Result
0:2
25/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 35
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 China | K-Ball |
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.99 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (197/259) | 85% (498/588) |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.67 | 1.99 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.08 | 2.88 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 8 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 19 | 24 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 17 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 76% (197/259) | 85% (498/588) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 43% (18/42) | 36% (21/58) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 62% (58/93) | 79% (181/228) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 35% (8/23) | 38% (6/16) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.60 | 1.56 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 24 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 17 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 77% (10/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 48 | 39 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 36 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.88 | 1.08 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.88 | 1.08 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 56', 0 - 1, Yamashita R. ⚽, Abe S. (A),
- 63', Kawazura A. ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
- 63', Yamagishi Y. ↓, Kikuchi T. ↑,
- 68', Hatsuse R. ↓, Kurokawa K. ↑,
- 68', Okunuki K. ↓, Meshino R. ↑,
- 72', Mori S. ↓, Nogami Y. ↑,
- 72', Morishima T. ↓, Kato G. ↑,
- 79', Hara T. ↓, Junker K. ↑,
- 85', Yamashita R. ↓, Kishimoto T. ↑,
- 90+1', Mitsuta M. ↓, Suzuki T. ↑,
- 90+3', 0 - 2, Kishimoto T. ⚽, Jebali I. (A),
Chances of winning
Nagoya Grampus
34.7% | Draw
29.1% | Gamba Osaka
36.1% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+2.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.74 ↑
(2.64) |
3.29 ↓
(3.33) |
2.6 ↓
(2.64) |
5.4%
(5.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka?
Users Predictions:
10 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Gamba Osaka: 29.6% – 90.4%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 9).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 2.
- Nagoya has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Gamba Osaka is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Gamba Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
- There will not play in Nagoya: Kodama T.
(Finger Injury)
Nakayama K.
(Injury)
Schmidt D.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Juan Alano
(Inactive)
Welton
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Nagoya: Mateus
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 35:38. (average 1.8:1.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.4:1.9).
How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Gamba Osaka?
Nagoya Grampus has won 2 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Nagoya Grampus?
Gamba Osaka has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
12.04.2025
Gamba Osaka
-
Nagoya Grampus
2:0
23.10.2024
Gamba Osaka
-
Nagoya Grampus
3:2
11.05.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Gamba Osaka
0:1
21.10.2023
Gamba Osaka
-
Nagoya Grampus
0:1
06.05.2023
Nagoya Grampus
-
Gamba Osaka
1:0
Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Japan J1 League Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 35 | 20 | 7 | 8 | 53:29 | 24 | 67 |
| 2 | Kashiwa Reysol | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 55:33 | 22 | 66 |
| 3 | Kyoto | 35 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 59:37 | 22 | 62 |
| 4 | Vissel Kobe | 35 | 18 | 8 | 9 | 45:30 | 15 | 62 |
| 5 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 35 | 17 | 8 | 10 | 39:26 | 13 | 59 |
| 6 | Machida | 35 | 16 | 9 | 10 | 49:35 | 14 | 57 |
| 7 | Kawasaki Frontale | 35 | 15 | 11 | 9 | 65:50 | 15 | 56 |
| 8 | Urawa Reds | 35 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 40:36 | 4 | 53 |
| 9 | Gamba Osaka | 35 | 16 | 5 | 14 | 48:52 | -4 | 53 |
| 10 | Cerezo Osaka | 35 | 13 | 10 | 12 | 54:50 | 4 | 49 |
| 11 | FC Tokyo | 35 | 12 | 9 | 14 | 39:47 | -8 | 45 |
| 12 | Avispa Fukuoka | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 33:37 | -4 | 44 |
| 13 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 35 | 11 | 11 | 13 | 39:44 | -5 | 44 |
| 14 | Verdy | 35 | 11 | 9 | 15 | 22:36 | -14 | 42 |
| 15 | Okayama | 35 | 11 | 8 | 16 | 31:40 | -9 | 41 |
| 16 | Nagoya Grampus | 35 | 10 | 10 | 15 | 42:52 | -10 | 40 |
| 17 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 35 | 10 | 7 | 18 | 39:44 | -5 | 37 |
| 18 | Yokohama FC | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 23:41 | -18 | 32 |
| 19 | Shonan Bellmare | 35 | 6 | 8 | 21 | 29:59 | -30 | 26 |
| 20 | Albirex Niigata ✔ | 35 | 4 | 11 | 20 | 32:58 | -26 | 23 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
Relegation ~ J2 League
Clinched Spots for Teams
Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League
