Result
 
                    0:1
                
               
                
                                 
                    
                    
                        20/10/2025 at  14:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
                    
 
                 
                
                
				
				                
				
				                
                 
                 
                     
                     
                                                -  Ligue 2 - Round 10
- Referee: Landry R. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV: 
                    
|  |  | 
|---|
|  Andorra | beIN Sports 1 | 
|  Asia | beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA 4, beIN Sports MENA French 1, TOD | 
|  France | beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1, Free | 
 
                     
                  
				
				            
            
            
                            				
                
                
				
				                 
                    
                        Match Stats
                    
                    
                        
                                
|  |  | 
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.56 | 
| Ball Possession | 
|---|
| 57% | 43% | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 23 | 5 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 7 | 4 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 85% (340/402) | 79% (250/318) | 
| Yellow Cards | 
|---|
| 1 | 3 | 
| Expected Goals (xG) | 
|---|
| 1.72 | 1.56 | 
| xG on target (xGOT) | 
|---|
| 0.87 | 1.33 | 
| Total shots | 
|---|
| 23 | 5 | 
| Shots on target | 
|---|
| 3 | 3 | 
| Shots off target | 
|---|
| 12 | 1 | 
| Blocked Shots | 
|---|
| 8 | 1 | 
| Shots inside the Box | 
|---|
| 10 | 4 | 
| Shots outside the Box | 
|---|
| 13 | 1 | 
| Hit the Woodwork | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Big Chances | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| Corner Kicks | 
|---|
| 7 | 4 | 
| Touches in opposition box | 
|---|
| 31 | 11 | 
| Accurate through passes | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Offsides | 
|---|
| 0 | 1 | 
| Free Kicks | 
|---|
| 16 | 14 | 
| Passes | 
|---|
| 85% (340/402) | 79% (250/318) | 
| Long passes | 
|---|
| 59% (34/58) | 44% (29/66) | 
| Passes in final third | 
|---|
| 76% (97/128) | 58% (33/57) | 
| Crosses | 
|---|
| 29% (10/34) | 0% (0/9) | 
| Expected assists (xA) | 
|---|
| 1.61 | 0.33 | 
| Throw-ins | 
|---|
| 30 | 14 | 
| Fouls | 
|---|
| 14 | 16 | 
| Tackles | 
|---|
| 82% (9/11) | 54% (7/13) | 
| Duels won | 
|---|
| 47 | 37 | 
| Clearances | 
|---|
| 19 | 39 | 
| Interceptions | 
|---|
| 8 | 8 | 
| Errors leading to shot | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Errors leading to goal | 
|---|
| 0 | 0 | 
| Goalkeeper Saves | 
|---|
| 2 | 3 | 
| xGOT faced | 
|---|
| 1.33 | 0.87 | 
| Goals prevented | 
|---|
| 0.33 | 0.87 | 
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Key Moments
                    
                    
					    Here there are
                                
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 18', Averlant T. (Pen), 
- 18', Louis C. 🟨, 
- 24', 0 - 1, Ikia Dimi Y. ⚽, Hamache I. (A), 
- 29', Chabane A. 🟨, 
- 35', Ouotro P. (Pen), 
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
- 46', Evans J. ↓, Bouabdelli W. ↑, 
- 60', Suljic C. ↓, Dabasse A. ↑, 
- 60', Nahounou Y. ↓, Sidibe O. ↑, 
- 71', Ikia Dimi Y. 🟨, 
- 76', Hamache I. ↓, Mlakar J. ↑, 
- 76', Ikia Dimi Y. ↓, Appiah A. ↑, 
- 80', Ouotro P. ↓, Bokangu B. ↑, 
- 80', Bouriaud T. ↓, Maouassa F. ↑, 
- 90+4', Maouassa F. 🟨, 
  
                 
				 				 
				                  
                    
                        Highlights
                    
                    
					
                        
                           
                            
                                
https://tinyurl.com/mr2edf3f
                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				 				 
				 
				 
				
				                 
                    
                        Chances of winning
                    
                    
                        
