Result
3:1
17/03/2026 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Serie B - Round 31
- Referee: Crezzini V. (Ita)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Italy | DAZN Italia, LAB Channel |
 Russia | Telekanal Futbol |
 Switzerland | Blue Sport 7, Blue Sport 7 |
 United-kingdom | DCTV |
 Usa | DCTV |
 World | Onefootball |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.07 | 0.62 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 30 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (549/623) | 70% (229/327) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.07 | 0.62 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.29 | 0.79 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 30 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 12 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 21 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 7 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 37 | 18 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 13 | 9 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (549/623) | 70% (229/327) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (19/38) | 35% (22/62) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 84% (172/204) | 56% (49/87) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (6/17) | 40% (2/5) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 0.89 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 17 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 13 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (12/16) | 78% (14/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 46 | 38 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 10 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.79 | 3.29 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.21 | 0.29 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 33', Faedo C. 🟨,
- 39', Fusi P. 🟨,
- 41', 1 - 0, Svoboda M. ⚽, Busio G. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', 2 - 0, Doumbia I. ⚽,
- 56', Buonaiuto C. ↓, Ghiglione P. ↑,
- 64', Perrotta M. 🟨,
- 66', Faedo C. ↓, Favale G. ↑,
- 69', Yeboah J. ↓, Compagnon M. ↑,
- 69', Doumbia I. ↓, Lella N. ↑,
- 74', 3 - 0, Perez K. ⚽, Hainaut A. (A),
- 76', Perrotta M. ↓, Belli F. ↑,
- 76', Fusi P. ↓, Varas K. ↑,
- 76', Giunti G. ↓, Crisetig L. ↑,
- 77', Busio G. ↓, Dagasso M. ↑,
- 77', Perez K. ↓, Bohinen E. ↑,
- 82', 3 - 1, Capelli A. ⚽, Lasagna K. (A),
- 86', Hainaut A. ↓, Sagrado R. ↑,
- 89', Compagnon M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Venezia
76.3% | Draw
15% | Padova
8.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Venezia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.1%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Venezia's performance.Padova has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Venezia than the current prediction. (-2.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+1.7%)
Venezia - Padova Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.24 ↓
(1.32) |
6.22 ↑
(4.93) |
10.96 ↑
(8.4) |
6.1%
(8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Venezia - Padova?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Venezia will win (votes: 10 - 83.3%). Padova will win (votes: 1 - 8.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Venezia: 62.2% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- DC - Padova (3.90) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Padova (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie A and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Venezia won 4.
- Venezia is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Padova's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- In this match, Venezia is the obvious favorite.
- There will not play in Venezia: Bjarkason B.
(Inactive)
Duncan A.
(Inactive)
Yeboah J.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Padova: Bacci J.
(Injury)
Barreca A.
(Inactive)
Di Mariano F.
(Yellow Cards)
Ghiglione P.
(Inactive)
Harder J.
(Injury)
Papu Gomez
(Inactive)
Sgarbi F.
(Inactive)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Venezia won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 10:7. (average 1.4:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Venezia won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 6:5. (average 2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Venezia won against Padova?
Venezia has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Padova won against Venezia?
Padova has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Venezia - Padova were as follows:
22.11.2025
Padova
-
Venezia
0:2
Latest results of Venezia
Italian Serie B Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Venezia ✔ | 37 | 23 | 10 | 4 | 75:31 | 44 | 79 |
| 2 | Frosinone | 37 | 22 | 12 | 3 | 71:34 | 37 | 78 |
| 3 | Monza | 37 | 22 | 9 | 6 | 59:30 | 29 | 75 |
| 4 | Palermo | 37 | 20 | 12 | 5 | 61:31 | 30 | 72 |
| 5 | Catanzaro ✔ | 37 | 15 | 14 | 8 | 60:48 | 12 | 59 |
| 6 | Modena ✔ | 37 | 15 | 10 | 12 | 49:35 | 14 | 55 |
| 7 | Juve Stabia ✔ | 37 | 11 | 17 | 9 | 43:44 | -1 | 50 |
| 8 | Avellino | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:55 | -13 | 46 |
| 9 | Cesena | 37 | 12 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 46 |
| 10 | Mantova | 37 | 13 | 7 | 17 | 45:52 | -7 | 46 |
| 11 | Carrarese | 37 | 10 | 14 | 13 | 46:50 | -4 | 44 |
| 12 | Sampdoria | 37 | 11 | 11 | 15 | 35:47 | -12 | 44 |
| 13 | Padova | 37 | 11 | 10 | 16 | 35:46 | -11 | 43 |
| 14 | Empoli | 37 | 9 | 13 | 15 | 45:52 | -7 | 40 |
| 15 | Sudtirol | 37 | 8 | 16 | 13 | 37:47 | -10 | 40 |
| 16 | Entella | 37 | 9 | 12 | 16 | 34:50 | -16 | 39 |
| 17 | Bari | 37 | 9 | 10 | 18 | 35:58 | -23 | 37 |
| 18 | Pescara | 37 | 7 | 13 | 17 | 50:65 | -15 | 34 |
| 19 | Spezia | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 42:58 | -16 | 34 |
| 20 | Reggiana | 37 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 35:56 | -21 | 34 |
Promotion ~ Serie A
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Serie B (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
Serie B (Play Out: )
Relegation
Clinched Spots for Teams
Venezia is Qualified for Serie A
Catanzaro is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Modena is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
Juve Stabia is Qualified for Serie B (Play Offs Quarter~finals)
