Result
1:1
02/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- Saudi Professional League - Round 20
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | JACO Middle East |
 China | QQ Sports |
 Saudi-arabia | Thmanyah App, Thmanyah |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 2.67 |
| Ball possession |
|---|
| 32% | 68% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (162/229) | 86% (411/480) |
| Yellow cards |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| Red cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.36 | 2.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 0.16 | 2.24 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 7 | 19 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 2 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 2 | 10 |
| Blocked shots |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Shots inside the box |
|---|
| 3 | 13 |
| Shots outside the box |
|---|
| 4 | 6 |
| Hit the woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big chances |
|---|
| 1 | 3 |
| Corner kicks |
|---|
| 1 | 7 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 8 | 39 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Free kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 10 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 71% (162/229) | 86% (411/480) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 34% (19/56) | 41% (11/27) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 61% (50/82) | 76% (151/199) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 40% (4/10) | 16% (5/32) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.32 | 1.61 |
| Throw ins |
|---|
| 13 | 22 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 10 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 57% (4/7) | 78% (7/9) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 30 | 36 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 52 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper saves |
|---|
| 4 | 1 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 2.24 | 0.16 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 1.24 | -0.84 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 4', 1 - 0, Narey K. ⚽, Bassogog C. (A),
- 26', Neyou Y. 🟨,
- 34', Hejji A. ↓, Fallatah A. ↑,
- 39', Zeze N. 🟨,
- 45+5', Abu Abd M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (0 - 1)
- 46', Bassogog C. ↓, Ince B. ↑,
- 65', Gul G. ↓, Hawsawi G. ↑,
- 68', Rodriguez L. ↓, Abdu A. ↑,
- 68', Noor A. ↓, Al Burayk M. ↑,
- 70', Al Rubaie S. ↓, Al Qaydhi M. ↑,
- 77', Kone A. ↓, Al Faraj S. ↑,
- 79', Neyou Y. ↓, Al Harthi S. ↑,
- 84', Asiri N. 🟨,
- 85', 1 - 1, Lacazette A. (Penalty Awarded),
- 88', Nguen T. ↓, Al Hatila A. ↑,
- 90+1', Asiri N. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Al Akhdoud
19% | Draw
24.7% | Neom
56.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Al Akhdoud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)Neom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (+0.3%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neom than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
Al Akhdoud - Neom Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
4.91 ↑
(4.5) |
3.73 ↑
(3.4) |
1.65 ↓
(1.68) |
8%
(11.2%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Al Akhdoud - Neom?
Users Predictions:
Neom will win
(14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
Confidence interval (95%): 100% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Neom will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
Preview Facts
- An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 9).
- Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
- Neom may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- In this match, Neom is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al Akhdoud won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
How many head-to-head matches has Al Akhdoud won against Neom?
Al Akhdoud has won 0 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Neom won against Al Akhdoud?
Neom has won 1 of their last 1 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Al Akhdoud - Neom were as follows:
18.09.2025
Neom
-
Al Akhdoud
1:0
Latest results of Al Akhdoud
Saudi Professional League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Al Nassr | 27 | 23 | 1 | 3 | 76:21 | 55 | 70 |
| 2 | Al Hilal | 28 | 20 | 8 | 0 | 75:25 | 50 | 68 |
| 3 | Al Ahli SC | 28 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 55:20 | 35 | 66 |
| 4 | Al Qadsiah | 28 | 18 | 7 | 3 | 65:29 | 36 | 61 |
| 5 | Al Taawon | 27 | 13 | 7 | 7 | 49:35 | 14 | 46 |
| 6 | Al Ittihad | 28 | 13 | 6 | 9 | 45:38 | 7 | 45 |
| 7 | Al Ettifaq | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 41:49 | -8 | 42 |
| 8 | Neom SC | 28 | 11 | 6 | 11 | 36:39 | -3 | 39 |
| 9 | Al Fayha | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 35:43 | -8 | 34 |
| 10 | Al Khaleej | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 46:46 | 0 | 31 |
| 11 | Al Hazem | 27 | 8 | 7 | 12 | 29:48 | -19 | 31 |
| 12 | Al Shabab | 27 | 7 | 9 | 11 | 34:40 | -6 | 30 |
| 13 | Al Fateh | 27 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 34:48 | -14 | 28 |
| 14 | Al Kholood | 28 | 8 | 2 | 18 | 36:56 | -20 | 26 |
| 15 | Damac | 28 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 25:46 | -21 | 23 |
| 16 | Al Riyadh | 28 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 29:52 | -23 | 23 |
| 17 | Al Okhdood | 27 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 23:57 | -34 | 16 |
| 18 | Al Najma | 27 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 25:66 | -41 | 8 |
Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
Relegation ~ Division 1
