugia is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Modena is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Perugia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Perugia will have a poor advantage in this game.
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Perugia won 4 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 8-4.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Perugia won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6-0.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Perugia - Modena were as follows:
    12.11.2022 Modena - Perugia 1:1
    Latest results of Perugia
    05.04.2023 Perugia - Reggina 1:3
    01.04.2023 Perugia - Frosinone 1:1
    18.03.2023 Cittadella - Perugia 0:2
    01.03.2023 Perugia - Como 0:0
    Latest results of Modena
    02.04.2023 Modena - Cittadella 0:0
    17.03.2023 Palermo - Modena 5:2
    11.03.2023 Modena - Pisa 1:0
    05.03.2023 Como - Modena 1:0
    01.03.2023 Modena - Ascoli 0:1
    Draw
    Play Out

    Final
    1Salernitana (16)Sampdoria (17)0 : 3, 0 : 2