Result
3:3
17/08/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
 North-central-america | Centro America TV |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 45% | 55% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 6 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 6 | 8 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 2', Bodden K. ↓, Figueroa H. ↑,
- 2', Cabrera M. 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 1, Figueroa H. ⚽,
- 29', 0 - 2, Vega Orellana A. N. ⚽,
- 33', 1 - 2, Nunez J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Nunez J. ↓, Sacaza G. ↑,
- 46', Cabrera M. ↓, Vazquez M. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 3, Vega Orellana A. N. ⚽,
- 55', 2 - 3, Santos M. ⚽,
- 60', 3 - 3, Gomez R. ⚽,
- 65', Sacaza C. ↓, Elvir S. ↑,
- 65', Fernandez J. ↓, Ramos O. ↑,
- 65', Castillo I. ↓, Bueso J. ↑,
- 71', Farioli B. 🟨,
- 72', Crisanto L. ↓, Melendez C. ↑,
- 76', Melendez C. 🟨,
- 78', Vazquez M. 🟨,
- 82', Santos M. 🟨,
- 83', Serrano J. 🟨,
- 84', Mejia C. ↓, Argueta C. ↑,
- 84', Serrano J. ↓, Macias J. ↑,
- 89', Melendez D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Motagua
38.7% | Draw
28.7% | CD Marathón
32.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motagua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)CD Marathón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CD Marathón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CD Marathón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Motagua - CD Marathón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.36 ↓
(2.59) |
3.18 ↓
(3.38) |
2.8 ↑
(2.34) |
9.6%
(10.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motagua won 0.
- Recent performances by Motagua have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Marathón is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Marathón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Motagua won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:21. (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Motagua won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:10. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Motagua won against CD Marathón?
Motagua has won 3 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CD Marathón won against Motagua?
CD Marathón has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motagua - CD Marathón were as follows:
29.03.2025
CD Marathón
-
Motagua
1:1
30.01.2025
Motagua
-
CD Marathón
2:2
06.11.2024
CD Marathón
-
Motagua
2:1
01.09.2024
Motagua
-
CD Marathón
0:1
07.04.2024
CD Marathón
-
Motagua
1:1
Latest results of Motagua
Latest results of CD Marathón
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 28:14 | 14 | 27 |
| 2 | Marathon | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 26:11 | 15 | 23 |
| 3 | Olancho | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 26:17 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Real Espana | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Motagua | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 21:19 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 | UPNFM | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19:21 | -2 | 16 |
| 7 | Platense | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 15 |
| 8 | Juticalpa | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:21 | -6 | 13 |
| 9 | Genesis | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 9 |
| 10 | Choloma | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 12:32 | -20 | 7 |
| 11 | Victoria | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12:27 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )
