Result
3:1
25/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 9
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.35 | 0.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (455/524) | 84% (339/402) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.35 | 0.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.96 | 0.77 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 18 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 26 | 11 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 87% (455/524) | 84% (339/402) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 67% (30/45) | 45% (25/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 75% (106/141) | 69% (50/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (5/17) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 0.99 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 24 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 42% (5/12) | 57% (12/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 16 | 22 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.77 | 3.96 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.23 | 0.96 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (3 - 1)
- 2', 1 - 0, Mota D. ⚽,
- 13', 1 - 1, Novakovich A. ⚽, Rover M. (A),
- 16', Lambourde M. 🟨,
- 21', Marras M. 🟨,
- 25', 2 - 1, Izzo A. ⚽, Mota D. (A),
- 26', Izzo A. 🟨,
- 29', Balde K. 🟨,
- 43', 3 - 1, Mota D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Izzo A. ↓, Ravanelli L. ↑,
- 46', Marras M. ↓, Bozzolan A. ↑,
- 57', Colpani A. ↓, Maric M. ↑,
- 57', Balde K. ↓, Zeroli K. ↑,
- 57', Rover M. ↓, Magnani G. ↑,
- 58', Lambourde M. ↓, Tavsan E. ↑,
- 63', Pessina M. ↓, Obiang P. ↑,
- 63', Mendicino L. ↓, Charlys ↑,
- 71', Portanova M. ↓, Gondo C. ↑,
- 76', Papetti A. 🟨,
- 78', Carboni A. ↓, Lucchesi L. ↑,
Chances of winning
Monza
60.7% | Draw
23.8% | Reggiana
15.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Monza has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)Reggiana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Monza than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Reggiana than the current prediction. (+1.3%)
Monza - Reggiana Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.55 ↓
(1.58) |
3.97 ↑
(3.84) |
5.75 ↑
(5.26) |
7%
(8.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Monza - Reggiana?
Users Predictions:
7 users predict this event. Monza will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Reggiana will win (votes: 2 - 28.6%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Monza (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- Monza is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Reggiana has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Monza is the team to beat.
- There will not play in Monza: Alvarez A.
(Injury)
Antov V.
(Knee Injury)
Forson O.
(Knee Injury)
Galazzi N.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Reggiana: Quaranta D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Rozzio P.
(Calf Injury)
Sampirisi M.
(Knee Injury)
Seculin A.
(Health problems)
Urso O.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Monza: Colpani A.
(Injury)
Obiang P.
(Injury)
- In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Monza won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Monza won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 4:3. (average 1.3:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Monza won against Reggiana?
Monza has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Reggiana won against Monza?
Reggiana has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Monza - Reggiana were as follows:
13.08.2023
Monza
-
Reggiana
1:2
Latest results of Reggiana
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 58:25 | 33 | 60 |
| 2 | Monza | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 44:21 | 23 | 60 |
| 3 | Frosinone | 27 | 15 | 9 | 3 | 50:26 | 24 | 54 |
| 4 | Palermo | 27 | 14 | 9 | 4 | 46:21 | 25 | 51 |
| 5 | Catanzaro | 27 | 12 | 9 | 6 | 39:29 | 10 | 45 |
| 6 | Modena | 28 | 12 | 7 | 9 | 37:24 | 13 | 43 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia | 27 | 9 | 12 | 6 | 31:31 | 0 | 39 |
| 8 | Cesena | 28 | 11 | 5 | 12 | 36:41 | -5 | 38 |
| 9 | Sudtirol | 28 | 8 | 13 | 7 | 31:28 | 3 | 37 |
| 10 | Padova | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 30:35 | -5 | 34 |
| 11 | Empoli | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 33:37 | -4 | 31 |
| 12 | Carrarese | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 32:37 | -5 | 31 |
| 13 | Avellino | 28 | 7 | 9 | 12 | 30:46 | -16 | 30 |
| 14 | Sampdoria | 27 | 7 | 8 | 12 | 28:36 | -8 | 29 |
| 15 | Reggiana | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 29:40 | -11 | 29 |
| 16 | Entella | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 26:40 | -14 | 28 |
| 17 | Mantova | 27 | 7 | 6 | 14 | 27:42 | -15 | 27 |
| 18 | Spezia | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 25:37 | -12 | 26 |
| 19 | Bari | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 23:39 | -16 | 25 |
| 20 | Pescara | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 32:52 | -20 | 21 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
