Result
0:0
20/12/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 15
- Referee: Pereira C. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV1 |
 Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.76 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 49% | 51% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (313/385) | 80% (318/398) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.76 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 0.67 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 19 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 81% (313/385) | 80% (318/398) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 53% (30/57) | 40% (21/52) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 65% (56/86) | 72% (88/123) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (5/20) | 13% (3/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.47 | 0.40 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 19 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 19 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 60% (9/15) | 58% (7/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 46 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 38 | 24 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.36 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.67 | 0.36 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 33', Pinto D. 🟨,
- 35', Cabral S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Sola A. ↓, Stoica I. ↑,
- 57', Guilherme Schettine ↓, Semedo L. ↑,
- 57', Bernardo ↓, Rodri ↑,
- 57', Landerson ↓, Kiko Bondoso ↑,
- 67', Moreira P. 🟨,
- 72', Kikas ↓, Rodrigo Pinho ↑,
- 72', Encada J. ↓, Otavio ↑,
- 80', Jovane ↓, Meireles J. ↑,
- 84', Travassos ↓, Teguia C. ↑,
- 84', Cabral S. ↓, Chernev A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Estrela da Amadora
33% | Draw
32.3% | Moreirense
34.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Estrela da Amadora has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.8%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Estrela da Amadora's form might have worsened.Moreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Estrela da Amadora than the current prediction. (+4.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Estrela da Amadora - Moreirense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.85 ↑
(2.5) |
2.93 ↓
(3.19) |
2.73 ↓
(3.14) |
5.8%
(3.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Estrela da Amadora - Moreirense?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Estrela will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Moreirense will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estrela: 30.1% – 75.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 5 high ROI users predict this event. Estrela (votes: 3 - 60%). Moreirense (votes: 1 - 20%). Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estrela won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Estrela: Alisson Souza
(Inactive)
Montoia G.
(Inactive)
Ni
(Injury)
- There will not play in Moreirense: Jorquera Romero J.
(Ankle Injury)
Yan Maranhao
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Estrela: Cabral S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Moreirense: Sousa V.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Estrela won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.3:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Estrela won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against Moreirense?
Estrela da Amadora has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Moreirense won against Estrela da Amadora?
Moreirense has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estrela da Amadora - Moreirense were as follows:
02.03.2025
Moreirense
-
Estrela da Amadora
1:1
28.09.2024
Estrela da Amadora
-
Moreirense
2:1
07.04.2024
Moreirense
-
Estrela da Amadora
2:2
11.11.2023
Estrela da Amadora
-
Moreirense
0:1
06.05.2023
Estrela da Amadora
-
Moreirense
2:4
Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
Latest results of Moreirense
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 26 | 22 | 3 | 1 | 52:10 | 42 | 69 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 25 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 64:14 | 50 | 62 |
| 3 | Benfica | 26 | 18 | 8 | 0 | 55:17 | 38 | 62 |
| 4 | Braga | 25 | 13 | 7 | 5 | 52:25 | 27 | 46 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 26 | 11 | 9 | 6 | 39:27 | 12 | 42 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 32:22 | 10 | 42 |
| 7 | Estoril | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 47:42 | 5 | 37 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 26 | 10 | 5 | 11 | 31:38 | -7 | 35 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 29:39 | -10 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 26:41 | -15 | 29 |
| 11 | Rio Ave | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 26:45 | -19 | 27 |
| 12 | Arouca | 26 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 33:55 | -22 | 26 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 26 | 6 | 7 | 13 | 23:31 | -8 | 25 |
| 14 | Estrela | 26 | 5 | 10 | 11 | 29:45 | -16 | 25 |
| 15 | Casa Pia | 25 | 5 | 9 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 24 |
| 16 | Nacional | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 29:38 | -9 | 22 |
| 17 | Tondela | 25 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 19:39 | -20 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 26 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 18:58 | -40 | 10 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
