CF Montréal vs Nashville SC – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football MLS CF Montréal - Nashville SC
Result
1:1
04/10/2025 at 14:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • MLS
  • Referee: Bazakos F. (Usa)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
canadaCanadaAmazon Prime Video, TSN 5
chinaChinaQQ Sports
finlandFinlandVeikkaus TV
italyItalyAmazon Prime Video
usaUsaMLS Season Pass
worldWorldEA Sports FC

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
0.951.47
Ball Possession
35%65%
Total shots
620
Shots on target
25
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
410
Passes
78% (232/297)91% (490/541)
Yellow Cards
13
Expected Goals (xG)
0.951.47
xG on target (xGOT)
0.661.55
Total shots
620
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
310
Blocked Shots
15
Shots inside the Box
414
Shots outside the Box
26
Hit the Woodwork
01
Headed Goals
01
Big Chances
21
Corner Kicks
410
Touches in opposition box
1034
Accurate through passes
10
Offsides
21
Free Kicks
87
Passes
78% (232/297)91% (490/541)
Long passes
29% (12/41)58% (15/26)
Passes in final third
66% (42/64)81% (92/114)
Crosses
17% (1/6)41% (11/27)
Expected assists (xA)
0.201.50
Throw-ins
1114
Fouls
78
Tackles
54% (7/13)67% (8/12)
Duels won
3036
Clearances
2311
Interceptions
22
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper Saves
41
xGOT faced
1.550.66
Goals prevented
0.55-0.34

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', Maher J. 🟨,
  • 9', 1 - 0, Sealy D. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Muyl A. , Shaffelburg J. ,
  • 46', Bauer J. , Najar A. ,
  • 64', Ivan Jaime 🟨,
  • 65', Ivan Jaime , Guboglo Y. ,
  • 65', Escobar O. , Herbers F. ,
  • 67', Boyd T. , Carleton A. ,
  • 69', Lovitz D. 🟨,
  • 73', Najar A. 🟨,
  • 76', Owusu P. , Ibrahim S. ,
  • 78', Acosta B. , Yazbek P. ,
  • 81', 1 - 1, Surridge S. , Brugman G. (A), Maher J. (A2)
  • 90+5', Brugman G. , Tagseth E. ,

Highlights

Chances of winning


CF Montréal
28.5%
Draw
24.7%
Nashville SC
46.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
29% 24.3% 46.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.8% 23.3% 48.8%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • CF Montréal has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
  • The chances for Nashville SC have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for CF Montréal than the current prediction. (-0.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (+2%)
  • CF Montréal - Nashville SC Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    3.34
    (3.23)
    3.84
    (3.85)
    2.04
    (2)
    5%
    (7.1%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    What is the prediction for CF Montréal - Nashville SC?
  • Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Nashville will win (votes: 6 - 75%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 25%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Nashville: 45%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. Nashville (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 13 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 1.
    • Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
    • Montreal may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • Nashville might have a minor edge in this game.
    • There will not play in Montreal: Morales E. (Lower-Body Injury) Synchuk G. (International duty) Vrioni G. (Muscle Injury)
    • There will not play in Nashville: Corcoran M. (International duty) Gaines J. (Thigh Injury) Meyer W. (Foot Injury) Perez J. (Thigh Injury) Washington T. (Knee Injury)
    • There are questionable in Nashville: Knight J. (Thigh Injury) Qasem A. (Ankle Injury)
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Montreal won 1 match, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 6:17. (average 0.5:1.5).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Montreal won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:3. (average 0.2:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between CF Montréal - Nashville SC were as follows:
    22.03.2025 Nashville SC - CF Montréal 3:0
    25.05.2024 CF Montréal - Nashville SC 0:0
    04.05.2024 Nashville SC - CF Montréal 4:1
    21.06.2023 CF Montréal - Nashville SC 1:0
    11.03.2023 Nashville SC - CF Montréal 2:0
    Latest results of CF Montréal
    Latest results of Nashville SC
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionBye
    2Chicago FireOrlando City3 : 1
    3CharlotteBye
    4ByeNew York City
    5Inter MiamiBye
    6ByeNashville SC
    7FC CincinnatiBye
    8ByeColumbus Crew
    9San Diego FCBye
    10Portland TimbersReal Salt Lake3 : 1
    11Minnesota UnitedBye
    12ByeSeattle Sounders
    13Los Angeles FCBye
    14ByeAustin FC
    15Vancouver WhitecapsBye
    16ByeFC Dallas

    1/8-finals
    1Philadelphia UnionChicago Fire
    2CharlotteNew York City
    3Inter MiamiNashville SC1 : 0
    4FC CincinnatiColumbus Crew
    5San Diego FCPortland Timbers
    6Minnesota UnitedSeattle Sounders
    7Los Angeles FCAustin FC
    8Vancouver WhitecapsFC Dallas

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2