Result
23/08/2025 at 11:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 3
- Referee: Pinheiro J. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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Portugal | TVI |
Chances of winning
Moreirense 31% | Draw 30.3% | Vitoria Guimarães 38.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Moreirense has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Moreirense's performance.Vitoria Guimarães has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.1%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Vitoria Guimarães might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Moreirense than the current prediction. (-7%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Moreirense that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Vitoria Guimarães than the current prediction. (+9.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Vitoria Guimarães could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Moreirense - Vitoria Guimarães Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.04 ↓ (3.78) |
3.08 ↓ (3.28) |
2.43 ↑ (2.08) |
6.4% (5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Moreirense - Vitoria Guimarães?
Users Predictions:
Moreirense will win
(4 of 5 users predict this - 80%).
Confidence interval (95%): 44.94% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 1.
- Moreirense is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).
- Guimarães's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- Recently, Moreirense has had a series of home games.
- Guimarães could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Moreirense: Guilherme Liberato
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Guimarães: Rivas Viondi O.
(Injury)
Samu
(Injury)
Thiago Balieiro
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Moreirense: Michel
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Guimarães: Nobrega M.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Moreirense won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 11 matches, and goals 18:30. (average 0.9:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Moreirense won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:16. (average 1.5:1.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Moreirense won against Vitoria Guimarães?
Moreirense has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Vitoria Guimarães won against Moreirense?
Vitoria Guimarães has won 2 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Moreirense - Vitoria Guimarães were as follows:
30.03.2025
Moreirense
-
Vitoria Guimarães
2:2
03.11.2024
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Moreirense
1:0
30.03.2024
Vitoria Guimarães
-
Moreirense
1:0
05.11.2023
Moreirense
-
Vitoria Guimarães
1:0
Latest results of Moreirense
Latest results of Vitoria Guimarães
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Sporting CP | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 8:0 | 8 | 6 |
2 | Braga | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6:0 | 6 | 6 |
3 | FC Porto | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
4 | Famalicao | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
5 | Moreirense | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
6 | Benfica | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Gil Vicente | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
8 | Casa Pia | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:5 | -2 | 3 |
10 | Arouca | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:7 | -4 | 3 |
11 | Rio Ave | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
12 | Estrela | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 1 |
13 | Estoril | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 1 |
14 | Nacional | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
15 | Santa Clara | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
16 | Tondela | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
17 | Alverca | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
18 | AFS | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2