Progreso vs Montevideo City Torque – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
0:5
01/11/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 14
  • Referee: Burgos J. (Uru)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+

Match Stats

Ball Possession
43%57%
Total shots
613
Shots on target
212
Corner Kicks
16
Yellow Cards
33
Total shots
613
Shots on target
212
Shots off target
41
Corner Kicks
16

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 3)
  • 8', Siles P. 🟨,
  • 20', 0 - 1, Obregon E. ,
  • 36', 0 - 2, Neris P. ,
  • 41', 0 - 3, Neris P. ,
  • 44', Garcia A. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 46', Lopez F. , Silva G. ,
  • 46', Garcia A. , Colombino A. ,
  • 46', Fernandez N. , Lopez N. ,
  • 49', Silva G. 🟨,
  • 53', Pinheiro A. 🟨,
  • 63', Lemmo I. , Sosa F. ,
  • 67', Obregon E. 🟨,
  • 67', Guzman D. , Kociubinski B. ,
  • 68', 0 - 4, Neris P. ,
  • 71', Siles P. , Costa S. ,
  • 71', Obregon E. , Arevalo K. ,
  • 80', Colombino A. , Silva G. ,
  • 80', Neris P. , Pino L. ,
  • 80', Nunez W. , Taran J. ,
  • 87', Kociubinski B. 🟨,
  • 90+1', 0 - 5, Da Silva N. ,

Chances of winning


Progreso
27.8%
Draw
27.2%
Montevideo City Torque
45%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
27.5% 27.9% 44.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8% 27.6% 44.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Progreso has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • Montevideo City Torque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Progreso aligns with the current prediction.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (-0.8%)
  • Progreso - Montevideo City Torque Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.33
    (3.38)
    3.43
    (3.33)
    2.06
    (2.08)
    7.7%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Progreso - Montevideo City Torque?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH +0.5 - Progreso (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Progreso will win (10 of 12 users predict this - 83.33%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 62.24%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Progreso will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 6 high ROI users predict this event. Progreso (votes: 6 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 9 and 5).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 2.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Progreso may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Montevideo City is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 6 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.6:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Progreso won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:9. (average 1:1.8).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Progreso - Montevideo City Torque were as follows:
    13.06.2025 Montevideo City Torque - Progreso 3:1
    04.05.2025 Montevideo City Torque - Progreso 2:3
    29.10.2023 Progreso - Montevideo City Torque 1:2
    05.10.2022 Montevideo City Torque - Progreso 1:2
    Latest results of Progreso
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Apertura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Racing Montevideo641112:6613
    2Maldonado641110:5513
    3Penarol64119:5413
    4Montevideo City63219:5411
    5Liverpool M63217:4311
    6Danubio632110:8211
    7Central Esp63127:5210
    8Nacional63127:6110
    9Defensor Sp62224:408
    10Wanderers62224:8-48
    11Cerro Largo62045:7-26
    12Albion61237:8-15
    13Progreso61235:10-55
    14Juventud61147:11-44
    15Boston River60242:7-52
    16CA Cerro60242:8-62

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