MVV Maastricht vs Emmen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie MVV Maastricht - Emmen
Result
1:2
28/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 32
  • Referee: Perez M. (Ned)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsCanal+, ESPN 4

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.210.77
Ball Possession
58%42%
Total shots
178
Shots on target
44
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
82
Passes
83% (448/537)81% (321/398)
Yellow Cards
21
Expected Goals (xG)
2.210.77
xG on target (xGOT)
1.671.30
Total shots
178
Shots on target
44
Shots off target
53
Blocked Shots
81
Shots inside the Box
96
Shots outside the Box
82
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
23
Corner Kicks
82
Touches in opposition box
2519
Offsides
23
Free Kicks
148
Passes
83% (448/537)81% (321/398)
Long passes
61% (44/72)58% (41/71)
Passes in final third
69% (96/140)70% (103/148)
Crosses
27% (7/26)9% (1/11)
Expected assists (xA)
2.290.84
Fouls
814
Tackles
57% (13/23)67% (6/9)
Duels won
5741
Clearances Total
1627
Interceptions
1011
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
23
xGOT faced
1.301.67
Goals prevented
0.300.67

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 42', Zeegers T. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 50', 0 - 1, Hawkins J. , Bakir A. (A),
  • 62', Esajas R. , Kassimi A. ,
  • 63', Wagner F. 🟨,
  • 64', 0 - 2, Klaasen R. (Own goal),
  • 66', Mpindi Landu C. , Eduardo Y. ,
  • 71', Braken S. , Foubert L. ,
  • 71', Tehubijuluw D. , Slegers F. ,
  • 76', Schouten R. , Nunumete D. ,
  • 77', El Basri N. , Penders S. ,
  • 82', 1 - 2, Foubert L. , Kassimi A. (A),
  • 85', Hammouti F. , Soares J. ,
  • 85', Bakir A. , Hekkert J. ,
  • 90', Francis S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning


MVV Maastricht
26.3%
Draw
25.6%
Emmen
48.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.9% 26.5% 36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36% 25.9% 37.5%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that MVV Maastricht's form might have worsened.
  • Emmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Emmen's recent form is better than expected.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+9.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for MVV Maastricht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (-10.6%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Emmen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
  • MVV Maastricht - Emmen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.49
    (2.53)
    3.63
    (3.52)
    1.96
    (2.55)
    7.2%
    (7.2%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
  • What is the prediction for MVV Maastricht - Emmen?
  • Users Predictions: 14 users predict this event. Maastricht will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Emmen will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Emmen: 47.7%95.1%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
  • Preview Facts
    • Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Maastricht won 1.
    • Maastricht has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Recent matches Emmen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Maastricht could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Emmen will have a small advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Maastricht: Coomans W. (Yellow Cards) Schenk L. (Yellow Cards)
    • There will not play in Emmen: Martin M. (Yellow Cards)
    • There are questionable in Emmen: Kade J. (Injury) Unbehaun L. (Injury)
    • Last 17 head-to-head matches Maastricht won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 25:29 (average 1.5:1.7).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Maastricht won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1.3:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between MVV Maastricht - Emmen were as follows:
    04.10.2024 Emmen - MVV Maastricht 1:1
    12.04.2024 Emmen - MVV Maastricht 1:3
    06.11.2023 MVV Maastricht - Emmen 1:1
    Latest results of MVV Maastricht
    Latest results of Emmen
    14.03.2025 Emmen - Jong Utrecht 2:0
    11.03.2025 Jong Ajax - Emmen 0:2
    07.03.2025 Emmen - ADO Den Haag 0:1
    28.02.2025 Dordrecht - Emmen 3:0
    24.02.2025 Helmond Sport - Emmen 1:2
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1De Graafschap00000:000
    2Venlo00000:000
    3Cambuur00000:000
    4Den Bosch00000:000
    5Dordrecht00000:000
    6Eindhoven FC00000:000
    7FC Emmen00000:000
    8Helmond00000:000
    9Maastricht00000:000
    10Almere City00000:000
    11Oss00000:000
    12Waalwijk00000:000
    13Roda00000:000
    14Vitesse00000:000
    15Willem II00000:000
    16Den Haag00000:000
    17Jong PSV00000:000
    18Jong Ajax00000:000
    19Jong AZ00000:000
    20Jong Utrecht00000:000

          Promotion ~ Eredivisie
          Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )