Moreirense vs Vitoria Guimarães – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
2:0
23/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 3
  • Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
portugalPortugalTVI

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.480.26
Ball Possession
48%52%
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
37
Passes
79% (291/367)80% (303/381)
Yellow Cards
52
Expected Goals (xG)
1.480.26
xG on target (xGOT)
1.690.30
Total shots
1011
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
35
Blocked Shots
32
Shots inside the Box
74
Shots outside the Box
37
Hit the Woodwork
10
Headed Goals
10
Big Chances
30
Corner Kicks
37
Touches in opposition box
1614
Accurate through passes
01
Offsides
02
Free Kicks
1716
Passes
79% (291/367)80% (303/381)
Long passes
38% (24/63)36% (18/50)
Passes in final third
62% (56/90)69% (83/120)
Crosses
13% (2/15)21% (6/28)
Expected assists (xA)
1.470.99
Throw-ins
1920
Fouls
1717
Tackles
63% (5/8)42% (5/12)
Duels won
5042
Clearances
3412
Interceptions
911
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
42
xGOT faced
0.301.69
Goals prevented
0.30-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 17', Mendes J. II. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Ofori L. , Assis A. ,
  • 47', 1 - 0, Guilherme Schettine , Alanzinho (A),
  • 49', 2 - 0, Guilherme Schettine , Kiko Bondoso (A),
  • 57', Maga , Ndoye A. ,
  • 57', Santos N. , Camara O. ,
  • 63', Assis A. 🟨,
  • 65', Oliveira N. , Arcanjo T. ,
  • 68', Maracas 🟨,
  • 70', Kiko Bondoso , Landerson ,
  • 70', Guilherme Schettine , Yan Maranhao ,
  • 74', Felix V. 🟨,
  • 77', Mendes J. II. , Lebedenko O. ,
  • 77', Tiago Silva , Beni ,
  • 80', Kiko , Martinez A. ,
  • 80', Maracas , Batista G. ,
  • 83', Caio 🟨,
  • 87', Pinto D. 🟨,
  • 90', Batista G. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Moreirense
31.4%
Draw
30.2%
Vitoria Guimarães
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
25.2% 29% 45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24% 30.5% 48.1%

Moreirense - Vitoria Guimarães Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)
3.02
(3.78)
3.1
(3.28)
2.45
(2.08)
6.3%
(5%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Moreirense - Vitoria Guimarães?
  • Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Moreirense will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7%80.9%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 1.
    • Moreirense has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
    • Guimarães has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • Recently, Moreirense has had a series of home games.
    • The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
    • There will not play in Moreirense: Guilherme Liberato (Knee Injury)
    • There will not play in Guimarães: Rivas Viondi O. (Injury) Samu (Injury) Thiago Balieiro (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Moreirense: Michel (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Guimarães: Nobrega M. (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:30. (average 0.9:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Moreirense won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.5:1.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Moreirense - Vitoria Guimarães were as follows:
    30.03.2025 Moreirense - Vitoria Guimarães 2:2
    03.11.2024 Vitoria Guimarães - Moreirense 1:0
    30.03.2024 Vitoria Guimarães - Moreirense 1:0
    05.11.2023 Moreirense - Vitoria Guimarães 1:0
    Latest results of Moreirense
    17.08.2025 Santa Clara - Moreirense 0:1
    10.08.2025 Moreirense - Alverca 2:1
    02.08.2025 Moreirense - Felgueiras 1:0
    26.07.2025 Moreirense - Chaves 0:0
    19.07.2025 Moreirense - Lusitânia 3:2
    Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto13121027:32437
    2Sporting CP13102132:72532
    3Benfica1385026:81829
    4Gil Vicente1272316:61023
    5Braga1364325:121322
    6Famalicao1355314:9520
    7Moreirense1362521:20120
    8Vitoria Guimaraes1252514:17-317
    9Alverca1352615:19-417
    10Rio Ave1337317:21-416
    11Santa Clara1343611:14-315
    12Estoril1335522:21114
    13Estrela1335516:19-314
    14Nacional1333712:18-612
    15Casa Pia1323813:27-149
    16Tondela132387:22-159
    17Arouca1323814:37-239
    18AFS1303109:31-223

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