Reggiana vs Modena – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:0
28/10/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Serie B - Round 10
  • Referee: Rapuano A. (Ita)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel
switzerlandSwitzerlandBlue Sport 3, Blue Sport 3
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomDCTV
usaUsaDCTV
worldWorldOnefootball

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.391.06
Ball Possession
30%70%
Total shots
822
Shots on target
21
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
19
Passes
70% (157/225)85% (441/518)
Yellow Cards
23
Expected Goals (xG)
0.391.06
xG on target (xGOT)
0.620.48
Total shots
822
Shots on target
21
Shots off target
412
Blocked Shots
29
Shots inside the Box
48
Shots outside the Box
414
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
00
Corner Kicks
19
Touches in opposition box
1027
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
10
Free Kicks
1916
Passes
70% (157/225)85% (441/518)
Long passes
45% (29/64)55% (32/58)
Passes in final third
45% (19/42)73% (151/206)
Crosses
20% (1/5)10% (3/31)
Expected assists (xA)
0.170.95
Throw-ins
622
Fouls
1619
Tackles
56% (10/18)54% (7/13)
Duels won
6255
Clearances
559
Interceptions
75
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
11
xGOT faced
0.480.62
Goals prevented
0.48-0.38

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', 1 - 0, Bozzolan A. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 0)
  • 46', Beyuku G. , Zanimacchia L. ,
  • 46', Magnino L. , Gerli F. ,
  • 58', Mendes P. , Gliozzi E. ,
  • 59', Sersanti A. , Massolin Y. ,
  • 61', Nieling B. 🟨,
  • 64', Charlys 🟨,
  • 70', Di Mariano F. 🟨,
  • 71', Gondo C. , Novakovich A. ,
  • 72', Nieling B. , Defrel G. ,
  • 79', Tavsan E. , Vallarelli F. ,
  • 85', Portanova M. , Lambourde M. ,
  • 85', Marras M. , Bonetti S. ,
  • 90+3', Bonetti S. 🟨,
  • 90+4', Tonoli D. 🟨,

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/mfyxasvr

Chances of winning


Reggiana
23.1%
Draw
27.9%
Modena
49%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
26.8% 28.1% 45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

26.4% 27.7% 45.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-3.3%)
  • Reggiana - Modena Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.97
    (3.47)
    3.35
    (3.3)
    1.93
    (2.06)
    7.1%
    (7.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Reggiana - Modena?
  • Users Predictions: 16 users predict this event. Reggiana will win (votes: 2 - 12.5%). Modena will win (votes: 10 - 62.5%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Modena: 38.8%86.2%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • EH +1 - draw (votes: 0 - 0%) .
    • O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 3.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Modena will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Reggiana won 2.
    • Reggiana has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Modena is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Modena may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Modena is considered a favorite.
    • There will not play in Reggiana: Girma N. (Inactive) Quaranta D. (Hamstring Injury) Reinhart T. (Inactive) Rozzio P. (Calf Injury) Sampirisi M. (Knee Injury) Seculin A. (Health problems) Urso O. (Inactive)
    • There will not play in Modena: Cotali M. (Inactive) Pergreffi A. (Inactive) Ponsi F. (Inactive)
    • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Reggiana won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:7. (average 1.3:0.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Reggiana won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:1. (average 0.6:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Reggiana - Modena were as follows:
    01.05.2025 Modena - Reggiana 2:3
    14.12.2024 Reggiana - Modena 0:1
    01.05.2024 Reggiana - Modena 1:0
    02.12.2023 Modena - Reggiana 2:1
    Latest results of Reggiana
    25.10.2025 Monza - Reggiana 3:1
    18.10.2025 Reggiana - Bari 3:1
    04.10.2025 Cesena - Reggiana 1:2
    30.09.2025 Reggiana - Spezia 1:1
    Latest results of Modena
    24.10.2025 Modena - Empoli 2:1
    19.10.2025 Palermo - Modena 1:1
    05.10.2025 Modena - Virtus Entella 2:0
    01.10.2025 Carrarese - Modena 0:0
    28.09.2025 Modena - Pescara 2:1
    Italian Serie B Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Venezia33218467:283971
    2Frosinone341912365:333269
    3Monza33199551:272466
    4Palermo341811555:282765
    5Catanzaro321411750:391153
    6Modena321481043:281550
    7Juve Stabia331015839:41-245
    8Cesena331281342:48-644
    9Carrarese3310121144:43142
    10Sudtirol338151035:36-139
    11Avellino331091437:53-1639
    12Mantova331071637:48-1137
    13Sampdoria339101432:43-1137
    14Empoli338121343:48-536
    15Padova338101532:45-1334
    16Entella338101531:46-1534
    17Bari338101533:51-1834
    18Pescara337111546:59-1332
    19Spezia33791732:49-1730
    20Reggiana33791731:52-2130

          Promotion ~ Serie A
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
          Serie B (Play Out: )
          Relegation