Result
2:1
06/04/2026 at 10:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 35
- Referee: Boel N. (Ned)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.12 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (311/412) | 71% (220/308) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 0 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.66 | 1.12 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.01 | 0.95 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 7 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 12 | 6 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 9 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 28 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 15 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 75% (311/412) | 71% (220/308) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 49% (40/81) | 46% (32/70) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 58% (73/126) | 56% (58/103) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 33% (5/15) | 21% (3/14) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.73 | 1.37 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 30 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 15 | 5 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 75% (9/12) | 71% (15/21) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 56 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 33 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.95 | 3.01 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.05 | 1.01 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 12', Quispel F. 🟨,
- 19', 1 - 0, Quispel F. ⚽, Postema R. (A),
- 24', 1 - 1, Pawirodihardjo J. ⚽, Silva Timas I. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Beydts A. ↓, Sy K. ↑,
- 49', Hojabrpour A. 🟨,
- 55', 2 - 1, Postema R. ⚽, Quispel F. (A),
- 58', Quispel F. 🟨,
- 61', Mukeh J. 🟨,
- 64', Klaasen R. ↓, de Jong T. ↑,
- 64', Emeran N. ↓, Beukers D. ↑,
- 64', Staring C. ↓, Kongolo R. ↑,
- 65', Besuijen V. ↓, Ostergaard C. ↑,
- 73', Silva Timas I. ↓, Verheijen T. ↑,
- 73', Pawirodihardjo J. ↓, Kuipers M. ↑,
- 79', Sunder C. ↓, Otten D. ↑,
- 83', Tran L. M. ↓, Foubert L. ↑,
- 90+1', Larsen L. ↓, Mesbahi J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Emmen 61.5% | Draw 20.1% | MVV Maastricht 18.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Emmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+1.5%)
Emmen - MVV Maastricht Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.52 ↓ (1.56) |
4.62 ↑ (4.4) |
5.04 ↑ (4.7) |
7.4% (8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.50
What is the prediction for Emmen - MVV Maastricht?
High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Emmen (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Users Predictions:
Emmen will win
(9 of 10 users predict this - 90%).
Confidence interval (95%): 71.41% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team will face off against the outsider in this match (ranked 14 and 17).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Emmen won 1.
- Recent form of Emmen has been disappointing (last 5 games: 0 wins).
- Maastricht has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
- Maastricht may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Emmen is a strong favorite.
- There will not play in Emmen: Claridge A.
(Knee Injury)
Denk L.
(Knee Injury)
Geypens T.
(Inactive)
Kade J.
(Knee Injury)
Nunumete D.
(Yellow Cards)
Rhein T.
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Maastricht: Zaian A.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Maastricht: Tehubijuluw D.
(Injury)
- In the last 19 head-to-head matches, Emmen won 7 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 31:27. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Emmen won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 20:15. (average 2.2:1.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Emmen won against MVV Maastricht?
Emmen has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has MVV Maastricht won against Emmen?
MVV Maastricht has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Emmen - MVV Maastricht were as follows:
26.09.2025
MVV Maastricht
-
Emmen
1:0
28.03.2025
MVV Maastricht
-
Emmen
1:2
04.10.2024
Emmen
-
MVV Maastricht
1:1
12.04.2024
Emmen
-
MVV Maastricht
1:3
06.11.2023
MVV Maastricht
-
Emmen
1:1
Latest results of MVV Maastricht
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
Main | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Den Haag ✔ | 35 | 27 | 2 | 6 | 82:34 | 48 | 83 |
| 2 | Cambuur ✔ | 35 | 22 | 8 | 5 | 71:43 | 28 | 74 |
| 3 | De Graafschap | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 68:53 | 15 | 59 |
| 4 | Willem II | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 52:40 | 12 | 59 |
| 5 | Almere City | 35 | 17 | 4 | 14 | 72:57 | 15 | 55 |
| 6 | Jong PSV | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 63:59 | 4 | 53 |
| 7 | Waalwijk | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 61:53 | 8 | 52 |
| 8 | Roda | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 54:49 | 5 | 51 |
| 9 | Den Bosch | 34 | 14 | 7 | 13 | 60:60 | 0 | 49 |
| 10 | Dordrecht | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 45:50 | -5 | 44 |
| 11 | Eindhoven FC | 35 | 13 | 5 | 17 | 49:63 | -14 | 44 |
| 12 | Venlo | 35 | 12 | 5 | 18 | 44:52 | -8 | 41 |
| 13 | FC Emmen | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 55:65 | -10 | 41 |
| 14 | Vitesse | 35 | 14 | 10 | 11 | 60:53 | 7 | 40 |
| 15 | Jong Utrecht | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 52:58 | -6 | 39 |
| 16 | Jong AZ | 35 | 11 | 4 | 20 | 59:71 | -12 | 37 |
| 17 | Maastricht | 35 | 9 | 9 | 17 | 41:71 | -30 | 36 |
| 18 | Oss | 35 | 8 | 11 | 16 | 46:61 | -15 | 35 |
| 19 | Helmond | 35 | 9 | 8 | 18 | 40:61 | -21 | 35 |
| 20 | Jong Ajax | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 48:69 | -21 | 32 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )
Clinched Spots for Teams
Den Haag is Qualified for Eredivisie
Cambuur is Qualified for Eredivisie