Result
0:2
11/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- ENGLAND: League Two - Round 26
- Referee: Nield T. (Eng)
- Where to Watch on TV:
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|---|
 United-kingdom | Sky Sports+ |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Expected Goals (xG) |
|---|
| 1.13 | 1.36 |
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 44% | 56% |
| Goal Attempts |
|---|
| 13 | 12 |
| Shots on Goal |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots off Goal |
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| 2 | 5 |
| Blocked Shots |
|---|
| 7 | 3 |
| Big Chances |
|---|
| 2 | 2 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Shots inside the Box |
|---|
| 10 | 7 |
| Shots outside the Box |
|---|
| 3 | 5 |
| Hit the Woodwork |
|---|
| 0 | 0 |
| Headed Goals |
|---|
| 0 | 1 |
| Goalkeeper Saves |
|---|
| 2 | 4 |
| Free Kicks |
|---|
| 12 | 7 |
| Offsides |
|---|
| 3 | 0 |
| Fouls |
|---|
| 7 | 12 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 1 | 0 |
| Throw-ins |
|---|
| 34 | 33 |
| Touches in the Opposition Box |
|---|
| 36 | 17 |
| Passes |
|---|
| 59% (176/297) | 71% (275/385) |
| Passes in the final third |
|---|
| 55% (71/130) | 63% (76/120) |
| Crosses |
|---|
| 12% (2/17) | 33% (7/21) |
| Tackles |
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| 68% (17/25) | 62% (18/29) |
| Clearances Total |
|---|
| 16 | 21 |
| Interceptions |
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| 19 | 13 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (0 - 0)
- 10', Bass A. ↓, Slocombe S. ↑,
- 2nd Half (0 - 2)
- 57', 0 - 1, Jatta A. ⚽,
- 60', Svanthorsson J. ↓, Burns D. ↑,
- 60', Turi G. D. ↓, Thompson C. ↑,
- 64', McJannett C. ↓, Barrington L. ↑,
- 70', Whitaker C. ↓, McGoldrick D. ↑,
- 71', Burns D. 🟨,
- 80', Green K. ↓, Ainley C. ↑,
- 88', 0 - 2, McGoldrick D. ⚽, Grant C. (A),
- 90', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Jarvis W. ↑,
- 90', Grant C. ↓, Edwards C. ↑,
Chances of winning
Grimsby Town
41.6% | Draw
28.2% | Notts County
30.2% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grimsby Town's performance.Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Notts County might be facing challenges that affect their performance.ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-7.3%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grimsby Town that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+8.7%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Notts County could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Grimsby Town - Notts County Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.28 ↓
(2.74) |
3.32 ↓
(3.51) |
3.12 ↑
(2.42) |
6.1%
(6.4%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Notts County?
Users Predictions:
11 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Notts County will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Grimsby: 46.4% – 99%. The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
Preview Facts
- One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
- Last 5 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 2.
- Recent matches Grimsby is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
- Notts County is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
- Notts County will have a small advantage in this match.
- Last 14 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 28:21 (average 2:1.5).
- Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18:8 (average 2.6:1.1).
How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Notts County?
Grimsby Town has won 0 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Grimsby Town?
Notts County has won 2 of their last 3 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Notts County were as follows:
22.08.2024
Notts County
-
Grimsby Town
4:1
13.01.2024
Grimsby Town
-
Notts County
5:5
12.08.2023
Notts County
-
Grimsby Town
3:2
Latest results of Grimsby Town
Latest results of Notts County
English League Two Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Walsall | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 19:13 | 6 | 26 |
| 2 | Swindon | 14 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 24:19 | 5 | 26 |
| 3 | Salford | 14 | 8 | 1 | 5 | 20:18 | 2 | 25 |
| 4 | MK Dons | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:15 | 12 | 24 |
| 5 | Notts Co | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25:15 | 10 | 24 |
| 6 | Grimsby | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 27:18 | 9 | 24 |
| 7 | Chesterfield | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 24:21 | 3 | 23 |
| 8 | Gillingham | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 19:14 | 5 | 22 |
| 9 | Crewe | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 20:18 | 2 | 22 |
| 10 | Fleetwood | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 21:20 | 1 | 22 |
| 11 | Bromley | 14 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 21:18 | 3 | 21 |
| 12 | Barnet | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 18:15 | 3 | 21 |
| 13 | Cambridge Utd | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 16:15 | 1 | 21 |
| 14 | Colchester | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 21:18 | 3 | 18 |
| 15 | Barrow | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13:15 | -2 | 18 |
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 14 | 5 | 2 | 7 | 14:25 | -11 | 17 |
| 17 | Oldham | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 12:12 | 0 | 16 |
| 18 | Tranmere | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 21:19 | 2 | 15 |
| 19 | Harrogate | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 15:23 | -8 | 14 |
| 20 | Cheltenham | 14 | 4 | 2 | 8 | 10:25 | -15 | 14 |
| 21 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 12:22 | -10 | 13 |
| 22 | Accrington | 13 | 3 | 3 | 7 | 12:16 | -4 | 12 |
| 23 | Crawley | 14 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 14:22 | -8 | 12 |
| 24 | Newport | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 14:23 | -9 | 11 |
Promotion ~ League One
Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
Relegation ~ National League
