Olancho vs Génesis PN – Schedule & Where to Watch on TV

Football Honduras Liga Nacional Olancho - Génesis PN
Result
2:2
26/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
  • Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 16
  • Where to Watch on TV:
hondurasHondurasDeportes TV

Match Stats

Ball Possession
53%47%
Total shots
98
Shots on target
45
Corner Kicks
80
Yellow Cards
44
Total shots
98
Shots on target
45
Shots off target
53
Corner Kicks
80

Key Moments

Here there are
  • 1st Half (1 - 0)
  • 8', Castellanos H. 🟨,
  • 15', Mejia Y. 🟨,
  • 16', Munoz N. 🟨,
  • 23', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
  • 39', 1 - 0, De Olivera R. ,
  • 2nd Half (1 - 2)
  • 46', Rodriguez M. , Moncada W. ,
  • 49', Riascos J. 🟨,
  • 56', Paz J. 🟨,
  • 60', Martinez D. 🟨,
  • 62', 1 - 1, Maldonado E. ,
  • 62', De Olivera R. , Elvir O. ,
  • 63', Gomez H. , Calix C. ,
  • 72', Reyes R. , Dominguez J. ,
  • 75', Moncada W. 🟨,
  • 76', Mejia Y. , Small C. ,
  • 84', Tejeda A. , Ramos J. ,
  • 90+3', 1 - 2, ,
  • 90+5', 2 - 2, Small C. ,

Chances of winning


Olancho
59.7%
Draw
24.4%
Génesis PN
15.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)
52.4% 28.1% 19.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6% 27.5% 19.1%


Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

  • Olancho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)
  • Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olancho's performance.
  • Génesis PN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)
  • ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olancho than the current prediction. (-6.1%)
  • Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olancho that the model has picked up on.
  • ML Model estimates a higher probability for Génesis PN than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
  • Olancho - Génesis PN Odds

    1 X 2 Marga
    Avarage Now
    (Initially)
    1.54
    (1.77)
    3.76
    (3.3)
    5.82
    (4.77)
    8.7%
    (7.8%)

    • The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
    Preview Facts
    • This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: ) and 10).
    • In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olancho won 2.
    • Olancho has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
    • Génesis is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
    • In this match, Olancho is seen as the favorite.
    • In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Olancho won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.4:0.9).
    • Including home matches between the teams, Olancho won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).
    What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
    The latest head-to-head matches between Olancho - Génesis PN were as follows:
    16.08.2025 Génesis PN - Olancho 1:3
    06.04.2025 Génesis PN - Olancho 3:3
    08.02.2025 Olancho - Génesis PN 1:1
    07.11.2024 Génesis PN - Olancho 0:0
    31.08.2024 Olancho - Génesis PN 4:0
    Latest results of Olancho
    16.10.2025 Olancho - Juticalpa 0:1
    27.09.2025 Olancho - Real España 1:1
    21.09.2025 Olancho - Choloma 6:2
    Latest results of Génesis PN
    18.10.2025 Génesis PN - CD Marathón 0:3
    04.10.2025 Motagua - Génesis PN 4:3
    27.09.2025 Génesis PN - Lobos UPNFM 2:3
    24.09.2025 Juticalpa - Génesis PN 1:1
    20.09.2025 Génesis PN - Platense 1:1
    Honduras Liga Nacional Table
    2025/26
    PlWDLDiffPts
    1Olimpia15104134:171734
    2Marathon1586130:111930
    3Olancho1457228:20822
    4Real Espana1564522:16622
    5UPNFM1555522:27-520
    6Platense1454523:16719
    7Motagua1354423:22119
    8Juticalpa1556418:25-717
    9Choloma1432919:38-1911
    10Genesis1424818:27-910
    11Victoria14121112:30-185

          Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )