Chesterfield vs Morecambe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
4:1
26/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 45
  • Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
4.050.40
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
197
Shots on target
102
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
90% (567/630)79% (264/334)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
4.050.40
xG on target (xGOT)
5.250.20
Total shots
197
Shots on target
102
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
144
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
349
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
911
Passes
90% (567/630)79% (264/334)
Long passes
53% (29/55)50% (28/56)
Passes in final third
79% (172/217)56% (40/72)
Crosses
30% (6/20)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
2.370.32
Throw-ins
2215
Fouls
119
Tackles
55% (6/11)67% (12/18)
Duels won
3648
Clearances
1427
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.205.25
Goals prevented
-0.801.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', McFadzean K. 🟨,
  • 32', Metcalfe J. , Jacobs M. ,
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Grigg W. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', McFadzean K. , Oldaker D. ,
  • 46', Tollitt B. , Slew J. ,
  • 46', Angol L. , Hope H. ,
  • 56', Taylor M. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Slew J. , Tutonda D. (A),
  • 62', 2 - 1, Palmer A. ,
  • 62', Duffy D. , Colclough R. ,
  • 63', Grigg W. , Pepple A. ,
  • 69', Songo'o Y. , Lewis P. ,
  • 75', 3 - 1, Olakigbe M. , Colclough R. (A),
  • 77', Gordon L. , Grimes J. ,
  • 80', Stott J. 🟨,
  • 80', 4 - 1, Naylor T. , Palmer A. (A),
  • 83', Cooke C. , Fairclough A. ,

Chances of winning


Chesterfield
71.9%
Draw
17.5%
Morecambe
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.7% 19.5% 13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4% 18.5% 13.1%

Chesterfield - Morecambe Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
1.31
(1.4)
5.37
(4.8)
9.05
(6.75)
6.3%
(7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for Chesterfield - Morecambe?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 15 - 88.2%). Morecambe will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chesterfield: 72.9%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -1.25 - Chesterfield (1.75) (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • AH -1.5 - Chesterfield (1.85) (votes: 5 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • BTS - no (votes: 4 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chesterfield will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 14 high ROI users predict this event. Chesterfield (votes: 14 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • Morecambe is Relegated to National League
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Chesterfield won 2.
    • Recent matches Chesterfield is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Morecambe is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Chesterfield is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Chesterfield: Daley-Campbell V. (Hamstring Injury) Dobra A. (Injury) Donacien J. (Hamstring Injury) Dunkley C. (Neck Injury) Jones M. (Injury) Sheckleford R. (Calf Injury) Williams T. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Morecambe: Edwards G. (Injury) Garner G. (Inactive) Hendrie L. (Inactive) Macadam H. (Inactive) Millen R. (Inactive) Moore S. (Injury) Ray G. (Lacking Match Fitness) Williams R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chesterfield: Banks O. (Injury) Hobson B. (Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Chesterfield won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:13 (average 1.7:1.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Chesterfield won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chesterfield - Morecambe were as follows:
    26.10.2024 Morecambe - Chesterfield 2:5
    Latest results of Chesterfield
    Latest results of Morecambe
    21.04.2025 Morecambe - Salford City 1:3
    18.04.2025 Bromley - Morecambe 1:0
    05.04.2025 Grimsby Town - Morecambe 3:1
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Bromley26157444:271752
    2Swindon25144741:291246
    3Walsall25144735:241146
    4Salford25144738:33546
    5MK Dons26128648:282044
    6Cambridge Utd25128530:201044
    7Notts Co25126738:271142
    8Chesterfield261011542:35741
    9Colchester25109639:281139
    10Crewe26116942:34839
    11Grimsby25107836:30637
    12Oldham25811626:20635
    13Barnet2598832:27535
    14Gillingham25811634:30435
    15Fleetwood2597933:32134
    16Accrington25961027:28-133
    17Tranmere26881040:42-232
    18Cheltenham26931426:43-1730
    19Barrow25661327:38-1124
    20Shrewsbury25571322:41-1922
    21Bristol Rovers25631621:45-2421
    22Crawley26471529:47-1819
    23Harrogate26461619:41-2218
    24Newport25451626:46-2017

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League