Nagoya Grampus vs Gamba Osaka – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Japan J1 League Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka
Result
0:2
25/10/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • J1 League - Round 35
  • Where to Watch on TV:
chinaChinaK-Ball
japanJapanDAZN Japan

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.671.99
Ball Possession
32%68%
Total shots
919
Shots on target
36
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
48
Passes
76% (197/259)85% (498/588)
Expected Goals (xG)
0.671.99
xG on target (xGOT)
1.082.88
Total shots
919
Shots on target
36
Shots off target
48
Blocked Shots
25
Shots inside the Box
811
Shots outside the Box
18
Hit the Woodwork
10
Big Chances
13
Corner Kicks
48
Touches in opposition box
1924
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
30
Free Kicks
178
Passes
76% (197/259)85% (498/588)
Long passes
43% (18/42)36% (21/58)
Passes in final third
62% (58/93)79% (181/228)
Crosses
35% (8/23)38% (6/16)
Expected assists (xA)
0.601.56
Throw-ins
1124
Fouls
817
Tackles
64% (7/11)77% (10/13)
Duels won
4839
Clearances
3631
Interceptions
64
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
43
xGOT faced
2.881.08
Goals prevented
0.881.08

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 56', 0 - 1, Yamashita R. , Abe S. (A),
  • 63', Kawazura A. , Nagai K. ,
  • 63', Yamagishi Y. , Kikuchi T. ,
  • 68', Hatsuse R. , Kurokawa K. ,
  • 68', Okunuki K. , Meshino R. ,
  • 72', Mori S. , Nogami Y. ,
  • 72', Morishima T. , Kato G. ,
  • 79', Hara T. , Junker K. ,
  • 85', Yamashita R. , Kishimoto T. ,
  • 90+1', Mitsuta M. , Suzuki T. ,
  • 90+3', 0 - 2, Kishimoto T. , Jebali I. (A),

Highlights

Chances of winning


Nagoya Grampus
34.7%
Draw
29.1%
Gamba Osaka
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
35.8% 28.4% 35.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

37% 29.4% 34.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)
  • Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+2.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-1.5%)
  • Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.74
    (2.64)
    3.29
    (3.33)
    2.6
    (2.64)
    5.4%
    (5.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
    What is the prediction for Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka?
  • Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Nagoya will win (votes: 3 - 30%). Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 6 - 60%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Gamba Osaka: 29.6%90.4%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • A mid-table team and an outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 and 9).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 2.
    • Nagoya has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Gamba Osaka is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
    • Gamba Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
    • The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.
    • There will not play in Nagoya: Kodama T. (Finger Injury) Nakayama K. (Injury) Schmidt D. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Juan Alano (Inactive) Welton (Inactive)
    • There are questionable in Nagoya: Mateus (Injury)
    • In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Nagoya won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 35:38. (average 1.8:1.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Nagoya won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 14:19. (average 1.4:1.9).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka were as follows:
    12.04.2025 Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus 2:0
    23.10.2024 Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus 3:2
    11.05.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka 0:1
    21.10.2023 Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus 0:1
    06.05.2023 Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka 1:0
    Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
    Latest results of Gamba Osaka
    Japan J1 League Table
    2025
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Kashima Antlers35207853:292467
    2Kashiwa Reysol351812555:332266
    3Kyoto351711759:372262
    4Vissel Kobe35188945:301562
    5Sanfrecce Hiroshima351781039:261359
    6Machida351691049:351457
    7Kawasaki Frontale351511965:501556
    8Urawa Reds3514111040:36453
    9Gamba Osaka351651448:52-453
    10Cerezo Osaka3513101254:50449
    11FC Tokyo351291439:47-845
    12Avispa Fukuoka3511111333:37-444
    13Shimizu S-Pulse3511111339:44-544
    14Verdy351191522:36-1442
    15Okayama351181631:40-941
    16Nagoya Grampus3510101542:52-1040
    17Yokohama F. Marinos351071839:44-537
    18Yokohama FC35881923:41-1832
    19Shonan Bellmare35682129:59-3026
    20Albirex Niigata ✔ 354112032:58-2623

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
          Relegation ~ J2 League

    Clinched Spots for Teams
    Albirex Niigata is Relegated to J2 League