Troyes vs Monaco, French Ligue 1 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football French Ligue 1 Troyes - Monaco
Result
2:2
05/03/2023 at 07:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • FRANCE: LIGUE 1 - ROUND 26
  • Referee: Frappart S. (Fra)

Chances of winning


Troyes
14.8%
Draw
20.1%
Monaco
65.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
15.4% 21.6% 63%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.3% 21.4% 63.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Troyes has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.6%)
  • Monaco has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Troyes than the current prediction. (+0.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monaco than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Troyes - Monaco Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    6.44
    (6.13)
    4.73
    (4.38)
    1.47
    (1.5)
    4.8%
    (5.7%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Troyes - Monaco?
  • Users Predictions: 106 users predict this event. Troyes will win (votes: 9 - 8.5%). Monaco will win (votes: 94 - 88.7%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 2.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Monaco: 82.7%94.7%. The data is statistically significant.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Ligue 2 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Europa League (Group Stage)).
    • Troyes has the most likely position - 19 (38.61%), has project points - 30, has currently - 19, has a good chance of relegated (84%), has a very small chance of qualify for ucl (<1%), has not chance of win league.
    • Monaco has the most likely position - 3 (28.01%), has project points - 73, has currently - 50, has not chance of relegated, has a good chance of qualify for ucl (52%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).
    • This event has quality 54, importance 54, match rating 54. (0-100) (fivethirtyeight.com)
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Troyes won 1.
    • Troyes has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Monaco is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Troyes could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.
    • In this match Monaco is absolute favorite.
    • Our prediction for today's Monaco to win the game is with odds 1.48.
    • Last 9 head-to-head matches Troyes won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 13-16.
    • Including matches at home between the teams Troyes won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 1-5.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Troyes - Monaco were as follows:
    31.08.2022 Monaco - Troyes 2:4
    Latest results of Troyes
    26.02.2023 Ajaccio - Troyes 2:1
    19.02.2023 Troyes - Montpellier 0:1
    12.02.2023 Reims - Troyes 4:0
    04.02.2023 Troyes - Lyon 1:3
    01.02.2023 Toulouse - Troyes 4:1
    Latest results of Monaco
    26.02.2023 Monaco - Nice 0:3
    23.02.2023 Monaco - Bayer Leverkusen 2:4
    19.02.2023 Brest - Monaco 1:2
    16.02.2023 Bayer Leverkusen - Monaco 2:3
    French Ligue 1 Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Auxerre00000:000
    2Le Havre00000:000
    3Lille00000:000
    4Lorient00000:000
    5Metz00000:000
    6Monaco00000:000
    7Nantes00000:000
    8Nice00000:000
    9PSG00000:000
    10Strasbourg00000:000
    11Angers00000:000
    12Brest00000:000
    13Paris FC00000:000
    14Marseille00000:000
    15Toulouse00000:000
    16Lens00000:000
    17Rennes00000:000
    18Lyon00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )
          Relegation ~ Ligue 2