Grimsby Town vs Notts County – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football English League Two Grimsby Town - Notts County
Result
0:2
11/03/2025 at 15:45 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • ENGLAND: League Two - Round 26
  • Referee: Nield T. (Eng)
  • Where to Watch on TV:
united-kingdomUnited-kingdomSky Sports+

Match Stats

Expected Goals (xG)
1.131.36
Ball Possession
44%56%
Goal Attempts
1312
Shots on Goal
44
Shots off Goal
25
Blocked Shots
73
Big Chances
22
Corner Kicks
44
Shots inside the Box
107
Shots outside the Box
35
Hit the Woodwork
00
Headed Goals
01
Goalkeeper Saves
24
Free Kicks
127
Offsides
30
Fouls
712
Yellow Cards
10
Throw-ins
3433
Touches in the Opposition Box
3617
Passes
59% (176/297)71% (275/385)
Passes in the final third
55% (71/130)63% (76/120)
Crosses
12% (2/17)33% (7/21)
Tackles
68% (17/25)62% (18/29)
Clearances Total
1621
Interceptions
1913

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (0 - 0)
  • 10', Bass A. , Slocombe S. ,
  • 2nd Half (0 - 2)
  • 57', 0 - 1, Jatta A. ,
  • 60', Svanthorsson J. , Burns D. ,
  • 60', Turi G. D. , Thompson C. ,
  • 64', McJannett C. , Barrington L. ,
  • 70', Whitaker C. , McGoldrick D. ,
  • 71', Burns D. 🟨,
  • 80', Green K. , Ainley C. ,
  • 88', 0 - 2, McGoldrick D. , Grant C. (A),
  • 90', Tsaroulla N. , Jarvis W. ,
  • 90', Grant C. , Edwards C. ,

Chances of winning


Grimsby Town
41.6%
Draw
28.2%
Notts County
30.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
34.3% 26.8% 38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.3% 26.8% 38.9%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Grimsby Town has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Grimsby Town's performance.
  • Notts County has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.7%)
  • Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Notts County might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (-7.3%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Grimsby Town that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (+8.7%)
  • Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Notts County could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
  • Grimsby Town - Notts County Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    2.28
    (2.74)
    3.32
    (3.51)
    3.12
    (2.42)
    6.1%
    (6.4%)

  • The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
  • What is the prediction for Grimsby Town - Notts County?
  • Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Grimsby will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Notts County will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
    Confidence interval (95%) for Grimsby: 46.4%99%.
  • The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.
  • Preview Facts
    • One of the most interesting matches of the day's play. In the match war can see two teams from the top of the table (ranked 9 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).
    • Last 5 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 2.
    • Recent matches Grimsby is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
    • Notts County is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).
    • Notts County will have a small advantage in this match.
    • Last 14 head-to-head matches Grimsby won 7 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 28:21 (average 2:1.5).
    • Including matches at home between the teams Grimsby won 5 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 18:8 (average 2.6:1.1).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Grimsby Town - Notts County were as follows:
    22.08.2024 Notts County - Grimsby Town 4:1
    13.01.2024 Grimsby Town - Notts County 5:5
    12.08.2023 Notts County - Grimsby Town 3:2
    Latest results of Grimsby Town
    Latest results of Notts County
    English League Two Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Walsall1181217:9825
    2Swindon1180322:13924
    3Grimsby1163223:131021
    4Gillingham1163217:10721
    5Crewe1161416:12419
    6Salford1161417:15219
    7MK Dons1153319:12718
    8Cambridge Utd1153314:10418
    9Chesterfield1153320:19118
    10Notts Co1152420:13717
    11Barnet1152414:12217
    12Bristol Rovers1152413:13017
    13Bromley1136217:15215
    14Fleetwood1143415:16-115
    15Oldham1135310:9114
    16Harrogate1142512:14-214
    17Barrow114169:12-313
    18Tranmere1025316:15111
    19Colchester1125416:16011
    20Accrington102357:13-69
    21Crawley112279:20-118
    22Cheltenham112186:24-187
    23Shrewsbury111377:20-136
    24Newport1112810:21-115

          Promotion ~ League One
          Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
          Relegation ~ National League