Result
2:2
26/10/2025 at 17:00 (Time Zone – GMT-4 (America/New_York))
- Liga Nacional - Apertura - Round 16
- Where to Watch on TV:
| |
|---|
 Honduras | Deportes TV |
Match Stats
| |
|---|
| Ball Possession |
|---|
| 53% | 47% |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
| Yellow Cards |
|---|
| 4 | 4 |
| Total shots |
|---|
| 9 | 8 |
| Shots on target |
|---|
| 4 | 5 |
| Shots off target |
|---|
| 5 | 3 |
| Corner Kicks |
|---|
| 8 | 0 |
Key Moments
Here there are
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 8', Castellanos H. 🟨,
- 15', Mejia Y. 🟨,
- 16', Munoz N. 🟨,
- 23', Rodriguez D. 🟨,
- 39', 1 - 0, De Olivera R. ⚽,
- 2nd Half (1 - 2)
- 46', Rodriguez M. ↓, Moncada W. ↑,
- 49', Riascos J. 🟨,
- 56', Paz J. 🟨,
- 60', Martinez D. 🟨,
- 62', 1 - 1, Maldonado E. ⚽,
- 62', De Olivera R. ↓, Elvir O. ↑,
- 63', Gomez H. ↓, Calix C. ↑,
- 72', Reyes R. ↓, Dominguez J. ↑,
- 75', Moncada W. 🟨,
- 76', Mejia Y. ↓, Small C. ↑,
- 84', Tejeda A. ↓, Ramos J. ↑,
- 90+3', 1 - 2, ⚽,
- 90+5', 2 - 2, Small C. ⚽,
Chances of winning
Olancho
59.7% | Draw
24.4% | Génesis PN
15.8% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Olancho has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.3%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Olancho's performance.Génesis PN has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.7%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Olancho than the current prediction. (-6.1%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Olancho that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Génesis PN than the current prediction. (+3.3%)
Olancho - Génesis PN Odds
|
1 |
X |
2 |
Marga |
|
Avarage Now
(Initially) |
1.54 ↓
(1.77) |
3.76 ↑
(3.3) |
5.82 ↑
(4.77) |
8.7%
(7.8%) | |
- The most likely Over/Under: 3.00
Preview Facts
- This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: ) and 10).
- In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Olancho won 2.
- Olancho has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
- Génesis is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
- In this match, Olancho is seen as the favorite.
- In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Olancho won 3 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:10. (average 1.4:0.9).
- Including home matches between the teams, Olancho won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:3. (average 1.4:0.6).
How many head-to-head matches has Olancho won against Génesis PN?
Olancho has won 3 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
How many head-to-head matches has Génesis PN won against Olancho?
Génesis PN has won 2 of their last 11 head-to-head matches.
What were the results of their latest head-to-head matches?
The latest head-to-head matches between Olancho - Génesis PN were as follows:
16.08.2025
Génesis PN
-
Olancho
1:3
06.04.2025
Génesis PN
-
Olancho
3:3
08.02.2025
Olancho
-
Génesis PN
1:1
07.11.2024
Génesis PN
-
Olancho
0:0
31.08.2024
Olancho
-
Génesis PN
4:0
Latest results of Olancho
Latest results of Génesis PN
Honduras Liga Nacional Table
2025/26 | | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
| 1 | Olimpia | 15 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 34:17 | 17 | 34 |
| 2 | Marathon | 15 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 30:11 | 19 | 30 |
| 3 | Olancho | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 28:20 | 8 | 22 |
| 4 | Real Espana | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22:16 | 6 | 22 |
| 5 | UPNFM | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22:27 | -5 | 20 |
| 6 | Platense | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 23:16 | 7 | 19 |
| 7 | Motagua | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 23:22 | 1 | 19 |
| 8 | Juticalpa | 15 | 5 | 6 | 4 | 18:25 | -7 | 17 |
| 9 | Choloma | 14 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 19:38 | -19 | 11 |
| 10 | Genesis | 14 | 2 | 4 | 8 | 18:27 | -9 | 10 |
| 11 | Victoria | 14 | 1 | 2 | 11 | 12:30 | -18 | 5 |
Promotion ~ Liga Nacional (Apertura ~ Triangulares: )
