Result
2:2
05/03/2023 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 26
- Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)
Chances of winning
Troyes
14.8% | Draw
20.1% | Monaco
65.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Troyes - Monaco Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.44 ↑
(6.13) |
4.73 ↑
(4.38) |
1.47 ↓
(1.5) |
4.8%
(5.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Troyes - Monaco?
Users Predictions:
106 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 9 - 8.5%). Monaco will win (votes: 94 - 88.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 2.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 82.7% – 94.7%. The data is statistically significant. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
Preview Facts
- This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Group Stage)).
- Troyes has the most likely position - 19 (38.61%), has project points - 30, has currently - 19, has a good chance of relegated (84%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
- Monaco has the most likely position - 3 (28.01%), has project points - 73, has currently - 50, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of qualify for ucl (52%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
- This event has quality 54, importance 54, match rating 54. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Troyes won 1.
- Troyes has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Monaco is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Troyes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
- In this match Monaco is absolute favorite.
- Our prediction for today's Monaco to win the game is with odds 1.48.
- Last 9 head-to-head matches Troyes won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-16.
- Including matches at home between the teams Troyes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.
How many head-to-head matches has Troyes won against Monaco?
Troyes has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Monaco won against Troyes?
Monaco has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Troyes - Monaco were as follows:
31.08.2022
Monaco
-
Troyes
2:4
French Ligue 1 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | PSG | 25 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 54:22 | 32 | 57 |
| 2 | Lens | 26 | 18 | 2 | 6 | 49:23 | 26 | 56 |
| 3 | Marseille | 26 | 15 | 4 | 7 | 53:33 | 20 | 49 |
| 4 | Lyon | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 40:27 | 13 | 47 |
| 5 | Lille | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 40:33 | 7 | 44 |
| 6 | Monaco | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 45:37 | 8 | 43 |
| 7 | Rennes | 26 | 12 | 7 | 7 | 43:37 | 6 | 43 |
| 8 | Strasbourg | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 40:31 | 9 | 37 |
| 9 | Lorient | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 37:40 | -3 | 37 |
| 10 | Brest | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 34:36 | -2 | 36 |
| 11 | Toulouse | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 37:32 | 5 | 34 |
| 12 | Angers | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 23:32 | -9 | 32 |
| 13 | Paris FC | 26 | 6 | 10 | 10 | 29:41 | -12 | 28 |
| 14 | Le Havre | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 20:32 | -12 | 27 |
| 15 | Nice | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 32:48 | -16 | 27 |
| 16 | Auxerre | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 19:36 | -17 | 19 |
| 17 | Nantes | 25 | 4 | 5 | 16 | 22:42 | -20 | 17 |
| 18 | Metz | 26 | 3 | 4 | 19 | 25:60 | -35 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ Ligue 2
