Nacional Montevideo vs Danubio – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Uruguayan Primera Division Nacional Montevideo - Danubio
Result
3:2
29/06/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Round 7
  • Where to Watch on TV:
argentinaArgentinaDisney+
brazilBrazilDisney+
mexicoMexicoDisney+
peruPeruDisney+
south-americaSouth-americaGol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica
uruguayUruguayDisney+, VTV+
usaUsaFanatiz
venezuelaVenezuelaDisney+, Inter

Match Stats

Ball Possession
50%50%
Total shots
98
Shots on target
54
Corner Kicks
24
Yellow Cards
13
Total shots
98
Shots on target
54
Shots off target
44
Corner Kicks
24
Goalkeeper Saves
22

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (2 - 1)
  • 10', 1 - 0, Petit G. ,
  • 19', 1 - 1, Cardozo E. ,
  • 26', 2 - 1, Petit G. ,
  • 28', Rabino R. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 1)
  • 46', Mereles E. , Villalba Jaume L. M. ,
  • 57', Gonzalez M. , Sosa L. ,
  • 60', Sosa L. 🟨,
  • 62', Otero R. , Recoba J. ,
  • 67', Arguello M. 🟨,
  • 67', Fernandez S. , Nunez S. ,
  • 67', Cardozo E. , Femia E. ,
  • 69', Petit G. , Carneiro G. ,
  • 80', Sanseviero L. , Fernandez J. ,
  • 83', Morales L. , Calione P. ,
  • 83', Lopez N. , Ancheta E. ,
  • 89', Coates S. 🟨,
  • 90', 2 - 2, Fernandez J. (Pen),
  • 90+5', 3 - 2, Baez Corradi G. ,

Chances of winning


Nacional Montevideo
67.3%
Draw
20.5%
Danubio
12.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
65.5% 20.7% 13.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

68.4% 19.8% 13.2%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Danubio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
  • Nacional Montevideo - Danubio Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.39
    (1.43)
    4.5
    (4.52)
    7.78
    (6.79)
    7%
    (6.8%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Danubio?
  • Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 5 - 100%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio ~ Play Offs: ) and 4).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 3.
    • Nacional is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
    • Danubio has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
    • In this match, Nacional is the undeniable favorite.
    • We predict that Nacional will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:19. (average 1.5:1).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Danubio were as follows:
    13.04.2025 Nacional Montevideo - Danubio 2:0
    27.11.2024 Danubio - Nacional Montevideo 0:0
    13.07.2024 Danubio - Nacional Montevideo 0:6
    25.05.2024 Nacional Montevideo - Danubio 1:0
    15.11.2023 Nacional Montevideo - Danubio 1:3
    Latest results of Danubio
    Uruguayan Primera Division Table
    Clausura
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Penarol861116:61019
    2Boston River853017:41318
    3Montevideo City852116:9717
    4Nacional861119:81116
    5Cerro Largo85128:4416
    6Defensor Sp85036:8-215
    7Liverpool M833210:9112
    8Danubio831412:9310
    9Miramar831413:11210
    10Progreso831410:11-110
    11CA Cerro83147:10-310
    12Racing Montevideo83147:15-810
    13Juventud83055:8-39
    14Wanderers81162:11-94
    15River Plate80262:13-112
    16Plaza Colonia80175:19-141

          Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )