Result
2:3
01/05/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 36
- Referee: Cosso F. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (381/447) | 79% (261/331) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.32 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 14 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 85% (381/447) | 79% (261/331) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (19/47) | 31% (13/42) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 70% (90/129) | 71% (70/99) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (1/8) | 20% (3/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.84 | 0.78 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 25 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (10/14) | 64% (7/11) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 43 | 37 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 22 | 29 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.32 | 0.95 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.68 | 0.75 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 15', 0 - 1, Portanova M. ⚽,
- 30', 1 - 1, Rozzio P. (Own goal),
- 43', 2 - 1, Bardi F. (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 50', Marras M. 🟨,
- 60', Reinhart T. ↓, Kabashi E. ↑,
- 60', Sersanti A. ↓, Girma N. ↑,
- 62', Kabashi E. 🟨,
- 64', Caso G. ↓, Bozhanaj K. ↑,
- 64', Defrel G. ↓, Mendes P. ↑,
- 66', Palumbo A. 🟨,
- 70', 2 - 2, Girma N. ⚽,
- 72', Cauz C. ↓, Vulikic S. ↑,
- 72', Idrissi R. ↓, Cotali M. ↑,
- 79', Girma N. 🟨,
- 80', Palumbo A. ↓, Kamate I. ↑,
- 84', Lucchesi L. 🟨,
- 86', 2 - 3, Gondo C. ⚽, Girma N. (A),
- 87', Gondo C. 🟨,
- 89', Beyuku G. 🟨,
- 89', Ignacchiti L. ↓, Kumi J. ↑,
- 90', Portanova M. ↓, Stulac L. ↑,
- 90+3', Mendes P. 🟥,
Highlights
https://tinyurl.com/aeupfvkb
Chances of winning
Modena
47.9% | Draw
29.6% | Reggiana
22.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Modena has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.1%)Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Modena than the current prediction. (-4%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Modena - Reggiana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.97 ↓
(2.1) |
3.18 ↑
(3.13) |
4.16 ↑
(3.73) |
6.3%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Modena - Reggiana?
Users Predictions:
16 users predict this event. Modena will win (votes: 9 - 56.3%). Reggiana will win (votes: 3 - 18.8%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Modena: 32% – 80.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Modena (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 9 and 18 in the zone Relegation).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches Modena won 2.
- Recent performances by Modena have been up and down (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Reggiana is in a bad shape now (in the last 5 games, wins - 1).
- Recently, Reggiana had a set of home games.
- In this match, Modena is a favorite.
- There will not play in Modena: Battistella T.
(Injury)
Caldara M.
(Inactive)
Dellavalle A.
(Injury)
Di Pardo A.
(Red Card)
- There will not play in Reggiana: Meroni A.
(Injury)
Pettinari S.
(Calf Injury)
Sampirisi M.
(Injury)
Urso O.
(Muscle Injury)
Vergara A.
(Yellow Cards)
Vido L.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Reggiana: Gondo C.
(Injury)
Lucchesi L.
(Injury)
Sersanti A.
(Injury)
- In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Modena won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 5:10 (average 0.6:1.1).
- Including matches at home between the teams, Modena won 1 matches, drew 1 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:7 (average 1:1.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Reggiana?
Modena has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Reggiana won against Modena?
Reggiana has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Modena - Reggiana were as follows:
14.12.2024
Reggiana
-
Modena
0:1
01.05.2024
Reggiana
-
Modena
1:0
02.12.2023
Modena
-
Reggiana
2:1
Latest results of Reggiana
Draw
Play OutFinal| 1 | Salernitana (16) | Sampdoria (17) | 0 : 3, 0 : 2 |
