Al Akhdoud vs Neom – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Result
1:1
02/02/2026 at 12:30 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
  • Saudi Professional League - Round 20
  • Where to Watch on TV:
asiaAsiaJACO Middle East
chinaChinaQQ Sports
saudi-arabiaSaudi-arabiaThmanyah App, Thmanyah

Match Stats

Expected goals (xG)
0.362.67
Ball possession
32%68%
Total shots
719
Shots on target
25
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
17
Passes
71% (162/229)86% (411/480)
Yellow cards
41
Red cards
10
Expected goals (xG)
0.362.67
xG on target (xGOT)
0.162.24
Total shots
719
Shots on target
25
Shots off target
210
Blocked shots
34
Shots inside the box
313
Shots outside the box
46
Hit the woodwork
00
Big chances
13
Corner kicks
17
Touches in opposition box
839
Accurate through passes
00
Offsides
11
Free kicks
1210
Passes
71% (162/229)86% (411/480)
Long passes
34% (19/56)41% (11/27)
Passes in final third
61% (50/82)76% (151/199)
Crosses
40% (4/10)16% (5/32)
Expected assists (xA)
0.321.61
Throw ins
1322
Fouls
1012
Tackles
57% (4/7)78% (7/9)
Duels won
3036
Clearances
5221
Interceptions
35
Errors leading to shot
00
Errors leading to goal
00
Goalkeeper saves
41
xGOT faced
2.240.16
Goals prevented
1.24-0.84

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 4', 1 - 0, Narey K. , Bassogog C. (A),
  • 26', Neyou Y. 🟨,
  • 34', Hejji A. , Fallatah A. ,
  • 39', Zeze N. 🟨,
  • 45+5', Abu Abd M. 🟨,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 1)
  • 46', Bassogog C. , Ince B. ,
  • 65', Gul G. , Hawsawi G. ,
  • 68', Rodriguez L. , Abdu A. ,
  • 68', Noor A. , Al Burayk M. ,
  • 70', Al Rubaie S. , Al Qaydhi M. ,
  • 77', Kone A. , Al Faraj S. ,
  • 79', Neyou Y. , Al Harthi S. ,
  • 84', Asiri N. 🟨,
  • 85', 1 - 1, Lacazette A. (Penalty Awarded),
  • 88', Nguen T. , Al Hatila A. ,
  • 90+1', Asiri N. 🟨,

Chances of winning


Al Akhdoud
19%
Draw
24.7%
Neom
56.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
20% 26.5% 53.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

19.3% 25.6% 55.4%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Al Akhdoud has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)
  • Neom has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Al Akhdoud than the current prediction. (+0.3%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neom than the current prediction. (-0.9%)
  • Al Akhdoud - Neom Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    4.91
    (4.5)
    3.73
    (3.4)
    1.65
    (1.68)
    8%
    (11.2%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
    What is the prediction for Al Akhdoud - Neom?
  • Users Predictions: Neom will win (14 of 14 users predict this - 100%).
    Confidence interval (95%): 100%100%.
  • High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): Neom will win (11 of 11 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 0:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • An outsider and a mid-table team will play in this game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation ~ Division 1 and 9).
    • Both teams are struggling and far from their best.
    • Neom may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
    • In this match, Neom is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 1 head-to-head match, Al Akhdoud won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Al Akhdoud - Neom were as follows:
    18.09.2025 Neom - Al Akhdoud 1:0
    Latest results of Al Akhdoud
    30.01.2026 Al-Taawoun - Al Akhdoud 1:0
    21.01.2026 Al Akhdoud - Al-Riyadh 2:2
    16.01.2026 Al-Khaleej - Al Akhdoud 4:1
    13.01.2026 Al Akhdoud - Al-Kholood 1:0
    Latest results of Neom
    30.01.2026 Neom - Damac 3:0
    24.01.2026 Neom - Al-Ahli Jeddah 0:3
    21.01.2026 Al-Ettifaq Dammam - Neom 0:0
    18.01.2026 Neom - Al-Hilal 1:2
    14.01.2026 Al-Shabab Riyadh - Neom 3:2
    Saudi Professional League Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Al Ahli SC24185146:153159
    2Al Nassr23191362:184458
    3Al Hilal23167057:203755
    4Al Qadsiah23165254:213353
    5Al Taawon23124741:281340
    6Al Ittihad23116638:281039
    7Al Ettifaq23115734:39-538
    8Neom SC2395928:31-332
    9Al Fateh24771032:43-1128
    10Al Khaleej23761042:37527
    11Al Fayha23761027:38-1127
    12Al Shabab23671027:33-625
    13Al Hazem23671023:43-2025
    14Al Kholood23711530:41-1122
    15Al Riyadh24371422:45-2316
    16Damac242101218:41-2316
    17Al Okhdood23241719:49-3010
    18Al Najma23151721:51-308

          Promotion ~ AFC Champions League (League phase: )
          Relegation ~ Division 1