Result
2:0
23/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 3
- Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Portugal | TVI |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (291/367) | 80% (303/381) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.48 | 0.26 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.69 | 0.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 4 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 16 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (291/367) | 80% (303/381) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 38% (24/63) | 36% (18/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (56/90) | 69% (83/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 13% (2/15) | 21% (6/28) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.47 | 0.99 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 20 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 63% (5/8) | 42% (5/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 50 | 42 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 34 | 12 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.30 | 1.69 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.30 | -0.31 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 17', Mendes J. II. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Ofori L. ↓, Assis A. ↑,
- 47', 1 - 0, Guilherme Schettine ⚽, Alanzinho (A),
- 49', 2 - 0, Guilherme Schettine ⚽, Kiko Bondoso (A),
- 57', Maga ↓, Ndoye A. ↑,
- 57', Santos N. ↓, Camara O. ↑,
- 63', Assis A. 🟨,
- 65', Oliveira N. ↓, Arcanjo T. ↑,
- 68', Maracas 🟨,
- 70', Kiko Bondoso ↓, Landerson ↑,
- 70', Guilherme Schettine ↓, Yan Maranhao ↑,
- 74', Felix V. 🟨,
- 77', Mendes J. II. ↓, Lebedenko O. ↑,
- 77', Tiago Silva ↓, Beni ↑,
- 80', Kiko ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
- 80', Maracas ↓, Batista G. ↑,
- 83', Caio 🟨,
- 87', Pinto D. 🟨,
- 90', Batista G. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Moreirense
31.4% | Draw
30.2% | Vitoria Guimarães
38.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moreirense's performance.Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitoria Guimarães might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moreirense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitoria Guimarães could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Moreirense - Vitoria Guimarães Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.02 ↓
(3.78) |
3.1 ↓
(3.28) |
2.45 ↑
(2.08) |
6.3%
(5%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Moreirense - Vitoria Guimarães?
Users Predictions:
13 users predict this event. Moreirense will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 1.
- Moreirense has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Guimarães has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Moreirense has had a series of home games.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Moreirense: Guilherme Liberato
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Guimarães: Rivas Viondi O.
(Injury)
Samu
(Injury)
Thiago Balieiro
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Moreirense: Michel
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Guimarães: Nobrega M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:30. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Moreirense won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.5:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Moreirense won against Vitoria Guimarães?
Moreirense has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Moreirense?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Moreirense - Vitoria Guimarães were as follows:
30.03.2025
Moreirense
-
Vitoria Guimarães
2:2
03.11.2024
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Moreirense
1:0
30.03.2024
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Moreirense
1:0
05.11.2023
Moreirense
-
Vitoria Guimarães
1:0
Latest results of Moreirense
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 8 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 19:1 | 18 | 22 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:5 | 15 | 19 |
| 3 | Benfica | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 13:4 | 9 | 18 |
| 4 | Gil Vicente | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 10:4 | 6 | 16 |
| 5 | Moreirense | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 15 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8:4 | 4 | 13 |
| 7 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
| 8 | Braga | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 12:8 | 4 | 10 |
| 9 | Alverca | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 10 |
| 10 | Nacional | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 11 | Arouca | 8 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 10:19 | -9 | 9 |
| 12 | Rio Ave | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 11:13 | -2 | 8 |
| 13 | Santa Clara | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 6:10 | -4 | 8 |
| 14 | Casa Pia | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 8:13 | -5 | 8 |
| 15 | Estrela | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 6:8 | -2 | 7 |
| 16 | Estoril | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 10:13 | -3 | 6 |
| 17 | Tondela | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 4:14 | -10 | 5 |
| 18 | AFS | 8 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 5:20 | -15 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
