Santos vs Newells Old Boys – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Copa Sudamericana Santos - Newells Old Boys
Result
1:2
06/06/2023 at 20:30 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • SOUTH AMERICA: COPA SUDAMERICANA - GROUP STAGE - ROUND 5
  • Referee: Valenzuela J. (Ven)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
brazilBrazilESPN 4
portugalPortugalSport TV3

Highlights

Chances of winning


Santos
44%
Draw
32.4%
Newells Old Boys
23.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
44.7% 30.8% 24.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

46.4% 32% 23.6%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Santos has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)
  • Newells Old Boys has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.9%)
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Santos than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
  • The ML Model estimate for Newells Old Boys aligns with the current prediction.
  • Santos - Newells Old Boys Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.13
    (2.1)
    2.86
    (3.05)
    4.01
    (3.84)
    7%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 1.75
  • What is the prediction for Santos - Newells Old Boys?
  • Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Santos will win (votes: 8 - 47.1%). Newells Old Boys will win (votes: 2 - 11.8%). It will Tie (votes: 7 - 41.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Santos: 23.4%70.8%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
  • Preview Facts
    • Santos is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 0).
    • Newell's Old Boys is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
    • Santos could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
    • Santos will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 1 head-to-head matches Santos won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Santos - Newells Old Boys were as follows:
    02.05.2023 Newells Old Boys - Santos 1:0
    Latest results of Santos
    03.06.2023 Santos - Internacional RS 1:1
    31.05.2023 Bahia - Santos 2:1
    24.05.2023 Audax Italiano - Santos 2:1
    20.05.2023 Santos - Palmeiras 0:0
    Latest results of Newells Old Boys
    Draw
    Play Offs

    1/16-finals
    1Alianza LimaGremio1 : 1, 2 : 0
    2ByeU. Catolica
    3U. De ChileGuarani1 : 2, 5 : 0
    4ByeIndependiente
    5Central CordobaCerro Largo3 : 0, 0 : 0
    6ByeLanus
    7BahiaAmerica De Cali0 : 2, 0 : 0
    8ByeFluminense
    9BolivarPalestino3 : 0, 3 : 0
    10ByeCienciano
    11BucaramangaAtletico-MG1 : 1, 0 : 1
    12ByeGodoy Cruz
    13Ind. del ValleVasco1 : 1, 4 : 0
    14ByeMushuc Runa
    15SA Bulo BuloOnce Caldas0 : 4, 0 : 3
    16ByeHuracan

    1/8-finals
    1Alianza LimaU. Catolica
    2U. De ChileIndependiente
    3Central CordobaLanus
    4America De CaliFluminense
    5BolivarCienciano
    6Atletico-MGGodoy Cruz
    7Ind. del ValleMushuc Runa
    8Once CaldasHuracan

    Quarter-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4
    3TBD #5TBD #6
    4TBD #7TBD #8

    Semi-finals
    1TBD #1TBD #2
    2TBD #3TBD #4

    Final
    1TBD #1TBD #2