Result
2:1
21/03/2026 at 08:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 3
- Referee: Jakobson J. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 57% | 43% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 3 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 10 | 2 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 1)
- 25', Zuravljov E. 🟨,
- 31', 0 - 1, Viidas S. ⚽,
- 42', 1 - 1, Gero A. ⚽, Maksimkin M. (A),
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Viidas S. ↓, Limberg M. ↑,
- 46', Ivanyushin A. ↓, Agaptsev S. ↑,
- 46', Kudriashov V. ↓, Filatov A. ↑,
- 55', Limberg M. 🟨,
- 68', 2 - 1, Agaptsev S. ⚽, Campagna C. (A),
- 75', Eriks Santos 🟨,
- 76', Lepik M. ↓, Kauber K. ↑,
- 76', Allas J. ↓, Seppik M. ↑,
- 76', Kauber K. 🟨,
- 83', Doke J. ↓, Kondrattsev S. ↑,
- 83', Skinjov A. ↓, Baljabkin N. ↑,
- 88', Velijev M. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Narva Trans
50.1% | Draw
25.1% | Pärnu Vaprus
24.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Narva Trans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.8%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Narva Trans's performance.Pärnu Vaprus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.2%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pärnu Vaprus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Narva Trans than the current prediction. (-10%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Narva Trans that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (+10.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pärnu Vaprus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Narva Trans - Pärnu Vaprus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.82 ↓
(2.26) |
3.64 ↓
(3.7) |
3.68 ↑
(2.6) |
9.7%
(9.7%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Narva Trans - Pärnu Vaprus?
Users Predictions:
6 users predict this event. Narva Trans will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Pärnu Vaprus will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Narva Trans won 3.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Narva Trans will hold a modest advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Narva Trans won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 32:24. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Narva Trans won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Narva Trans won against Pärnu Vaprus?
Narva Trans has won 6 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pärnu Vaprus won against Narva Trans?
Pärnu Vaprus has won 5 of their last 16 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Narva Trans - Pärnu Vaprus were as follows:
15.02.2026
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Narva Trans
0:2
18.10.2025
Narva Trans
-
Pärnu Vaprus
1:1
12.07.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Narva Trans
0:0
11.05.2025
Narva Trans
-
Pärnu Vaprus
4:2
23.04.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Narva Trans
1:2
Latest results of Narva Trans
Latest results of Pärnu Vaprus
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2026 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Kalju | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 10:1 | 9 | 15 |
| 2 | Levadia | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Paide | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 10 |
| 4 | Harju JK Laagri | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 9 |
| 5 | Narva | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 7:6 | 1 | 6 |
| 6 | Tammeka | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:10 | -2 | 6 |
| 7 | Flora | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6:7 | -1 | 6 |
| 8 | Nomme Utd | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 11:11 | 0 | 4 |
| 9 | Kuressaare | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:11 | -7 | 3 |
| 10 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 6:15 | -9 | 3 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
