North Texas vs Minnesota United 2 – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

03/07/2025 at 20:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))

Choctaw Stadium (Arlington, TX).

MLS Next Pro
Where to Watch on TV:


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Match Stats


Expected Goals (xG)
1.29	1.28
Ball Possession
47%	53%
Total shots
15	11
Shots on target
8	2
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
4	5
Passes
78% (255/328)	81% (300/369)
Yellow Cards
3	4
Red Cards
0	2
Expected Goals (xG)
1.29	1.28
xG on target (xGOT)
2.55	1.25
Total shots
15	11
Shots on target
8	2
Shots off target
5	4
Blocked Shots
2	5
Shots inside the Box
12	5
Shots outside the Box
3	6
Hit the Woodwork
1	1
Big Chances
2	1
Corner Kicks
4	5
Touches in opposition box
24	27
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
0	3
Free Kicks
18	16
Passes
78% (255/328)	81% (300/369)
Long passes
37% (21/57)	60% (35/58)
Passes in final third
63% (47/75)	71% (89/126)
Crosses
50% (6/12)	0% (0/11)
Expected assists (xA)
0.44	1.02
Throw-ins
19	22
Fouls
16	18
Tackles
59% (13/22)	42% (5/12)
Duels won
61	46
Clearances
23	5
Interceptions
14	19
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
1	0
Goalkeeper Saves
1	5
xGOT faced
1.25	2.55
Goals prevented
0.25	-0.45

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (1 - 0)
2', 1 - 0, Scott T. ⚽, Sarver S. (A),
34', Essel A. 🟨,
36', Calov C. 🟨,
45+1', Dorsey L. ↓, Kamara M. ↑,
45+2', Putt T. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
46', Molina M. ↓, DuBois J. ↑,
46', 2 - 0, Sarver S. ⚽, Baran D. (A), Gall G. (A2)
54', 3 - 0, Scott T. ⚽, Sarver S. (A),
60', Randell A. ↓, Nour M. ↑,
60', Farris J. ↓, Niang B. ↑,
60', Kabia A. ↓, Kiingi K. ↑,
62', Sarver S. ↓, Contreras J. ↑,
62', Gall G. ↓, Kaakoush I. ↑,
70', Urzua A. ↓, Aroyameh F. ↑,
72', Cisset M. 🟨,
73', Calov C. 🟨,
78', Essel A. ↓, Luccin M. ↑,
82', Putt T. ↓, Romanshyn K. ↑,
86', 3 - 1, Nour M. ⚽,
88', Harms J. 🟨,
90+1', Chandler K. 🟨,
90+4', Fischer B. 🟥,

Highlights

Chances of winning

North Texas
34.5%

Draw
22.5%

Minnesota United 2
43%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.6%

23.3%

34.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44%

22.6%

33%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

North Texas has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that North Texas's form might have worsened.

Minnesota United 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Minnesota United 2's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for North Texas than the current prediction. (+9.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for North Texas, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Minnesota United 2 than the current prediction. (-10%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Minnesota United 2, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

North Texas - Minnesota United 2 Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.67 ↑ (2.16)	4.08 ↑ (3.93)	2.14 ↓ (2.69)	8.7% (8.9%)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

What is the prediction for North Texas - Minnesota United 2?

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. North Texas will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Minnesota 2 will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals) and 9).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, North Texas won 4.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Minnesota 2 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Recently, North Texas has had a series of away games.
In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, North Texas won 6 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 23:5. (average 3.3:0.7).
Including home matches between the teams, North Texas won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 18:3. (average 4.5:0.8).

How many head-to-head matches has North Texas won against Minnesota United 2?

North Texas has won 5 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Minnesota United 2 won against North Texas?

Minnesota United 2 has won 1 of their last 6 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between North Texas - Minnesota United 2 were as follows:

