Result
0:2
11/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League Two - Round 26
- Referee: Nield T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
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Expected Goals (xG) |
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1.13 | 1.36 |
Ball Possession |
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44% | 56% |
Goal Attempts |
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13 | 12 |
Shots on Goal |
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4 | 4 |
Shots off Goal |
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2 | 5 |
Blocked Shots |
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7 | 3 |
Big Chances |
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2 | 2 |
Corner Kicks |
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4 | 4 |
Shots inside the Box |
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10 | 7 |
Shots outside the Box |
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3 | 5 |
Hit the Woodwork |
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0 | 0 |
Headed Goals |
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0 | 1 |
Goalkeeper Saves |
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2 | 4 |
Free Kicks |
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12 | 7 |
Offsides |
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3 | 0 |
Fouls |
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7 | 12 |
Yellow Cards |
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1 | 0 |
Throw-ins |
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34 | 33 |
Touches in the Opposition Box |
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36 | 17 |
Passes |
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59% (176/297) | 71% (275/385) |
Passes in the final third |
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55% (71/130) | 63% (76/120) |
Crosses |
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12% (2/17) | 33% (7/21) |
Tackles |
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68% (17/25) | 62% (18/29) |
Clearances Total |
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16 | 21 |
Interceptions |
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19 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', Bass A. ↓, Slocombe S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 57', 0 - 1, Jatta A. ⚽,
- 60', Svanthorsson J. ↓, Burns D. ↑,
- 60', Turi G. D. ↓, Thompson C. ↑,
- 64', McJannett C. ↓, Barrington L. ↑,
- 70', Whitaker C. ↓, McGoldrick D. ↑,
- 71', Burns D. 🟨,
- 80', Green K. ↓, Ainley C. ↑,
- 88', 0 - 2, McGoldrick D. ⚽, Grant C. (A),
- 90', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Jarvis W. ↑,
- 90', Grant C. ↓, Edwards C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Grimsby Town 41.6% | Draw 28.2% | Notts County 30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grimsby Town's performance.Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Notts County might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grimsby Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Notts County could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Grimsby Town - Notts County Odds
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1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.28 ↓ (2.74) |
3.32 ↓ (3.51) |
3.12 ↑ (2.42) |
6.1% (6.4%) | |
The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Notts County?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Notts County will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grimsby: 46.4% – 99%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 2.
- Recent matches Grimsby is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Notts County is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Notts County will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 28:21 (average 2:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18:8 (average 2.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Notts County?
Grimsby Town has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Grimsby Town?
Notts County has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Notts County were as follows:
22.08.2024
Notts County
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Grimsby Town
4:1
13.01.2024
Grimsby Town
-
Notts County
5:5
12.08.2023
Notts County
-
Grimsby Town
3:2
Latest results of Grimsby Town
Latest results of Notts County
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
1 | Crewe | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 10:3 | 7 | 12 |
2 | Chesterfield | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 9:6 | 3 | 12 |
3 | MK Dons | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:2 | 8 | 11 |
4 | Grimsby | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 10:5 | 5 | 11 |
5 | Gillingham | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8:3 | 5 | 11 |
6 | Bromley | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 8:5 | 3 | 9 |
7 | Walsall | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 5:4 | 1 | 9 |
8 | Swindon | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 8:8 | 0 | 9 |
9 | Salford | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 9 |
10 | Tranmere | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 8:2 | 6 | 8 |
11 | Harrogate | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7:6 | 1 | 8 |
12 | Fleetwood | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 8:8 | 0 | 8 |
13 | Cambridge Utd | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 6:6 | 0 | 7 |
14 | Barrow | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:5 | -1 | 6 |
15 | Barnet | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 4:6 | -2 | 6 |
16 | Notts Co | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 9:8 | 1 | 5 |
17 | Colchester | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5:6 | -1 | 5 |
18 | Oldham | 5 | 0 | 4 | 1 | 3:4 | -1 | 4 |
19 | Newport | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5:7 | -2 | 4 |
20 | Bristol Rovers | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | -3 | 4 |
21 | Accrington | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 3:6 | -3 | 2 |
22 | Crawley | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:9 | -7 | 1 |
23 | Shrewsbury | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 2:12 | -10 | 1 |
24 | Cheltenham | 5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 1:11 | -10 | 0 |
Promotion ~ League Two
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League