                                
 | Nancy 51.5%
 | Draw 26.9%
 | Amiens 21.5%
 | 
Initial Probability
 (when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nancy has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)Amiens has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (+4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Amiens than the current prediction. (-2.4%)                        
                      
                 
				 				 
				 
				                  
                    
                        Nancy - Amiens Odds
                    
                    
                        
                                
            
            
            
			
			
			   |  | 1 | X | 2 | Marga |  | 
			
			
			   | Avarage Now (Initially)
 | 2 ↑ (1.71)
 | 3.66 (3.66)
 | 4.44 ↓ (4.76)
 | -0.1% (7%)
 |  | 
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  
                 
				 				 
				 
				 
            
                                 
                    
                        What is the prediction for Nancy - Amiens?
                    
                    
                        
						        
                                            
                                            Users Predictions: 
                                            
                                            
                                            20 users predict this event. Nancy will win (votes: 14 - 70%). Amiens will win (votes: 3 - 15%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 15%). 
Confidence interval (95%) for Nancy: 49.9% – 90.1%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Nancy will win (3 of 4 users predict this - 75%).                                The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
                        
						
                    
 
                 
                                
                
                                  
                    
                     Preview Facts
                    
                    
                        
                             - A meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will take place in this match (ranked 10 and 16 in the zone Ligue 2 (Relegation)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 0.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- In this match, Nancy is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Nancy: Fernandez N.
(Red Card)
Mendy E.
(Injury)
Sidibe O.
(Inactive)
Sourzac M.
(Injury)
Suljic C.
(Inactive)
Ztouti Z.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Amiens: Chabane A.
(Injury)
Fofana I.
(Red Card)
Kaiboue K.
(Yellow Cards)
Kandil N.
(Knee Injury)
Manitu M.
(Inactive)
Mlakar J.
(Inactive)
Rafii Y.
(Injury)
- In the last 6 head-to-head matches, Nancy won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 4:7. (average 0.7:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nancy won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:5. (average 1:1.3).                        
  
                 
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Nancy won against Amiens?
                    
                    
                        
                            Nancy has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                                  
                    
                        How many head-to-head matches has Amiens won against Nancy?
                    
                    
                        
                             Amiens has won  of their last 0 head-to-head matches.
                        
                    
 
                 
                
                
                
                                 
                    
                        What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
                    
                    
                    
                        
                            The latest head-to-head matches between Nancy - Amiens were as follows:
                                                     
                      
                    
                 
                
                
                                
                                
                                
				
				
				
                
                
                                 
                                 
                			   
			                       
                            
                                                
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26|  |  | Pl | W | D | L |  | Diff | Pts | 
| 1 | Troyes | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 20:9 | 11 | 24 | 
| 2 | Red Star | 11 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 17:9 | 8 | 23 | 
| 3 | Pau FC | 11 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 17:12 | 5 | 21 | 
| 4 | St Etienne | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 21:17 | 4 | 20 | 
| 5 | Montpellier | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 13:11 | 2 | 17 | 
| 6 | Reims | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 16:15 | 1 | 16 | 
| 7 | Le Mans | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 15:14 | 1 | 16 | 
| 8 | Annecy | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:12 | 2 | 15 | 
| 9 | Amiens | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 14:14 | 0 | 15 | 
| 10 | Guingamp | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 18:22 | -4 | 15 | 
| 11 | Dunkerque | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 19:15 | 4 | 13 | 
| 12 | Clermont | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 10:14 | -4 | 13 | 
| 13 | Rodez | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11:15 | -4 | 13 | 
| 14 | Nancy | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 11:16 | -5 | 12 | 
| 15 | Grenoble | 11 | 2 | 4 | 5 | 11:14 | -3 | 10 | 
| 16 | Boulogne | 11 | 3 | 1 | 7 | 9:14 | -5 | 10 | 
| 17 | Laval | 10 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 7:12 | -5 | 8 | 
| 18 | Bastia | 10 | 0 | 4 | 6 | 4:12 | -8 | 4 | 
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
      Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Ligue 2 (Relegation)
      Relegation ~ National