02.05.2025 Minnesota United 2 - North Texas 0:1

06.10.2024 North Texas - Minnesota United 2 8:2

03.07.2024 North Texas - Minnesota United 2 4:0

09.06.2024 Minnesota United 2 - North Texas 0:3

05.08.2023 Minnesota United 2 - North Texas 2:1

Latest results of North Texas

21.06.2025 Vancouver Whitecaps 2 - North Texas 4:3 ✺

18.06.2025 Colorado Rapids 2 - North Texas 1:2 ✺

14.06.2025 North Texas - Austin II 1:2 ✺

04.06.2025 St. Louis City 2 - North Texas 2:0 ✺

25.05.2025 Tacoma Defiance - North Texas 2:3 ✺

Latest results of Minnesota United 2

25.06.2025 Los Angeles II - Minnesota United 2 1:0 ✺

15.06.2025 Minnesota United 2 - Ventura County 0:2 ✺

12.06.2025 Minnesota United 2 - Houston Dynamo 2 4:1 ✺

31.05.2025 Tacoma Defiance - Minnesota United 2 2:1 ✺

28.05.2025 Minnesota United 2 - Vancouver Whitecaps 2 2:3 ✺

MLS Next Pro Table

2025

Northeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	24	15	2	2	5	61:50	51
2	Philadelphia Union II	24	11	5	3	5	50:27	46
3	Chicago Fire II	23	11	4	2	6	56:39	43
4	New England Revolution II	22	10	5	2	5	42:29	42
5	Toronto FC II	24	10	1	4	9	31:36	36
6	New York City II	24	8	2	4	10	44:49	32
7	Cincinnati 2	23	5	7	0	11	26:33	29
8	Columbus Crew 2	24	5	1	3	15	33:54	20

Southeast Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Huntsville	23	11	4	2	6	46:27	43
2	Chattanooga	23	10	4	3	6	35:33	41
3	Orlando City B	24	9	2	2	11	33:46	33
4	Carolina Core	24	7	4	4	9	35:36	33
5	Atlanta United 2	23	7	2	6	8	35:35	31
6	Crown Legacy	25	6	3	5	11	42:49	29
7	Inter Miami II	24	6	0	4	14	35:61	22

Pacific Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	Town FC	23	12	4	2	5	51:29	46
2	Real Monarchs	24	9	4	4	7	42:37	39
3	Ventura County	24	10	2	4	8	45:42	38
4	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	24	10	3	1	10	54:45	37
5	Los Angeles FC II	24	9	2	1	12	40:48	32
6	Portland Timbers 2	24	7	2	4	11	37:46	29
7	Tacoma Defiance	23	7	2	2	12	52:59	27

Frontier Division

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	24	16	3	1	4	55:32	55
2	Colorado Rapids 2	24	13	1	4	6	48:36	45
3	Minnesota 2	24	10	2	3	9	38:37	37
4	North Texas	24	9	4	1	10	37:48	36
5	Austin FC II	24	8	3	5	8	29:30	35
6	Houston Dynamo 2	24	7	4	2	11	34:39	31
7	Sporting Kansas City II	24	3	1	3	17	25:59	14

Eastern Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	New York Red Bulls 2	24	15	2	2	5	61:50	51
2	Philadelphia Union II	24	11	5	3	5	50:27	46
3	Huntsville	23	11	4	2	6	46:27	43
4	Chicago Fire II	23	11	4	2	6	56:39	43
5	New England Revolution II	22	10	5	2	5	42:29	42
6	Chattanooga	23	10	4	3	6	35:33	41
7	Toronto FC II	24	10	1	4	9	31:36	36
8	Orlando City B	24	9	2	2	11	33:46	33
9	Carolina Core	24	7	4	4	9	35:36	33
10	New York City II	24	8	2	4	10	44:49	32
11	Atlanta United 2	23	7	2	6	8	35:35	31
12	Crown Legacy	25	6	3	5	11	42:49	29
13	Cincinnati 2	23	5	7	0	11	26:33	29
14	Inter Miami II	24	6	0	4	14	35:61	22
15	Columbus Crew 2	24	5	1	3	15	33:54	20

Western Conference

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
1	St. Louis City 2	24	16	3	1	4	55:32	55
2	Town FC	23	12	4	2	5	51:29	46
3	Colorado Rapids 2	24	13	1	4	6	48:36	45
4	Real Monarchs	24	9	4	4	7	42:37	39
5	Ventura County	24	10	2	4	8	45:42	38
6	Vancouver Whitecaps 2	24	10	3	1	10	54:45	37
7	Minnesota 2	24	10	2	3	9	38:37	37
8	North Texas	24	9	4	1	10	37:48	36
9	Austin FC II	24	8	3	5	8	29:30	35
10	Los Angeles FC II	24	9	2	1	12	40:48	32
11	Houston Dynamo 2	24	7	4	2	11	34:39	31
12	Portland Timbers 2	24	7	2	4	11	37:46	29
13	Tacoma Defiance	23	7	2	2	12	52:59	27
14	Sporting Kansas City II	24	3	1	3	17	25:59	14

Promotion ~ MLS Next Pro (Play Offs: 1/8~finals)