Result
1:0
26/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 8
- Referee: Calluy R. (Bel)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Netherlands | ESPN Extra |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.83 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (333/418) | 80% (346/433) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.50 | 0.83 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.80 | 0.90 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 19 | 9 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 11 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 9 | 2 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 12 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (333/418) | 80% (346/433) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 50% (20/40) | 43% (25/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (107/148) | 74% (75/102) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 19% (6/31) | 29% (4/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.24 | 0.73 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 12 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 74% (17/23) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 52 | 55 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 21 | 26 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.90 | 0.80 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.90 | -0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kongolo R. ↓, Geypens T. ↑,
- 46', Quispel F. ↓, Evina F. ↑,
- 59', Claridge A. 🟥,
- 63', Gerezgiher F. ↓, Mesbahi J. ↑,
- 64', Mulder P. 🟨,
- 69', Evina F. ↓, Nunumete D. ↑,
- 72', Silva Timas I. ↓, Foubert L. ↑,
- 84', Coomans W. ↓, Asante D. ↑,
- 86', Everink L. ↓, Bolk G. ↑,
- 87', El Basri N. ↓, Kleinen M. ↑,
- 87', Kuipers M. ↓, Verheijen T. ↑,
- 90', 🟨,
- 90+5', 1 - 0, Camil Mmaee ⚽, Schenk L. (A),
Chances of winning
MVV Maastricht
32.2% | Draw
27.8% | Emmen
40.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)Emmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+4.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
MVV Maastricht - Emmen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.98 ↑
(2.6) |
3.38 ↓
(3.72) |
2.43
(2.43) |
4.4%
(6.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for MVV Maastricht - Emmen?
Users Predictions:
Emmen will win
(15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Emmen will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 1.
- Maastricht is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
- Emmen is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Maastricht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Emmen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Maastricht: Poitoux T.
(Achilles Tendon Injury)
- There will not play in Emmen: Denk L.
(Knee Injury)
Kade J.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Maastricht: Braken S.
(Injury)
Dicke F.
(Injury)
- In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:31. (average 1.4:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Maastricht won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has MVV Maastricht won against Emmen?
MVV Maastricht has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Emmen won against MVV Maastricht?
Emmen has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between MVV Maastricht - Emmen were as follows:
28.03.2025
MVV Maastricht
-
Emmen
1:2
04.10.2024
Emmen
-
MVV Maastricht
1:1
12.04.2024
Emmen
-
MVV Maastricht
1:3
06.11.2023
MVV Maastricht
-
Emmen
1:1
Latest results of MVV Maastricht
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag | 7 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 18:6 | 12 | 19 |
| 2 | Cambuur | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 17:9 | 8 | 19 |
| 3 | Jong PSV | 8 | 6 | 0 | 2 | 18:10 | 8 | 18 |
| 4 | Roda | 8 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 12:12 | 0 | 14 |
| 5 | Dordrecht | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 11:9 | 2 | 12 |
| 6 | Venlo | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 12 |
| 7 | Willem II | 7 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 8:10 | -2 | 11 |
| 8 | Waalwijk | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 12:11 | 1 | 11 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 17:16 | 1 | 10 |
| 10 | Oss | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 14:16 | -2 | 10 |
| 11 | FC Emmen | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 |
| 12 | Helmond | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | -3 | 10 |
| 13 | Eindhoven FC | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 6:11 | -5 | 10 |
| 14 | Almere City | 7 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16:10 | 6 | 9 |
| 15 | De Graafschap | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10:10 | 0 | 8 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:15 | -3 | 7 |
| 17 | Jong Utrecht | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 12:18 | -6 | 7 |
| 18 | Maastricht | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4:11 | -7 | 7 |
| 19 | Jong Ajax | 8 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 13:18 | -5 | 5 |
| 20 | Vitesse | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 4:6 | -2 | -8 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
