Result
0:1 penalties
15/02/2026 at 02:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- J1 League - Round 2
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Japan | DAZN Japan |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.36 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 50% | 50% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (288/374) | 76% (283/370) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 1.36 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.42 | 1.01 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 17 | 21 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 8 | 12 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 9 | 9 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 27 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 77% (288/374) | 76% (283/370) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 30% (15/50) | 48% (33/69) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 76% (96/127) | 66% (95/145) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 29% (4/14) | 42% (8/19) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.74 | 0.91 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 20 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 89% (8/9) | 67% (12/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 41 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 2 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 9 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.01 | 1.42 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.01 | 0.42 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 31', Yamashita R. 🟨,
- 32', Inagaki S. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Mito R. ↓, Meshino R. ↑,
- 46', Yamagishi Y. ↓, Mori S. ↑,
- 61', Nakayama K. ↓, Koda H. ↑,
- 61', Kimura Y. ↓, Nagai K. ↑,
- 61', Nogami Y. ↓, Mikuni K. ↑,
- 61', Abe S. ↓, Suzuki T. ↑,
- 61', Jebali I. ↓, Nawata G. ↑,
- 61', Yamashita R. ↓, Toyama S. ↑,
- 68', Sasaki S. ↓, Fukuoka S. ↑,
- Penalties (2 - 3)
- 1, Inagaki S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 1, Kurata S. (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Marcus Vinicius (Penalty Awarded),
- 2, Nawata G. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Takamine T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 3, Suzuki T. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Fujii H. (Penalty Awarded),
- 4, Nakatani S. (Penalty Awarded),
Chances of winning
Gamba Osaka
38.5% | Draw
29% | Nagoya Grampus
32.5% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Gamba Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.4%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Gamba Osaka's form might have worsened.Nagoya Grampus has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)
Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.47 ↑
(2.15) |
3.24 ↓
(3.52) |
2.85 ↓
(3.23) |
6.3%
(5.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%). Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 1 - 100%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Gamba Osaka (1.30) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH -0.25 - Gamba Osaka (2.12) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 3 Selected Experts predict this event. Gamba Osaka (votes: 2 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 4.
- Gamba Osaka may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- Gamba Osaka could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Kishimoto T.
(Red Card)
Welton
(Knee Injury)
- There will not play in Nagoya: Uchida T.
(Injury)
- There are questionable in Nagoya: Izumi R.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Gamba Osaka won 9 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 37:33. (average 1.9:1.7).
- Including home matches between the teams, Gamba Osaka won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 19:21. (average 1.9:2.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Nagoya Grampus?
Gamba Osaka has won 5 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Gamba Osaka?
Nagoya Grampus has won 2 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:
25.10.2025
Nagoya Grampus
-
Gamba Osaka
0:2
12.04.2025
Gamba Osaka
-
Nagoya Grampus
2:0
23.10.2024
Gamba Osaka
-
Nagoya Grampus
3:2
11.05.2024
Nagoya Grampus
-
Gamba Osaka
0:1
21.10.2023
Gamba Osaka
-
Nagoya Grampus
0:1
Latest results of Gamba Osaka
Latest results of Nagoya Grampus
Japan J1 League Table
2026East | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Kashima Antlers | 10 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 18:7 | 26 |
| 2 | FC Tokyo | 11 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 19:10 | 23 |
| 3 | Machida | 11 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 17:16 | 22 |
| 4 | Verdy | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 4 | 16:15 | 15 |
| 5 | Kawasaki Frontale | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 16:19 | 14 |
| 6 | Urawa Reds | 10 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 14:15 | 12 |
| 7 | Mito | 10 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 13:19 | 12 |
| 8 | Kashiwa Reysol | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 15:14 | 11 |
| 9 | Yokohama F. Marinos | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 13:18 | 9 |
| 10 | Chiba | 10 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 10:18 | 9 |
West | | Pl | W | W | L | L | | Pts |
| 1 | Vissel Kobe | 11 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 23:12 | 25 |
| 2 | Kyoto | 10 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 17:12 | 17 |
| 3 | Gamba Osaka | 10 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 16:14 | 17 |
| 4 | Shimizu S-Pulse | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 15:14 | 17 |
| 5 | Nagoya Grampus | 10 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 17:15 | 16 |
| 6 | Cerezo Osaka | 10 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 10:11 | 14 |
| 7 | Sanfrecce Hiroshima | 10 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 15:14 | 13 |
| 8 | V-Varen Nagasaki | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 10:15 | 12 |
| 9 | Avispa Fukuoka | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 10:17 | 11 |
| 10 | Okayama | 10 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 11:20 | 11 |
Promotion ~ J1 League (Play Offs: )
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 3rd place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 5th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 7th place)
Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 9th place)
