MVV Maastricht vs Emmen – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

26/09/2025 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

De Geusselt (Maastricht).

Eerste Divisie - Round 8
Referee: Calluy R. (Bel)
Where to Watch on TV:


Netherlands	ESPN Extra

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.50	0.83
Ball Possession
50%	50%
Total shots
19	9
Shots on target
5	2
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
5	4
Passes
80% (333/418)	80% (346/433)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Red Cards
0	1
Expected Goals (xG)
1.50	0.83
xG on target (xGOT)
0.80	0.90
Total shots
19	9
Shots on target
5	2
Shots off target
11	3
Blocked Shots
3	4
Shots inside the Box
10	7
Shots outside the Box
9	2
Hit the Woodwork
0	0
Big Chances
3	1
Corner Kicks
5	4
Touches in opposition box
28	17
Accurate through passes
1	0
Offsides
4	0
Free Kicks
14	12
Passes
80% (333/418)	80% (346/433)
Long passes
50% (20/40)	43% (25/58)
Passes in final third
72% (107/148)	74% (75/102)
Crosses
19% (6/31)	29% (4/14)
Expected assists (xA)
1.24	0.73
Throw-ins
30	22
Fouls
12	14
Tackles
67% (12/18)	74% (17/23)
Duels won
52	55
Clearances
21	26
Interceptions
9	9
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
2	4
xGOT faced
0.90	0.80
Goals prevented
0.90	-0.20

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Kongolo R. ↓, Geypens T. ↑,
46', Quispel F. ↓, Evina F. ↑,
59', Claridge A. 🟥,
63', Gerezgiher F. ↓, Mesbahi J. ↑,
64', Mulder P. 🟨,
69', Evina F. ↓, Nunumete D. ↑,
72', Silva Timas I. ↓, Foubert L. ↑,
84', Coomans W. ↓, Asante D. ↑,
86', Everink L. ↓, Bolk G. ↑,
87', El Basri N. ↓, Kleinen M. ↑,
87', Kuipers M. ↓, Verheijen T. ↑,
90', 🟨,
90+5', 1 - 0, Camil Mmaee ⚽, Schenk L. (A),

Highlights

https://tinyurl.com/2te4293e

Chances of winning

MVV Maastricht
32.2%

Draw
27.8%

Emmen
40.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.1%

25.2%

38.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

36.4%

25.4%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

Emmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

MVV Maastricht - Emmen Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.98 ↑ (2.6)	3.38 ↓ (3.72)	2.43 (2.43)	4.4% (6.5%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

What is the prediction for MVV Maastricht - Emmen?

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 1, 2nd Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH 0 - Emmen (1.54) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +0.25 - Emmen (1.77) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Emmen will win (15 of 17 users predict this - 88.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 72.93% – 100%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Emmen will win (5 of 6 users predict this - 83.33%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 8 high ROI users predict this event. Maastricht (votes: 1 - 12.5%). Emmen (votes: 7 - 87.5%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 19 and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 1.
Maastricht is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Emmen is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
Maastricht may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Emmen is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
There will not play in Maastricht: Poitoux T. (Achilles Tendon Injury)
There will not play in Emmen: Denk L. (Knee Injury) Kade J. (Knee Injury)
There are questionable in Maastricht: Braken S. (Injury) Dicke F. (Injury)
In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Maastricht won 6 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 26:31. (average 1.4:1.7).
Including home matches between the teams, Maastricht won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:11. (average 1.2:1.2).

How many head-to-head matches has MVV Maastricht won against Emmen?

MVV Maastricht has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Emmen won against MVV Maastricht?

Emmen has won 1 of their last 4 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between MVV Maastricht - Emmen were as follows:

28.03.2025 MVV Maastricht - Emmen 1:2

04.10.2024 Emmen - MVV Maastricht 1:1

12.04.2024 Emmen - MVV Maastricht 1:3

06.11.2023 MVV Maastricht - Emmen 1:1

Latest results of MVV Maastricht

21.09.2025 VVV-Venlo - MVV Maastricht 1:0 ✺

16.09.2025 MVV Maastricht - Den Bosch 2:4 ✺

12.09.2025 MVV Maastricht - Cambuur 0:1 ✺

29.08.2025 Jong Ajax - MVV Maastricht 0:0 ✺

22.08.2025 De Graafschap - MVV Maastricht 0:1 ✺

Latest results of Emmen

19.09.2025 Emmen - Dordrecht 2:0 ✺

12.09.2025 Emmen - FC Oss 1:1 ✺

05.09.2025 De Graafschap - Emmen 2:3 ✺

29.08.2025 Emmen - Den Bosch 3:1 ✺

22.08.2025 Helmond Sport - Emmen 2:0 ✺

Dutch Eerste Divisie Table

Main

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Den Haag ✔	32	24	2	6	72:31	41	74
2	Cambuur	31	21	7	3	63:33	30	70
3	De Graafschap	31	15	7	9	58:49	9	52
4	Willem II	31	14	8	9	45:38	7	50
5	Jong PSV	32	15	5	12	62:56	6	50
6	Almere City	32	15	4	13	66:53	13	49
7	Waalwijk	32	13	9	10	54:47	7	48
8	Roda	32	12	11	9	50:47	3	47
9	Dordrecht	32	11	10	11	43:43	0	43
10	Den Bosch	32	12	7	13	55:57	-2	43
11	Eindhoven FC	31	12	4	15	45:55	-10	40
12	Venlo	32	11	4	17	39:49	-10	37
13	FC Emmen	30	10	6	14	46:54	-8	36
14	Jong Utrecht	32	9	9	14	48:54	-6	36
15	Maastricht	32	9	9	14	39:61	-22	36
16	Vitesse	32	12	9	11	49:49	0	33
17	Helmond	32	9	6	17	37:56	-19	33
18	Jong Ajax	32	8	8	16	45:57	-12	32
19	Jong AZ	32	9	4	19	53:63	-10	31
20	Oss	32	6	11	15	39:56	-17	29

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