Venezia vs Monza: Where to Watch, Predictions, Stats

Bet nowGamble Responsibly 18+
Soccer Italian Serie A Venezia - Monza
Result
1:0
12/04/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • : Serie A - Round 32
  • Referee: Maresca F. (Ita)
Venezia - Monza - Gamble Responsibly 18+
00:00 / 90:00
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Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.60
Ball Possession
44%56%
Total shots
910
Shots on target
43
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
34
Passes
79% (242/307)79% (304/387)
Yellow Cards
53
Red Cards
10
Expected Goals (xG)
1.320.60
xG on target (xGOT)
2.250.29
Total shots
910
Shots on target
43
Shots off target
36
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
46
Shots outside the Box
54
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
34
Touches in opposition box
912
Offsides
20
Free Kicks
2020
Passes
79% (242/307)79% (304/387)
Long passes
49% (28/57)47% (28/59)
Passes in final third
63% (73/115)69% (77/111)
Crosses
13% (1/8)30% (6/20)
Expected assists (xA)
0.760.41
Fouls
2020
Tackles
71% (12/17)71% (15/21)
Duels won
5262
Clearances Total
3320
Interceptions
910
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
33
xGOT faced
0.292.25
Goals prevented
0.291.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 10', Zerbin A. 🟨,
  • 26', Balde K. , Caprari G. ,
  • 27', Urbanski K. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 50', Izzo A. , Caldirola L. ,
  • 60', Gytkjaer C. , Fila D. ,
  • 61', Oristanio G. , Yeboah J. ,
  • 61', Marcandalli A. , Haps R. ,
  • 62', Yeboah J. 🟨,
  • 68', Ellertsson M. E. 🟨,
  • 68', Caldirola L. 🟨,
  • 71', Perez K. , Doumbia I. ,
  • 72', 1 - 0, Fila D. , Ellertsson M. E. (A),
  • 75', Pereira P. 🟨,
  • 76', Carboni A. , Palacios T. ,
  • 77', Urbanski K. , Forson O. ,
  • 77', Akpa Akpro J. , Gagliardini R. ,
  • 82', Fila D. 🟨,
  • 84', Busio G. , Conde C. ,
  • 90+7', Fila D. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Venezia
53.9%
Draw
26.1%
Monza
20%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
49.7% 27.3% 23%

Our Initial ML Estimation

42% 23.1% 27.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)
  • Monza has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-11.9%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Venezia that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Monza than the current prediction. (+7.2%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Monza could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Venezia - Monza Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.78
    (1.92)
    3.65
    (3.49)
    4.74
    (4.16)
    4.8%
    (4.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Venezia - Monza?
  • Users Predictions: 35 users predict this event. Venezia will win (votes: 25 - 71.4%). Monza will win (votes: 2 - 5.7%). It will Tie (votes: 8 - 22.9%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Venezia: 56.4%86.4%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -0.5 - Monza (votes: 4 - 80%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Venezia will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 19 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B and 20 in the zone Relegation ~ Serie B).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Venezia won 2.
    • Venezia is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Monza has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • In this match Venezia is a favorite.
    • There will not play in Venezia: Crnigoj D. (Inactive) Maric M. (Leg Injury) Stankovic F. (Knee Injury) Svoboda M. (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Monza: Kyriakopoulos G. (Yellow Cards) Pessina M. (Thigh Injury) Sensi S. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Venezia: Duncan A. (Health problems) Schingtienne J. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Monza: Carboni A. (Thigh Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Venezia won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 11:9 (average 1.6:1.3).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Venezia won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 3:5 (average 1:1.7).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Venezia - Monza were as follows:
    27.10.2024 Monza - Venezia 2:2
    Latest results of Venezia
    06.04.2025 Lecce - Venezia 1:1
    29.03.2025 Venezia - Bologna 0:1
    22.03.2025 Koper - Venezia 7:3
    16.03.2025 Venezia - Napoli 0:0
    08.03.2025 Como - Venezia 1:1
    Latest results of Monza
    05.04.2025 Monza - Como 1:3
    30.03.2025 Cagliari - Monza 3:0
    15.03.2025 Monza - Parma 1:1
    08.03.2025 Inter Milan - Monza 3:2
    02.03.2025 Monza - Torino 0:2
    Italian Serie A Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Lecce00000:000
    2Bologna00000:000
    3Pisa00000:000
    4Cremonese00000:000
    5Genoa00000:000
    6Napoli00000:000
    7Udinese00000:000
    8Sassuolo00000:000
    9AS Roma00000:000
    10Inter00000:000
    11Juventus00000:000
    12Fiorentina00000:000
    13AC Milan00000:000
    14Atalanta00000:000
    15Lazio00000:000
    16Cagliari00000:000
    17Torino00000:000
    18Parma00000:000
    19Verona00000:000
    20Como00000:000

          Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
          Relegation ~ Serie B

    Which TV channels are streaming of Venezia - Monza?
    It is being streamed on various channels, including:
    africaAfricaAzam Sports 3, DStv Now, New World Sport 2, New World Sport App, SuperSport Football
    albaniaAlbaniaTring Sport 1
    argentinaArgentinaDisney+
    armeniaArmeniaFast Sports
    asiaAsiaSTARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
    austriaAustriaDAZN
    belgiumBelgiumDAZN 1
    bosnia-and-herzegovinaBosnia-and-herzegovinaArena Premium 2, Arena Sport 2
    brazilBrazilDisney+
    bulgariaBulgariaMax Sport 3
    chileChileDisney+
    chinaChinaMigu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
    colombiaColombiaDisney+
    cyprusCyprusCytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
    czech-republicCzech-republicSport 2
    denmarkDenmarkTV2 Play
    finlandFinlandMTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+
    germanyGermanyDAZN 1 Deutsch
    greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 3
    hong-kongHong-kongHOY TV, M Plus Live
    hungaryHungaryNet4+
    indiaIndiaGXR World
    indonesiaIndonesiaVidio
    italyItaly214 DAZN Zona, DAZN 1, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
    japanJapanDAZN Japan
    kosovoKosovoART Sport 3
    maldivesMaldivesICE Sports, Medianet
    maltaMaltaGO TV, TSN Malta 3
    mexicoMexicoDisney+, ESPN
    new-zealandNew-zealandbeIN Connect
    north-central-americaNorth-central-americaDisney+ Caribbean, ESPN Norte
    north-macedoniaNorth-macedoniaMaxTV GO
    norwayNorwayVG+
    peruPeruDisney+
    polandPolandEleven Sports 4
    portugalPortugalSport TV3
    russiaRussiaMATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
    saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaSTC TV
    serbiaSerbiaArena Sport 4
    sloveniaSloveniaArena Sport 4
    south-africaSouth-africaSuperSport Football
    spainSpainDAZN Espana
    swedenSwedenTV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
    switzerlandSwitzerlandDAZN Switzerland, Sunrise TV, Sunrise TV
    turkeyTurkeyExxen, S Sport 2, S Sport+
    ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 3
    united-arab-emiratesUnited-arab-emiratesAbu Dhabi Sports Premium 1
    uruguayUruguayDisney+
    usaUsaParamount+
    venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+
    vietnamVietnamON Plus
    worldWorldDisney+, Onefootball
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