Result
0:1
22/08/2025 at 21:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 6
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 10 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 0 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 23', Silva F. 🟨,
- 43', 0 - 1, Vazquez M. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 52', 🟨,
- 59', Argueta J. 🟨,
- 60', Serrano J. ↓, Macias J. ↑,
- 62', Argueta J. ↓, Crisanto L. ↑,
- 64', 🟨,
- 74', Melendez D. ↓, Nunez J. ↑,
- 74', Vazquez M. ↓, Cabrera M. ↑,
- 79', Portillo J. ↓, Zapata R. ↑,
- 85', Cardozo Coitinho S. 🟨,
- 88', Discua O. 🟨,
- 89', 🟨,
- 90+6', 🟨,
- 90+7', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Victoria La Ceiba
22% | Draw
27.4% | Motagua
50.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Victoria La Ceiba has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Motagua has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Victoria La Ceiba than the current prediction. (+4.9%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Motagua than the current prediction. (-7.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Motagua, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Victoria La Ceiba - Motagua Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.12 ↑
(3.96) |
3.32 ↓
(3.4) |
1.8 ↓
(1.82) |
10%
(9.6%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 11 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Victoria La Ceiba won 0.
- Victoria La Ceiba is going through a poor run of results (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Motagua has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Motagua may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Recently, Motagua has had a series of home games.
- In this match, Motagua is the team to beat.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Victoria La Ceiba won 3 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 13 matches, and goals 17:43. (average 0.9:2.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Victoria La Ceiba won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 8:15. (average 0.8:1.5).
How many head-to-head matches has Victoria La Ceiba won against Motagua?
Victoria La Ceiba has won 2 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Motagua won against Victoria La Ceiba?
Motagua has won 8 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Victoria La Ceiba - Motagua were as follows:
03.05.2025
Victoria La Ceiba
-
Motagua
1:1
01.03.2025
Motagua
-
Victoria La Ceiba
2:1
30.11.2024
Motagua
-
Victoria La Ceiba
5:2
22.09.2024
Victoria La Ceiba
-
Motagua
1:3
30.03.2024
Victoria La Ceiba
-
Motagua
2:2
Latest results of Victoria La Ceiba
Latest results of Motagua
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 28:14 | 14 | 27 |
| 2 | Marathon | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 26:11 | 15 | 23 |
| 3 | Olancho | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 26:17 | 9 | 21 |
| 4 | Real Espana | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18:14 | 4 | 18 |
| 5 | Motagua | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 21:19 | 2 | 18 |
| 6 | UPNFM | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 19:21 | -2 | 16 |
| 7 | Platense | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 20:15 | 5 | 15 |
| 8 | Juticalpa | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15:21 | -6 | 13 |
| 9 | Genesis | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 16:22 | -6 | 9 |
| 10 | Choloma | 11 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 12:32 | -20 | 7 |
| 11 | Victoria | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 12:27 | -15 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )
