Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League
Football Japan J1 League Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus
Result
2:0
12/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 10
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaQQ Sports
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
2.810.07
Ball Possession
65%35%
Total shots
172
Shots on target
70
Big Chances
70
Corner Kicks
33
Passes
87% (544/624)76% (254/336)
Yellow Cards
02
Expected Goals (xG)
2.810.07
xG on target (xGOT)
2.020.00
Total shots
172
Shots on target
70
Shots off target
81
Blocked Shots
21
Shots inside the Box
131
Shots outside the Box
41
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
70
Corner Kicks
33
Touches in opposition box
303
Offsides
22
Free Kicks
911
Passes
87% (544/624)76% (254/336)
Long passes
33% (17/51)48% (27/56)
Passes in final third
79% (178/225)50% (42/84)
Crosses
33% (6/18)11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
3.200.11
Fouls
119
Tackles
70% (16/23)67% (14/21)
Duels won
5254
Clearances Total
1523
Interceptions
1211
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
05
xGOT faced
0.002.02
Goals prevented
0.00-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 33', Nogami Y. 🟨,
  • 36', Ono M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (2 - 0)
  • 46', Asano Y. ↓, Morishima T. ↑,
  • 46', Nakayama K. ↓, Mikuni K. ↑,
  • 63', 1 - 0, Jebali I. ⚽, Juan Alano (A),
  • 67', Ono M. ↓, Junker K. ↑,
  • 74', Shiihashi K. ↓, Kikuchi T. ↑,
  • 76', 2 - 0, Yamashita R. ⚽, Jebali I. (A),
  • 77', Juan Alano ↓, Kurata S. ↑,
  • 77', Mateus ↓, Yamanaka R. ↑,
  • 85', Kurokawa K. ↓, Sasaki S. ↑,
  • 85', Yamashita R. ↓, Kishimoto T. ↑,
  • 90+2', Jebali I. ↓, Minamino H. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning


Gamba Osaka
39.5%		Draw
30.1%		Nagoya Grampus
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
37.7% 30.7% 31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9% 31.7% 30.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)
  • Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+0.2%)
    •

    Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)    		 2.38 ↓
    (2.49)    		 3.1 ↑
    (3.06)    		 3.07 ↑
    (2.98)    		 6.9%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
    •
    What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus?
  • Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Nagoya will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gamba Osaka (votes: 1 - 100%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
    •
    Preview Facts
    • This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Gamba Osaka won 3.
    • Gamba Osaka is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
    • Recent matches Nagoya is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Recently Gamba Osaka have a series of guest games.
    • The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
    • There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Egawa Y. (Injury) Welton (Ankle Injury)
    • There will not play in Nagoya: Tokumoto S. (Muscle Injury) Yamagishi Y. (Knee Injury) Yamanaka R. (Lacking Match Fitness)
    • Last 20 head-to-head matches Gamba Osaka won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 37:36 (average 1.9:1.8).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Gamba Osaka won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18:22 (average 1.8:2.2).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:
    23.10.2024 Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus 3:2
    11.05.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka 0:1
    21.10.2023 Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus 0:1
    06.05.2023 Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka 1:0
    27.08.2022 Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka 0:2
    Latest results of Gamba Osaka
    06.04.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Gamba Osaka 1:0 ✺
    02.04.2025 Gamba Osaka - Machida Zelvia 0:1 ✺
    29.03.2025 Albirex Niigata - Gamba Osaka 3:3 ✺
    20.03.2025 Kochi United - Gamba Osaka 1:2
    16.03.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Gamba Osaka 2:0 ✺
    Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
    06.04.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Nagoya Grampus 2:1 ✺
    02.04.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:0 ✺
    29.03.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama FC 2:1 ✺
    20.03.2025 Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Nagoya Grampus 0:3
    15.03.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Nagoya Grampus 2:1 ✺
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Vissel Kobe24144634:221246
    2Kashima Antlers24142836:241244
    3Kashiwa Reysol24128433:231044
    4Kyoto24126640:291142
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima24133829:181142
    6Machida24124834:25940
    7Kawasaki Frontale24108638:261238
    8Urawa Reds24108632:24838
    9Cerezo Osaka2497837:33434
    10Gamba Osaka241041029:31-234
    11Avispa Fukuoka2488821:23-232
    12Okayama24861020:22-230
    13Shimizu S-Pulse24861029:32-330
    14FC Tokyo24851127:34-729
    15Nagoya Grampus24771028:33-528
    16Verdy24771015:24-928
    17Shonan Bellmare24661220:37-1724
    18Yokohama F. Marinos24561323:32-921
    19Yokohama FC24541514:30-1619
    20Albirex Niigata24471324:41-1719

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          Relegation ~ J2 League

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