Result
3:3
17/08/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 5
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
---|
Honduras | Deportes TV |
North-central-america | Centro America TV |
Usa | Fanatiz |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Ball Possession |
---|
45% | 55% |
Total shots |
---|
6 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 8 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 3 |
Yellow Cards |
---|
6 | 1 |
Total shots |
---|
6 | 9 |
Shots on target |
---|
6 | 8 |
Shots off target |
---|
0 | 1 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
7 | 3 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
5 | 3 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 2)
- 2', Bodden K. ↓, Figueroa H. ↑,
- 2', Cabrera M. 🟨,
- 21', 0 - 1, Figueroa H. ⚽,
- 29', 0 - 2, Vega Orellana A. N. ⚽,
- 33', 1 - 2, Nunez J. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Nunez J. ↓, Sacaza G. ↑,
- 46', Cabrera M. ↓, Vazquez M. ↑,
- 51', 1 - 3, Vega Orellana A. N. ⚽,
- 55', 2 - 3, Santos M. ⚽,
- 60', 3 - 3, Gomez R. ⚽,
- 65', Sacaza C. ↓, Elvir S. ↑,
- 65', Fernandez J. ↓, Ramos O. ↑,
- 65', Castillo I. ↓, Bueso J. ↑,
- 71', Farioli B. 🟨,
- 72', Crisanto L. ↓, Melendez C. ↑,
- 76', Melendez C. 🟨,
- 78', Vazquez M. 🟨,
- 82', Santos M. 🟨,
- 83', Serrano J. 🟨,
- 84', Mejia C. ↓, Argueta C. ↑,
- 84', Serrano J. ↓, Macias J. ↑,
- 89', Melendez D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Motagua 38.7% | Draw 28.7% | CD Marathón 32.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Motagua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)CD Marathón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and CD Marathón might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (-3.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that CD Marathón could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Motagua - CD Marathón Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.36 ↓ (2.59) |
3.18 ↓ (3.38) |
2.8 ↑ (2.34) |
9.6% (10.9%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- An outsider and one of the leaders will play in this match (ranked 10 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Motagua won 0.
- Recent performances by Motagua have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Marathón is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Marathón may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Motagua won 8 matches, drew 8 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 34:21. (average 1.7:1.1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Motagua won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 20:10. (average 2:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Motagua won against CD Marathón?
Motagua has won 3 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has CD Marathón won against Motagua?
CD Marathón has won 4 of their last 15 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Motagua - CD Marathón were as follows:
29.03.2025
CD Marathón
-
Motagua
1:1
30.01.2025
Motagua
-
CD Marathón
2:2
06.11.2024
CD Marathón
-
Motagua
2:1
01.09.2024
Motagua
-
CD Marathón
0:1
07.04.2024
CD Marathón
-
Motagua
1:1
Latest results of Motagua
Latest results of CD Marathón
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Olimpia | 6 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 16:5 | 11 | 14 |
2 | Marathon | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 15:5 | 10 | 11 |
3 | Olancho | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 12:8 | 4 | 11 |
4 | Juticalpa | 6 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 9:12 | -3 | 11 |
5 | Real Espana | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 9:5 | 4 | 10 |
6 | Platense | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 11:6 | 5 | 9 |
7 | UPNFM | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:9 | -2 | 7 |
8 | Motagua | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 6:10 | -4 | 4 |
9 | Choloma | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 8:16 | -8 | 4 |
10 | Genesis | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 3 |
11 | Victoria | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 0:13 | -13 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals)