Vitoria Guimarães vs Moreirense – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Liga Portugal
Result
1:0
30/01/2026 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Portugal - Round 20
  • Referee: Nobre A. (Por)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
greeceGreeceCOSMOTE Sport 7
portugalPortugalSport TV1
ukraineUkraineMEGOGO Futbol 5, MEGOGO Ukraine

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
1.510.77
Ball possession
43%57%
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
25
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
55
Passes
78% (282/360)81% (392/481)
Yellow cards
25
Expected goals (xG)
1.510.77
xG on target (xGOT)
1.601.02
Total shots
1410
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
84
Blocked shots
41
Shots inside the box
94
Shots outside the box
56
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
12
Corner kicks
55
Touches in opposition box
2414
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
23
Free kicks
1219
Passes
78% (282/360)81% (392/481)
Long passes
41% (19/46)29% (16/56)
Passes in final third
61% (56/92)69% (64/93)
Crosses
35% (6/17)20% (3/15)
Expected assists (xA)
0.870.39
Throw ins
1226
Fouls
1912
Tackles
63% (10/16)64% (7/11)
Duels won
5440
Clearances
1515
Interceptions
1511
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
51
xGOT faced
1.021.60
Goals prevented
1.020.60

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 42', Batista G. 🟨,
  • 43', Maga 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Camara O. ↓, Samu ↑,
  • 56', Pinto D. 🟨,
  • 58', Landerson ↓, Kiko Bondoso ↑,
  • 63', Oliveira N. ↓, Ndoye A. ↑,
  • 65', Stjepanovic M. 🟨,
  • 66', 1 - 0, Samu (Penalty Awarded),
  • 69', Gustavo ↓, Blanco F. ↑,
  • 73', Rodri ↓, John N. ↑,
  • 80', Martinez A. ↓, Yan Maranhao ↑,
  • 80', Sousa D. ↓, Mitrovic M. ↑,
  • 80', Pinto D. ↓, Santos L. ↑,
  • 83', Yan Maranhao 🟨,
  • 90', John N. 🟨,
  • 90+21', Samu 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Vitoria Guimarães
50.2%		Draw
28.6%		Moreirense
21.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.6% 28.6% 26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.8% 29.1% 27.4%

Vitoria Guimarães - Moreirense Odds

1 X 2 Marga
Avarage Now
(Initially)		 1.89 ↓
(2.12)		 3.29 ↓
(3.31)		 4.45 ↑
(3.52)		 5.9%
(5.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Vitoria Guimarães - Moreirense?
  • Users Predictions: 32 users predict this event. Guimarães will win (votes: 25 - 78.1%). Moreirense will win (votes: 3 - 9.4%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 12.5%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Guimarães: 63.8% – 92.4%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 15 high ROI users predict this event. Guimarães (votes: 11 - 73.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 26.7%).
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 0.75, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH -0.75 - Moreirense (1.80) (votes: 2 - 100%) .
    • BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
    • DC - Moreirense (1.93) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 20 high ROI users predict this event. Guimarães (votes: 11 - 55%). Moreirense (votes: 5 - 25%). Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).
    •
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 9 and 6).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 2.
    • Guimarães has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).
    • Moreirense is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • In this match, Guimarães is seen as the favorite.
    • There will not play in Guimarães: Rivas Viondi O. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Moreirense: Maracas (Yellow Cards) Sousa V. (Leg Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Guimarães won 10 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:19. (average 1.3:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Guimarães won 7 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 10:2. (average 1.1:0.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Vitoria Guimarães - Moreirense were as follows:
    23.08.2025 Moreirense - Vitoria Guimarães 2:0
    30.03.2025 Moreirense - Vitoria Guimarães 2:2
    03.11.2024 Vitoria Guimarães - Moreirense 1:0
    30.03.2024 Vitoria Guimarães - Moreirense 1:0
    05.11.2023 Moreirense - Vitoria Guimarães 1:0
    Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
    24.01.2026 Estoril Praia - Vitoria Guimarães 4:2 ✺
    18.01.2026 Vitoria Guimarães - Porto 0:1 ✺
    10.01.2026 Vitoria Guimarães - Braga 2:1 ✺
    06.01.2026 Sporting Lisbon - Vitoria Guimarães 1:2 ✺
    02.01.2026 Vitoria Guimarães - Nacional 2:1 ✺
    Latest results of Moreirense
    24.01.2026 Moreirense - Santa Clara 1:0 ✺
    17.01.2026 Alverca - Moreirense 2:1 ✺
    11.01.2026 Moreirense - Tondela 1:0 ✺
    03.01.2026 AVS - Moreirense 0:2 ✺
    20.12.2025 Estrela da Amadora - Moreirense 0:0 ✺
    Liga Portugal Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1FC Porto21182142:73556
    2Sporting CP21164155:124352
    3Benfica21147044:123249
    4Braga21116444:182639
    5Gil Vicente21107431:171437
    6Famalicao2195727:20732
    7Estoril2186743:35830
    8Moreirense2193927:29-230
    9Vitoria Guimaraes2184923:30-728
    10Alverca21731121:36-1524
    11Estrela2158825:37-1223
    12Arouca21651026:46-2023
    13Nacional21561027:30-321
    14Rio Ave2148922:41-1920
    15Casa Pia21471022:39-1719
    16Santa Clara21451216:26-1017
    17Tondela21351314:35-2114
    18AFS21051615:54-395

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