Result
1:2
28/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 32
- Referee: Perez M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 0.77 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (448/537) | 81% (321/398) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.21 | 0.77 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.67 | 1.30 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 8 | 1 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 2 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 25 | 19 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 83% (448/537) | 81% (321/398) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 61% (44/72) | 58% (41/71) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 69% (96/140) | 70% (103/148) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (7/26) | 9% (1/11) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 2.29 | 0.84 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (13/23) | 67% (6/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 57 | 41 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 16 | 27 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.30 | 1.67 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.30 | 0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 42', Zeegers T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 50', 0 - 1, Hawkins J. ⚽, Bakir A. (A),
- 62', Esajas R. ↓, Kassimi A. ↑,
- 63', Wagner F. 🟨,
- 64', 0 - 2, Klaasen R. (Own goal),
- 66', Mpindi Landu C. ↓, Eduardo Y. ↑,
- 71', Braken S. ↓, Foubert L. ↑,
- 71', Tehubijuluw D. ↓, Slegers F. ↑,
- 76', Schouten R. ↓, Nunumete D. ↑,
- 77', El Basri N. ↓, Penders S. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 2, Foubert L. ⚽, Kassimi A. (A),
- 85', Hammouti F. ↓, Soares J. ↑,
- 85', Bakir A. ↓, Hekkert J. ↑,
- 90', Francis S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
MVV Maastricht
26.3% | Draw
25.6% | Emmen
48.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that MVV Maastricht's form might have worsened.Emmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Emmen's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for MVV Maastricht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (-10.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Emmen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
MVV Maastricht - Emmen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.49 ↑
(2.53) |
3.63 ↑
(3.52) |
1.96 ↓
(2.55) |
7.2%
(7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for MVV Maastricht - Emmen?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Maastricht will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Emmen will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Emmen: 47.7% – 95.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Maastricht won 1.
- Maastricht has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Emmen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Maastricht could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Emmen will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Maastricht: Coomans W.
(Yellow Cards)
Schenk L.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Emmen: Martin M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Emmen: Kade J.
(Injury)
Unbehaun L.
(Injury)
- Last 17 head-to-head matches Maastricht won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 25:29 (average 1.5:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Maastricht won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has MVV Maastricht won against Emmen?
MVV Maastricht has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Emmen won against MVV Maastricht?
Emmen has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between MVV Maastricht - Emmen were as follows:
04.10.2024
Emmen
-
MVV Maastricht
1:1
12.04.2024
Emmen
-
MVV Maastricht
1:3
06.11.2023
MVV Maastricht
-
Emmen
1:1
Latest results of MVV Maastricht
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Jong PSV | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 12 |
| 2 | Eindhoven FC | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 10 |
| 3 | Dordrecht | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:2 | 4 | 9 |
| 4 | Cambuur | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:2 | 3 | 9 |
| 5 | Den Haag | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 7 |
| 6 | Waalwijk | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 6:4 | 2 | 7 |
| 7 | Roda | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 8 | Den Bosch | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 8:5 | 3 | 6 |
| 9 | Willem II | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:7 | -3 | 6 |
| 10 | Jong Ajax | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:7 | 0 | 4 |
| 11 | Jong Utrecht | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | -1 | 4 |
| 12 | Helmond | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Maastricht | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 4 |
| 14 | Almere City | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 0 | 3 |
| 15 | De Graafschap | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 16 | Venlo | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 |
| 17 | Oss | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:9 | -3 | 3 |
| 18 | FC Emmen | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | -5 | 3 |
| 19 | Jong AZ | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 3:9 | -6 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
