Gamba Osaka vs Nagoya Grampus – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

12/04/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Panasonic Stadium Suita (Suita).

J1 League - Round 10
Where to Watch on TV:


China	QQ Sports
Japan	DAZN Japan

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
2.81	0.07
Ball Possession
65%	35%
Total shots
17	2
Shots on target
7	0
Big Chances
7	0
Corner Kicks
3	3
Passes
87% (544/624)	76% (254/336)
Yellow Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
2.81	0.07
xG on target (xGOT)
2.02	0.00
Total shots
17	2
Shots on target
7	0
Shots off target
8	1
Blocked Shots
2	1
Shots inside the Box
13	1
Shots outside the Box
4	1
Hit the Woodwork
1	0
Big Chances
7	0
Corner Kicks
3	3
Touches in opposition box
30	3
Offsides
2	2
Free Kicks
9	11
Passes
87% (544/624)	76% (254/336)
Long passes
33% (17/51)	48% (27/56)
Passes in final third
79% (178/225)	50% (42/84)
Crosses
33% (6/18)	11% (1/9)
Expected assists (xA)
3.20	0.11
Fouls
11	9
Tackles
70% (16/23)	67% (14/21)
Duels won
52	54
Clearances Total
15	23
Interceptions
12	11
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper Saves
0	5
xGOT faced
0.00	2.02
Goals prevented
0.00	-0.02

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
33', Nogami Y. 🟨,
36', Ono M. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Asano Y. ↓, Morishima T. ↑,
46', Nakayama K. ↓, Mikuni K. ↑,
63', 1 - 0, Jebali I. ⚽, Juan Alano (A),
67', Ono M. ↓, Junker K. ↑,
74', Shiihashi K. ↓, Kikuchi T. ↑,
76', 2 - 0, Yamashita R. ⚽, Jebali I. (A),
77', Juan Alano ↓, Kurata S. ↑,
77', Mateus ↓, Yamanaka R. ↑,
85', Kurokawa K. ↓, Sasaki S. ↑,
85', Yamashita R. ↓, Kishimoto T. ↑,
90+2', Jebali I. ↓, Minamino H. ↑,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Gamba Osaka
39.5%

Draw
30.1%

Nagoya Grampus
30.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.7%

30.7%

31.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

31.7%

30.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Gamba Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Nagoya Grampus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gamba Osaka than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagoya Grampus than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.38 ↓ (2.49)	3.1 ↑ (3.06)	3.07 ↑ (2.98)	6.9% (6.4%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

What is the prediction for Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Gamba Osaka will win (votes: 4 - 66.7%). Nagoya will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Gamba Osaka (votes: 1 - 100%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 14 and 19 in the zone Relegation ~ J2 League).
Last 5 head-to-head matches Gamba Osaka won 3.
Gamba Osaka is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
Recent matches Nagoya is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recently Gamba Osaka have a series of guest games.
The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.
There will not play in Gamba Osaka: Egawa Y. (Injury) Welton (Ankle Injury)
There will not play in Nagoya: Tokumoto S. (Muscle Injury) Yamagishi Y. (Knee Injury) Yamanaka R. (Lacking Match Fitness)
Last 20 head-to-head matches Gamba Osaka won 8 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 8 matches and goals 37:36 (average 1.9:1.8).
Including matches at home between the teams Gamba Osaka won 3 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18:22 (average 1.8:2.2).

How many head-to-head matches has Gamba Osaka won against Nagoya Grampus?

Gamba Osaka has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Nagoya Grampus won against Gamba Osaka?

Nagoya Grampus has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus were as follows:

23.10.2024 Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus 3:2

11.05.2024 Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka 0:1

21.10.2023 Gamba Osaka - Nagoya Grampus 0:1

06.05.2023 Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka 1:0

27.08.2022 Nagoya Grampus - Gamba Osaka 0:2

Latest results of Gamba Osaka

06.04.2025 Kashiwa Reysol - Gamba Osaka 1:0 ✺

02.04.2025 Gamba Osaka - Machida Zelvia 0:1 ✺

29.03.2025 Albirex Niigata - Gamba Osaka 3:3 ✺

20.03.2025 Kochi United - Gamba Osaka 1:2 ✺

16.03.2025 Yokohama F. Marinos - Gamba Osaka 2:0 ✺

Latest results of Nagoya Grampus

06.04.2025 Shonan Bellmare - Nagoya Grampus 2:1 ✺

02.04.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama F. Marinos 2:0 ✺

29.03.2025 Nagoya Grampus - Yokohama FC 2:1 ✺

20.03.2025 Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Nagoya Grampus 0:3 ✺

15.03.2025 Tokyo Verdy - Nagoya Grampus 2:1 ✺

Japan J1 League Table

2025

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Kyoto	27	15	6	6	47:30	17	51
2	Kashima Antlers	27	16	3	8	40:26	14	51
3	Machida	28	15	5	8	42:26	16	50
4	Kashiwa Reysol	27	14	8	5	40:27	13	50
5	Vissel Kobe	28	15	5	8	36:26	10	50
6	Sanfrecce Hiroshima	28	15	4	9	33:19	14	49
7	Urawa Reds	27	12	8	7	38:30	8	44
8	Kawasaki Frontale	27	11	9	7	45:35	10	42
9	Okayama	27	11	6	10	26:23	3	39
10	Cerezo Osaka	27	10	8	9	41:38	3	38
11	Avispa Fukuoka	27	9	10	8	27:26	1	37
12	Gamba Osaka	28	11	4	13	33:40	-7	37
13	Shimizu S-Pulse	27	8	8	11	30:35	-5	32
14	Verdy	27	8	7	12	16:28	-12	31
15	FC Tokyo	27	8	6	13	29:41	-12	30
16	Nagoya Grampus	27	7	7	13	33:41	-8	28
17	Yokohama F. Marinos	27	6	7	14	26:34	-8	25
18	Shonan Bellmare	27	6	7	14	22:42	-20	25
19	Yokohama FC	27	6	4	17	18:35	-17	22
20	Albirex Niigata	27	4	8	15	27:47	-20	20

      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
      Promotion ~ AFC Champions League 2
      Relegation ~ J2 League