Notts County vs Grimsby Town – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

28/02/2026 at 10:00 (Time Zone – GMT-5 (America/New_York))

Meadow Lane (Nottingham).

League Two - Round 35
Referee: Brown D. (Eng)
Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	Paramount+

Match Stats


Expected goals (xG)
1.51	0.76
Ball possession
58%	42%
Total shots
14	12
Shots on target
5	4
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
7	6
Passes
84% (390/466)	74% (245/332)
Yellow cards
3	3
Red cards
1	0
Expected goals (xG)
1.51	0.76
xG on target (xGOT)
0.27	1.27
Total shots
14	12
Shots on target
5	4
Shots off target
6	3
Blocked shots
3	5
Shots inside the box
10	6
Shots outside the box
4	6
Hit the woodwork
0	0
Big chances
2	1
Corner kicks
7	6
Touches in opposition box
27	21
Accurate through passes
0	0
Offsides
1	0
Free kicks
11	13
Passes
84% (390/466)	74% (245/332)
Long passes
47% (27/58)	30% (16/53)
Passes in final third
70% (100/143)	65% (73/113)
Crosses
17% (5/29)	42% (8/19)
Expected assists (xA)
0.94	0.61
Throw ins
31	22
Fouls
13	11
Tackles
70% (7/10)	63% (12/19)
Duels won
51	59
Clearances
33	36
Interceptions
7	10
Errors leading to shot
0	0
Errors leading to goal
0	0
Goalkeeper saves
3	6
xGOT faced
1.27	0.27
Goals prevented
0.27	0.27

Key Moments

Here there are

1st Half (0 - 0)
15', Soonsup-Bell J. 🟨,
36', Iorpenda T. 🟨,
45', Turi G. D. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Kouhyar Q. ↓, Tangen H. ↑,
46', Grant C. ↓, Dennis M. ↑,
50', Rodgers H. 🟨,
63', Walker J. ↓, Green K. ↑,
64', Soonsup-Bell J. ↓, Kabia J. ↑,
76', Ndlovu L. 🟥,
83', Turi G. D. ↓, Cook A. ↑,
83', Macari L. ↓, McDonald R. ↑,
84', Jones J. ↓, Bennetts K. ↑,
84', Tsaroulla N. ↓, Enoru B. ↑,
85', 0 - 1, Vernam C. ⚽, Khouri E. (A),
90', Khouri E. ↓, Oduor C. ↑,
90', Vernam C. ↓, Staunton R. ↑,
90+1', Dennis M. 🟨,
90+2', Robertson S. 🟨,

Highlights

Chances of winning

Notts County
45.3%

Draw
27.2%

Grimsby Town
27.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.4%

28.6%

29%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.5%

27.9%

28.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Notts County has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Grimsby Town has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Notts County than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Grimsby Town than the current prediction. (+0.7%)

Notts County - Grimsby Town Odds

	1	X	2	Marga
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.18)	3.42 ↑ (3.23)	3.38 ↑ (3.19)	6.9% (8.3%)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

What is the prediction for Notts County - Grimsby Town?

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Notts County will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Grimsby will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

The most likely score by Bookmakers is 1:1.

Preview Facts

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 12).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 4.
Notts County is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Grimsby's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
Notts County might have a minor edge in this game.
There will not play in Notts County: Luker J. (Inactive)
There will not play in Grimsby: Gardner C. (Hamstring Injury) Pym C. (Inactive) Svanthorsson J. (Illness) Tharme D. (Injury)
There are questionable in Notts County: Jatta A. (Inactive) Palmer M. (Inactive)
In the last 16 head-to-head matches, Notts County won 6 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 7 matches, and goals 25:28. (average 1.6:1.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Notts County won 3 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.9:1.4).

How many head-to-head matches has Notts County won against Grimsby Town?

Notts County has won 4 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

How many head-to-head matches has Grimsby Town won against Notts County?

Grimsby Town has won 0 of their last 5 head-to-head matches.

What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?

The latest head-to-head matches between Notts County - Grimsby Town were as follows:

13.12.2025 Grimsby Town - Notts County 0:2

11.03.2025 Grimsby Town - Notts County 0:2

22.08.2024 Notts County - Grimsby Town 4:1

13.01.2024 Grimsby Town - Notts County 5:5

12.08.2023 Notts County - Grimsby Town 3:2

Latest results of Notts County

21.02.2026 Notts County - Tranmere Rovers 5:0 ✺

17.02.2026 Shrewsbury Town - Notts County 1:0 ✺

14.02.2026 Bromley - Notts County 1:1 ✺

07.02.2026 Notts County - Barrow 2:1 ✺

03.02.2026 Notts County - Gillingham 1:0 ✺

Latest results of Grimsby Town

21.02.2026 Bristol Rovers - Grimsby Town 3:1 ✺

18.02.2026 Grimsby Town - Walsall 2:2 ✺

15.02.2026 Grimsby Town - Wolverhampton Wanderers 0:1 ✺

11.02.2026 Grimsby Town - Accrington Stanley 1:0 ✺

07.02.2026 Newport County - Grimsby Town 0:0 ✺

English League Two Table

2025/26

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Bromley	34	19	11	4	58:35	23	68
2	Cambridge Utd	34	18	10	6	49:27	22	64
3	MK Dons	34	17	11	6	63:34	29	62
4	Swindon	35	19	5	11	57:41	16	62
5	Notts Co	34	18	7	9	52:33	19	61
6	Crewe	35	16	8	11	52:41	11	56
7	Salford	33	17	4	12	46:43	3	55
8	Chesterfield	34	13	14	7	52:44	8	53
9	Barnet	35	14	11	10	44:37	7	53
10	Walsall	33	15	8	10	42:36	6	53
11	Grimsby	33	14	10	9	46:37	9	52
12	Colchester	33	13	10	10	48:35	13	49
13	Accrington	34	13	7	14	37:36	1	46
14	Oldham	32	11	12	9	36:30	6	45
15	Fleetwood	33	12	9	12	43:42	1	45
16	Gillingham	33	11	11	11	41:41	0	44
17	Shrewsbury	35	10	8	17	34:54	-20	38
18	Cheltenham	33	10	6	17	34:55	-21	36
19	Tranmere	34	9	8	17	46:59	-13	35
20	Bristol Rovers	34	9	4	21	33:57	-24	31
21	Crawley	35	6	10	19	33:56	-23	28
22	Barrow	33	7	6	20	33:51	-18	27
23	Harrogate	35	6	9	20	25:52	-27	27
24	Newport	34	6	7	21	32:60	-28	25

      Promotion ~ League One
      Promotion ~ League Two (Play Offs: Semi~finals)
      Relegation ~ National League