Result
2:0
20/12/2025 at 01:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))
- A-League - Round 9
- Referee: Reibelt C. (Aus)
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | SPOTV 2 Asia |
 Australia | 10 Drama, Channel 10, Paramount+ |
 Finland | Veikkaus TV |
 Hong-kong | M Plus Live, myTV SUPER |
 India | Vision+ |
 Indonesia | SPOTV 2, Vidio |
 Malaysia | Astro Go, SPOTV 2 |
 Mongolia | SPOTV 2 |
 New-zealand | Sky Sport 2 |
 Philippines | SPOTV 2 |
 Singapore | SPOTV 2 |
 Thailand | SPOTV 2, True ID, True Premier Football 5 |
 United-kingdom | Discovery+ App, Discovery+, TNT Sports 2 |
 Usa | ESPN App, ESPN+ |
 Vietnam | SPOTV 2 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.03 | 0.90 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 54% | 46% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (367/445) | 79% (295/373) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 3 | 1 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 3.03 | 0.90 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 4.28 | 0.65 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 27 | 16 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 9 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 9 | 5 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 22 | 8 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 8 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 7 | 6 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 61 | 22 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 2 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 11 | 7 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 82% (367/445) | 79% (295/373) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 44% (14/32) | 42% (21/50) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 77% (138/180) | 59% (65/111) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 7% (1/15) | 23% (3/13) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 1.31 | 1.34 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 30 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 11 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 50% (13/26) | 50% (11/22) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 56 | 47 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 24 | 31 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 10 | 15 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 0.65 | 4.28 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| 0.65 | 2.28 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 14', Natta M. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (2 - 0)
- 46', Walatee A. ↓, Akon A. ↑,
- 46', Hollman C. ↓, Kamijo W. ↑,
- 66', 1 - 0, Dobson W. ⚽,
- 68', Taylor C. ↓, Bayliss L. ↑,
- 68', Toure A. ↓, Lolley J. ↑,
- 68', Campuzano V. ↓, Wood P. ↑,
- 72', Rose L. 🟨,
- 79', Youlley R. ↓, Quintal T. ↑,
- 80', Dobson W. ↓, Mizunuma K. ↑,
- 80', Grozos K. ↓, Bertoncello X. ↑,
- 84', 2 - 0, Bertoncello X. ⚽, Badolato A. (A),
- 86', Adams E. ↓, Aquilina T. ↑,
- 86', Rose L. ↓, Gibson B. ↑,
- 90+1', Quispe Cordova P. A. 🟨,
- 90+4', Bayliss L. 🟨,
Chances of winning
Newcastle Jets
34.1% | Draw
23.3% | Sydney
42.6% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Newcastle Jets has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Newcastle Jets's performance.Sydney has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Sydney might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Newcastle Jets than the current prediction. (-7.4%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Newcastle Jets that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Sydney than the current prediction. (+7.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Sydney could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Newcastle Jets - Sydney Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.78 ↓
(3.35) |
4.07 ↑
(3.95) |
2.23 ↑
(1.86) |
5.5%
(8.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.75
What is the prediction for Newcastle Jets - Sydney?
Users Predictions:
24 users predict this event. Newcastle will win (votes: 2 - 8.3%). Sydney will win (votes: 17 - 70.8%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 20.8%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Sydney: 52.6% – 89%.High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 9 high ROI users predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 2 - 22.2%). Sydney (votes: 6 - 66.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 11.1%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:- DNB - Newcastle (2.28) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 3 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 1.5, 1st Half - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- BTTS - no (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 10 high ROI users predict this event. Newcastle (votes: 3 - 30%). Sydney (votes: 6 - 60%). Tie (votes: 1 - 10%). The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 8 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 1.
- In recent matches, Newcastle has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Sydney is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 4).
- Sydney could have a small edge in this match.
- There will not play in Newcastle: Aquilina T.
(Inactive)
Bracco C.
(Inactive)
Fryer O.
(Knee Injury)
James N.
(Knee Injury)
Nassiep A.
(Inactive)
Nunes A.
(Inactive)
Scicluna L.
(Inactive)
- There will not play in Sydney: Lolley J.
(Inactive)
Okon-Engstler P.
(Inactive)
- There are questionable in Sydney: Walatee A.
(Injury)
- In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Newcastle won 5 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 9 matches, and goals 25:35. (average 1.3:1.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Newcastle won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 15:14. (average 1.4:1.3).
How many head-to-head matches has Newcastle Jets won against Sydney?
Newcastle Jets has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Sydney won against Newcastle Jets?
Sydney has won 4 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Newcastle Jets - Sydney were as follows:
01.11.2025
Newcastle Jets
-
Sydney
1:4
20.04.2025
Sydney
-
Newcastle Jets
3:2
04.01.2025
Newcastle Jets
-
Sydney
2:2
07.04.2024
Newcastle Jets
-
Sydney
3:1
19.01.2024
Sydney
-
Newcastle Jets
4:0
Latest results of Newcastle Jets
Australian A-League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Newcastle Jets | 19 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 41:29 | 12 | 37 |
| 2 | Auckland FC | 19 | 10 | 5 | 4 | 32:18 | 14 | 35 |
| 3 | Sydney FC | 19 | 10 | 2 | 7 | 26:18 | 8 | 32 |
| 4 | Adelaide United | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 33:28 | 5 | 30 |
| 5 | Melbourne Victory | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 28:24 | 4 | 28 |
| 6 | Central Coast Mariners | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 27:27 | 0 | 26 |
| 7 | Macarthur FC | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 25:31 | -6 | 25 |
| 8 | Brisbane Roar | 20 | 6 | 5 | 9 | 19:25 | -6 | 23 |
| 9 | Melbourne City | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 20:27 | -7 | 22 |
| 10 | Perth Glory | 19 | 6 | 3 | 10 | 22:30 | -8 | 21 |
| 11 | WS Wanderers | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 21:26 | -5 | 20 |
| 12 | Wellington Phoenix | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 28:39 | -11 | 20 |
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Promotion ~ A~League (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)
