Result
1:1
18/10/2025 at 09:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Meistriliiga - Round 32
- Referee: Tohver K. (Est)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Estonia | Soccernet TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 61% | 39% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 26 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 11 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 15 | 6 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 1 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 38', Lipp M. 🟨,
- 38', 1 - 0, Doke J. ⚽, Ivanyushin A. (A),
- 41', Doke J. 🟨,
- 43', Paalberg M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Burjanadze S. ↓, Bondar D. ↑,
- 52', Agaptsev S. 🟨,
- 64', 1 - 1, Paalberg M. ⚽, Kauber K. (A),
- 65', Veensalu E. ↓, Vallik V. ↑,
- 65', Aer S. ↓, Villota M. ↑,
- 65', Kauber K. ↓, Kapper S. ↑,
- 78', Agaptsev S. ↓, Elysee ↑,
- 78', Gero A. ↓, Viidas S. ↑,
- 80', Limberg M. ↓, Poder J. ↑,
- 90', Doke J. ↓, Kozhushko M. ↑,
- 90+1', Villota M. 🟨,
- 90+4', 🟨,
Chances of winning
Narva Trans
45.3% | Draw
33.9% | Pärnu Vaprus
20.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Narva Trans has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)Pärnu Vaprus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.5%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Pärnu Vaprus might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Narva Trans than the current prediction. (-2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pärnu Vaprus than the current prediction. (+10.4%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Pärnu Vaprus could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Narva Trans - Pärnu Vaprus Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.37 ↑
(2.18) |
3.17 ↓
(3.52) |
5.16 ↑
(2.96) |
-6.8%
(8.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for Narva Trans - Pärnu Vaprus?
Users Predictions:
4 users predict this event. Narva Trans will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Pärnu Vaprus will win (votes: 2 - 50%). High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Narva Trans (votes: 1 - 100%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Narva Trans won 3.
- The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.
- Recently, Pärnu Vaprus has had a series of away games.
- Narva Trans is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Narva Trans won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:24. (average 1.6:1.2).
- Including home matches between the teams, Narva Trans won 5 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:12. (average 1.6:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has Narva Trans won against Pärnu Vaprus?
Narva Trans has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Pärnu Vaprus won against Narva Trans?
Pärnu Vaprus has won 5 of their last 14 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Narva Trans - Pärnu Vaprus were as follows:
12.07.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Narva Trans
0:0
11.05.2025
Narva Trans
-
Pärnu Vaprus
4:2
23.04.2025
Pärnu Vaprus
-
Narva Trans
1:2
04.03.2025
Narva Trans
-
Pärnu Vaprus
3:1
27.10.2024
Narva Trans
-
Pärnu Vaprus
1:1
Latest results of Narva Trans
Latest results of Pärnu Vaprus
Estonian Meistriliiga Table
2025 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Flora | 32 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 74:30 | 44 | 72 |
| 2 | Levadia | 32 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 79:31 | 48 | 72 |
| 3 | Kalju | 32 | 20 | 4 | 8 | 63:35 | 28 | 64 |
| 4 | Paide | 32 | 19 | 5 | 8 | 56:29 | 27 | 62 |
| 5 | Narva | 32 | 15 | 6 | 11 | 53:41 | 12 | 51 |
| 6 | Parnu JK Vaprus | 32 | 14 | 7 | 11 | 53:41 | 12 | 49 |
| 7 | Harju JK Laagri | 32 | 8 | 4 | 20 | 40:65 | -25 | 28 |
| 8 | Kuressaare | 32 | 7 | 4 | 21 | 30:62 | -32 | 25 |
| 9 | Tammeka | 32 | 7 | 2 | 23 | 37:77 | -40 | 23 |
| 10 | Tallinna Kalev | 32 | 4 | 2 | 26 | 27:101 | -74 | 14 |
Promotion ~ Champions League (Qualification: )
Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )
Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation ~ Esiliiga
