MVV Maastricht vs Emmen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Dutch Eerste Divisie
Result
1:0
26/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Eerste Divisie - Round 8
  • Referee: Calluy R. (Bel)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
netherlandsNetherlandsESPN Extra

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.500.83
Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
199
Shots on target
52
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
54
Passes
80% (333/418)80% (346/433)
Yellow Cards
02
Red Cards
01
Expected Goals (xG)
1.500.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.800.90
Total shots
199
Shots on target
52
Shots off target
113
Blocked Shots
34
Shots inside the Box
107
Shots outside the Box
92
Hit the Woodwork
00
Big Chances
31
Corner Kicks
54
Touches in opposition box
2817
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
40
Free Kicks
1412
Passes
80% (333/418)80% (346/433)
Long passes
50% (20/40)43% (25/58)
Passes in final third
72% (107/148)74% (75/102)
Crosses
19% (6/31)29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.240.73
Throw-ins
3022
Fouls
1214
Tackles
67% (12/18)74% (17/23)
Duels won
5255
Clearances
2126
Interceptions
99
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
24
xGOT faced
0.900.80
Goals prevented
0.90-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (1 - 0)
  • 46', Kongolo R. ↓, Geypens T. ↑,
  • 46', Quispel F. ↓, Evina F. ↑,
  • 59', Claridge A. 🟥,
  • 63', Gerezgiher F. ↓, Mesbahi J. ↑,
  • 64', Mulder P. 🟨,
  • 69', Evina F. ↓, Nunumete D. ↑,
  • 72', Silva Timas I. ↓, Foubert L. ↑,
  • 84', Coomans W. ↓, Asante D. ↑,
  • 86', Everink L. ↓, Bolk G. ↑,
  • 87', El Basri N. ↓, Kleinen M. ↑,
  • 87', Kuipers M. ↓, Verheijen T. ↑,
  • 90', 🟨,
  • 90+5', 1 - 0, Camil Mmaee ⚽, Schenk L. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2te4293e

Chances of winning


MVV Maastricht
32.2%		Draw
27.8%		Emmen
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
36.1% 25.2% 38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4% 25.4% 38.3%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)
  • Emmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (-1.8%)
    •

    MVV Maastricht - Emmen Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.98 ↑
    (2.6)    		 3.38 ↓
    (3.72)    		 2.43
    (2.43)    		 4.4%
    (6.5%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for MVV Maastricht - Emmen?
  • Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:
    • O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH 0 - Emmen (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • AH +0.25 - Emmen (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
    • O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
  • Users Predictions: Emmen will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Emmen will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.
  • Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Maastricht (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Emmen (votes: 7 - 87.5%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 1.
    • Maastricht is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
    • Emmen is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Maastricht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • Emmen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
    • There will not play in Maastricht: Poitoux T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
    • There will not play in Emmen: Denk L. (Knee Injury) Kade J. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Maastricht: Braken S. (Injury) Dicke F. (Injury)
    • In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:31. (average 1.4:1.7).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Maastricht won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between MVV Maastricht - Emmen were as follows:
    28.03.2025 MVV Maastricht - Emmen 1:2
    04.10.2024 Emmen - MVV Maastricht 1:1
    12.04.2024 Emmen - MVV Maastricht 1:3
    06.11.2023 MVV Maastricht - Emmen 1:1
    Latest results of MVV Maastricht
    21.09.2025 VVV-Venlo - MVV Maastricht 1:0 ✺
    16.09.2025 MVV Maastricht - Den Bosch 2:4 ✺
    12.09.2025 MVV Maastricht - Cambuur 0:1 ✺
    29.08.2025 Jong Ajax - MVV Maastricht 0:0 ✺
    22.08.2025 De Graafschap - MVV Maastricht 0:1 ✺
    Latest results of Emmen
    19.09.2025 Emmen - Dordrecht 2:0 ✺
    12.09.2025 Emmen - FC Oss 1:1 ✺
    05.09.2025 De Graafschap - Emmen 2:3 ✺
    29.08.2025 Emmen - Den Bosch 3:1 ✺
    22.08.2025 Helmond Sport - Emmen 2:0 ✺
    Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
    Main
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Den Haag28212569:303965
    2Cambuur26176355:292657
    3De Graafschap28146852:411148
    4Jong PSV281441058:52646
    5Roda28129747:41645
    6Willem II28127938:36243
    7Dordrecht281171038:37140
    8Almere City271231255:451039
    9Waalwijk281081045:43238
    10Den Bosch281151249:51-238
    11Venlo281141338:42-437
    12Eindhoven FC281041440:51-1134
    13Jong Utrecht27891045:48-333
    14Helmond28951435:48-1332
    15FC Emmen26861242:48-630
    16Jong AZ28931649:55-630
    17Maastricht28861432:55-2330
    18Oss28691334:48-1427
    19Vitesse28991041:45-424
    20Jong Ajax28581535:52-1723

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