Result
1:1
15/02/2026 at 18:15 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 6
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
 North-central-america | Centro America TV |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 10', Melendez C. 🟨,
- 26', 1 - 0, Da Silva R. L. ⚽,
- 28', Vega Orellana A. N. 🟨,
- 45', Messiniti N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 49', Aguilera J. 🟨,
- 54', Gomez R. ↓, Serrano J. ↑,
- 61', Macias J. ↓, Melendez D. ↑,
- 62', Melendez C. ↓, Crisanto L. ↑,
- 62', Ramos O. ↓, Perez C. ↑,
- 62', Ramirez D. ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
- 73', 1 - 1, Orellana A. ⚽,
- 77', Da Silva R. L. ↓, Barrios A. ↑,
- 79', Crisanto L. 🟨,
- 79', Messiniti N. ↓, Sorto Caballero T. A. ↑,
Chances of winning
Motagua
35.3% | Draw
30.2% | CD Marathón
34.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motagua has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)CD Marathón has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (+4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (-2.5%)
Motagua - CD Marathón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.58 ↑
(2.32) |
3.01 ↓
(3.11) |
2.63 ↓
(2.72) |
9.9%
(12%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Motagua - CD Marathón?
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- AH -0.25 - Marathón (1.67) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH 0 - Motagua (1.88) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Motagua (votes: 1 - 50%). Marathón (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ) and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motagua won 0.
- Motagua is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Marathón's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Marathón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Motagua won 6 matches, drew 9 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 33:25. (average 1.7:1.3).
- Including home matches between the teams, Motagua won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 21:13. (average 2.1:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Motagua won against CD Marathón?
Motagua has won 3 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CD Marathón won against Motagua?
CD Marathón has won 5 of their last 17 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motagua - CD Marathón were as follows:
25.10.2025
CD Marathón
-
Motagua
1:0
17.08.2025
Motagua
-
CD Marathón
3:3
29.03.2025
CD Marathón
-
Motagua
1:1
30.01.2025
Motagua
-
CD Marathón
2:2
06.11.2024
CD Marathón
-
Motagua
2:1
Latest results of Motagua
Latest results of CD Marathón
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Real Espana | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 16:10 | 6 | 18 |
| 2 | Motagua | 8 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 15:6 | 9 | 16 |
| 3 | Marathon | 9 | 2 | 5 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Olimpia | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:8 | 2 | 11 |
| 5 | UPNFM | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11:10 | 1 | 10 |
| 6 | Olancho | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 10:9 | 1 | 10 |
| 7 | Victoria | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 9:9 | 0 | 10 |
| 8 | Juticalpa | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 8:17 | -9 | 9 |
| 9 | Platense | 8 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 12:11 | 1 | 8 |
| 10 | Choloma | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5:10 | -5 | 6 |
| 11 | Genesis | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 6:14 | -8 | 6 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )
