Result
0:1
12/04/2025 at 10:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Portugal - Round 29
- Referee: Silva D. (Por)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Portugal | Sport TV2 |
 Romania | AntenaPLAY |
 Ukraine | MEGOGO Futbol 4, MEGOGO Sport |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 1.10 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 51% | 49% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (270/343) | 77% (270/349) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 2.00 | 1.10 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.17 | 1.63 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 15 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 6 | 7 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 35 | 19 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 16 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 79% (270/343) | 77% (270/349) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 40% (17/42) | 38% (21/55) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (75/113) | 69% (77/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 23% (7/31) | 27% (4/15) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.23 | 1.00 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 16 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 53% (9/17) | 56% (5/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 51 | 40 |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 30 | 44 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.63 | 1.17 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.63 | 1.17 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 16', 0 - 1, Joel ⚽, Yamada F. (A),
- 23', Esteves L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Ferreira F. ↓, Kone M. ↑,
- 52', Daniel Penha 🟨,
- 57', Fogning S. 🟨,
- 69', Abascal R. 🟨,
- 70', Ze Vitor 🟨,
- 70', Bozenik R. 🟨,
- 72', Paulinho Boia ↓, Macedo R. ↑,
- 72', Daniel Penha ↓, Labidi C. ↑,
- 75', Yamada F. ↓, Appiah A. ↑,
- 81', Perez S. ↓, Reisinho M. ↑,
- 83', Camara I. 🟥,
- 89', Esteves L. ↓, Leo Santos ↑,
- 90', Lystsov V. ↓, Kakay O. ↑,
- 90', Silva J. ↓, Ariyibi G. ↑,
- 90+1', Lucas Franca 🟨,
Chances of winning
Boavista
30.8% | Draw
30.2% | Nacional
39.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Boavista has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)Nacional has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Boavista than the current prediction. (-0.2%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional than the current prediction. (-0.4%)
Boavista - Nacional Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.04 ↓
(3.07) |
3.13 ↑
(3.08) |
2.43 ↓
(2.44) |
6%
(6%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Boavista - Nacional?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Boavista will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Nacional will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 18 in the zone Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2 and 11).
- Both teams are now playing unstable.
- The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.
- There will not play in Boavista: Agra S.
(Yellow Cards)
Joao Goncalves
(Knee Injury)
Llorente D.
(Inactive)
Machado T.
(Inactive)
Moraes Pires L. H.
(Knee Injury)
Ribeiro M.
(Knee Injury)
Silva T.
(Injury)
- There will not play in Nacional: Baeza M.
(Muscle Injury)
Fernandes I.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Boavista: Dabo A.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Nacional: Ze Vitor
(Lacking Match Fitness)
- Last 2 head-to-head matches Boavista won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1 (average 0:0.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Boavista won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1
How many head-to-head matches has Boavista won against Nacional?
Boavista has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nacional won against Boavista?
Nacional has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Boavista - Nacional were as follows:
30.11.2024
Nacional
-
Boavista
0:0
Latest results of Boavista
Latest results of Nacional
Liga Portugal Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | FC Porto | 24 | 21 | 2 | 1 | 47:8 | 39 | 65 |
| 2 | Sporting CP | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 62:12 | 50 | 61 |
| 3 | Benfica | 24 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 51:14 | 37 | 58 |
| 4 | Braga | 24 | 13 | 6 | 5 | 50:23 | 27 | 45 |
| 5 | Gil Vicente | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 35:23 | 12 | 40 |
| 6 | Famalicao | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 29:21 | 8 | 36 |
| 7 | Moreirense | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 30:34 | -4 | 34 |
| 8 | Estoril | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 46:42 | 4 | 33 |
| 9 | Vitoria Guimaraes | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 28:35 | -7 | 32 |
| 10 | Alverca | 24 | 7 | 6 | 11 | 24:39 | -15 | 27 |
| 11 | Arouca | 24 | 7 | 5 | 12 | 32:52 | -20 | 26 |
| 12 | Estrela | 24 | 5 | 9 | 10 | 26:41 | -15 | 24 |
| 13 | Casa Pia | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 26:44 | -18 | 23 |
| 14 | Nacional | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 28:36 | -8 | 21 |
| 15 | Rio Ave | 24 | 4 | 9 | 11 | 23:44 | -21 | 21 |
| 16 | Santa Clara | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 20:31 | -11 | 19 |
| 17 | Tondela | 24 | 4 | 7 | 13 | 19:38 | -19 | 19 |
| 18 | AFS | 24 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 18:57 | -39 | 9 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Europa League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Liga Portugal (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Liga Portugal 2
