Monterey Bay vs Orange County SC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football USL Championship
Football USL Championship Monterey Bay - Orange County SC
Result
2:1
11/07/2025 at 21:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • USL Championship
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
chileChileDisney+
colombiaColombiaDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+
usaUsaESPN 2, ESPN App, ESPN+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.300.39
Ball Possession
41%59%
Total shots
127
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
75
Passes
81% (267/329)85% (409/481)
Yellow Cards
31
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.300.39
xG on target (xGOT)
1.931.30
Total shots
127
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
41
Blocked Shots
42
Shots inside the Box
107
Shots outside the Box
20
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
20
Big Chances
11
Corner Kicks
75
Touches in opposition box
1927
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
32
Free Kicks
1415
Passes
81% (267/329)85% (409/481)
Long passes
34% (17/50)51% (27/53)
Passes in final third
64% (53/83)68% (94/138)
Crosses
37% (7/19)12% (2/17)
Expected assists (xA)
1.070.74
Throw-ins
916
Fouls
1514
Tackles
71% (10/14)90% (9/10)
Duels won
4434
Clearances
2320
Interceptions
86
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
32
xGOT faced
1.301.93
Goals prevented
0.20-0.07

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 39', 1 - 0, Ivanovic L. ⚽, Robinson G. (A),
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Jamison B. ↓, Hegardt C. ↑,
  • 51', 1 - 1, Benalcazar N. ⚽, Sylla O. (A),
  • 51', Malango M. ↓, Gutierrez D. ↑,
  • 54', 2 - 1, Sojberg A. ⚽, Gutierrez D. (A),
  • 58', Fonguck W. 🟨,
  • 63', Ivanovic L. 🟨,
  • 65', Ivanovic L. ↓, Larsson A. ↑,
  • 69', Kelly S. 🟥,
  • 73', Dunbar C. ↓, War M. ↑,
  • 76', Gomez S. 🟨,
  • 78', Gordon N. ↓, Lara A. ↑,
  • 78', Sojberg A. ↓, Gnaulati X. ↑,
  • 82', Partida K. ↓, Santos K. ↑,
  • 82', Doghman R. ↓, Ciotta N. ↑,
  • 88', Benalcazar N. 🟨,
  • 89', Sylla O. ↓, Kone C. ↑,

Official Live

Chances of winning


Monterey Bay
31.4%		Draw
28.6%		Orange County SC
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
40.2% 28.7% 31%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.1% 27.9% 31.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Monterey Bay has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.8%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Monterey Bay's form might have worsened.
  • Orange County SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Orange County SC's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monterey Bay than the current prediction. (+7.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Monterey Bay, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Orange County SC than the current prediction. (-8.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Orange County SC, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
    •

    Monterey Bay - Orange County SC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 3.09 ↑
    (2.29)    		 3.25 ↑
    (3.2)    		 2.21 ↓
    (2.97)    		 8.4%
    (8.7%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    Preview Facts
    • This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 7 in the zone Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: ) and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 2.
    • Monterey Bay is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Orange County SC has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Orange County SC may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Recently, Orange County SC has had a series of away games.
    • In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
    • In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Monterey Bay won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:8. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Monterey Bay won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1:0.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Monterey Bay - Orange County SC were as follows:
    31.05.2025 Monterey Bay - Orange County SC 3:2
    22.03.2025 Orange County SC - Monterey Bay 0:3
    21.09.2024 Monterey Bay - Orange County SC 0:0
    27.04.2024 Orange County SC - Monterey Bay 2:0
    14.10.2023 Monterey Bay - Orange County SC 0:1
    Latest results of Monterey Bay
    05.07.2025 Indy Eleven - Monterey Bay 3:0
    21.06.2025 Monterey Bay - El Paso Locomotive 1:2 ✺
    14.06.2025 Las Vegas Lights - Monterey Bay 2:0
    07.06.2025 Monterey Bay - Lexington 2:1 ✺
    31.05.2025 Monterey Bay - Orange County SC 3:2
    Latest results of Orange County SC
    03.07.2025 Loudoun United - Orange County SC 0:0 ✺
    14.06.2025 El Paso Locomotive - Orange County SC 0:3 ✺
    07.06.2025 Phoenix Rising - Orange County SC 3:1
    31.05.2025 Monterey Bay - Orange County SC 3:2
    24.05.2025 Orange County SC - Colorado Springs Switchbacks 3:1
    USL Championship Table
    2025

    Eastern Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Louisville City ✔ 28216155:193669
    2Charleston ✔ 26174554:292555
    3Hartford Athletic281351046:321444
    4Loudoun281261044:45-142
    5North Carolina ✔ 281251139:39041
    6Pittsburgh281171029:28140
    7Rhode Island281071128:27137
    8Detroit28981131:33-235
    9Indy Eleven28951441:49-832
    10Tampa Bay28861439:47-830
    11Birmingham285121133:45-1227
    12Miami FC28661625:42-1724


    Western Conference
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Tulsa ✔ 28158546:291753
    2New Mexico ✔ 281351040:37344
    3Sacramento Republic ✔ 27128741:241744
    4El Paso281010844:39540
    5San Antonio271071034:34037
    6Phoenix Rising28812847:48-136
    7Lexington28981129:37-835
    8Colorado Springs27971134:39-534
    9Orange County SC27881141:44-332
    10Oakland Roots28771436:49-1328
    11Monterey Bay28771426:41-1528
    12Las Vegas Lights28681422:48-2626

          Promotion ~ USL Championship (Play Offs: )

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Louisville City is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Charleston is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    North Carolina is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    FC Tulsa is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    New Mexico is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    Sacramento Republic is Qualified for USL Championship (Play Offs )
    © Copyright 2025 | Powered by WordPress

    Impressum - Cookies Policy - Terms and Conditions - Privacy Policy