North Texas vs Minnesota United 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/07/2025 at 20:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Choctaw Stadium (Arlington, TX).

MLS Next Pro
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	MLS Next Pro

Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.29	1.28
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
15	11
Shots on target
8	2
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
4	5
Passes
78% (255/328)	81% (300/369)
Yellow Cards
3	4
Red Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29	1.28
xG on target (xGOT)
2.55	1.25
Total shots
15	11
Shots on target
8	2
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked Shots
2	5
Shots inside the Box
12	5
Shots outside the Box
3	6
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
4	5
Touches in opposition box
24	27
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	3
Free Kicks
18	16
Passes
78% (255/328)	81% (300/369)
Long passes
37% (21/57)	60% (35/58)
Passes in final third
63% (47/75)	71% (89/126)
Crosses
50% (6/12)	0% (0/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.44	1.02
Throw-ins
19	22
Fouls
16	18
Tackles
59% (13/22)	42% (5/12)
Duels won
61	46
Clearances
23	5
Interceptions
14	19
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
xGOT faced
1.25	2.55
Goals prevented
0.25	-0.45

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Scott T. ⚽, Sarver S. (A),
34', Essel A. 🟨,
36', Calov C. 🟨,
45+1', Dorsey L. ↓, Kamara M. ↑,
45+2', Putt T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Molina M. ↓, DuBois J. ↑,
46', 2 - 0, Sarver S. ⚽, Baran D. (A), Gall G. (A2)
54', 3 - 0, Scott T. ⚽, Sarver S. (A),
60', Randell A. ↓, Nour M. ↑,
60', Farris J. ↓, Niang B. ↑,
60', Kabia A. ↓, Kiingi K. ↑,
62', Sarver S. ↓, Contreras J. ↑,
62', Gall G. ↓, Kaakoush I. ↑,
70', Urzua A. ↓, Aroyameh F. ↑,
72', Cisset M. 🟨,
73', Calov C. 🟨,
78', Essel A. ↓, Luccin M. ↑,
82', Putt T. ↓, Romanshyn K. ↑,
86', 3 - 1, Nour M. ⚽,
88', Harms J. 🟨,
90+1', Chandler K. 🟨,
90+4', Fischer B. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning

North Texas
34.5%

Draw
22.5%

Minnesota United 2
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

23.3%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

22.6%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Texas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that North Texas's form might have worsened.

Minnesota United 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Minnesota United 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Texas than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Texas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United 2 than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Minnesota United 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

North Texas - Minnesota United 2 Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.16)	4.08 ↑ (3.93)	2.14 ↓ (2.69)	8.7% (8.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for North Texas - Minnesota United 2?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. North Texas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Minnesota 2 will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Texas won 4.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Minnesota 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, North Texas has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, North Texas won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:5. (average 3.3:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, North Texas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:3. (average 4.5:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has North Texas won against Minnesota United 2?

North Texas has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Minnesota United 2 won against North Texas?

Minnesota United 2 has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between North Texas - Minnesota United 2 were as follows:

02.05.2025 Minnesota United 2 - North Texas 0:1

06.10.2024 North Texas - Minnesota United 2 8:2

03.07.2024 North Texas - Minnesota United 2 4:0

09.06.2024 Minnesota United 2 - North Texas 0:3

05.08.2023 Minnesota United 2 - North Texas 2:1

Latest results of North Texas

21.06.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - North Texas 4:3 ✺

18.06.2025 Colorado Rapids 2 - North Texas 1:2 ✺

14.06.2025 North Texas - Austin II 1:2 ✺

04.06.2025 St. Louis City 2 - North Texas 2:0 ✺

25.05.2025 Tacoma Defiance - North Texas 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Minnesota United 2

25.06.2025 Los Angeles II - Minnesota United 2 1:0 ✺

15.06.2025 Minnesota United 2 - Ventura County 0:2 ✺

12.06.2025 Minnesota United 2 - Houston Dynamo 2 4:1 ✺

31.05.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Minnesota United 2 2:1 ✺

