Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Panasonic Stadium Suita (Suita).

J1 League - Round 10
Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.81	0.07
Ball Possession
65%	35%
Total shots
17	2
Shots on target
7	0
Big Chances
7	0
Corner Kicks
3	3
Passes
87% (544/624)	76% (254/336)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.81	0.07
xG on target (xGOT)
2.02	0.00
Total shots
17	2
Shots on target
7	0
Shots off target
8	1
Blocked Shots
2	1
Shots inside the Box
13	1
Shots outside the Box
4	1
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
7	0
Corner Kicks
3	3
Touches in opposition box
30	3
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
9	11
Passes
87% (544/624)	76% (254/336)
Long passes
33% (17/51)	48% (27/56)
Passes in final third
79% (178/225)	50% (42/84)
Crosses
33% (6/18)	11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
3.20	0.11
Fouls
11	9
Tackles
70% (16/23)	67% (14/21)
Duels won
52	54
Clearances Total
15	23
Interceptions
12	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	5
xGOT faced
0.00	2.02
Goals prevented
0.00	-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Nogami Y. 🟨,
36', Ono M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Asano Y. ↓, Morishima T. ↑,
46', Nakayama K. ↓, Mikuni K. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Jebali I. ⚽, Juan Alano (A),
67', Ono M. ↓, Junker K. ↑,
74', Shiihashi K. ↓, Kikuchi T. ↑,
76', 2 - 0, Yamashita R. ⚽, Jebali I. (A),
77', Juan Alano ↓, Kurata S. ↑,
77', Mateus ↓, Yamanaka R. ↑,
85', Kurokawa K. ↓, Sasaki S. ↑,
85', Yamashita R. ↓, Kishimoto T. ↑,
90+2', Jebali I. ↓, Minamino H. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Gamba Osaka
39.5%

Draw
30.1%

Nagoya Grampus
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

30.7%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

31.7%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.49)	3.1 ↑ (3.06)	3.07 ↑ (2.98)	6.9% (6.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Nagoya will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gamba Osaka (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Gamba Osaka won 3.
Gamba Osaka is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Nagoya is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently Gamba Osaka have a series of guest games.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Egawa Y. (Injury) Welton (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Nagoya: Tokumoto S. (Muscle Injury) Yamagishi Y. (Knee Injury) Yamanaka R. (Lacking Match Fitness)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Gamba Osaka won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 37:36 (average 1.9:1.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Gamba Osaka won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18:22 (average 1.8:2.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Nagoya Grampus?

Gamba Osaka has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Gamba Osaka?

Nagoya Grampus has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:

23.10.2024 Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus 3:2

11.05.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka 0:1

21.10.2023 Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus 0:1

06.05.2023 Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka 1:0

27.08.2022 Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka 0:2

Latest results of Gamba Osaka

06.04.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Gamba Osaka 1:0 ✺

02.04.2025 Gamba Osaka - Machida Zelvia 0:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Albirex Niigata - Gamba Osaka 3:3 ✺

20.03.2025 Kochi United - Gamba Osaka 1:2 ✺

16.03.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Gamba Osaka 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Nagoya Grampus

06.04.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Nagoya Grampus 2:1 ✺

02.04.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama FC 2:1 ✺

20.03.2025 Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Nagoya Grampus 0:3 ✺

15.03.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Nagoya Grampus 2:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kashima Antlers	33	20	5	8	52:28	24	65
2	Kyoto	33	17	9	7	57:35	22	60
3	Kashiwa Reysol	33	16	12	5	48:33	15	60
4	Vissel Kobe	33	18	6	9	43:28	15	60
5	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	33	17	7	9	39:23	16	58
6	Machida	33	16	7	10	49:35	14	55
7	Kawasaki Frontale	33	14	11	8	60:45	15	53
8	Urawa Reds	33	14	10	9	40:32	8	52
9	Gamba Osaka	33	15	5	13	46:47	-1	50
10	Cerezo Osaka	33	11	10	12	50:49	1	43
11	Shimizu S-Pulse	33	10	11	12	35:39	-4	41
12	Okayama	33	11	8	14	29:35	-6	41
13	FC Tokyo	33	11	8	14	36:46	-10	41
14	Avispa Fukuoka	33	10	10	13	32:37	-5	40
15	Nagoya Grampus	33	10	9	14	40:48	-8	39
16	Verdy	33	10	9	14	21:35	-14	39
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	33	8	7	18	32:44	-12	31
18	Yokohama FC	33	8	7	18	21:37	-16	31
19	Shonan Bellmare	33	6	7	20	28:57	-29	25
20	Albirex Niigata	33	4	10	19	30:55	-25	22

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League