Result
20/12/2025 at 15:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 15
- Referee: Pereira C. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Croatia | SportKlub 4 |
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Portugal | Sport TV1 |
Slovenia | SportKlub 4 |
Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport, MEGOGO Ukraine |
Chances of winning
Estrela da Amadora 33% | Draw 32.3% | Moreirense 34.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Estrela da Amadora - Moreirense Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.85 ↑ (2.5) |
2.93 ↓ (3.19) |
2.73 ↓ (3.14) |
5.8% (3.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Estrela da Amadora - Moreirense?
Users Predictions:
19 users predict this event. Estrela will win (votes: 10 - 52.6%). Moreirense will win (votes: 6 - 31.6%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Estrela: 30.1% – 75.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Estrela (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 14 and 8).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Estrela won 1.
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
- There will not play in Estrela: Alisson Souza
(Inactive)
Montoia G.
(Inactive)
Ni
(Injury)
- There will not play in Moreirense: Jorquera Romero J.
(Ankle Injury)
Yan Maranhao
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Estrela: Cabral S.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Moreirense: Sousa V.
(Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Estrela won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 9:13. (average 1.3:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Estrela won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 4:6. (average 1.3:2).
How many head-to-head matches has Estrela da Amadora won against Moreirense?
Estrela da Amadora has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Moreirense won against Estrela da Amadora?
Moreirense has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Estrela da Amadora - Moreirense were as follows:
02.03.2025
Moreirense
-
Estrela da Amadora
1:1
28.09.2024
Estrela da Amadora
-
Moreirense
2:1
07.04.2024
Moreirense
-
Estrela da Amadora
2:2
11.11.2023
Estrela da Amadora
-
Moreirense
0:1
06.05.2023
Estrela da Amadora
-
Moreirense
2:4
Latest results of Estrela da Amadora
Latest results of Moreirense
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 14 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 30:4 | 26 | 40 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 14 | 11 | 2 | 1 | 38:7 | 31 | 35 |
| 3 | Benfica | 14 | 9 | 5 | 0 | 30:8 | 22 | 32 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 19:9 | 10 | 26 |
| 5 | Braga | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 26:13 | 13 | 25 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 18:9 | 9 | 23 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 15:17 | -2 | 21 |
| 8 | Moreirense | 14 | 6 | 2 | 6 | 21:24 | -3 | 20 |
| 9 | Estoril | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 23:25 | -2 | 17 |
| 10 | Rio Ave | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 19:24 | -5 | 17 |
| 11 | Alverca | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 15:20 | -5 | 17 |
| 12 | Santa Clara | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 11:15 | -4 | 15 |
| 13 | Nacional | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 15:19 | -4 | 15 |
| 14 | Estrela | 14 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 17:22 | -5 | 14 |
| 15 | Arouca | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 15:37 | -22 | 12 |
| 16 | Casa Pia | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 14:28 | -14 | 10 |
| 17 | Tondela | 14 | 2 | 3 | 9 | 8:25 | -17 | 9 |
| 18 | AFS | 14 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 9:37 | -28 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2