Result
5:3
16/07/2025 at 19:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- MLS
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
Finland | Veikkaus TV |
Usa | MLS Season Pass |
World | EA Sports FC |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.31 | 2.22 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 58% | 42% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (456/520) | 83% (306/368) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.31 | 2.22 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 3.62 | 1.12 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 21 | 13 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 8 | 6 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 7 | 7 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 6 | 0 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 14 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 3 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 36 | 14 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 88% (456/520) | 83% (306/368) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 35% (11/31) | 43% (20/47) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 80% (140/176) | 71% (55/77) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 17% (3/18) | 29% (5/17) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.59 | 1.21 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 18 | 8 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 17 | 12 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 55% (11/20) | 53% (8/15) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 44 | 49 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 17 | 16 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 4 | 11 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 1 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 3 | 3 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.12 | 3.62 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.88 | -1.38 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 5', 0 - 1, Campana L. ⚽,
- 30', 0 - 2, Duncan K. (Own goal),
- 45+4', Campana L. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (5 - 1)
- 46', Miller P. ↓, Sands W. ↑,
- 54', Carmona W. 🟨,
- 56', 1 - 2, Edelman D. ⚽, Donkor R. (A),
- 61', Ceballos B. 🟨,
- 62', Duncan K. ↓, Hack A. ↑,
- 62', Carmona W. ↓, Hall J. ↑,
- 62', Edelman D. ↓, Bogacz W. ↑,
- 66', Ceballos B. ↓, Omsberg W. ↑,
- 70', 2 - 2, Choupo-Moting E. M. ⚽, Forsberg E. (A), Donkor R. (A2)
- 71', Sofo M. ↓, Gjengaar D. ↑,
- 71', Valencia O. ↓, Edwards R. ↑,
- 72', 3 - 2, Forsberg E. ⚽, Gjengaar D. (A),
- 73', Bye B. ↓, Feingold I. ↑,
- 73', Langoni L. ↓, Chancalay T. ↑,
- 76', Eile N. 🟨,
- 80', Beason T. ↓, Diaz L. ↑,
- 83', 4 - 2, Choupo-Moting E. M. ⚽, Donkor R. (A),
- 87', Hughes K. 🟨,
- 88', 5 - 2, Forsberg E. (Pen),
- 90+3', 5 - 3, Campana L. ⚽,
- 90+5', Diaz L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
New York Red Bulls 51.7% | Draw 24.8% | New England Revolution 23.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
New York Red Bulls has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)New England Revolution has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for New York Red Bulls than the current prediction. (-5.2%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with New York Red Bulls that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for New England Revolution than the current prediction. (+1.9%)
New York Red Bulls - New England Revolution Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.84 ↑ (1.81) |
3.8 ↓ (3.82) |
4.03 ↓ (4.27) |
5.6% (4.9%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.75
What is the prediction for New York Red Bulls - New England Revolution?
Users Predictions:
17 users predict this event. NY Red Bulls will win (votes: 9 - 52.9%). New England will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 35.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for NY Red Bulls: 29.2% – 76.6%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 2 high ROI users predict this event. NY Red Bulls (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 2:1.
Preview Facts
- This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 11).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 1.
- Neither of the teams is performing well right now.
- NY Red Bulls may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
- Recently, NY Red Bulls has had a series of away games.
- In this match, NY Red Bulls is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in NY Red Bulls: Harper C.
(Knee Injury)
Mitchell R.
(Lacking Match Fitness)
Morgan L.
(Thigh Injury)
- There will not play in New England: Fofana M.
(Yellow Cards)
Ganago I.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in NY Red Bulls: Morales M.
(Thigh Injury)
Ngoma S.
(Thigh Injury)
- There are questionable in New England: Bono A.
(Neck Injury)
Feingold I.
(Ankle Injury)
Miller P.
(Ankle Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, NY Red Bulls won 8 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 27:27. (average 1.4:1.4).
- Including home matches between the teams, NY Red Bulls won 5 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:11. (average 1.8:1.2).
How many head-to-head matches has New York Red Bulls won against New England Revolution?
New York Red Bulls has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has New England Revolution won against New York Red Bulls?
New England Revolution has won 3 of their last 7 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between New York Red Bulls - New England Revolution were as follows:
29.03.2025
New England Revolution
-
New York Red Bulls
2:1
08.06.2024
New England Revolution
-
New York Red Bulls
1:0
11.05.2024
New York Red Bulls
-
New England Revolution
4:2
30.08.2023
New England Revolution
-
New York Red Bulls
1:0
22.07.2023
New York Red Bulls
-
New England Revolution
0:0
Latest results of New York Red Bulls
Latest results of New England Revolution
Draw
Play Offs1/16-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Bye | |
| 2 | Chicago Fire | Orlando City | 3 : 1 |
| 3 | Charlotte | Bye | |
| 4 | Bye | New York City | |
| 5 | Inter Miami | Bye | |
| 6 | Bye | Nashville SC | |
| 7 | FC Cincinnati | Bye | |
| 8 | Bye | Columbus Crew | |
| 9 | San Diego FC | Bye | |
| 10 | Portland Timbers | Real Salt Lake | 3 : 1 |
| 11 | Minnesota United | Bye | |
| 12 | Bye | Seattle Sounders | |
| 13 | Los Angeles FC | Bye | |
| 14 | Bye | Austin FC | |
| 15 | Vancouver Whitecaps | Bye | |
| 16 | Bye | FC Dallas | |
1/8-finals| 1 | Philadelphia Union | Chicago Fire | |
| 2 | Charlotte | New York City | |
| 3 | Inter Miami | Nashville SC | 1 : 0 |
| 4 | FC Cincinnati | Columbus Crew | |
| 5 | San Diego FC | Portland Timbers | |
| 6 | Minnesota United | Seattle Sounders | |
| 7 | Los Angeles FC | Austin FC | |
| 8 | Vancouver Whitecaps | FC Dallas | |
Quarter-finalsSemi-finalsFinal