Chesterfield vs Morecambe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Chesterfield - Morecambe
Result
4:1
26/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • League Two - Round 45
  • Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
4.050.40
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
197
Shots on target
102
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
81
Passes
90% (567/630)79% (264/334)
Yellow Cards
12
Expected Goals (xG)
4.050.40
xG on target (xGOT)
5.250.20
Total shots
197
Shots on target
102
Shots off target
63
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
144
Shots outside the Box
53
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
11
Big Chances
52
Corner Kicks
81
Touches in opposition box
349
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
911
Passes
90% (567/630)79% (264/334)
Long passes
53% (29/55)50% (28/56)
Passes in final third
79% (172/217)56% (40/72)
Crosses
30% (6/20)29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
2.370.32
Throw-ins
2215
Fouls
119
Tackles
55% (6/11)67% (12/18)
Duels won
3648
Clearances
1427
Interceptions
96
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
16
xGOT faced
0.205.25
Goals prevented
-0.801.25

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 17', McFadzean K. 🟨,
  • 32', Metcalfe J. , Jacobs M. ,
  • 45+1', 1 - 0, Grigg W. ,
  • 2nd Half (3 - 1)
  • 46', McFadzean K. , Oldaker D. ,
  • 46', Tollitt B. , Slew J. ,
  • 46', Angol L. , Hope H. ,
  • 56', Taylor M. 🟨,
  • 59', 1 - 1, Slew J. , Tutonda D. (A),
  • 62', 2 - 1, Palmer A. ,
  • 62', Duffy D. , Colclough R. ,
  • 63', Grigg W. , Pepple A. ,
  • 69', Songo'o Y. , Lewis P. ,
  • 75', 3 - 1, Olakigbe M. , Colclough R. (A),
  • 77', Gordon L. , Grimes J. ,
  • 80', Stott J. 🟨,
  • 80', 4 - 1, Naylor T. , Palmer A. (A),
  • 83', Cooke C. , Fairclough A. ,

Chances of winning


Chesterfield
71.9%
Draw
17.5%
Morecambe
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
66.7% 19.5% 13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4% 18.5% 13.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chesterfield's performance.
  • Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+2.6%)
  • Chesterfield - Morecambe Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.31
    (1.4)
    5.37
    (4.8)
    9.05
    (6.75)
    6.3%
    (7.1%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for Chesterfield - Morecambe?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 15 - 88.2%). Morecambe will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Chesterfield: 72.9%100%.
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • AH -1.25 - Chesterfield (votes: 4 - 100%).
    • AH -1.5 - Chesterfield (votes: 5 - 100%).
    • BTS - no (votes: 4 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chesterfield will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
    • Morecambe is Relegated to National League
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Chesterfield won 2.
    • Recent matches Chesterfield is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Morecambe is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • In this match Chesterfield is indisputable favorite.
    • There will not play in Chesterfield: Daley-Campbell V. (Hamstring Injury) Dobra A. (Injury) Donacien J. (Hamstring Injury) Dunkley C. (Neck Injury) Jones M. (Injury) Sheckleford R. (Calf Injury) Williams T. (Injury)
    • There will not play in Morecambe: Edwards G. (Injury) Garner G. (Inactive) Hendrie L. (Inactive) Macadam H. (Inactive) Millen R. (Inactive) Moore S. (Injury) Ray G. (Lacking Match Fitness) Williams R. (Injury)
    • There are questionable in Chesterfield: Banks O. (Injury) Hobson B. (Injury)
    • Last 7 head-to-head matches Chesterfield won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:13 (average 1.7:1.9).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Chesterfield won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Chesterfield - Morecambe were as follows:
    26.10.2024 Morecambe - Chesterfield 2:5
    Latest results of Chesterfield
    Latest results of Morecambe
    21.04.2025 Morecambe - Salford City 1:3
    18.04.2025 Bromley - Morecambe 1:0
    05.04.2025 Grimsby Town - Morecambe 3:1
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Crewe440010:2812
    2Grimsby43109:4510
    3Chesterfield43017:529
    4Salford43016:519
    5MK Dons42208:178
    6Gillingham42207:348
    7Bromley42206:338
    8Harrogate42206:428
    9Cambridge Utd42116:517
    10Fleetwood42117:707
    11Walsall42024:406
    12Swindon42026:7-16
    13Tranmere31206:245
    14Colchester41215:415
    15Notts Co41127:614
    16Newport41124:5-14
    17Oldham40312:3-13
    18Barnet41033:6-33
    19Barrow41032:5-33
    20Accrington30122:5-31
    21Bristol Rovers40132:6-41
    22Crawley40132:7-51
    23Shrewsbury40131:10-91
    24Cheltenham40041:10-90

          Promotion ~ League Two
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League