Result
1:0
08/03/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- ITALY: Serie B - Round 29
- Referee: Giua A. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.94 | 1.00 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 36% | 64% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 16 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 4 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 17 | 19 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (205/275) | 85% (426/502) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 60% (57/95) | 73% (101/138) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 42% (8/19) | 6% (1/16) |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 71% (17/24) | 53% (9/17) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 36 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 35', Dellavalle A. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 50', Bronn D. 🟨,
- 57', Palumbo A. 🟨,
- 58', Santoro S. 🟨,
- 63', 1 - 0, Soriano R. ⚽,
- 68', Bronn D. ↓, Ruggeri F. ↑,
- 68', Verde D. ↓, Tongya F. ↑,
- 70', Cotali M. ↓, Bozhanaj K. ↑,
- 71', Caso G. ↓, Gliozzi E. ↑,
- 76', Zaro G. 🟨,
- 81', Magnino L. ↓, Battistella T. ↑,
- 82', Santoro S. ↓, Kamate I. ↑,
- 82', Zuccon F. ↓, Caligara F. ↑,
- 82', Corazza T. ↓, Njoh L. ↑,
- 86', Soriano R. ↓, Girelli S. ↑,
- 86', Palumbo A. ↓, Defrel G. ↑,
Chances of winning
Salernitana
37.6% | Draw
31.5% | Modena
30.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Salernitana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)Modena has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Salernitana than the current prediction. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Modena than the current prediction. (+0.9%)
Salernitana - Modena Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.51 ↑
(2.44) |
2.99 ↓
(3.15) |
3.06 ↑
(2.81) |
5.9%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Salernitana - Modena?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Salernitana will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 66.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 35.9% – 97.5%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation and 10).
- One and the other team get a very uncertain game.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Salernitana: Braaf J.
(Injury)
Jaroszynski P.
(Injury)
Simy
(Injury)
Wlodarczyk S.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Modena: Di Pardo A.
(Thigh Injury)
Pergreffi A.
(Knee Injury)
- Last 3 head-to-head matches Salernitana won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3 (average 0.3:1).
- Including matches at home between the teams Salernitana won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0:0
How many head-to-head matches has Salernitana won against Modena?
Salernitana has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Modena won against Salernitana?
Modena has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Salernitana - Modena were as follows:
07.12.2024
Modena
-
Salernitana
1:1
Latest results of Salernitana
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 58:25 | 33 | 60 |
| 2 | Monza | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 44:21 | 23 | 60 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 28 | 15 | 10 | 3 | 52:28 | 24 | 55 |
| 4 | Palermo | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 48:22 | 26 | 54 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 28 | 12 | 10 | 6 | 42:32 | 10 | 46 |
| 6 | Modena | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:24 | 13 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 28 | 9 | 13 | 6 | 32:32 | 0 | 40 |
| 8 | Cesena | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 36:41 | -5 | 38 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 37 |
| 10 | Padova | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 30:35 | -5 | 34 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 28 | 7 | 11 | 10 | 35:40 | -5 | 32 |
| 12 | Empoli | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 34:39 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Sampdoria | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 29:37 | -8 | 30 |
| 14 | Avellino | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 30:46 | -16 | 30 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 29:40 | -11 | 29 |
| 16 | Entella | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26:40 | -14 | 28 |
| 17 | Bari | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 25:40 | -15 | 28 |
| 18 | Mantova | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 28:44 | -16 | 27 |
| 19 | Spezia | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 26 |
| 20 | Pescara | 28 | 4 | 10 | 14 | 34:54 | -20 | 22 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
