Result
1:1
17/05/2025 at 12:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Premier League - Round 29
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Asia | Q Sport Asia |
 Croatia | Arena Sport 10, Arena Sport 1, MAXtv To Go |
 Russia | Match! Premier, Match TV, Sportbox.ru |
 Serbia | Arena Sport 1x2, Arena Sport 5 |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.67 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 47% | 53% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (234/335) | 74% (270/364) |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Red Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.15 | 0.67 |
| xG on target (xGOT) |
|---|
| 1.20 | 1.16 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 6 | 15 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 5 | 9 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 1 | 6 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 6 | 4 |
| Touches in opposition box |
|---|
| 10 | 31 |
| Accurate through passes |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 15 | 13 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 70% (234/335) | 74% (270/364) |
| Long passes |
|---|
| 39% (30/76) | 48% (32/66) |
| Passes in final third |
|---|
| 48% (52/108) | 68% (91/133) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 27% (3/11) | 36% (8/22) |
| Expected assists (xA) |
|---|
| 0.34 | 1.13 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 19 | 14 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 13 | 15 |
| Tackles |
|---|
| 64% (7/11) | 71% (10/14) |
| Duels won |
|---|
| 60 | 51 |
| Clearances |
|---|
| 44 | 28 |
| Interceptions |
|---|
| 7 | 9 |
| Errors leading to shot |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Errors leading to goal |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| xGOT faced |
|---|
| 1.16 | 1.20 |
| Goals prevented |
|---|
| -0.08 | 0.20 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 1)
- 19', 0 - 1, Alshin I. ⚽, Gabaraev A. (A),
- 21', Alshin I. 🟨,
- 39', Boselli J. 🟨,
- 43', Boselli J. 🟨,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Kalinski N. ↓, Karapuzov V. ↑,
- 46', Agapov I. ↓, Vecino T. ↑,
- 57', Yurganov I. 🟨,
- 59', Alshin I. ↓, Yakimov V. ↑,
- 67', 1 - 1, Grulev V. ⚽,
- 71', Gabaraev A. ↓, Brahimi M. ↑,
- 72', Grulev V. ↓, Magkeev S. ↑,
- 77', Iljin V. ↓, Pusi B. ↑,
- 90+2', Kakkoev N. ↓, Castillo J. ↑,
Chances of winning
Pari NN
50.8% | Draw
27.4% | Fakel
21.7% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pari NN has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)Fakel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pari NN than the current prediction. (-8.8%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Pari NN that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fakel than the current prediction. (+6.1%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fakel could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Pari NN - Fakel Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.83 ↓
(2.12) |
3.39 ↓
(3.47) |
4.28 ↑
(3.92) |
7.5%
(1.5%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
What is the prediction for Pari NN - Fakel?
Users Predictions:
Pari NN will win
(6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 13 in the zone Premier League (Relegation) and 16 in the zone Relegation ~ FNL).
- Fakel is Relegated to FNL
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Pari NN won 1.
- Recent performances by Pari NN have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Fakel is going through a series of losses (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Pari NN is seen as the favorite.
- There will not play in Pari NN: Koksharov A.
(Inactive)
Troshechkin A.
(Yellow Cards)
- There will not play in Fakel: Dziov M.
(Injury)
- In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Pari NN won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 12:9. (average 1:0.8).
- Including home matches between the teams, Pari NN won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 8:5. (average 1.6:1).
How many head-to-head matches has Pari NN won against Fakel?
Pari NN has won 1 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Fakel won against Pari NN?
Fakel has won 2 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Pari NN - Fakel were as follows:
14.09.2024
Fakel
-
Pari NN
0:0
03.03.2024
Pari NN
-
Fakel
1:1
20.08.2023
Fakel
-
Pari NN
2:0
14.05.2023
Fakel
-
Pari NN
1:0
03.09.2022
Pari NN
-
Fakel
3:1
Latest results of Pari NN
Russian Premier League Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lokomotiv Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 2 | Krasnodar | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 3:0 | 3 | 3 |
| 3 | Rubin Kazan | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:0 | 2 | 3 |
| 4 | Zenit | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2:1 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Spartak Moscow | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1:0 | 1 | 3 |
| 6 | Baltika | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 7 | Dynamo Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 8 | Krylya Sovetov | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 9 | Akron Togliatti | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1:1 | 0 | 1 |
| 10 | Orenburg | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 11 | CSKA Moscow | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 | 1 |
| 12 | FK Rostov | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1:2 | -1 | 0 |
| 13 | Dynamo Makhachkala | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:1 | -1 | 0 |
| 14 | Akhmat Grozny | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:2 | -2 | 0 |
| 15 | Pari NN | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
| 16 | Sochi | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0:3 | -3 | 0 |
Premier League (Relegation)
Relegation ~ FNL
