Result
1:2
28/03/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Eerste Divisie - Round 32
- Referee: Perez M. (Ned)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
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Netherlands | Canal+, ESPN 4 |
Match Stats
| |
---|
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.21 | 0.77 |
Ball Possession |
---|
58% | 42% |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 2 |
Passes |
---|
83% (448/537) | 81% (321/398) |
Yellow Cards |
---|
2 | 1 |
Expected Goals (xG) |
---|
2.21 | 0.77 |
xG on target (xGOT) |
---|
1.67 | 1.30 |
Total shots |
---|
17 | 8 |
Shots on target |
---|
4 | 4 |
Shots off target |
---|
5 | 3 |
Blocked Shots |
---|
8 | 1 |
Shots inside the Box |
---|
9 | 6 |
Shots outside the Box |
---|
8 | 2 |
Hit the Woodwork |
---|
1 | 0 |
Big Chances |
---|
2 | 3 |
Corner Kicks |
---|
8 | 2 |
Touches in opposition box |
---|
25 | 19 |
Offsides |
---|
2 | 3 |
Free Kicks |
---|
14 | 8 |
Passes |
---|
83% (448/537) | 81% (321/398) |
Long passes |
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61% (44/72) | 58% (41/71) |
Passes in final third |
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69% (96/140) | 70% (103/148) |
Crosses |
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27% (7/26) | 9% (1/11) |
Expected assists (xA) |
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2.29 | 0.84 |
Fouls |
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8 | 14 |
Tackles |
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57% (13/23) | 67% (6/9) |
Duels won |
---|
57 | 41 |
Clearances Total |
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16 | 27 |
Interceptions |
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10 | 11 |
Errors leading to shot |
---|
0 | 0 |
Errors leading to goal |
---|
0 | 0 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
---|
2 | 3 |
xGOT faced |
---|
1.30 | 1.67 |
Goals prevented |
---|
0.30 | 0.67 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 42', Zeegers T. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 50', 0 - 1, Hawkins J. ⚽, Bakir A. (A),
- 62', Esajas R. ↓, Kassimi A. ↑,
- 63', Wagner F. 🟨,
- 64', 0 - 2, Klaasen R. (Own goal),
- 66', Mpindi Landu C. ↓, Eduardo Y. ↑,
- 71', Braken S. ↓, Foubert L. ↑,
- 71', Tehubijuluw D. ↓, Slegers F. ↑,
- 76', Schouten R. ↓, Nunumete D. ↑,
- 77', El Basri N. ↓, Penders S. ↑,
- 82', 1 - 2, Foubert L. ⚽, Kassimi A. (A),
- 85', Hammouti F. ↓, Soares J. ↑,
- 85', Bakir A. ↓, Hekkert J. ↑,
- 90', Francis S. 🟨,
Chances of winning
MVV Maastricht 26.3% | Draw 25.6% | Emmen 48.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
MVV Maastricht has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.6%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that MVV Maastricht's form might have worsened.Emmen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.5%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Emmen's recent form is better than expected.ML Model estimates a higher probability for MVV Maastricht than the current prediction. (+9.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for MVV Maastricht, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Emmen than the current prediction. (-10.6%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Emmen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
MVV Maastricht - Emmen Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
3.49 ↑ (2.53) |
3.63 ↑ (3.52) |
1.96 ↓ (2.55) |
7.2% (7.2%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for MVV Maastricht - Emmen?
Users Predictions:
14 users predict this event. Maastricht will win (votes: 4 - 28.6%). Emmen will win (votes: 10 - 71.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Emmen: 47.7% – 95.1%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:2.
Preview Facts
- Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Maastricht won 1.
- Maastricht has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
- Recent matches Emmen is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
- Maastricht could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
- Emmen will have a small advantage in this match.
- There will not play in Maastricht: Coomans W.
(Yellow Cards)
Schenk L.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Emmen: Martin M.
(Yellow Cards)
- There are questionable in Emmen: Kade J.
(Injury)
Unbehaun L.
(Injury)
- Last 17 head-to-head matches Maastricht won 6 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 25:29 (average 1.5:1.7).
- Including matches at home between the teams Maastricht won 2 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 10:9 (average 1.3:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has MVV Maastricht won against Emmen?
MVV Maastricht has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Emmen won against MVV Maastricht?
Emmen has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between MVV Maastricht - Emmen were as follows:
04.10.2024
Emmen
-
MVV Maastricht
1:1
12.04.2024
Emmen
-
MVV Maastricht
1:3
06.11.2023
MVV Maastricht
-
Emmen
1:1
Latest results of MVV Maastricht
Dutch Eerste Divisie Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | De Graafschap | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
2 | Venlo | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
3 | Cambuur | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
4 | Den Bosch | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
5 | Dordrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
6 | Eindhoven FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
7 | FC Emmen | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
8 | Helmond | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
9 | Maastricht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
10 | Almere City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
11 | Oss | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
12 | Waalwijk | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
13 | Roda | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
14 | Vitesse | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
15 | Willem II | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
16 | Den Haag | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
17 | Jong PSV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
18 | Jong Ajax | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
19 | Jong AZ | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
20 | Jong Utrecht | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 0 |
Promotion ~ Eredivisie
Promotion ~ Eredivisie (Promotion: )