Result
2:1
14/05/2025 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Referee: De Oliveira M. (Usa)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Usa | MLS Season Pass |
 World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.51 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (270/337) | 83% (350/422) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.96 | 0.51 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 2.91 | 0.47 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 13 | 7 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 7 | 2 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 8 | 3 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 4 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 20 | 17 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 2 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 14 | 11 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 80% (270/337) | 83% (350/422) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 56% (28/50) | 45% (24/53) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 63% (64/101) | 66% (80/121) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 25% (4/16) | 25% (6/24) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.97 | 0.94 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 29 | 23 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 11 | 14 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (9/14) | 72% (13/18) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 49 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 28 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 1 | 8 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 1 | 5 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.47 | 2.91 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.53 | 0.91 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 34', 1 - 0, Yazbek P. ⚽, Surridge S. (A),
- 36', Valencia O. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 1)
- 46', Valencia O. ↓, Edwards R. ↑,
- 56', 1 - 1, Choupo-Moting E. M. ⚽, Harper C. (A),
- 63', 2 - 1, Mukhtar H. ⚽, Muyl A. (A),
- 64', Najar A. ↓, Bauer J. ↑,
- 65', Muyl A. ↓, Qasem A. ↑,
- 73', Harper C. 🟨,
- 74', Sofo M. ↓, Stroud P. ↑,
- 74', Edelman D. ↓, Hack A. ↑,
- 74', Carmona W. ↓, Hall J. ↑,
- 78', Shaffelburg J. ↓, Applewhite C. ↑,
- 79', Qasem A. 🟨,
- 82', Carballo F. ↓, Bogacz W. ↑,
- 83', Edwards R. 🟨,
- 86', Surridge S. 🟨,
- 89', Yazbek P. ↓, Acosta B. ↑,
- 90', Mukhtar H. ↓, Bunbury T. ↑,
- 90+5', Lovitz D. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Nashville SC
49.9% | Draw
25.5% | New York Red Bulls
24.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Nashville SC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.8%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nashville SC than the current prediction. (-5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (+5%)
Nashville SC - New York Red Bulls Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.91 ↓
(2.1) |
3.71 ↓
(3.74) |
3.89 ↑
(3.24) |
4.9%
(5.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Nashville SC - New York Red Bulls?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Nashville will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Nashville: 50.6% – 100%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 1 high ROI users predict this event. Nashville (votes: 1 - 100%). Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Nashville (1.33) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- EH -1 - NY Red Bulls (1.87) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 3 high ROI users predict this event. Nashville (votes: 2 - 66.7%). NY Red Bulls (votes: 1 - 33.3%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 7 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals))
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 0.
- Nashville is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
- NY Red Bulls has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
- Nashville could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Nashville: Boyd T.
(Knee Injury)
Ekk M.
(Knee Injury)
Gaines J.
(Thigh Injury)
Zimmerman W.
(Concussion)
- There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Mitchell R.
(Knee Injury)
Morales M.
(Thigh Injury)
Morgan L.
(Knee Injury)
Nealis D.
(Hamstring Injury)
Ngoma S.
(Back Injury)
- In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Nashville won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 1:6. (average 0.1:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Nashville won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.3:0.7).
How many head-to-head matches has Nashville SC won against New York Red Bulls?
Nashville SC has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New York Red Bulls won against Nashville SC?
New York Red Bulls has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Nashville SC - New York Red Bulls were as follows:
01.03.2025
New York Red Bulls
-
Nashville SC
2:0
15.06.2024
New York Red Bulls
-
Nashville SC
0:0
25.02.2024
Nashville SC
-
New York Red Bulls
0:0
21.10.2023
Nashville SC
-
New York Red Bulls
0:1
04.03.2023
New York Red Bulls
-
Nashville SC
0:0
Latest results of Nashville SC
Latest results of New York Red Bulls
MLS Table
2026Western Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | San Diego FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 7:0 | 7 | 6 |
| 2 | San Jose Earthquakes | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 3 | Los Angeles FC | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5:0 | 5 | 6 |
| 4 | Vancouver Whitecaps | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4:0 | 4 | 6 |
| 5 | Los Angeles Galaxy | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 6 | FC Dallas | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 7 | Minnesota United | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 8 | Austin FC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 9 | Seattle Sounders | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:2 | 1 | 3 |
| 10 | Real Salt Lake | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 11 | Colorado Rapids | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:2 | 0 | 3 |
| 12 | Portland Timbers | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 3 |
| 13 | Houston Dynamo | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:3 | -1 | 3 |
| 14 | St. Louis City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:3 | -2 | 1 |
| 15 | Sporting Kansas City | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2:5 | -3 | 1 |
Eastern Conference | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | New York Red Bulls | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 3:1 | 2 | 6 |
| 2 | Nashville SC | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4:1 | 3 | 4 |
| 3 | New York City | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3:2 | 1 | 4 |
| 4 | Chicago Fire | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:2 | 2 | 3 |
| 5 | FC Cincinnati | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | DC United | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1:1 | 0 | 3 |
| 7 | Inter Miami | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 3 |
| 8 | Columbus Crew | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4:5 | -1 | 1 |
| 9 | Charlotte | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1:4 | -3 | 1 |
| 10 | Philadelphia Union | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:3 | -2 | 0 |
| 11 | Orlando City | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 0 |
| 12 | Toronto FC | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2:6 | -4 | 0 |
| 13 | New England Revolution | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 1:5 | -4 | 0 |
| 14 | Atlanta Utd | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:4 | -4 | 0 |
| 15 | CF Montreal | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0:8 | -8 | 0 |
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)
Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)
