Result
2:1
11/07/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- USL Championship
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Argentina | Disney+ |
Brazil | Disney+ |
Chile | Disney+ |
Colombia | Disney+ |
Mexico | Disney+ |
Peru | Disney+ |
Uruguay | Disney+ |
Usa | ESPN 2, ESPN App, ESPN+ |
Venezuela | Disney+ |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.30 | 0.39 |
Ball Possession |
---|
41% | 59% |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 5 |
Passes |
---|
81% (267/329) | 85% (409/481) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
3 | 1 |
Red Cards |
---|
0 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
1.30 | 0.39 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.93 | 1.30 |
Total shots |
---|
12 | 7 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
4 | 1 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
4 | 2 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
10 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
2 | 0 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
---|
2 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
1 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 5 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
19 | 27 |
Accurate through passes |
---|
0 | 0 |
Offsides |
---|
3 | 2 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 15 |
Passes |
---|
81% (267/329) | 85% (409/481) |
Long passes |
---|
34% (17/50) | 51% (27/53) |
Passes in final third |
---|
64% (53/83) | 68% (94/138) |
Crosses |
---|
37% (7/19) | 12% (2/17) |
Expected assists (xA) |
---|
1.07 | 0.74 |
Throw-ins |
---|
9 | 16 |
Fouls |
---|
15 | 14 |
Tackles |
---|
71% (10/14) | 90% (9/10) |
Duels won |
---|
44 | 34 |
Clearances |
---|
23 | 20 |
Interceptions |
---|
8 | 6 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
3 | 2 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.30 | 1.93 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.20 | -0.07 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 39', 1 - 0, Ivanovic L. ⚽, Robinson G. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Jamison B. ↓, Hegardt C. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 1, Benalcazar N. ⚽, Sylla O. (A),
- 51', Malango M. ↓, Gutierrez D. ↑,
- 54', 2 - 1, Sojberg A. ⚽, Gutierrez D. (A),
- 58', Fonguck W. 🟨,
- 63', Ivanovic L. 🟨,
- 65', Ivanovic L. ↓, Larsson A. ↑,
- 69', Kelly S. 🟥,
- 73', Dunbar C. ↓, War M. ↑,
- 76', Gomez S. 🟨,
- 78', Gordon N. ↓, Lara A. ↑,
- 78', Sojberg A. ↓, Gnaulati X. ↑,
- 82', Partida K. ↓, Santos K. ↑,
- 82', Doghman R. ↓, Ciotta N. ↑,
- 88', Benalcazar N. 🟨,
- 89', Sylla O. ↓, Kone C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Monterey Bay 31.4% | Draw 28.6% | Orange County SC 40.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monterey Bay's form might have worsened.Orange County SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orange County SC's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+7.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monterey Bay, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (-8.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orange County SC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Monterey Bay - Orange County SC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.95 ↑ (2.29) |
3.24 ↑ (3.2) |
2.31 ↓ (2.97) |
8.1% (8.7%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 2.
- Monterey Bay is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Orange County SC has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Orange County SC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, Orange County SC has had a series of away games.
- In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
- In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Monterey Bay won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
How many head-to-head matches has Monterey Bay won against Orange County SC?
Monterey Bay has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Orange County SC won against Monterey Bay?
Orange County SC has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monterey Bay - Orange County SC were as follows:
31.05.2025
Monterey Bay
-
Orange County SC
3:2
22.03.2025
Orange County SC
-
Monterey Bay
0:3
21.09.2024
Monterey Bay
-
Orange County SC
0:0
27.04.2024
Orange County SC
-
Monterey Bay
2:0
14.10.2023
Monterey Bay
-
Orange County SC
0:1
Latest results of Monterey Bay
Latest results of Orange County SC
USL Championship Table
2025Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Charleston | 18 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 38:16 | 22 | 41 |
2 | Louisville City | 17 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 30:13 | 17 | 38 |
3 | Loudoun | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 28:27 | 1 | 27 |
4 | North Carolina | 16 | 8 | 2 | 6 | 25:20 | 5 | 26 |
5 | Pittsburgh | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 15:15 | 0 | 23 |
6 | Detroit | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 20:22 | -2 | 21 |
7 | Indy Eleven | 16 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 26:28 | -2 | 20 |
8 | Miami FC | 17 | 5 | 4 | 8 | 17:25 | -8 | 19 |
9 | Birmingham | 18 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 19:25 | -6 | 18 |
10 | Rhode Island | 17 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 14:18 | -4 | 17 |
11 | Hartford Athletic | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 19:21 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Tampa Bay | 16 | 4 | 2 | 10 | 17:25 | -8 | 14 |
Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | FC Tulsa | 17 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 27:18 | 9 | 32 |
2 | San Antonio | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 23:21 | 2 | 27 |
3 | New Mexico | 16 | 8 | 1 | 7 | 22:21 | 1 | 25 |
4 | Sacramento Republic | 16 | 6 | 6 | 4 | 22:12 | 10 | 24 |
5 | Orange County SC | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 26:23 | 3 | 23 |
6 | El Paso | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 24:25 | -1 | 23 |
7 | Phoenix Rising | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 27:30 | -3 | 23 |
8 | Monterey Bay | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 19:23 | -4 | 22 |
9 | Colorado Springs | 17 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 22:23 | -1 | 21 |
10 | Oakland Roots | 17 | 6 | 2 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 20 |
11 | Lexington | 18 | 4 | 7 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 19 |
12 | Las Vegas Lights | 17 | 5 | 3 | 9 | 13:28 | -15 | 18 |
Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )