Chesterfield vs Morecambe – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/04/2025 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

SMH Group Stadium (Chesterfield).

League Two - Round 45
Referee: Corlett M. (Eng)

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
4.05	0.40
Ball Possession
65%	35%
Total shots
19	7
Shots on target
10	2
Big Chances
5	2
Corner Kicks
8	1
Passes
90% (567/630)	79% (264/334)
Yellow Cards
1	2
Expected Goals (xG)
4.05	0.40
xG on target (xGOT)
5.25	0.20
Total shots
19	7
Shots on target
10	2
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
14	4
Shots outside the Box
5	3
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Headed Goals
1	1
Big Chances
5	2
Corner Kicks
8	1
Touches in opposition box
34	9
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
9	11
Passes
90% (567/630)	79% (264/334)
Long passes
53% (29/55)	50% (28/56)
Passes in final third
79% (172/217)	56% (40/72)
Crosses
30% (6/20)	29% (2/7)
Expected assists (xA)
2.37	0.32
Throw-ins
22	15
Fouls
11	9
Tackles
55% (6/11)	67% (12/18)
Duels won
36	48
Clearances
14	27
Interceptions
9	6
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	6
xGOT faced
0.20	5.25
Goals prevented
-0.80	1.25

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', McFadzean K. 🟨,
32', Metcalfe J. ↓, Jacobs M. ↑,
45+1', 1 - 0, Grigg W. ⚽,
2nd Half (3 - 1)
46', McFadzean K. ↓, Oldaker D. ↑,
46', Tollitt B. ↓, Slew J. ↑,
46', Angol L. ↓, Hope H. ↑,
56', Taylor M. 🟨,
59', 1 - 1, Slew J. ⚽, Tutonda D. (A),
62', 2 - 1, Palmer A. ⚽,
62', Duffy D. ↓, Colclough R. ↑,
63', Grigg W. ↓, Pepple A. ↑,
69', Songo'o Y. ↓, Lewis P. ↑,
75', 3 - 1, Olakigbe M. ⚽, Colclough R. (A),
77', Gordon L. ↓, Grimes J. ↑,
80', Stott J. 🟨,
80', 4 - 1, Naylor T. ⚽, Palmer A. (A),
83', Cooke C. ↓, Fairclough A. ↑,

Chances of winning

Chesterfield
71.9%

Draw
17.5%

Morecambe
10.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

66.7%

19.5%

13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.4%

18.5%

13.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Chesterfield has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Chesterfield's performance.

Morecambe has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Chesterfield than the current prediction. (-1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Morecambe than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Chesterfield - Morecambe Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.31 ↓ (1.4)	5.37 ↑ (4.8)	9.05 ↑ (6.75)	6.3% (7.1%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for Chesterfield - Morecambe?

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Chesterfield will win (votes: 15 - 88.2%). Morecambe will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Chesterfield: 72.9% – 100%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH -1.25 - Chesterfield (votes: 4 - 100%).

AH -1.5 - Chesterfield (votes: 5 - 100%).

BTS - no (votes: 4 - 100%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Chesterfield will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:0.

Preview Facts

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 10 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ National League).
Morecambe is Relegated to National League
Last 5 head-to-head matches Chesterfield won 2.
Recent matches Chesterfield is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Morecambe is in a poor shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
In this match Chesterfield is indisputable favorite.
There will not play in Chesterfield: Daley-Campbell V. (Hamstring Injury) Dobra A. (Injury) Donacien J. (Hamstring Injury) Dunkley C. (Neck Injury) Jones M. (Injury) Sheckleford R. (Calf Injury) Williams T. (Injury)
There will not play in Morecambe: Edwards G. (Injury) Garner G. (Inactive) Hendrie L. (Inactive) Macadam H. (Inactive) Millen R. (Inactive) Moore S. (Injury) Ray G. (Lacking Match Fitness) Williams R. (Injury)
There are questionable in Chesterfield: Banks O. (Injury) Hobson B. (Injury)
Last 7 head-to-head matches Chesterfield won 2 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:13 (average 1.7:1.9).
Including matches at home between the teams Chesterfield won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).

How many head-to-head matches has Chesterfield won against Morecambe?

Chesterfield has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Morecambe won against Chesterfield?

Morecambe has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Chesterfield - Morecambe were as follows:

26.10.2024 Morecambe - Chesterfield 2:5

Latest results of Chesterfield

21.04.2025 Chesterfield - Bradford City 3:3 ✺

18.04.2025 AFC Wimbledon - Chesterfield 0:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Chesterfield - Fleetwood Town 3:0 ✺

08.04.2025 Chesterfield - Gillingham 1:1 ✺

05.04.2025 Tranmere Rovers - Chesterfield 4:0 ✺

Latest results of Morecambe

21.04.2025 Morecambe - Salford City 1:3 ✺

18.04.2025 Bromley - Morecambe 1:0 ✺

12.04.2025 Morecambe - Carlisle United 0:2 ✺

05.04.2025 Grimsby Town - Morecambe 3:1 ✺

01.04.2025 Morecambe - Cheltenham Town 2:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Colchester	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
2	Bristol Rovers	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
3	Cheltenham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
4	Crewe	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
5	Gillingham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
6	Oldham	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
7	Swindon	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
8	Tranmere	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
9	Walsall	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
10	Accrington	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
11	Barnet	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
12	Chesterfield	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
13	Grimsby	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
14	MK Dons	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
15	Notts Co	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
16	Shrewsbury	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
17	Cambridge Utd	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
18	Crawley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
19	Barrow	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
20	Bromley	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
21	Newport	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
22	Harrogate	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
23	Fleetwood	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0
24	Salford	0	0	0	0	0:0	0	0

      Promotion ~ League Two
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League