Montevideo City Torque vs Progreso – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Montevideo City Torque - Progreso
Result
3:1
13/06/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Round 4
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
russiaRussiaViju+ Sport
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
54%46%
Total shots
107
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
08
Yellow Cards
37
Red Cards
02
Total shots
107
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
08
Goalkeeper Saves
32

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', 1 - 0, Guzman D. ,
  • 25', Villa M. , Pizzichillo F. ,
  • 45+3', Aguero E. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 1)
  • 51', 2 - 0, Nunez W. ,
  • 55', 2 - 1, Silvera F. ,
  • 56', Asconeguy D. , Sosa F. ,
  • 56', Silvera F. , Cougo A. ,
  • 56', Rivero J. , Copelotti M. ,
  • 57', Cougo A. 🟨,
  • 61', Olivera Moreira L. N. 🟨,
  • 63', Suarez N. 🟨,
  • 63', Suarez N. 🟨,
  • 64', Guzman D. , Pino L. ,
  • 64', Nunez W. , Lopez L. ,
  • 66', Lopez L. 🟨,
  • 69', Pinheiro A. , Viera M. ,
  • 81', 3 - 1, Pino L. ,
  • 83', Neris P. , Da Silva N. ,
  • 83', Costa S. , Obregon E. ,
  • 83', Fernandez N. , Garcia M. ,
  • 84', Da Silva N. 🟨,
  • 87', Colombino A. 🟨,
  • 87', Colombino A. 🟨,
  • 90+7', Copelotti M. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Montevideo City Torque
50.5%
Draw
26.2%
Progreso
23.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
48.5% 25.4% 26.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.4% 26% 26.7%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Montevideo City Torque has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
  • Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Montevideo City Torque than the current prediction. (-3.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
  • Montevideo City Torque - Progreso Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.82
    (1.95)
    3.56
    (3.72)
    3.96
    (3.62)
    8.2%
    (5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Montevideo City Torque - Progreso?
  • Users Predictions: Montevideo City Torque will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 59.78%100%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 7 and 5)
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montevideo City won 3.
    • Montevideo City is on a losing streak (last 5 games: 0 wins).
    • Progreso's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Montevideo City is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Montevideo City won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1.4:1.6).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montevideo City won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 6:13. (average 1:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Montevideo City Torque - Progreso were as follows:
    04.05.2025 Montevideo City Torque - Progreso 2:3
    29.10.2023 Progreso - Montevideo City Torque 1:2
    05.10.2022 Montevideo City Torque - Progreso 1:2
    Latest results of Progreso
    Draw
    Torneo Intermedio - Play Offs

    Final
    1NacionalPenarol0 : 1