Result
2:0
06/04/2024 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League One - Round 43
- Referee: Joyce R. (Eng)
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 0.46 | 0.26 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 2 |
| Shots off Goal |
|---|
| 3 | 2 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 5 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 0 | 3 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 30 | 42 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 9 | 10 |
| Attacks |
|---|
| 114 | 107 |
| Dangerous Attacks |
|---|
| 43 | 27 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 33', 1 - 0, Bowie K. ⚽, Sherring S. (A),
- 34', Butterworth D. ↓, Maguire S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (1 - 0)
- 46', Odimayo A. ↓, Koiki A. ↑,
- 57', Kelly G. ↓, Diamond J. ↑,
- 72', Fox B. ↓, McWilliams S. ↑,
- 73', Hoskins S. ↓, Sowerby J. ↑,
- 79', Appere L. ↓, Springett T. ↑,
- 79', McGowan A. ↓, Willis J. ↑,
- 83', Robinson J. ↓, Harris J. J. ↑,
- 83', Ellis J. ↓, Emmanuel J. ↑,
- 90+4', 2 - 0, Koiki A. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Northampton Town 48.8% | Draw 26.8% | Carlisle United 24.4% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Northampton Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.5%)Carlisle United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Northampton Town than the current prediction. (-3.5%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carlisle United than the current prediction. (+2.1%)
Northampton Town - Carlisle United Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now (Initially) |
1.93 ↓ (1.99) |
3.51 ↑ (3.45) |
3.85 ↑ (3.7) |
6.2% (6.3%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Northampton Town - Carlisle United?
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Northampton will win (votes: 7 - 77.8%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 22.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Northampton: 50.6% – 100%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:0.
Preview Facts
- Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 11 and 24 in the zone Relegation ~ League Two).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Northampton won 2.
- Recent matches Northampton is playing shaky (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Carlisle is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).
- Northampton will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 12 head-to-head matches Northampton won 6 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 23-14.
- Including matches at home between the teams Northampton won 4 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-5.
How many head-to-head matches has Northampton Town won against Carlisle United?
Northampton Town has won 1 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Carlisle United won against Northampton Town?
Carlisle United has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Northampton Town - Carlisle United were as follows:
16.12.2023
Carlisle United
-
Northampton Town
2:2
15.04.2023
Carlisle United
-
Northampton Town
0:0
20.12.2022
Northampton Town
-
Carlisle United
2:1
Latest results of Northampton Town
Latest results of Carlisle United
English League One Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Lincoln | 39 | 25 | 9 | 5 | 74:34 | 40 | 84 |
| 2 | Cardiff | 39 | 23 | 8 | 8 | 73:41 | 32 | 77 |
| 3 | Bolton | 39 | 17 | 15 | 7 | 55:39 | 16 | 66 |
| 4 | Bradford City | 39 | 19 | 8 | 12 | 49:44 | 5 | 65 |
| 5 | Stockport County | 37 | 17 | 9 | 11 | 51:48 | 3 | 60 |
| 6 | Stevenage | 38 | 17 | 9 | 12 | 41:38 | 3 | 60 |
| 7 | Plymouth | 39 | 18 | 5 | 16 | 60:54 | 6 | 59 |
| 8 | Reading | 39 | 15 | 13 | 11 | 57:51 | 6 | 58 |
| 9 | Huddersfield | 39 | 16 | 9 | 14 | 59:51 | 8 | 57 |
| 10 | Wycombe | 39 | 15 | 11 | 13 | 55:43 | 12 | 56 |
| 11 | Luton | 39 | 15 | 10 | 14 | 52:49 | 3 | 55 |
| 12 | Peterborough | 38 | 15 | 5 | 18 | 57:52 | 5 | 50 |
| 13 | Barnsley | 37 | 13 | 11 | 13 | 59:60 | -1 | 50 |
| 14 | AFC Wimbledon | 38 | 14 | 8 | 16 | 49:55 | -6 | 50 |
| 15 | Doncaster | 39 | 14 | 8 | 17 | 42:59 | -17 | 50 |
| 16 | Mansfield | 37 | 12 | 13 | 12 | 47:41 | 6 | 49 |
| 17 | Leyton Orient | 38 | 14 | 6 | 18 | 55:62 | -7 | 48 |
| 18 | Burton | 39 | 12 | 10 | 17 | 44:54 | -10 | 46 |
| 19 | Wigan | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 41:51 | -10 | 45 |
| 20 | Exeter | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 42:52 | -10 | 42 |
| 21 | Blackpool | 39 | 11 | 9 | 19 | 46:63 | -17 | 42 |
| 22 | Rotherham | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 35:58 | -23 | 36 |
| 23 | Northampton | 39 | 9 | 8 | 22 | 33:56 | -23 | 35 |
| 24 | Port Vale | 37 | 7 | 10 | 20 | 29:50 | -21 | 31 |
Promotion ~ Championship
Promotion ~ League One (Play Offs: )
Relegation ~ League Two