Result
4:1
26/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- League Two - Round 45
- Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.05 | 0.40 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 65% | 35% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (567/630) | 79% (264/334) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 4.05 | 0.40 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 5.25 | 0.20 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 34 | 9 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 90% (567/630) | 79% (264/334) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (29/55) | 50% (28/56) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 79% (172/217) | 56% (40/72) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 30% (6/20) | 29% (2/7) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.37 | 0.32 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 22 | 15 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 9 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (6/11) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 36 | 48 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 14 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.20 | 5.25 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.80 | 1.25 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 17', McFadzean K. 🟨,
- 32', Metcalfe J. ↓, Jacobs M. ↑,
- 45+1', 1 - 0, Grigg W. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (3 - 1)
- 46', McFadzean K. ↓, Oldaker D. ↑,
- 46', Tollitt B. ↓, Slew J. ↑,
- 46', Angol L. ↓, Hope H. ↑,
- 56', Taylor M. 🟨,
- 59', 1 - 1, Slew J. ⚽, Tutonda D. (A),
- 62', 2 - 1, Palmer A. ⚽,
- 62', Duffy D. ↓, Colclough R. ↑,
- 63', Grigg W. ↓, Pepple A. ↑,
- 69', Songo'o Y. ↓, Lewis P. ↑,
- 75', 3 - 1, Olakigbe M. ⚽, Colclough R. (A),
- 77', Gordon L. ↓, Grimes J. ↑,
- 80', Stott J. 🟨,
- 80', 4 - 1, Naylor T. ⚽, Palmer A. (A),
- 83', Cooke C. ↓, Fairclough A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Chesterfield
71.9% | Draw
17.5% | Morecambe
10.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chesterfield's performance.Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
Chesterfield - Morecambe Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.31 ↓
(1.4) |
5.37 ↑
(4.8) |
9.05 ↑
(6.75) |
6.3%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Chesterfield - Morecambe?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 15 - 88.2%). Morecambe will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chesterfield: 72.9% – 100%.Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -1.25 - Chesterfield (1.75) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- AH -1.5 - Chesterfield (1.85) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- BTS - no (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chesterfield will win (9 of 9 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 18 high ROI users predict this event. Chesterfield (votes: 18 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
Preview Facts
- This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
- Morecambe is Relegated to National League
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Chesterfield won 2.
- Recent matches Chesterfield is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Morecambe is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- In this match Chesterfield is indisputable favorite.
- There will not play in Chesterfield: Daley-Campbell V.
(Hamstring Injury)
Dobra A.
(Injury)
Donacien J.
(Hamstring Injury)
Dunkley C.
(Neck Injury)
Jones M.
(Injury)
Sheckleford R.
(Calf Injury)
Williams T.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Morecambe: Edwards G.
(Injury)
Garner G.
(Inactive)
Hendrie L.
(Inactive)
Macadam H.
(Inactive)
Millen R.
(Inactive)
Moore S.
(Injury)
Ray G.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Williams R.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Chesterfield: Banks O.
(Injury)
Hobson B.
(Injury)
- Last 7 head-to-head matches Chesterfield won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:13 (average 1.7:1.9).
- Including matches at home between the teams Chesterfield won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Morecambe?
Chesterfield has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Morecambe won against Chesterfield?
Morecambe has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Chesterfield - Morecambe were as follows:
26.10.2024
Morecambe
-
Chesterfield
2:5
Latest results of Chesterfield
Latest results of Morecambe
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Bromley | 39 | 22 | 13 | 4 | 62:36 | 26 | 79 |
| 2 | MK Dons | 39 | 21 | 11 | 7 | 76:40 | 36 | 74 |
| 3 | Cambridge Utd | 38 | 20 | 12 | 6 | 56:28 | 28 | 72 |
| 4 | Notts Co | 38 | 21 | 7 | 10 | 65:39 | 26 | 70 |
| 5 | Swindon | 39 | 21 | 6 | 12 | 63:45 | 18 | 69 |
| 6 | Salford | 39 | 21 | 4 | 14 | 54:48 | 6 | 67 |
| 7 | Grimsby | 38 | 17 | 11 | 10 | 56:40 | 16 | 62 |
| 8 | Chesterfield | 39 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 61:52 | 9 | 62 |
| 9 | Crewe | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 58:47 | 11 | 60 |
| 10 | Walsall | 39 | 17 | 9 | 13 | 48:41 | 7 | 60 |
| 11 | Oldham | 37 | 15 | 13 | 9 | 44:31 | 13 | 58 |
| 12 | Barnet | 39 | 15 | 12 | 12 | 49:43 | 6 | 57 |
| 13 | Fleetwood | 39 | 14 | 12 | 13 | 48:46 | 2 | 54 |
| 14 | Colchester | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 50:41 | 9 | 53 |
| 15 | Accrington | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 38:42 | -4 | 48 |
| 16 | Gillingham | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 44:56 | -12 | 45 |
| 17 | Bristol Rovers | 39 | 13 | 4 | 22 | 40:60 | -20 | 43 |
| 18 | Cheltenham | 38 | 11 | 9 | 18 | 43:65 | -22 | 42 |
| 19 | Shrewsbury | 39 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 37:63 | -26 | 41 |
| 20 | Tranmere | 39 | 9 | 9 | 21 | 48:69 | -21 | 36 |
| 21 | Crawley | 39 | 6 | 13 | 20 | 36:60 | -24 | 31 |
| 22 | Newport | 39 | 8 | 7 | 24 | 39:67 | -28 | 31 |
| 23 | Harrogate | 39 | 7 | 9 | 23 | 29:58 | -29 | 30 |
| 24 | Barrow | 38 | 7 | 8 | 23 | 36:63 | -27 | 29 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
