Result
1:0
09/04/2026 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Clausura - Round 17
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
 North-central-america | Centro America TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', Elvir S. 🟨,
- 27', Castillo R. 🟨,
- 30', 1 - 0, Vega Orellana A. N. ⚽,
- 43', Melendez D. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Romario ↓, John Kleber ↑,
- 46', Macias J. ↓, Serrano J. ↑,
- 60', Elvir S. ↓, Nunez M. ↑,
- 60', Ramos O. ↓, Sacaza C. ↑,
- 61', Melendez D. ↓, Gomez R. ↑,
- 72', Serrano J. 🟨,
- 74', Vega Orellana A. N. ↓, Bodden K. ↑,
- 74', Messiniti N. ↓, Castillo R. ↑,
- 75', Rougier J. 🟨,
- 76', Sacaza G. 🟨,
- 83', Castillo I. ↓, Sorto Caballero T. A. ↑,
- 87', John Kleber 🟨,
- 87', John Kleber 🟨,
- 87', Rivera J. 🟨,
- 90+2', Vega L. ↓, Portillo J. ↑,
- 90+2', Melendez C. ↓, Barrios A. ↑,
- 90+7', Martinez Hernandez F. E. 🟨,
Chances of winning
CD Marathón
30.3% | Draw
28.5% | Motagua
41.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CD Marathón has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-15.3%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that CD Marathón's form might have worsened.Motagua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+13.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Motagua's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for CD Marathón than the current prediction. (+16.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for CD Marathón, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (-14.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Motagua, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
CD Marathón - Motagua Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.05 ↑
(1.98) |
3.24 ↓
(3.35) |
2.24 ↓
(3.29) |
8.2%
(11%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for CD Marathón - Motagua?
Users Predictions:
3 users predict this event. Motagua will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marathón won 1.
- In recent matches, Marathón has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Motagua is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Marathón may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Marathón will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Marathón won 5 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 25:32. (average 1.3:1.6).
- Including home matches between the teams, Marathón won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 12:12. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has CD Marathón won against Motagua?
CD Marathón has won 5 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Motagua won against CD Marathón?
Motagua has won 3 of their last 18 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between CD Marathón - Motagua were as follows:
15.02.2026
Motagua
-
CD Marathón
1:1
25.10.2025
CD Marathón
-
Motagua
1:0
17.08.2025
Motagua
-
CD Marathón
3:3
29.03.2025
CD Marathón
-
Motagua
1:1
30.01.2025
Motagua
-
CD Marathón
2:2
Latest results of CD Marathón
Latest results of Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Real Espana ✔ | 17 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 30:22 | 8 | 31 |
| 2 | Motagua | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 25:11 | 14 | 29 |
| 3 | Olimpia | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 24:12 | 12 | 29 |
| 4 | Olancho | 16 | 7 | 6 | 3 | 25:13 | 12 | 27 |
| 5 | Marathon | 17 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 21:16 | 5 | 24 |
| 6 | UPNFM | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 20:23 | -3 | 18 |
| 7 | Choloma | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 15:22 | -7 | 17 |
| 8 | Genesis | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 15:25 | -10 | 16 |
| 9 | Platense | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 20:21 | -1 | 14 |
| 10 | Juticalpa | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 14:36 | -22 | 14 |
| 11 | Victoria | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 18:26 | -8 | 13 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Real Espana is Qualified for Liga Nacional (Clausura ~ Triangulares )
