Result
0:0
12/10/2025 at 15:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 11
- Referee: Gonzalez L. (Uru)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Argentina | Disney+ |
 Brazil | Disney+ |
 Mexico | Disney+ |
 Peru | Disney+ |
 South-america | Gol TV Latinoamerica, Gol TV Latinoamerica |
 Uruguay | Disney+, VTV+ |
 Usa | Fanatiz |
 Venezuela | Disney+, Inter |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 48% | 52% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Dos Santos A. ↓, Villalba Jaume L. M. ↑,
- 48', Lodeiro N. 🟥,
- 54', Ebere C. ↓, Viera T. ↑,
- 68', Femia E. ↓, Fernandez J. ↑,
- 69', Velazquez E. 🟨,
- 69', Gomez M. 🟨,
- 71', Rodriguez L. 🟨,
- 75', Peralta M. ↓, Brandao ↑,
- 76', Fernandez S. ↓, Lopez M. ↑,
- 86', Romero D. ↓, Otero R. ↑,
- 87', Sanseviero L. ↓, Nunez S. ↑,
- 89', Ancheta E. 🟨,
- 90', Gonzalez M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Danubio
15.2% | Draw
25.5% | Nacional Montevideo
59.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Danubio has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Nacional Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nacional Montevideo might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Danubio than the current prediction. (-4.6%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nacional Montevideo than the current prediction. (+7.2%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nacional Montevideo could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Danubio - Nacional Montevideo Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
6.17 ↓
(8.47) |
3.71 ↓
(3.73) |
1.59 ↑
(1.43) |
5.9%
(8.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 10 and 2).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 0.
- In recent matches, Danubio has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- Nacional is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Nacional may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Nacional is the clear favorite.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Danubio won 7 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 21:29. (average 1.1:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Danubio won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 13:18. (average 1:1.4).
How many head-to-head matches has Danubio won against Nacional Montevideo?
Danubio has won 1 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional Montevideo won against Danubio?
Nacional Montevideo has won 5 of their last 8 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Danubio - Nacional Montevideo were as follows:
29.06.2025
Nacional Montevideo
-
Danubio
3:2
13.04.2025
Nacional Montevideo
-
Danubio
2:0
27.11.2024
Danubio
-
Nacional Montevideo
0:0
13.07.2024
Danubio
-
Nacional Montevideo
0:6
25.05.2024
Nacional Montevideo
-
Danubio
1:0
Latest results of Danubio
Latest results of Nacional Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division Table
Clausura | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Penarol | 12 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 26:9 | 17 | 29 |
| 2 | Nacional | 12 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 24:10 | 14 | 24 |
| 3 | Defensor Sp | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 11:12 | -1 | 22 |
| 4 | Boston River | 12 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 20:8 | 12 | 21 |
| 5 | Montevideo City | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22:15 | 7 | 21 |
| 6 | Liverpool M | 11 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 15:12 | 3 | 19 |
| 7 | CA Cerro | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 11:13 | -2 | 19 |
| 8 | Cerro Largo | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 13:12 | 1 | 18 |
| 9 | Progreso | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 15:14 | 1 | 17 |
| 10 | Danubio | 12 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 14:11 | 3 | 15 |
| 11 | Miramar | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 16:19 | -3 | 12 |
| 12 | Racing Montevideo | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9:18 | -9 | 12 |
| 13 | Juventud | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 6:10 | -4 | 11 |
| 14 | River Plate | 12 | 1 | 4 | 7 | 6:17 | -11 | 7 |
| 15 | Plaza Colonia | 11 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7:21 | -14 | 5 |
| 16 | Wanderers | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 5:19 | -14 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga AUF Uruguaya (Play Offs: )
