Result
1:3
02/05/2026 at 14:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Ligue 2 - Round 33
- Referee: Taleb A. (Fra)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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 France | beIN Connect |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.57 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 72% | 28% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (562/637) | 69% (158/228) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.78 | 1.57 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 1.91 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 16 | 11 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 6 | 2 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 6 | 3 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed goals |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 31 | 16 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 8 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (562/637) | 69% (158/228) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 63% (24/38) | 43% (20/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 72% (101/141) | 63% (57/90) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (8/20) | 41% (9/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.40 | 1.04 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 25 | 21 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 8 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 67% (12/18) | 85% (11/13) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 32 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 25 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 9 | 17 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.91 | 0.97 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -1.09 | -0.03 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 26', 1 - 0, Bobichon A. ⚽,
- 29', Fernandez N. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 3)
- 46', Julloux A. ↓, Guendez M. ↑,
- 50', 1 - 1, Mendy E. ⚽, Bouriaud T. (A),
- 56', Anziani J. ↓, Touzghar R. ↑,
- 61', Dong K. 🟨,
- 63', 1 - 2, Fernandez N. ⚽,
- 66', Dong K. ↓, Versini G. ↑,
- 67', Beusnard S. ↓, Fall C. ↑,
- 68', Zuliani E. ↓, Basse S. ↑,
- 69', Fdaouch Z. ↓, Carlier M. ↑,
- 69', Bouriaud T. ↓, Evans J. ↑,
- 74', Bobichon A. ↓, Gasnier K. ↑,
- 76', Bouabdelli W. 🟨,
- 77', Pouilly T. 🟨,
- 80', Bokangu B. ↓, Sissoko N. ↑,
- 83', Maouassa F. ↓, Tacafred E. ↑,
- 90', 1 - 3, Saint-Ruf N. ⚽, Carlier M. (A),
Chances of winning
Pau
37.3% | Draw
28.3% | Nancy
34.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pau has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)Nancy has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pau than the current prediction. (+5.6%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pau, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nancy than the current prediction. (-2.9%)
Pau - Nancy Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.48 ↑
(2.25) |
3.33 ↓
(3.61) |
2.72 ↓
(2.87) |
7.2%
(7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Pau - Nancy?
Users Predictions:
12 users predict this event. Pau will win (votes: 6 - 50%). Nancy will win (votes: 4 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 16.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Pau: 21.7% – 78.3%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 9 and 15).
- Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
- Nancy may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
- The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.
- There will not play in Pau: Bobichon A.
(Inactive)
Briancon A.
(Inactive)
Karamoko S.
(Inactive)
Sissoko O.
(Injury)
Versini G.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Nancy: Bourgault J.
(Injury)
Dabasse A.
(Inactive)
Gelin J.
(Injury)
Julloux A.
(Inactive)
Kenzo N.
(Injury)
Ouotro P.
(Inactive)
Sourzac M.
(Arm Injury)
Suljic C.
(Red Card)
- There are questionable in Nancy: Maouassa F.
(Injury)
Tacafred E.
(Injury)
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pau won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:7. (average 1.6:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pau won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:2. (average 1.5:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Pau won against Nancy?
Pau has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nancy won against Pau?
Nancy has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pau - Nancy were as follows:
29.08.2025
Nancy
-
Pau
2:2
French Ligue 2 Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Troyes | 33 | 20 | 7 | 6 | 60:32 | 28 | 67 |
| 2 | Le Mans | 33 | 15 | 14 | 4 | 48:31 | 17 | 59 |
| 3 | St Etienne | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 54:38 | 16 | 57 |
| 4 | Red Star | 33 | 16 | 9 | 8 | 44:36 | 8 | 57 |
| 5 | Rodez | 33 | 14 | 13 | 6 | 43:38 | 5 | 55 |
| 6 | Reims | 33 | 13 | 14 | 6 | 48:32 | 16 | 53 |
| 7 | Annecy | 33 | 15 | 7 | 11 | 48:37 | 11 | 52 |
| 8 | Montpellier | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 40:30 | 10 | 50 |
| 9 | Pau FC | 33 | 12 | 9 | 12 | 45:57 | -12 | 45 |
| 10 | Dunkerque | 33 | 11 | 10 | 12 | 51:42 | 9 | 43 |
| 11 | Guingamp | 33 | 10 | 10 | 13 | 42:48 | -6 | 40 |
| 12 | Grenoble | 33 | 7 | 15 | 11 | 32:39 | -7 | 36 |
| 13 | Boulogne | 33 | 9 | 9 | 15 | 33:47 | -14 | 36 |
| 14 | Clermont | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 37:44 | -7 | 34 |
| 15 | Nancy | 33 | 8 | 10 | 15 | 32:50 | -18 | 34 |
| 16 | Laval | 33 | 5 | 14 | 14 | 28:47 | -19 | 29 |
| 17 | Bastia | 33 | 5 | 13 | 15 | 23:37 | -14 | 28 |
| 18 | Amiens | 33 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 37:60 | -23 | 24 |
Promotion ~ Ligue 1
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Final)
Promotion ~ Ligue 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Ligue 2 (Relegation)
Relegation ~ National
