Moreirense vs Vitoria Guimarães – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

23/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Parque Joaquim de Almeida Freitas (Moreira de Conegos).

Liga Portugal - Round 3
Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
Where to Watch on TV:


Portugal	TVI

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.48	0.26
Ball Possession
48%	52%
Total shots
10	11
Shots on target
4	4
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
3	7
Passes
79% (291/367)	80% (303/381)
Yellow Cards
5	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48	0.26
xG on target (xGOT)
1.69	0.30
Total shots
10	11
Shots on target
4	4
Shots off target
3	5
Blocked Shots
3	2
Shots inside the Box
7	4
Shots outside the Box
3	7
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Headed Goals
1	0
Big Chances
3	0
Corner Kicks
3	7
Touches in opposition box
16	14
Accurate through passes
0	1
Offsides
0	2
Free Kicks
17	16
Passes
79% (291/367)	80% (303/381)
Long passes
38% (24/63)	36% (18/50)
Passes in final third
62% (56/90)	69% (83/120)
Crosses
13% (2/15)	21% (6/28)
Expected assists (xA)
1.47	0.99
Throw-ins
19	20
Fouls
17	17
Tackles
63% (5/8)	42% (5/12)
Duels won
50	42
Clearances
34	12
Interceptions
9	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
4	2
xGOT faced
0.30	1.69
Goals prevented
0.30	-0.31

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
17', Mendes J. II. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Ofori L. ↓, Assis A. ↑,
47', 1 - 0, Guilherme Schettine ⚽, Alanzinho (A),
49', 2 - 0, Guilherme Schettine ⚽, Kiko Bondoso (A),
57', Maga ↓, Ndoye A. ↑,
57', Santos N. ↓, Camara O. ↑,
63', Assis A. 🟨,
65', Oliveira N. ↓, Arcanjo T. ↑,
68', Maracas 🟨,
70', Kiko Bondoso ↓, Landerson ↑,
70', Guilherme Schettine ↓, Yan Maranhao ↑,
74', Felix V. 🟨,
77', Mendes J. II. ↓, Lebedenko O. ↑,
77', Tiago Silva ↓, Beni ↑,
80', Kiko ↓, Martinez A. ↑,
80', Maracas ↓, Batista G. ↑,
83', Caio 🟨,
87', Pinto D. 🟨,
90', Batista G. 🟨,

Chances of winning

Moreirense
31.4%

Draw
30.2%

Vitoria Guimarães
38.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25.2%

29%

45.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

30.5%

48.1%

Moreirense - Vitoria Guimarães Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.02 ↓ (3.78)	3.1 ↓ (3.28)	2.45 ↑ (2.08)	6.3% (5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

What is the prediction for Moreirense - Vitoria Guimarães?

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Moreirense will win (votes: 6 - 46.2%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 53.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 26.7% – 80.9%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

AH 0 - Moreirense (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Moreirense (votes: 1 - 33.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 133.3%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 1.
Moreirense has been on a winning streak and is in great shape (last 5 games: 4 wins).
Guimarães has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Recently, Moreirense has had a series of home games.
The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
There will not play in Moreirense: Guilherme Liberato (Knee Injury)
There will not play in Guimarães: Rivas Viondi O. (Injury) Samu (Injury) Thiago Balieiro (Inactive)
There are questionable in Moreirense: Michel (Inactive)
There are questionable in Guimarães: Nobrega M. (Injury)
In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:30. (average 0.9:1.5).
Including home matches between the teams, Moreirense won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.5:1.6).

How many head-to-head matches has Moreirense won against Vitoria Guimarães?

Moreirense has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Moreirense?

Vitoria Guimarães has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Moreirense - Vitoria Guimarães were as follows:

30.03.2025 Moreirense - Vitoria Guimarães 2:2

03.11.2024 Vitoria Guimarães - Moreirense 1:0

30.03.2024 Vitoria Guimarães - Moreirense 1:0

05.11.2023 Moreirense - Vitoria Guimarães 1:0

Latest results of Moreirense

17.08.2025 Santa Clara - Moreirense 0:1 ✺

10.08.2025 Moreirense - Alverca 2:1 ✺

02.08.2025 Moreirense - Felgueiras 1:0 ✺

26.07.2025 Moreirense - Chaves 0:0 ✺

19.07.2025 Moreirense - Lusitânia 3:2 ✺

Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães

16.08.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Estoril Praia 3:2 ✺

11.08.2025 Porto - Vitoria Guimarães 3:0 ✺

02.08.2025 Chaves - Vitoria Guimarães 2:1 ✺

01.08.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - Celta de Vigo 1:0 ✺

20.07.2025 Vitoria Guimarães - AVS 1:1 ✺

Liga Portugal Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	FC Porto	18	17	1	0	37:4	33	52
2	Sporting CP	18	14	3	1	50:9	41	45
3	Benfica	18	12	6	0	38:11	27	42
4	Gil Vicente	18	8	7	3	24:13	11	31
5	Braga	18	8	6	4	32:18	14	30
6	Moreirense	18	8	3	7	25:26	-1	27
7	Famalicao	18	7	5	6	21:14	7	26
8	Vitoria Guimaraes	18	7	4	7	18:23	-5	25
9	Estoril	18	6	5	7	33:29	4	23
10	Alverca	18	7	2	9	19:28	-9	23
11	Rio Ave	18	4	8	6	22:31	-9	20
12	Estrela	18	4	7	7	23:32	-9	19
13	Santa Clara	18	4	5	9	14:20	-6	17
14	Nacional	18	4	5	9	22:28	-6	17
15	Arouca	18	4	5	9	19:42	-23	17
16	Casa Pia	18	3	5	10	17:35	-18	14
17	Tondela	18	3	3	12	12:30	-18	12
18	AFS	18	0	4	14	11:44	-33	4

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