28.05.2025 Minnesota United 2 - Vancouver Whitecaps 2 2:3 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2025

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	18	11	2	2	3	45:32	39
2	Philadelphia Union II	16	8	5	2	1	40:14	36
3	Chicago Fire II	17	8	2	2	5	34:30	30
4	New England Revolution II	16	7	4	1	4	28:21	30
5	New York City II	18	6	2	3	7	33:37	25
6	Cincinnati 2	17	3	7	0	7	16:23	23
7	Toronto FC II	18	6	0	4	8	20:29	22
8	Columbus Crew 2	16	3	1	2	10	17:31	13

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Chattanooga	18	8	3	3	4	29:26	33
2	Huntsville	16	7	3	2	4	31:19	29
3	Orlando City B	18	7	2	1	8	26:33	26
4	Crown Legacy	18	4	3	5	6	27:34	23
5	Carolina Core	18	3	4	4	7	22:25	21
6	Atlanta United 2	16	3	2	6	5	23:26	19
7	Inter Miami II	18	5	0	3	10	30:41	18

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Ventura County	18	9	1	3	5	34:28	32
2	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	18	7	3	1	7	39:33	28
3	Real Monarchs	16	5	4	3	4	29:27	26
4	Town FC	14	6	2	2	4	31:19	24
5	Tacoma Defiance	16	6	2	1	7	40:40	23
6	Los Angeles FC II	17	6	2	1	8	27:34	23
7	Portland Timbers 2	17	5	2	2	8	27:33	21

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	18	12	2	0	4	37:25	40
2	Colorado Rapids 2	19	9	1	3	6	34:30	32
3	North Texas	18	8	2	1	7	32:35	29
4	Houston Dynamo 2	18	6	3	1	8	27:27	25
5	Austin FC II	17	5	3	4	5	20:21	25
6	Minnesota 2	16	7	0	3	6	26:22	24
7	Sporting Kansas City II	16	0	1	3	12	11:40	5

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	18	11	2	2	3	45:32	39
2	Philadelphia Union II	16	8	5	2	1	40:14	36
3	Chattanooga	18	8	3	3	4	29:26	33
4	Chicago Fire II	17	8	2	2	5	34:30	30
5	New England Revolution II	16	7	4	1	4	28:21	30
6	Huntsville	16	7	3	2	4	31:19	29
7	Orlando City B	18	7	2	1	8	26:33	26
8	New York City II	18	6	2	3	7	33:37	25
9	Crown Legacy	18	4	3	5	6	27:34	23
10	Cincinnati 2	17	3	7	0	7	16:23	23
11	Toronto FC II	18	6	0	4	8	20:29	22
12	Carolina Core	18	3	4	4	7	22:25	21
13	Atlanta United 2	16	3	2	6	5	23:26	19
14	Inter Miami II	18	5	0	3	10	30:41	18
15	Columbus Crew 2	16	3	1	2	10	17:31	13

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	18	12	2	0	4	37:25	40
2	Ventura County	18	9	1	3	5	34:28	32
3	Colorado Rapids 2	19	9	1	3	6	34:30	32
4	North Texas	18	8	2	1	7	32:35	29
5	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	18	7	3	1	7	39:33	28
6	Real Monarchs	16	5	4	3	4	29:27	26
7	Houston Dynamo 2	18	6	3	1	8	27:27	25
8	Austin FC II	17	5	3	4	5	20:21	25
9	Minnesota 2	16	7	0	3	6	26:22	24
10	Town FC	14	6	2	2	4	31:19	24
11	Tacoma Defiance	16	6	2	1	7	40:40	23
12	Los Angeles FC II	17	6	2	1	8	27:34	23
13	Portland Timbers 2	17	5	2	2	8	27:33	21
14	Sporting Kansas City II	16	0	1	3	12	11:40	5

Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)