Result
3:2
29/06/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Torneo Intermedio - Round 7
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (2 - 1)
- 10', 1 - 0, Petit G. ⚽,
- 19', 1 - 1, Cardozo E. ⚽,
- 26', 2 - 1, Petit G. ⚽,
- 28', Rabino R. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Mereles E. ↓, Villalba Jaume L. M. ↑,
- 57', Gonzalez M. ↓, Sosa L. ↑,
- 60', Sosa L. 🟨,
- 62', Otero R. ↓, Recoba J. ↑,
- 67', Arguello M. 🟨,
- 67', Fernandez S. ↓, Nunez S. ↑,
- 67', Cardozo E. ↓, Femia E. ↑,
- 69', Petit G. ↓, Carneiro G. ↑,
- 80', Sanseviero L. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
- 83', Morales L. ↓, Calione P. ↑,
- 83', Lopez N. ↓, Ancheta E. ↑,
- 89', Coates S. 🟨,
- 90', 2 - 2, Fernandez J. (Pen),
- 90+5', 3 - 2, Baez Corradi G. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Nacional Montevideo
67.3% | Draw
20.5% | Danubio
12.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nacional Montevideo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)Danubio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (+1.1%)
Nacional Montevideo - Danubio Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.39 ↓
(1.43) |
4.5 ↓
(4.52) |
7.78 ↑
(6.79) |
7%
(6.8%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nacional Montevideo - Danubio?
Users Predictions:
5 users predict this event. Nacional will win (votes: 5 - 100%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Torneo Intermedio ~ Play Offs: ) and 4).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 3.
- Nacional is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).
- Danubio has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
- In this match, Nacional is the undeniable favorite.
- We predict that Nacional will win today's game, with odds of 1.41.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nacional won 10 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 29:19. (average 1.5:1).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nacional won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 11:6. (average 1.6:0.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Danubio?
Nacional Montevideo has won 4 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Danubio won against Nacional Montevideo?
Danubio has won 1 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nacional Montevideo - Danubio were as follows:
13.04.2025
Nacional Montevideo
-
Danubio
2:0
27.11.2024
Danubio
-
Nacional Montevideo
0:0
13.07.2024
Danubio
-
Nacional Montevideo
0:6
25.05.2024
Nacional Montevideo
-
Danubio
1:0
15.11.2023
Nacional Montevideo
-
Danubio
1:3
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Latest results of Danubio
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:4 | 8 | 12 |
| 2 | Boston River | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 9:3 | 6 | 11 |
| 3 | Montevideo City | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 13:8 | 5 | 10 |
| 4 | Liverpool M | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 5 | Cerro Largo | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
| 6 | Juventud | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:5 | 0 | 9 |
| 7 | Defensor Sp | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 9 |
| 8 | Nacional | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:6 | 5 | 7 |
| 9 | Miramar | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 8:7 | 1 | 7 |
| 10 | CA Cerro | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 7 |
| 11 | Racing Montevideo | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:10 | -6 | 6 |
| 12 | Danubio | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 4 |
| 13 | Wanderers | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2:4 | -2 | 4 |
| 14 | Progreso | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:9 | -4 | 3 |
| 15 | Plaza Colonia | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3:10 | -7 | 1 |
| 16 | River Plate | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 0:8 | -8 | 1 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
