Montevideo City Torque vs Progreso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Montevideo City Torque - Progreso
Result
3:1
13/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaViju+ Sport
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
08
Yellow Cards
37
Red Cards
02
Total shots
107
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
08
Goalkeeper Saves
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Guzman D. ,
  • 25', Villa M. , Pizzichillo F. ,
  • 45+3', Aguero E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 51', 2 - 0, Nunez W. ,
  • 55', 2 - 1, Silvera F. ,
  • 56', Asconeguy D. , Sosa F. ,
  • 56', Silvera F. , Cougo A. ,
  • 56', Rivero J. , Copelotti M. ,
  • 57', Cougo A. 🟨,
  • 61', Olivera Moreira L. N. 🟨,
  • 63', Suarez N. 🟨,
  • 63', Suarez N. 🟨,
  • 64', Guzman D. , Pino L. ,
  • 64', Nunez W. , Lopez L. ,
  • 66', Lopez L. 🟨,
  • 69', Pinheiro A. , Viera M. ,
  • 81', 3 - 1, Pino L. ,
  • 83', Neris P. , Da Silva N. ,
  • 83', Costa S. , Obregon E. ,
  • 83', Fernandez N. , Garcia M. ,
  • 84', Da Silva N. 🟨,
  • 87', Colombino A. 🟨,
  • 87', Colombino A. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Copelotti M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Montevideo City Torque
50.5%
Draw
26.2%
Progreso
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.5% 25.4% 26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4% 26% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montevideo City Torque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Montevideo City Torque - Progreso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (1.95)
    3.56
    (3.72)
    3.96
    (3.62)
    8.2%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Montevideo City Torque - Progreso?
  • Users Predictions: Montevideo City Torque will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 5)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montevideo City won 3.
    • Montevideo City is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Progreso's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Montevideo City is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Montevideo City won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montevideo City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montevideo City Torque - Progreso were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Montevideo City Torque - Progreso 2:3
    29.10.2023 Progreso - Montevideo City Torque 1:2
    05.10.2022 Montevideo City Torque - Progreso 1:2
    Latest results of Progreso
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol1081121:71425
    2Nacional1072121:91220
    3Montevideo City1062219:11820
    4Boston River1054118:61219
    5Defensor Sp106138:9-119
    6Liverpool M1053213:10318
    7Cerro Largo1051410:9116
    8Progreso1042412:11114
    9Danubio1041514:11313
    10CA Cerro104158:12-413
    11Miramar1032513:14-111
    12Juventud103255:8-311
    13Racing Montevideo103257:16-911
    14Plaza Colonia101277:20-135
    15Wanderers101183:14-114
    16River Plate100373:15-123

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