Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: Bazakos F. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Canada | Amazon Prime Video, TSN 5 |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Italy | Amazon Prime Video |
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.47 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 35% | 65% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (232/297) | 91% (490/541) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.95 | 1.47 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.66 | 1.55 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 20 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 10 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 4 | 14 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 2 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 10 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 34 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 1 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 78% (232/297) | 91% (490/541) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 29% (12/41) | 58% (15/26) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 66% (42/64) | 81% (92/114) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (1/6) | 41% (11/27) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.20 | 1.50 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 8 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 54% (7/13) | 67% (8/12) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 23 | 11 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.55 | 0.66 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.55 | -0.34 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', Maher J. 🟨,
- 9', 1 - 0, Sealy D. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Muyl A. ↓, Shaffelburg J. ↑,
- 46', Bauer J. ↓, Najar A. ↑,
- 64', Ivan Jaime 🟨,
- 65', Ivan Jaime ↓, Guboglo Y. ↑,
- 65', Escobar O. ↓, Herbers F. ↑,
- 67', Boyd T. ↓, Carleton A. ↑,
- 69', Lovitz D. 🟨,
- 73', Najar A. 🟨,
- 76', Owusu P. ↓, Ibrahim S. ↑,
- 78', Acosta B. ↓, Yazbek P. ↑,
- 81', 1 - 1, Surridge S. ⚽, Brugman G. (A), Maher J. (A2)
- 90+5', Brugman G. ↓, Tagseth E. ↑,
Chances of winning
CF Montréal
28.5% | Draw
24.7% | Nashville SC
46.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)The chances for Nashville SC have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.ML Model estimates a lower probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (-0.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (+2%)
CF Montréal - Nashville SC Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
3.34 ↑
(3.23) |
3.84 ↓
(3.85) |
2.04 ↑
(2) |
5%
(7.1%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
What is the prediction for CF Montréal - Nashville SC?
Users Predictions:
8 users predict this event. Nashville will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nashville: 45% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nashville (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 1.
- Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
- Montreal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Nashville might have a minor edge in this game.
- There will not play in Montreal: Morales E.
(Lower-Body Injury)
Synchuk G.
(International duty)
Vrioni G.
(Muscle Injury)
- There will not play in Nashville: Corcoran M.
(International duty)
Gaines J.
(Thigh Injury)
Meyer W.
(Foot Injury)
Perez J.
(Thigh Injury)
Washington T.
(Knee Injury)
- There are questionable in Nashville: Knight J.
(Thigh Injury)
Qasem A.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:17. (average 0.5:1.5).
- Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.2:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has CF Montréal won against Nashville SC?
CF Montréal has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Nashville SC won against CF Montréal?
Nashville SC has won 3 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between CF Montréal - Nashville SC were as follows:
22.03.2025
Nashville SC
-
CF Montréal
3:0
25.05.2024
CF Montréal
-
Nashville SC
0:0
04.05.2024
Nashville SC
-
CF Montréal
4:1
21.06.2023
CF Montréal
-
Nashville SC
1:0
11.03.2023
Nashville SC
-
CF Montréal
2:0
Latest results of CF Montréal
Latest results of Nashville SC
MLS Table
2026Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 7 | 6 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | FC Dallas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Minnesota United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Austin FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Seattle Sounders | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Colorado Rapids | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Portland Timbers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Houston Dynamo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | New York Red Bulls | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Nashville SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | New York City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Cincinnati | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | DC United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Inter Miami | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 1 |
| 9 | Charlotte | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 10 | Philadelphia Union | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 11 | Orlando City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 0 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 13 | New England Revolution | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 14 | Atlanta Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:8 | -8 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
